Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Stock Market Roller Coaster Start to 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The first full week of 2015 starts off like a roller coaster. The market started the week at SPX 2058. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1992 by midday Tuesday. Then it rallied to SPX 2064, helped by two gap up openings, by late Thursday afternoon. Then on Friday it sold off again, hitting SPX 2038 by late morning, then ending the week at 2045. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.60%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.45%, and the DJ World was -0.80%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the uptick: auto sales, the ADP, consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the MMIS, plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, monthly payrolls and the WLEI. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, the CPI/PPI and Industrial production.

Saturday, January 10, 2015

The ECB Will Be Big Factor in 2015’s First Half Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sy_Harding

The European Central Bank has provided assurances for months that it is ‘monitoring’ economic conditions in the 18-nation euro-zone, and will take aggressive stimulus measures ‘if necessary’.
However, even as those economic conditions worsen, increasingly indicating the euro-zone is sliding into recession, and pressure mounts for the ECB to take action, it has done nothing except periodically re-affirm its assurances that it will do so if necessary.

Friday, January 09, 2015

Stocks on a Confirmed Sell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is on confirmed sell signal, since it has declined beneath the 50-day at 2042.43 it will be on a confirmed sell signal through the end of the decline.

Friday, January 09, 2015

Market Forecasts 2015 - Stray Reflections / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

’Tis the season for making forecasts. I will be sending my own five-year projections this weekend, but today for your Outside the Box reading pleasure we look at some similarly longer-term prognostications from the newest member of the Mauldin Economics writing team, Jawad Mian. Jawad writes a monthly global macro advisory publication called Stray Reflections, which is read by some of the world's largest hedge funds, family offices, and asset managers. I and my team have become fascinated with his work. Jawad is not, in my opinion, non-consensus or even contrarian, but seemingly comes at macroeconomic issues from right angles, offering a viewpoint far different from almost anything else I read.

Born and raised in the UAE, educated in Canada, and now based in Dubai, Jawad views the world differently from the vast majority of Western-born and -trained analysts. A thoughtful and clear communicator, he is a rising star in the macroeconomic space, and I am glad to have him with us at Mauldin Economics.

Thursday, January 08, 2015

The Masters of the Universe Are Also Universal Market Manipulators / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Dear Wall Street Insights & Indictments Reader,

Just look at the market today, any market, anywhere in the world. They’re all higher.

That’s what happens when the true Masters of the Universe, the puppet masters at the U.S. Federal Reserve, twiddle the strings to manipulate markets for their purposes.

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Stocks and Commodities - the Deflationary Myth / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Toby_Connor

With commodities now moving down into their three year cycle low I’m hearing more and more talk about deflation. This is complete nonsense. Bernanke had it exactly right when he pointed out that any determined government could halt deflation at will with a printing press. As a matter of fact the only mildly deflationary event we’ve seen since 1932 was a brief period during 2008 and early 2009. Bernanke succeeded in stopping it in its tracks almost immediately with QE1.

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Stock Market Pop-n-drop Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX pattern left itself open for a final surge by the ned of the day by not breaking support at 2020.41 and the algos took it from there with Fed Governor Charlie Evans’ comments last night. This was based on the unexpected collapse of the 10-year yields, raising risk premia in stocks as well as commodities.

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Stocks Regain Some Ground After Recent Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Big Moves Developing In Stocks, Gold, Oil and Gas Strategic Markets… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to touch on several different areas in regards to our trades we have going right now. First lets look at the INDU and some of the reasons I went short yesterday. The daily chart shows a rising wedge in which the price action closed below the bottom rail yesterday. Today’s bounce was a little stronger than what I was hoping for closing above the bottom rail of the falling wedge. There is also another and I believe stronger chart pattern in play and that is a possible double top. As you can see on the rising wedge, reversal point #4 is higher than reversal point #2. When you look at the RSI, at the top of the chart, you can see a big negative divergence. The same holds true with the MACD at the bottom of the chart. The blue histogram is still negative and the slo sto is falling. The 50 dma comes in just above at 17,632 so all these indicators are negative.

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Is Your Portfolio Ready for Stock Market 2015? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Axel_Merk

Is the recent bout in volatility yet another ‘buy-the-dip’ opportunity or a sign of worse to come? Investors struggle to both keeping up with the markets while protecting themselves against a severe correction. By taking a step back, investors might be able to see the forest for the trees to gauge whether their portfolio is ready for what lies ahead.

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Deflation and the Year Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

Stocks were hit by selling pressure on Monday as the S&P 500 (SPX) declined 1.83% and the Dow 30 shed 1.86%. The energy sector bore the brunt of the selling with the NYSE Oil Index declining 4.61%. Crude oil prices also dropped nearly 5% for the day to close at 5 ½-year lows.

Fears that Greece may exit the euro zone are being blamed on the latest broad market decline. Upcoming elections in Greece have spooked many investors, who feel that the country's exit from the euro zone would be disastrous. The most likely reason for the market decline, however, is the fact that investor sentiment has been excessively bullish in the last couple of weeks. A pullback in the major indices should remove much of the excess optimism and pave the way for a sounder market environment.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Stocks Levitating,Silver Good Support - Basic Truths and Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Most normal individuals believe these basic truths.

We cannot borrow our way out of debt.

We cannot spend our way into prosperity.

We cannot tax ourselves into wealth.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Amber Alert: Emerging Markets Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: DK_Matai

Fasten your seat belts, 2015 is going to be extremely turbulent if the US Fed keeps tightening monetary policy. Such is the addiction of the global patients now, that unless the Federal Reserve prints dollars again -- which they won’t as long as the US GDP is recovering robustly -- the withdrawal symptoms from cheap money injections are going to be manifest as massive volatilities in emerging markets and ricochet back to the developed world, as they are already doing.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Hedge Funds Net Long the SPX? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Normally this is where the SPX back-tests the 50-day Moving Average. Today is not a Pivot day, so I would not be surprised if SPX simply touches the 50-day and resumes its decline, but we have to be patient. It is not in the nature of a decline to miss a retest of support/resistance.

A decline beneath 2017.00 raises the probability that the decline has resumed.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

My Economic Outlook for 2015: New Year Resetting for Fresh Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DailyGainsLetter

George Leong writes: Looking back on 2014, despite the elimination of quantitative easing and the pending rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, it’s clear that the bulls controlled the stock market.

In early December, things were looking rough. Stocks were threatening to move lower as the market focused on the economic stalling in China, Japan, and Europe, along with the political and economic turmoil in Russia that could kill the economic renewal in the eurozone and the global economy.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Stock Market Loses Key Support...Bears Need Follow Through.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market had a bad day today. Why? Because all the key indexes lost their 50-day exponential moving averages and that's bearish short term. The bulls will have to get busy in a hurry to get it back above. The longer it stays below the braver the bears will get and the lower the market will go, which also means the further away the 50's will get. That means the next rally may only back test those lost 50's only to follow that up with another strong move lower. Losing the 50-day exponential moving average with force is the key and today we got just that. The S&P 500 closed 15 points below. The Nasdaq closed 21 points below and the Dow closed 75 points below. Roughly half a percent or more. If the bears can get a strong gap down tomorrow they are really in business, but do remember that it's hard to keep a market oversold and that's what those key index shorts term charts are. RSI's 30 or below.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

How We’re Going to Get Rich in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Last week, while wishing my newsletter subscribers at Capital Wave Forecast and Short-Side Fortunes a happy New Year, I warned them that 2015 isn’t going to be a happy-go-lucky year.

The one prediction I emphasized over and over was that volatility would be extreme.

Monday, January 05, 2015

Gold and Mining Stocks Refuse to Decline Despite Soaring US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative short positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The USD Index soared much higher on Friday, well above the previous high. With the USD Index being so high, it seems odd that gold managed to close higher and the same went for mining stocks, which even outperformed the yellow metal. Is the rally in gold around the corner?

Monday, January 05, 2015

Stock Market Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX gapped down nearly 4 points, which was less than the decline at 9:00 am. So, despite the algos attempting to spike the open, SPX still opened down and is now beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2039.84.

Monday, January 05, 2015

New Year Updates in Gold and SP500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: David_Banister

Our long term subscribers have been following the Gold and SP 500 markets with us for years, and for sure last year was full of volatility in both. Right now we are continuing to stay on the sidelines in Gold until we can see a confirmed close over $1232 per ounce (US Dollars).  We like to keep it simple and avoid a lot of the noise that the charts on a daily basis can bring, as well as day to day and week to week volatility.