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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Despite last week's big jump in the equity markets, the "dumb money" remains bearish on equities. These investors appear to be reluctant and still on the sidelines. The "smart money" is still bullish. This is a bullish alignment of signals suggesting that dips will be bought.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Global Stock Markets Short Covering Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Global stock markets surged over the past four days as investors adopted a more positive view of the prospects for the beleaguered financial sector and shrugged aside gloom about the economy. Citigroup (C) on Tuesday said it had turned a profit from operations for January and February (BUT did not mention credit losses, toxic paper, derivatives, etc.). JPMorgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) later made similar comments.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: INO

Oversold stocks soared last week, we now look in this video presentation as to where they are headed next.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As stated in last weekends analysis and newsletter, following the Dow's Friday close at 6626 that the Dow Jones Index had now fulfilled its bear market target of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 2009 and illustrated by the chart below. The primary focus hence forth was to "position for a bullish spike higher" that would CONFIRM the bear market low, and negate the secondary far less probable overshoot target of 5,700 to 6000. This occurred on Tuesday which saw the first of a series of BUY TRIGGERS both on the Intra day charts and then on the Daily time frame chart that confirmed the preceding weeks Bear Market Low and set in motion the anticipated spike that took the Dow up 12% by the end of the week to close at 7,224.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Stocks Overbought Entering Seasonally Weak Week / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: New lows disappeared last week.

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Saturday, March 14, 2009

Trading the Stocks Bear Market Wave 4 Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Joseph_Russo

SCREW YOU MADOFF - Forget 12% a YEAR … How much is 30% per MONTH worth to you? - Casting aside 46% in open profits on our primary core positions with assurance contingency securing of a minimum 2009 return on the S&P 500 of 25%, what if we told you that on top of this, our Level-Three ancillary trading operations just booked another 30% return in the 9-February 13-March timeframe? Sounds too good to be true doesn't it.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Global Stock Markets Rallies, Buoyed by Stimulus Packages / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Consumer confidence is still in the pits. - Confidence among U.S. consumers in March held near a 28-year low, reflecting mounting job losses and a deepening recession. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment climbed to 56.6 from 56.3 in February. The gauge reached a 28-year low of 55.3 in November.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Stock Market– Record Increase in Supply Meets Extreme Risk Aversion / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Equity prices, like the prices of everything, are determined by the interaction of supply and demand factors. The latest flow-of -funds data from the Federal Reserve have an interesting factoid on the supply-side of the equities-price equation. In the fourth quarter of last year, net issuance of domestic corporate equities totaled $986 billion at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate - a record dollar amount of issuance (see Chart 1). This also was a record issuance relative to nominal GDP - 6.9% (see Chart 2).

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Analysis of a V Shaped Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Roland_Watson

The consensus I tend to read amongst market commentators is that when this market bottoms, it will be a V shaped affair. Now I mainly write on precious metals but it will be foolhardy to presume that the fortunes of these two separate assets classes are not linked in some way. After all, if money is flowing back into the stock market, that means there is less money to flow into other asset classes such as gold and silver bullion products. I am also aware that most investors will be diversified in their asset allocation and will not only be holding gold or silver but will also be looking to re-invest in general equities at an opportune time.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Pet Rocks Stock Valuation and Mark-to-Market Accounting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Below are excerpts from a Marketwatch article dated March 11, 2008. WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The Republican Study Committee, a group of conservative GOP lawmakers, believe that instead of pumping billions to bail out banks, lawmakers could save the economy by simply eliminating controversial mark-to-market accounting rules, which require daily revaluing of assets [based on market prices]. The first step is a hearing Thursday, hosted by House Securities Subcommittee Chairman Paul Kanjorski, D-Penn. Kanjorski argues that the standards have proven "problematic" for banks' illiquid assets...

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Stock Market Enters 2 Month Cycle Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Friday 13 may imply plenty of luck for global equity markets as it could confirm the beginning of a 2-month rally in the major indices based on cyclical analysis of the past 12 months. Since mid March 2008 (1-year anniversary of the Bear Stearns bailout), the S&P500 has persistently shown rallies and declines lasting 7-8 weeks. The same rule has applied for the FTSE, DAX and the NIKKEI.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

What are the Institutional Stock Market Investors Doing? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

You will lose money if you go against the action of what Institutional Investors are doing. 

Many of you subscribe to Investors Business Daily and pay particular attention to the "Accumulation/Distribution ratings" they show on listed stocks. 

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Stock Market S&P 500 Trends: 1980 - 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Richard_Shaw

Since we are in an historic set of economic conditions, and we have experienced an historic recent decline in equity prices, it is appropriate to examine historical market trends to put this year in perspective.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Stocks Soar As Rally Enters Its Fourth Day / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

News of significant new stimulus measures by both China and Japan, jawboning from Bank of America's Ken Lewis and the Swiss National Banks decision to start quantitative easing led equity indices to a 3% gain yesterday. All this despite GE losing its much coveted tripe A (AAA) credit rating and Moody's putting 23 US regional banks on review for a possible downgrade. With Madoff in jail and consumption seemingly fighting back (note the surprisingly robust US retail sales number) maybe Bernanke and Geithner should take a leaf out of the Dimon / Pandit book and leak a memo saying the US economy has grown in the first two months of Q1 2009? It's Friday the 13th for the second month in a row so be careful out there.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Another Huge Day for the Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

It was another huge day for the bulls, as the market exploded after a brief early morning dip, and then ramped up in stair-step fashion for the rest of the day, closing near the highs for the day.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

Stock Market Rallies and Rhymes: Prepare Yourself Now / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Q1_Publishing

Mark Twain said, “History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.”

Right now, investors and traders are getting ready for it to rhyme again.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Takes a Break as Dow Targets 8,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Oxbury_Research

Wall Street breathes a temporary sigh of relief, rallying for three rare days in a row now. Capital infusion for banks, upbeat news from Citigroup of a profitable year-to-date and a General Electric credit rating cut that was less dramatic than previously anticipated have all contributed to a Dow poised to take advantage of all the money market funds sitting on the sidelines. Valuations are becoming more and more appealing to the average investor out there. The chops are indeed being licked…

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

“Watch TV Make Money” Who is Really Making Money? Part II / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Mike_Stathis

Let me continue where I left off from Part I of this series. Kudlow has my book, as does Cramer and hundreds of other useless media clowns and shills. And they've had it for nearly two years, giving them more than ample time to realize what to expect. Yet, they continue to air clowns with terrible track records, whose sole purpose is to fool investors. And when they feel the need to admit problems, they air snake-oil salesmen who have been predicting doom for over a decade. In either case, they don't air credible experts with proven track records. Instead, they interview guys with agendas. Guys who will be preaching doom twenty years from now because that's their marketing pitch. The media also interviews guys in the “club” – guys like Peter Schiff who they know won't say something to draw attention to financial industry executives as the blame for this mess. These are the guys who agree to play by the media's rules in order to protect their agendas.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

Stocks Bull Market of Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: For many investors, the last 12 months have felt like a cross between Dante's “ Ninth Circle of Hell ” and Mr. Toad's Wild Ride. Even so, after Tuesday's market action - which saw the Standard & Poor's 500 Index rebound from a 12-year low to gain 6.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average jump 5.8% - many investors are no doubt wondering if it's time to pile in.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

Stocks Hang Onto Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

A little banker patter seems to go a long way these days. Yesterday, equities hung in the black thanks mainly to a bravado performance by Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan who talked up his book in a manner we usually associate with bouffant Bill Gross from Pim(p)co. But the vista of a dire retail sales number today is looming large as the US consumer retrenches further. This points to another downbeat quarter for earnings.

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