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Friday, March 27, 2009

Stock Market Rally Remains Resilient / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had another very strong session and continue to act resiliently as the rally extends to 2 1/2 weeks. Yesterday's intraday sharp sell-off and late rally carried over as the indices gapped up at the opening, pulled back and retested the gap but held, and then the rally was on. They moved in a steady chop higher until mid-session when they finally pulled back, retested, but held support mid-afternoon. That resulted in a late snapback to close them near the highs for the day.

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Rally Nearly Over and Zimbabwe Economic Solutions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Clive_Maund

The bear market rally in the broad US stock market is thought to have about run its course, although it could run as far as 900 on the S&P500 for reasons set out below. The rally had its origins in extremes of negative sentiment before it started, so that once it got underway it was fuelled by short covering and media hype, especially the Obama optimism effect. In particular the big jump on Monday was portrayed almost as the start of a new bull market. Actually, Wall St had good reason to celebrate on Monday, for as Dr Housing Bubble makes clear in his article Public - Private Investment Plan for Dummies , the PPIP as it is known is just another gigantic scam to funnel taxpayers money into Wall St's pockets.

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

Respect The Stock Market Rally Until Proven Elsewise / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Many seem to be in disbelief of this rally given the poor economic backdrop. However, technically the rally needs to be respected until proven otherwise. Let's take a look.

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

ETFs Crashing Into the Abyss – FAZ, RWR, IHF, ITA / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Oxbury_Research

Looking at some of the worst performing ETFs over the past four weeks, one can see that the more some trends change, the more others will stay the same.

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

Investing in China and Dow 10,000 / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry Edelson writes: I'll start with just a quick update on the markets. But then I'm going to take you to a deeper understanding of one of the most important subjects of our time.

So, follow along with me …

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

Investing in Japan: Profit Play or Investment Trap? / Stock-Markets / Japan Economy

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: Anyone who has ever visited Japan knows it to be a country where everything works beautifully - and with great efficiency. Right now, however, it's clear that something has gone horribly wrong there.

Japan's exports for February were down a shocking 49.4% on a year-over-year basis. The Japanese economy suffered a fourth-quarter decline of 3.2% - twice the decline of its U.S. counterpart - and is expected to drop by a similar amount during the current quarter.

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

Stocks Rebound In The Final Hour / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Another wild ride yesterday on the stock market roller coaster. US indices closed higher, though that was only thanks to a last hour rally that took the S&P from a 1.8% loss on the day to a 0.96% gain by the closing bell. Equities started the session weaker because of a disappointing Treasury auction. But then the big gain came from Bank of America (though with its ratings downgraded by Moody's) after its CEO gave an interview to the LA Times in which he said he wanted to start repaying the government's $45bn of assistance in April. Although Goldman has already indicated it wants to get back on its own two feet already, this is the first of the banks that took significant funds from the Treasury to make that claim.

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

Sustainable Stock Market Rally Depends on Confidence Measures / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

It is important that confidence be restored for the recent stock market gains to be more enduring. A few comments regarding this issue are highlighted in this post. As shown in Sunday's “ Words from the Wise ” review, there is a strong historical relationship between the US Consumer Confidence Index and the 12-month change in the S&P 500 Index. One needs to take a view on the direction of consumer confidence, but should it for argument's sake pick up from 30 to 40 by the end of June, the relationship indicates a S&P 500 decline of 30-35% in year-ago terms. Using end-of-quarter prices, this means an Index at between 832 and 896 by mid-year.

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Thursday, March 26, 2009

Stock Market Rally, Was That the Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Q1_Publishing

An old friend of mine stopped by the office a few weeks ago and he unwittingly reinforced my complete confidence that you can still do very well in the markets. This is saying quite a bit given the frustrating state of the markets where government decree drives nearly all of daily trading activity.

Now, he wasn't overly bullish or bearish. He wasn't betting big on a rally with banks. And he didn't just make a huge score on some triple-leverage ETF or anything like that. He's simply running his business and, in the midst of the worst economic downturn decades, it's doing exceptionally well.

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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Stock and Housing Market Long Waves / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Andrew_Butter

I got it - that's why Bernake (and Geithner) are flying the plane into the ground. The most common cause of air crashes is when pilots fly planes into the ground. The reason they do that is that they get confused about where they are. 23rd March 2009 Chairman Bernanke said that if a couple of trillion hadn't been thrown into the fire, then Plumber Joe (and sweet Mary Lou) would have lost 70% of their 401K by now not 40%; (and presumably their house too). Pity he didn't get around to that conclusion in early 2007 and cut rates to zero then, rather than hanging on for ages telling everyone that everything was under control "so as to instill "confidence"", I quote from his presentation to Congress in May 2007: " At this juncture, however, the impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to be contained”.

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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Profit Taking Pushes Stock Markets Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Some profit taking after the stellar gains (panic buying) on Monday was always on the cards. The surprise to this writer was that the correction wasn't a tad deeper, with the S&P holding well above the key 800 level; mind you, financials were down 6.5% as the misplaced euphoria over Geithner's plan wears off. Energy stocks were also weak, as crude prices retreated and air carriers took a big hit on a trade group report predicting a cumulative $4.7bn loss for the industry in 2009.

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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

A Stock Market Bottom, but Maybe Not The Bottom… / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: HRA_Advisory

The spring in the financial sector's step last week has some wondering if bottoms are finally forming in for the equities market. This is based on an assumption that weak banks couldn't get much cheaper and that, to Wall St 's way of thinking, a “real” bull rally has to be led by financials. Certainly its true there is much less $ (or £, or €) value that can be chopped off them than has already been. Early year profits indicated by some the larger and weaker US banks, and comment by US Fed Chairman Bernanke that the recession could be over by year's end if the banking sector stabilizes, also helped the cause.

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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Late Sharp Pullback Closes the Stock Indices at Session Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets had a volatile session, most of it spent trying to take out the highs and lows and doing so unsuccessfully until the last 15-20 minutes of the day when the market rolled over hard and closed at the lows for the day. We weren't surprised based on the oscillators and overbought condition, as the pullback was needed , although it may last a few more sessions.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Can the Banks Toxic Asset Problem be Fixed So Easily? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Marty_Chenard

Geithner and the Banks - What is one of the major purposes for removing the toxic assets from the banking system? To get banks to start lending , so companies can borrow to keep their operations going, for consumers to start borrowing so they can spend, for mortgage rates to drop so housing sales can start up again ... Everything needed for the economy to start a turn around so that the stock market can get out of this Bear market.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Stock Market Cheers Geithner’s Bank Rescue Plan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

So despite my (misplaced?) reservations yesterday one has to respect the price action! Tim did finally enchant and Geithner's new bank balance sheet plan propelled stocks into the stratosphere . But it wasn't the only catalyst at work yesterday as the bulls' stars became aligned.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Protect Your Wealth from the Secular Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Almost exactly six months ago, I wrote in these pages to deliver you a message of warning.  In a special edition of Money and Markets * on September 22, 2008, I warned you NOT to expect a quick end to this epic bear market in stocks. I also outlined several steps that could help you defend and possibly even grow your wealth in this turbulent market.

The reason for my warning last September is one and the same with my biggest concern today … we remain locked in a punishing, long-term, secular bear market, and I'm concerned your investments may not be fully prepared to weather this financial storm.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Carpet Bombs the Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2- The stealth bull market in a not quite as stealthy manner as I would have liked decided to carpet bomb the bears with a powerful 500 point up thrust that has left many speculators and analysts that are not participating in the rally stunned into inaction as the smart investors continued to accumulate in the face of overwhelming majority of frightened investors to scared to participate in the face of continuing overwhelming bearish data and mis-information most notably evident in the consensus that stock prices will revert to below the mean in terms of corporate earnings.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Respite and Reflation Trade Won't Push Gold Past $1,000 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In the wake of the Fed's announced record monetization some gold bugs remarked about the significance of the date and decision. Moreover, the airwaves were littered with commodity bulls (not the familiar faces). There were a few non-gold bug analysts on live television showing currency from Zimbabwe and relating the Fed decision to what has transpired in Zimbabwe. Hyperbole aside, fed policy of currency debasement and inflation of the money supply is hardly anything new. News is important in that it highlights and reinforces trends. It doesn't create them.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Spectacular Session for the Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

It was a fantastic and huge session to start the week, as the indices gapped up big, ran hard in the morning, consolidated mid-day, tried to rollover but held support, and then exploded again in the afternoon as the shorts were squeezed right into the close in a spectacular session.

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Monday, March 23, 2009

Dow Transportation Average Exchange Traded Fund (IYT): Itching for Upside / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Oxbury_Research

Today, we're going to take a look at the iShares Dow Jones Transportation Index Exchange-Traded Fund (IYT) . Within the Dow Transports you'll find sectors that include airlines, shipping, railroads, delivery companies, truckers, etc. With President Obama's gauntlet of stimulus packages, the IYT may soon find some strong support and offer investors attractive valuation for years to come, especially in the railroad industry .

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