Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, December 15, 2014

Stock Market Probable Pop-n-Crash Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Crude oil is in the news this morning as Crude Oil futures bounced 2.5 points in the overnight session. That was only Wave (a) of [iv]. It is pulling back and Wave (c) of [iv] may take Crude as high as 63.16. This calculation assumes that Wave [iv] is the same length as Wave [ii].

Based on that calculation and the Fibonacci Relationship between the declining waves, it anticipates a probable decline to 62.00. This is all conjecture at this point. We may be able to get a better handle on this as Wave [iv] completes later today, a Trading Cycle Piovt day.

Monday, December 15, 2014

Stock Indexes Continue Sell-Off Following Declining Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, December 15, 2014

Stock Market Time for a Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - A correction of currently indeterminate time frame has started. There is a good chance, however, that it will be more than a short-term correction.

Monday, December 15, 2014

Stock Market Euphoria: The Mother of All Ponzi Schemes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Stephen_Lendman

The bubble of all bubbles. A house of cards waiting to collapse, says Paul Craig Roberts. 

A great unraveling looms. America’s economy based on market manipulation. Rigging things one way.

Smoke and mirrors deception. Money printing madness. Privatizing profits. Socializing losses. Upside down reality.

Shifting wealth in unprecedented amounts. More than what’s comprehensible. To monied interests. From ordinary folks.

Sunday, December 14, 2014

The Rushing Stocks Bear Market and How to Prepare / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: Oil prices plunged to their lowest prices in five years last week after the International Energy Agency (IEA) downgraded its forecast for global oil demand for the fifth time in six months.

The IEA report told markets that global growth will remain weak in 2015, triggering an across-the-board sell-off in stocks and junk bonds on Friday that left the major indices with some of their worst percentage losses in three years.

Sunday, December 14, 2014

Money Managers - If They Only Knew How Little You Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: John_Rubino

Pretend, for a minute, that you’re a money manager in today’s manipulated world. You understand that most of what’s happening is the result of governments and central banks forcing down interest rates and pumping up asset prices. You don’t trust this process but since “the markets are recovering” you’ve felt compelled to play along, putting your clients into a standard mix of stocks, bonds and cash.

Saturday, December 13, 2014

Will Falling Oil Prices Crash the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Mike_Whitney

Crude oil prices dipped lower on Wednesday pushing down yields on US Treasuries and sending stocks down sharply. The 30-year UST slipped to a Depression era 2.83 percent while all three major US indices plunged into the red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) led the retreat losing a hefty 268 points before the session ended. The proximate cause of Wednesday’s bloodbath was news that OPEC had reduced its estimate of how much oil it would need to produce in 2015 to meet weakening global demand. According to USA Today:

Saturday, December 13, 2014

Stock Market Downtrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

A nasty week in many markets worldwide. The week started off with a gap down opening after closing last week at SPX 2075. It had another gap down opening on Tuesday, then a third gap down on Wednesday hitting SPX 2024. Thursday the market reversed the volatility with a gap up and hit SPX 2056. Then Friday resumed the turbulence to the downside with another gap down opening, and market ended the week at its low SPX 2002. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 3.65%, the NDX/NAZ lost 2.65%, and the DJ World index lost 3.60%. Economic reports for the week were biased to the upside. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: export/import prices, the PPI, and the monetary base. Next week lots of action. Highlights include the FOMC meeting, Industrial production, Housing, and Options expiration.

Saturday, December 13, 2014

Overbought Stock Market Pullback...Finally.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The market was begging for it. Day after day we stayed pretty much at overbought levels on all the major oscillators. The RSI's are sometimes staying well above normal overbought levels of 70. Readings in the lower 80's are not abnormal. You sit and wonder how long it can last. You know it's going to finally sell hard, but figuring out that moment is not an easy chore by any means. We have stayed overbought longer than most would have thought possible, and those who shorted at the first signs of overbought paid a big price as the market kept climbing higher.

Saturday, December 13, 2014

U.S. Congress Has Guaranteed the Secular Stocks Bear Market is Not Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

The cyclical bull market that began in 2009 has not ended. Enjoy it while it lasts because the long-term secular bear market that began in 2000 has also not ended.

Secular markets are very long-term trends within in which cyclical market moves take place. The last secular bull market ran for 18 years, from 1982 to the peak in 2000.

Friday, December 12, 2014

Stock Market SPX Top Valuations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The prevailing valuations in the lofty US stock markets are increasingly becoming a bone of contention.  Wall Street calmly asserts stocks are fairly valued or even cheap, since it has a huge vested interest in keeping people fully-invested.  But a growing chorus of dissenters is disputing that idyllic notion, warning that stock valuations are very high and portend great downside risk.  Indeed, topping valuations abound.

Since investing is all about buying low and selling high, the price paid for any investment is everything.  Buy good companies at cheap prices, and you’ll multiply your wealth over time.  But buying those very same good companies at expensive prices radically stunts future gains.  While cheap investments have great potential to soar as traders recognize their inherent value, expensive ones have already exhausted their upside.

Friday, December 12, 2014

Mastering the Art of Financial Backtalk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Dennis_Miller

Alan Greenspan has popped back into the limelight and confirmed some of my worst fears (not that they needed much confirming). Here’s a recap of statements Greenspan made at the New Orleans Investment Conference:

Friday, December 12, 2014

Largest Financial Bubble in History - 10 years of 'Why Sell Now?' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Doug_Wakefield

While finding the end of the largest financial bubble in history has proved very illusive over the last three years for some of the most seasoned market technicians in the world, the last fifteen have allowed us to have many reminders that wild rides to the top have always ended the same.

Friday, December 12, 2014

A Probable Stock Market Crash Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today we are at an equivalent point with the high on October 14, 1987. History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes.

On Wednesday, October 14, 1987, the SPX retested the bottom trendline of its Broadening Wedge in a Minute wave [ii]. Today we crossed inside (for a second time) a more bearish Orthodox Broadening Top in a Minute wave [ii].

Thursday, December 11, 2014

When the Market Moves Fast, Stuff Blows Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: John_Mauldin

One of my old rules of trading is that whenever a major asset class, index, or other benchmark has a sudden, rapid move in price, something blows up. Sky high.

That’s because people get used to regimes. They get used to a certain state of affairs with a lack of volatility. They become complacent. Maybe they stop hedging. Maybe they allow themselves to have unbounded downside risk. Maybe they start gambling.

Thursday, December 11, 2014

State of the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: David_Banister

We are seeing normal corrective declines in the broader indexes of late. December has been volatile from day one. Tax selling is obvious to me, and we are seeing extreme oversold set ups in Energy stocks. Insiders have been loading up the last few weeks yet those same stocks are still declining, and we think Hedge funds are taking on heavy losses, and selling is begetting selling.

Thursday, December 11, 2014

Stock Markets Sell Off Following Negative Global Economic Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, December 11, 2014

10 Outrageous Predictions For 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Interesting – if not outrageous – remarks today from Steen Jakobsen at Saxo Bank in Denmark, always good for some fresh insights, and a statement from him that I would like to decorate with a few question marks. As WTI oil looks threatening to break through $60 a barrel with another 5% loss today, let’s first take a look at Saxo’s, and hence Steen’s, Outrageous Predictions, via Tyler Durden. We can take it from there.

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Run Away from the Fed Economic Tsunami / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dennis_Miller

This warning comes from “Big Al” Greenspan, age 88. He’s been in the news a lot lately, speaking with Gillian Tett of the Financial Times at the Council on Foreign Relations and at the New Orleans Investment Conference. After reading several reports of both events, I spoke with Casey Research colleagues who’d attended the conference and asked, “Did Big Al really say this, this, and this?”

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Doug Casey on Russia and Russian Stocks / Stock-Markets / Russia

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

Nick: Okay Doug, so looking around, what markets look cheap to you today?

Doug: I saw recently that many stocks in Greece are selling at around four times earnings. But I don’t know what the quality of their earnings are. Of course, the dividend yield on Greek stocks isn’t very high, and dividends are, I think, the best real indicator of how much free cash flow there actually is in a company.