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Monday, March 30, 2009

Nasdaq Q's in Correction / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

As it turned out, last week the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) failed to hurdle multi-month resistance at 31.40/70 and instead have embarked on a correction that so far has returned the price structure for a test of its rising 9-day AMA (now at 29.73). However, judging from the juxtaposition of the RSI and Slow Stochastics, we should expect the Q's to press lower into the 29.00 area prior to the next sustained upmove within its larger, base-like intermediate-term recovery period. Any intervening rally strength should be thwarted in the 30.20/40 area, after which the Q's likely will loop to the downside for a run at 29.00 to complete the correction off of Thursday high a 31.46.

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Monday, March 30, 2009

Stock Market Seasonal Inversion Patterns / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Captain_Hook

The Boys From Brazil  - As postured on these pages for some time now, seasonal inversions in trading patterns of markets tend to occur in mature markets due to sentiment / structural irregularities. In the case of the US stock market, what has essentially occurred is because the general investing population has been ‘dumbed down' due to excessively good economic conditions over an extended period, along with powerful mind-numbing corporate propaganda, their aversion to risk has been dangerously tempered.

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Monday, March 30, 2009

Stock Market Rally has Bearish Underpinnings / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Doug_Wakefield

We Are Driven - Taken for the Ride of Our Life - Over the last few weeks, the very bearish technical readings in daily sentiment have reversed. A few days ago, the US Census Bureau reported that, after sinking to the lowest level on record in January, sales of newly constructed homes rose unexpectedly in February, rebounding nearly 5%. The Commerce Department reported that durable orders jumped 3.4%. Clearly, if these numbers are not revised, which is increasingly frequent with government stats lately, they are positive signs for the beginning of a recovery. The day they were released, the Dow moved up more than 200 points its first hour of trading, and since March 9th we've seen a rally of almost 1400 points. Why be bearish now? Why not jump on board?

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Monday, March 30, 2009

Short Selling Uptick Rule to Return, But Keep It Simple / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Frank_Holmes

It looks like an uptick rule for short selling will soon be back in place, but let's hope it's not the version being sought by the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange.

The two exchanges and others are pushing a proposal that is overloaded with conditions that must be met before a particular stock becomes subject to the rule, and even then the rule's reach would be limited.

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Monday, March 30, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Targets Dow 2,122 and S&P 409 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Submissions

Glenn Thorpe writes: Charts of the DJIA and the SP500 provide a much clearer picture when they are inflation adjusted. This is achieved simply by dividing the index by the CPI at each date. To correlate the two indices the SP500 can be adjusted to equal the the DJIA on 3 Jan 1950, the date the SP500 was created.

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Monday, March 30, 2009

Stocks Bull Market 2009? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Money_Morning

William Patalon III writes: Is it “Bull Market 2009?”

The answer to that question depends on whether you believe the three-week surge we've just been through is the start of a prolonged advance for U.S. stocks, or was just the kind of “ dead-cat bounce ” fake-out move that temporarily interrupts a protracted bear-market decline.

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Monday, March 30, 2009

The Stock Market is trapped within the Yin and Yang phenomenon / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Regent_Markets

After a volatile 5 days, world stock markets just managed to close last 5 days in the black. It was a week of two halves with the good work from the start of the week being undone in the second half as traders slipped into reverse gear on Thursday and Friday. At least markets managed to hold the gains from the previous week which in the context of the bear market is no mean feat.

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Sunday, March 29, 2009

Global Stock Markets Extend Gains on Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Following Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's “money printing” announcement of last week, the action stayed on Capitol Hill with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner detailing his Public Private Investment Program (PPIP) as well the initial salvo on “new rules of the game” for the US's broken system of financial regulation.

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Sunday, March 29, 2009

Neutral Stock Market Sentiment Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

This is the second week in a row that investor sentiment is neutral. While there is nothing unusual about this, there are two scenarios that will likely play out over the next 3 to 4 weeks. In scenario #1, the market and current intermediate term price cycle will top out when there is extreme bullish sentiment (i.e., bear signal). To attract more bulls the equity markets will need to be trading meaningfully higher. In scenario #2, the rally will likely churn along for the next four to six weeks before rolling over. In this case, dips will be bought by those late to the party; marginal new highs may be seen, but in the end, the rally will fizzle and it will be tough to make money.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009

Stock Market Rally Should Take a Breather Next Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: No new lows (0) were recorded on the NYSE last Thursday.

Short Term - Between the low of March 9 and the high of last Thursday:

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Saturday, March 28, 2009

Stock Market Bottom? Follow the Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Dr_Janice_Dorn

In my Trading Wisdom blog for subscribers on March 9, 2009, I wrote:  “We are now close to the cycle turn dates in the market mentioned in the March 3, 2009 Trading Wisdom “Complex Bottoms And Stress.” Is this a bottom or the bottom?

I have no idea, and will defer to those who insist on finding bottoms in this Jennifer Lopez market.  I am not wise enough or idiotic enough to do that.  When it comes, it is likely to be tradeable, and not out of the realm of possibility that it could go 15-20% to the upside into beginning of April.” 

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Saturday, March 28, 2009

Stocks Bulls Remain in Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

As the week closes, let¹s take a look at the BIG picture of the weekly cash S&P 500. Let¹s notice that earlier this week the SPX hurdled ­ and has sustained ­ above its nearest-term down trendline (Jan-Mar) at 795, with the price structure trading about 3% above the trendline as well as about 3% above its flattening 10-week moving average.

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Friday, March 27, 2009

Stock Market Expected Sell-off Arrives / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

We were expecting a down session, and we got one today. The indices gapped lower on strong negative futures. They did manage to move back off the early lows in a corrective manner to make up 50% of the losses, but when it failed to generate any upside thrust by mid-morning, they rolled over sharply to test yesterday's lows on the NDX and SPX, bounced 4-5 times in the afternoon, could not break support, but also could not get above declining tops or intraday declining moving average resistance , and rolled over in the last 10 minutes to close near the lows for the day.

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Friday, March 27, 2009

BP, Stock Market Trends and Quantitive Easing / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Christopher_Quigley

For those wondering why the stock market has exploded they might be interested in studying the chart below. This sets out clearly the proposition that the market has a long term correlation to currency in circulation (CinC). With the "Quantative Easing" policy now firmly in place it is quite possible that the "old heads" about the market know of this relationship. Thus regardless of fundamental issues they may sense the groundwork being laid for a technical recovery based on finance alone. Time will tell.

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Friday, March 27, 2009

Stock Market Bottom Hopeful Signs- NOT! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Michael_J_Panzner

Although long-time Market Oracle visitors are likely familiar with the GAMCO Mathers and Ned Davis Research versions of the graph, Morgan Stanley has put together a more comprehensive and colorfully up-to-date rendition of the now (in)famous chart of total U.S. debt as a percentage of gross domestic product. As you can see, not much has changed over the past two years as far as our precarious financial condition is concerned. (Hat tip to Infectious Greed .)

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Friday, March 27, 2009

Bullish Formation for Financials XLF ETF / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that for the past 5 sessions (while the SPY climbed 6.3%), the Financial Select SPDR ETF (NYSE: XLF) has traded in a well-defined sideways range at the high side of its March upmove. The pattern resembles a Bull Flag formation that should resolve itself to the upside in a thrust to new highs above 9.70 towards the 10.50/80 target zone. At this juncture, only a break below 8.70 will compromise my currently constructive scenario.

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Friday, March 27, 2009

The Stock and Commodity Market Rally's Million Dollar Question / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Chris_Ciovacco

The battle between current economic weakness and the Fed's programs are playing out in the currency, commodity, and stock markets around the globe. Since history tells us stocks tend to bottom before the economy, we should remain open to all possible outcomes, bullish or bearish, even in the face of serious systemic problems. In Reflation: Déjà Vu All Over Again? , we commented that the S&P 500's move through 806 sends a signal the markets are paying attention to all the Fed's "liquidity facilities".

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Friday, March 27, 2009

Is the S&P Stock Market Rally Real ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: INO

Last week I watched a video analysis of the S&P and Crude Oil markets. The technical analysis was right on at the time, but those markets have changed quite a bit in the last few days. The S&P had a huge rally and Crude seemed to steady out, so what's the new analysis? Glad you asked!

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Friday, March 27, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Has Not Seen Its Bottom Yet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: PaddyPowerTrader

As things stand, US equities are on course to complete the biggest monthly gain since 1987, with the S&P 500 closing up 2.3% yesterday. Big tech starred, with Intel up 5.9% and HP jumping 7.1%, pushing the Nasdaq to back to flat for the YTD - fairly remarkable. Sentiment continues to be boosted by an economic dataflow that is no longer weaker than expectations. Indeed some houses (Barclays for example) are squinting hard, thinking we have seen the trough and are even seeing the green shoots of recovery in the US. And I think that a better 7-year Treasury note auction (which went off at close to market expectations) helped too.

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Friday, March 27, 2009

Stock Market Rally Signals Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: The recent stock market rally may not be a bear-market trap or a “dead cat bounce,” but may in fact be the first signs of dust from an oncoming and unexpected bull stampede.

In the face of gloom-and-doom predictions, rapidly rising unemployment, and an imploding economy, the market's strong rally clearly anticipates a recovery in late 2009.

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