Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
Is The Halt of QE3 The End of The Loose Monetary Policy? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The end of QE3 neither implies the real abandon of purchasing assets (due to reinvesting interest and principal payments and rolling over retiring Treasuries) nor the permanent exclusion bond-buying programs from the tools of monetary policy. Investors should also be aware that the end of QE3 does not rule out loose monetary policy. Why?
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
US Dollar and SP 500 Rally Fizzling Out? Gold Breaks Five Month Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jeb_Handwerger
In a recent article I wrote, "Gold and silver could gap higher by the end of 2014 and the top notch juniors could skyrocket." I expected a breakout at $1205. It appears gold may be breaking that downtrend today.
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
Stock Market George Lindsay 22year Cycle Overlay / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
George Lindsay described his 22y overlay in a two part installment of his newsletter in 1964. In it he showed 18 examples of how the model had helped to time highs in the Dow. In the 22y overlay we are searching for three important intervals ending at a high 22y, 15y, and 8y later. Lows appear every ~7y followed by a high 8y after the final low.
Some of the highs he showed were significant and some were not. The significance of the forecast can predetermined by the significance of the 22y and 15y interval lows. The significance of the 8y interval does not affect the expected decline.
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Tuesday, December 09, 2014
European Banks At Risk Of Bail Ins In 2015 Warn Moody's and S&P / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: GoldCore
Europe's banks are vulnerable in 2015 due to weak macroeconomic conditions, unfinished regulatory hurdles and the risk of bail-ins according to credit rating agencies.
Tuesday, December 09, 2014
Finally Some Stock Market Selling...Nothing Bearish Yet.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's the key to the whole thing. Ask yourself, is the selling that took place today bearish? Answer is that for now, not at all. No heavy push negative on the daily oscillators. No big gap down that closed at or near the lows. Just overbought conditions getting unwound as they need to be. I get tired of staring at 70 RSI's, or higher, on the daily-index charts. Thankfully, they are now all below. Many in the 50's, except the Dow. Safest dividend stocks getting the action, thus, the Dow is still in the mid-to-upper 60's. At least it's an index of only 30 stocks. So yes, solid unwinding on the index sixty-minute charts and some decent unwinding on those key-index-daily charts.
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Tuesday, December 09, 2014
SPX Breaks Short-term Supports / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The short-term uptrend is broken and SPX is trading back inside its larger Orthodox Broadening Top. However, it has also developed a smaller Orthodox Broadening Top (green). In order to fulfill its structure, it should decline to 1960.00-1980.00 in the next couple of days before a bounce. The bounce may either go back to mid-Cycle support/resistance at 2056.70 before proceeding back down to lower levels. Today’s decline may be considered an aggressive sell signal for SPX.
Monday, December 08, 2014
Crude Oil Panic Knock-on Effects / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Crude just broke below its prior low at 63.72, hitting 63.47 as I write this memo. It appears that it will decline to its Wave [iii] target of 58.45 in the next 24 hours, creating another 10% down day panic.
Monday, December 08, 2014
Still No Short-Term Stock Market Direction As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, December 08, 2014
The 3 Grinch that stole Xmas. Why were they flying upside down? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Nicholas Migliaccio writes: I think it was the pilot from Colorado brought in his kit. No it was really not marijuana related
t was an auroral storm of the century, trashed their instruments, in the middle of a 12 hour white out left them flying blind, and upside down, the wrong way into the West Flank of Mt.Elbert, where no one knew to look for them. Their instruments must have been trashed by the storm as the black box showed them impacting the mountain, upside down, at 550 knots. There was not much in the way of big pieces left.
Monday, December 08, 2014
Stock Market High Level Levitation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - While everything technical points to an overbought condition which should require an adjustment, the exact timing of that correction is for the market itself to decide and reveal.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, December 08, 2014
Credit Bubble World in a Box / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: John_Rubino
Of all the problems with fiat currency, the most basic is that it empowers the dark side of human nature. We're potentially good but infinitely corruptible, and giving an unlimited monetary printing press to a government or group of banks is guaranteed to produce a dystopia of ever-greater debt and more centralized control, until the only remaining choice is between deflationary collapse or runaway inflation. The people in charge at that point are in a box with no painless exit.
Sunday, December 07, 2014
Financial World - The Most Elementary Question Must Not Be Asked / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
We’re in dire need of fresh blood and smart new ideas to clean up the mess the present ideologies and their puppets and puppetmasters have created. The present crew has made a neverending series of ‘mistakes’, intentional or not, and they are dead set on making more, if only because they refuse to change the tack that led to all these ‘mistakes’.
I say mistakes because that’s what they are from the point of view of all those who live in the real economy, not because I think the puppetmasters are mistaken from their own point of view. After all, all they do, literally all they do, is take care of their own interests. Where they will find themselves mistaken is down the line, when there is no longer a functioning real economy, and they will of necessity end up going down with it.
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Saturday, December 06, 2014
Third Longest Stocks Bull Market in History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2068, gapped down to 2050 on Monday, then made higher highs for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.55%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%, and the DJ World index lost 0.25%. Economic reports on the week were mixed. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM services, non-farm payrolls, long term investing, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, consumer credit, the WLEI, the ADP index, and the trade deficit. Next week we get Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.
Saturday, December 06, 2014
Stock Market Santa Mania Rally, Dow 18,000 New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market's relentless santa rally grind higher on Friday put the Dow within a whisker of trading above Dow 18,000 for the first time ever! The trading session saw the Dow trade upto 17,991 by mid-day and then spend the next 2 hours flirting with a break above Dow 18k before trending lower into the close to still close at a new all time high of Dow 17,948.
Saturday, December 06, 2014
Jobs Explode.... Financial's Do As Well..... Stock Market Grinding.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market received a big jolt this morning. It came from the world of job creation. The market was expecting a decent report with 220k-230k jobs created. Also, there was the hope of a decent increase in hourly wages. A strong showing of some kind that the economy is hanging in there. The market was waiting and hoping that it wouldn't be a bad number since so many economic reports haven't been wonderful. Please, just no number that begins with a 1. Has to be a 2. The number was a 3. 321k to be exact. 100k more than expected. Wages also rose 0.4%, which was really good to see. Things are picking up. Well, at least for the past month.
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Friday, December 05, 2014
Are We In Another 1990’s-Style Super Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Bull markets normally last an average of 4.5 years. By that time, stocks are usually over-valued, the market is over-extended, the Fed is making plans to cool off the enthusiasm, and the bull market/ bear market cycle begins to sequence into the next bear market.
Super bull markets, those that go beyond the norm, have been once in a lifetime anomalies, driven by unusual, life-changing technological transformations. There have been two in the last 100 years.
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Thursday, December 04, 2014
SPX Turns Down, XJY Ripe for a Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Having re-crossed the trendline of its Ending Diagonal, SPX appears to be headed for the Orthodox Broadening Top at 2060.00. Short-term support at 2058.93 is not very much lower. I expect to see these supports to be taken out quickly.
The NYSE Hi-Lo is back below the 50-day Moving Average, sparking the aggressive sell signal there. The VIX is emerging from its bottom. No signal there, yet.
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Thursday, December 04, 2014
What's Next for the U.S. Dollar and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
Who would have predicted oil prices in the sixty-dollar range a year ago? Something is not right about these markets. Our take: don't get burned when markets add fuel to the fire. Here's what to watch out for as we head into 2015; ignore at your own peril.
Thursday, December 04, 2014
Stock Market New Record High As Stocks Slightly Extended Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, December 04, 2014
Five Critical Stock Investing Moves to Make Before December 31st / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: We’ve spent a lot of time in the past few weeks talking about how to maximize your investment returns.
But there’s another side to building wealth in the markets… keeping it.
If you’re thinking I’m going to launch into an article on “risk management,” that’s great, because it means you’re thinking like a market maven and that our time together is worth it.
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