Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Stock Market Pop-n-drop Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX pattern left itself open for a final surge by the ned of the day by not breaking support at 2020.41 and the algos took it from there with Fed Governor Charlie Evans’ comments last night. This was based on the unexpected collapse of the 10-year yields, raising risk premia in stocks as well as commodities.

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Stocks Regain Some Ground After Recent Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Big Moves Developing In Stocks, Gold, Oil and Gas Strategic Markets… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to touch on several different areas in regards to our trades we have going right now. First lets look at the INDU and some of the reasons I went short yesterday. The daily chart shows a rising wedge in which the price action closed below the bottom rail yesterday. Today’s bounce was a little stronger than what I was hoping for closing above the bottom rail of the falling wedge. There is also another and I believe stronger chart pattern in play and that is a possible double top. As you can see on the rising wedge, reversal point #4 is higher than reversal point #2. When you look at the RSI, at the top of the chart, you can see a big negative divergence. The same holds true with the MACD at the bottom of the chart. The blue histogram is still negative and the slo sto is falling. The 50 dma comes in just above at 17,632 so all these indicators are negative.

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Is Your Portfolio Ready for Stock Market 2015? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Axel_Merk

Is the recent bout in volatility yet another ‘buy-the-dip’ opportunity or a sign of worse to come? Investors struggle to both keeping up with the markets while protecting themselves against a severe correction. By taking a step back, investors might be able to see the forest for the trees to gauge whether their portfolio is ready for what lies ahead.

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Deflation and the Year Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

Stocks were hit by selling pressure on Monday as the S&P 500 (SPX) declined 1.83% and the Dow 30 shed 1.86%. The energy sector bore the brunt of the selling with the NYSE Oil Index declining 4.61%. Crude oil prices also dropped nearly 5% for the day to close at 5 ½-year lows.

Fears that Greece may exit the euro zone are being blamed on the latest broad market decline. Upcoming elections in Greece have spooked many investors, who feel that the country's exit from the euro zone would be disastrous. The most likely reason for the market decline, however, is the fact that investor sentiment has been excessively bullish in the last couple of weeks. A pullback in the major indices should remove much of the excess optimism and pave the way for a sounder market environment.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Stocks Levitating,Silver Good Support - Basic Truths and Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Most normal individuals believe these basic truths.

We cannot borrow our way out of debt.

We cannot spend our way into prosperity.

We cannot tax ourselves into wealth.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Amber Alert: Emerging Markets Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: DK_Matai

Fasten your seat belts, 2015 is going to be extremely turbulent if the US Fed keeps tightening monetary policy. Such is the addiction of the global patients now, that unless the Federal Reserve prints dollars again -- which they won’t as long as the US GDP is recovering robustly -- the withdrawal symptoms from cheap money injections are going to be manifest as massive volatilities in emerging markets and ricochet back to the developed world, as they are already doing.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Hedge Funds Net Long the SPX? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Normally this is where the SPX back-tests the 50-day Moving Average. Today is not a Pivot day, so I would not be surprised if SPX simply touches the 50-day and resumes its decline, but we have to be patient. It is not in the nature of a decline to miss a retest of support/resistance.

A decline beneath 2017.00 raises the probability that the decline has resumed.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

My Economic Outlook for 2015: New Year Resetting for Fresh Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DailyGainsLetter

George Leong writes: Looking back on 2014, despite the elimination of quantitative easing and the pending rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, it’s clear that the bulls controlled the stock market.

In early December, things were looking rough. Stocks were threatening to move lower as the market focused on the economic stalling in China, Japan, and Europe, along with the political and economic turmoil in Russia that could kill the economic renewal in the eurozone and the global economy.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Stock Market Loses Key Support...Bears Need Follow Through.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market had a bad day today. Why? Because all the key indexes lost their 50-day exponential moving averages and that's bearish short term. The bulls will have to get busy in a hurry to get it back above. The longer it stays below the braver the bears will get and the lower the market will go, which also means the further away the 50's will get. That means the next rally may only back test those lost 50's only to follow that up with another strong move lower. Losing the 50-day exponential moving average with force is the key and today we got just that. The S&P 500 closed 15 points below. The Nasdaq closed 21 points below and the Dow closed 75 points below. Roughly half a percent or more. If the bears can get a strong gap down tomorrow they are really in business, but do remember that it's hard to keep a market oversold and that's what those key index shorts term charts are. RSI's 30 or below.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

How We’re Going to Get Rich in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Last week, while wishing my newsletter subscribers at Capital Wave Forecast and Short-Side Fortunes a happy New Year, I warned them that 2015 isn’t going to be a happy-go-lucky year.

The one prediction I emphasized over and over was that volatility would be extreme.

Monday, January 05, 2015

Gold and Mining Stocks Refuse to Decline Despite Soaring US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative short positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The USD Index soared much higher on Friday, well above the previous high. With the USD Index being so high, it seems odd that gold managed to close higher and the same went for mining stocks, which even outperformed the yellow metal. Is the rally in gold around the corner?

Monday, January 05, 2015

Stock Market Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX gapped down nearly 4 points, which was less than the decline at 9:00 am. So, despite the algos attempting to spike the open, SPX still opened down and is now beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2039.84.

Monday, January 05, 2015

New Year Updates in Gold and SP500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: David_Banister

Our long term subscribers have been following the Gold and SP 500 markets with us for years, and for sure last year was full of volatility in both. Right now we are continuing to stay on the sidelines in Gold until we can see a confirmed close over $1232 per ounce (US Dollars).  We like to keep it simple and avoid a lot of the noise that the charts on a daily basis can bring, as well as day to day and week to week volatility.

Monday, January 05, 2015

Economy and Markets Widespread Deceptions & Hall Of Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Jim_Willie_CB

As 2014 leaves off and 2015 begins anew, the main theme seems to be the end of the American Empire, the demise of the Petro-Dollar, the blunt of USMilitary over-reach, and the global urgency of putting the King Dollar into a cement casing coffin. The global movement will gain strong momentum to end the dollarized terrorized nightmare. The entire world is coming to realize that the USDollar is wrecking the financial structures, ruining economies, forcing colossal debt abuses, while its defense is a grand threat to world peace. The extension of time before the execution has required pilferage of foreign adversary wealth and confiscation of foreign allied wealth. Shrouded in the entire grand transition is a myriad of deceptions, each playing a special role to maintain the system that favors the exceptional criminal and corrupt nation, the United States. The deceptions carry over into almost every aspect of financial and economic life and times. The hall of mirrors has become the American hallmark, soon to serve as the epitaph of fallen empire.

Monday, January 05, 2015

Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Take Profits Following December Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, January 05, 2015

Black Swans and White Noise 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The introduction of noise into a system can amplify the movement or efficiency of that system.  Sometimes a little agitation helps to broaden a signal; this phenomenon of stochastic resonance has helped in understanding many nonlinear and complex systems - from medicine to diet. 

The current financial system is a poster child for the non linear. Many nodes, endless connections. No way to parse all of the nodes and the connections. It hums along, based on confidence and dependent on an artificial type of intervention. 

Monday, January 05, 2015

15 Stocks, Financial, Commodity and Currency Market Surprises for 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

It’s that time of year when people start thinking about New Year’s resolutions and investment planning for the future. It’s also the time of year when analysts feel more or less compelled to offer up forecasts. My friend Doug Kass turns the forecasting process on its head by offering 15 potential surprises for 2015 (plus 10 also-rans).  But he does so with a healthy measure of humility, starting out with a quote from our mutual friend James Montier (now at GMO):

Monday, January 05, 2015

Financial Markets 2015 Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: For the first time since 2008, stocks traded down on the last trading day of the year and the first trading day of the New Year.

Whether this will prove to be a mere statistical curiosity or a harbinger of troubles ahead remains to be seen, but there are enough headwinds facing investors to force them to don foul weather gear for the year ahead.

Monday, January 05, 2015

Wow, They Really Are Tapering QE Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

In the sound-money community there is universal skepticism about the Fed's plan to stop monetizing the world's debt. Hardly anyone thinks they'll go through with it and absolutely no one thinks they'll succeed if they do.

But the Fed is acting like it's serious. Take a look at the monetary base, which is the amount of new currency that's been created and pumped into the banking system. The trajectory since the 2008 crash tells you all you need to know about the "recovery," which turned out to be just the Fed printing money and a few mostly rich people spending some of it. But check out the far right edge where the line turns negative. Not wildly negative, but still, the Fed does appear to have stopped adding and started subtracting. The money supply is falling.