Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, July 22, 2011
Why Foreign Markets Are Better Bets Than US! / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
It has been my expectation that slowing global economies, rising inflation, record government debt, austerity measures being undertaken globally, and the end of the Fed’s QE2 stimulus, would result in stock market corrections in this year’s summer season before the global bull market resumes in the fall. My downside target has been a decline of 17% or so for the Dow and S&P 500.
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Friday, July 22, 2011
Stock Market Inflection point and long term view update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After a total review of all the relevant data we have arrived at several potential scenarios going forward. These scenarios, are of course, based on the current existing and potential future waves, plus two tidbits of fundamental data. First tidbit. Recently the FED extended the present currency swap arrangement to August 2012. This swap arrangement helps to create a lower USD in support of the EUR, while Europe goes through its debt problems. Unfortunately, a lower USD negatively impacts many of the other developed economies and emerging economies as their currencies rise against a declining USD. Or, those pegged to the USD are forced to expand their monetary base. We have already seen a deterioration in several of the world’s stock markets, partly due to this policy.
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Thursday, July 21, 2011
Hotter than Gold, Stem Cell Technology: Great Prospects for Early Bird Investors / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Chris Wood, Casey Extraordinary Technology writes: We all remember the promise of stem-cell technology when scientists at the University of Wisconsin and Johns Hopkins University first isolated and successfully cultured human pluripotent stem cells back in 1998 - that these miracle cells would lead to products that would revolutionize medicine.
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Thursday, July 21, 2011
Stock Market Gap To Gap And Intel Earnings..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Gaps above and gaps below. Both sides have set up camp by putting in gap ups and gap downs. Two on each side. Why not. Make things more difficult than they already were. The market seems to be trying to unwind overbought conditions that lasted a bit too long for its own good. It needs time to consolidate that move, and that period of consolidation can be very frustrating for both sides as neither one is able to gain full control of things. You think, here we go to the up side, but no dice. The move gets abruptly halted by either bad earnings news or bad news on the debt ceiling. Then the bears feel they have control.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Investors Research Chinese Investments Carefully / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Growth is where you find it. Taylor Asset Management founder and CEO Stephen Taylor is an active global investor who loves Latin America, China and certain event-driven natural resource plays that he expects will provide big growth to investors who have made a bet on his Taylor International Fund. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Stephen shares his best ideas—ideas that have multi-bagger potential.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2011
U.S. and European Policymakers Help Improve Stock Market Leadership / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
News coming from the United States and Europe has once again changed the tone in a fast-pasted market. On our side of the pond, the Wall Street Journal reported:
Read full article... Read full article...President Barack Obama, in a last-ditch bid for a bipartisan “grand bargain” on the budget, threw his weight Tuesday behind a $3.7 trillion deficit-reduction plan unveiled by six Republican and Democratic senators.
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
European Bank Stress Test: "It's not that 8 failed...but that 82 passed!!" / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
The European Banking Authority announced Friday that 8 banks had failed their stress tests and 16 more had narrowly passed. But the results drew much criticism from analysts, who said that the stress test is not strict enough.
Indeed, this is something that European Financial Forecast readers have known since the first stress test last summer.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Sovereign Debt-Default Survival Kit, The Four Countries That Will Keep Their AAA Credit Ratings / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
Martin Hutchinson writes: Stories about debt downgrades and sovereign-debt defaults are dominating the headlines.
And it's no longer just Europe that we have to be worried about. On Friday, Standard and Poor's warned that there was a 50-50 chance that the United States would lose its AAA debt rating in the next 90 days - even if the debt ceiling didn't result in a U.S. default.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
What To Look For In A Stock Market Bearish Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
STUDY and SCREENING PROCESS
Does the current market look more like 2004 or 2007? The answer is important because stocks did well from August 2004 to October 2007, but they performed very poorly between October 2007 and March 2009. The fundamental picture remains quite uncertain with:
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Tuesday, July 19, 2011
Debt Ceiling... Necessary Ingredients... Stock Market Nervous.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Sometimes it's tough to write a newsletter. In times such as these, you can basically throw out much of what I'm about. The technicals are my world, and that's tough enough at times, but when the market becomes a political task, you just throw up your hands and say it's beyond me. It's beyond all of us. The market sitting and waiting on news each day about whether the debt ceiling will be raised, and if it is, will whatever makes it up be enough to satisfy the rating agencies so we don't have financial crisis part two. So much for every citizen of this country to be worried about as the financial stocks continue to set new yearly lows day after day. Each and every day we all hope to hear that our two sides can work together and give in enough to satisfy what it takes to keep this country from a massive embarrassment. The pain to be felt from a downgrade of our debt rating will be more than substantial. Heartbreaking is probably the better word. Too many will suffer unnecessarily as you'd think the two sides would understand what's at stake here.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Inflection Point Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After two weeks of solid gains the market opened the week facing a major selloff in the overnight futures market. Fears arose in Europe that Italy could be facing another debt crisis. Since the market had just gone through another Greece bailout, the uncertainty of the another debt crisis in the PIIGS, (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain), drove European and some Asian markets sharply lower. International markets recovered somewhat during the week but ended solidly in the red. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the negative side: the trade balance worsened, import prices declined, the CPI/PPI turned negative, consumer sentiment dropped sharply, and the NY FED remained in the red.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Fall Portends Poorly for Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Last week's stock market decline was largely the product of geopolitical events ranging from the debt-ceiling impasse and rating agency warnings to new Italian and Greek sovereign debt troubles.
But what's really scary is that a weak week for stocks may well carry into the bulk of earnings season, which comes up next week when 40% of the market capitalization of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index reports second-quarter results.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Zombiedon, Stick with Golden Formula as Empires Crumbles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Yesterday, the concrete cracked…the glass broke…empire continued to crumble.
Not that there was anything special about yesterday. This happens every day.
In the markets, the Dow fell 54 points. Gold rose to a new record of $1,587.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Global Stock Markets Pointing Towards Nasty Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
When ignoring the day-to-day noise and focusing on the intermediate to longer term, all the pieces in the puzzle are lining up for another significant cyclical bear market. Yes, policy makers will do everything in their power to prevent it, just like they did in 2007 and 2008. Bear Sterns, Lehman Brothers, Fannie and Freddie Mac - there were government interventions and guarantees all along the way. All to no avail, although the United States apparatchiks and bankstaz did manage to waste a lot of other people's money. Now it is Europe's turn to bail out that which shouldn't be bailed out in order to save the elite from the losses incurred on their maniacal gambling. When you know you're going to be bailed out at the first sign of trouble, why not be as reckless as possible in the quest for ever increasing profits?
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Monday, July 18, 2011
U.S. Dollar, Gold and Stock Market Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The dollar is and has been in a strong down trend for many years and I feel as though it’s getting close to another major land slide. It could take place any time in the next month or so according to my weekly chart analysis.The general rule is if the dollar falls in value then we tend to see both stocks and commodities rise. The inverse relationship at times can be tick for tick meaning if the dollar ticks down one increment then we see the broad market or specific commodities move in the opposite direction at the same time.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Stock Market Odds Still Favour a New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16 (no change).
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more weeks.
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Monday, July 18, 2011
Marc Faber on Gold, Silver, Deflation and the U.S. Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Marc Faber was interviewed on the Financial Sense Newshour. It’s a long one, but it’s definitely worth a listen. As usual, we’ve included a summary below for our readers who don’t have the time to sit through the entire video.
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Sunday, July 17, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Scrape Through Nasty Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It''s been a nasty week the past week in the markets, and at one time in the European globex session, there was a potential panic situation when the DAX went into free fall until it hit support at 7000, likewise the FTSE stopped at 5800, the bears really got their claws dug in, but a bad situation got averted, (I don''t know how long it will hold through) but so far so good, the bulls have just scrapped through and my idea of seeing a new yearly high on stocks is still on target as key support areas held, even with that mini panic we saw in the week on European markets.
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Sunday, July 17, 2011
Range Bound Stock Market Trading In the Heat of Battle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After nearly tagging the upper end of its multi-month trading range seven sessions ago, the S&P has settled the week back down near the middle of its range. Friday closed the week with an inside compression bar, which could set the stage for some fireworks early next week.
Saturday, July 16, 2011
How to Protect Yourself From a U.S. Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The U.S. is in a very scary position right now... We have a real chance of defaulting on our debt. The government is still arguing over what to do about the debt ceiling, and if they can't find a solution we're looking at an economic meltdown.
The rating agencies are starting to catch on.
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