Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 10, 2017
Yellen Goes on Record: The Fed’s Pulling the Plug This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The Fed keeps ringing bells to signal the top, but the markets aren’t listening.
Janet Yellen is set to present the Fed’s Monetary Report to Congress this week. Her remarks have already been posted online.
The results aren’t pretty.
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Sunday, July 09, 2017
Stock Market Still Bullish Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending diagonal appears to be in its last stage of completion.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 09, 2017
The Stock Market Quantified Elliott Wave Theory: OEW / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the coming months, and for some it has already started, many market pundits will be calling for a monumental crash. Some will proclaim it to be the largest crash in our lifetime. There will be various reasons. Extremely high debt levels, high market valuations, leverage in managed funds, prolonged low growth without a recession, rising interest rates, Quantitative Tightening, and even Elliott Wave patterns. The latter is the reason for this report.
The Elliott Wave Theory has been circulating in technical market analysis circles for 80-years. On the surface, it is easy to understand. There are five waves up during bull markets representing growth, and three waves down during bear markets representing contraction. Since the economy moves from growth to contraction it makes sense. Historically, one can even look at a chart of the DOW, over an 80-year period, and actually see the five waves with three advances and two intervening declines. From the 1932 crash low: 1937-1942-1973-1974-2007. Simple, right? In theory, yes. In real time practice no.
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Saturday, July 08, 2017
US Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2423. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 2439. The market pulled back to SPX 2422 by Wednesday morning, then rallied to 2435 in the afternoon. A gap down opening on Thursday took the SPX to 2408 near the close. Then a gap up opening on Friday rallied the market to SPX 2427. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.2%. Economic reports for the week were slightly negatively biased. On the downtick: auto sales, factory orders, the ADP, the WLEI, plus jobless claims and the unemployment rate rose. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, monthly payrolls, plus the trade deficit improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s testimony to Congress, the Beige book, and industrial production. Best to your week!
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Saturday, July 08, 2017
Stock Market Indexes Are Winding Up for a Fast Ball / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I finally have internet service and can communicate to you. We had a violent storm pass through early this morning. I did not know the extent of the damage until I discovered my broadband service was out and the roads were blocked by downed trees. Fortunately, we are on a high priority electricity grid, so power was back on by sunrise.
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Saturday, July 08, 2017
Major Market Opportunity of a Lifetime is Coming! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Dear Investor,
"That time still lies ahead, but it is coming." - Robert Prechter says on the first page of his Elliott Wave Theorist.
The major market Bob refers to could be the opportunity of a lifetime. And the quote above could be considered the theme of this issue.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
Trump Trade Will Break in 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The first half of 2017 is over… and, boy, was it one for the history books!American politics dominated the global discussion, as speculation ran rampant over who would emerge as the winners and losers of a Trump presidency.
Surprisingly (or not!)… the media’s storylines have likely led naïve investors into some of the worst-performing investments so far this year.
Essentially, everything that was up “huuuuge” from Election Day through year end… is now lagging behind. And everything that struggled to digest the reality of Trump’s win… is now leading the pack.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
Don’t Listen To the Daily News When It Comes To Investments / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
The hot topic in politics of late is “fake news”… like the media is the villain.Sometimes they are. MSNBC obviously has a clear leaning towards the left, and Fox towards the right. That’s why I prefer to watch some CNN.
But I think the media generally does a good job of trying to find the truth, even if from a biased side. They ask hard questions and uncover scandals. A free press has always been a cornerstone of democracy, and should be allowed to do its job.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
The Fed Just Admitted, On RECORD, Stocks Are In a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Yesterday, the Fed made the single largest announcement of the last 10 years.
The media didn’t catch it. Nor did the markets.
The reason?
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Friday, July 07, 2017
A Crash is Coming.... Last Time This Happened Was Spring 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Perhaps the single most accurate predictor of the economy has rolled over into recession territory.
I’m talking about tax revenues.
GDP growth, unemployment data, ISM surveys… all of these can and are massaged by statisticians to create a rosier picture of the economy than reality. By way of example, we recently noted that 95% of all net job growth since 2008 was in fact created via an accounting gimmick. In reality, the jobs were never created at all.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
Stock Market Uncertainty Near Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,510, and profit target at 2,300, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, July 06, 2017
Mark Yusko Warns to Get Out Of Stock Index Funds Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : The market cap of FAANG (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google) are up $260 billion since March 1. Meanwhile, the market cap of the other 495 companies in the S&P 500 are down $260 billion.
This is a textbook example of unsustainable growth, yet it has largely fallen on deaf ears for many investors.
Speaking at the Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference, Mark Yusko, Founder and CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management, dissected this and the other biggest risks—along with opportunities—in financial markets today.
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Wednesday, July 05, 2017
Stock Market Post-holiday Hangover? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Good Morning!
The bank-heavy Dow made a new all-time high on July 3 in light trading. It was aided and abetted by its largest holding, Goldman Sachs, up 2.42%.
This high may be called an “echo Cycle” since June 29 is exactly 8.6 years from the bottom of Wave 3 of (C) on November 21, 2008. I have seen this before in gold and crude, where we have witnessed “double tops.”
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Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Robo Advisors Shape the Future of Portfolio Management / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
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Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Stocks Bear Market Is One Step Closer / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: N/A.
Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Dow 50,000, Then a Colossal Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The markets are heading higher, says Tom Beck, founder of Portfolio Wealth Global, who explains why and discusses the actions that he is taking.
Portfolio Wealth Global wants to show you today why stocks are in the final innings of a "blow-off top" set-up and why the "blow-off top" has begun for all major indices—it is global.
Monday, July 03, 2017
Wall Street Is Now Ruled By Physics PhDs, Not Traders / Stock-Markets / HFT
BY JARED DILLIAN : One of the reasons I am where I am today is because I did not study hard in school.
I was barely in the top 10 percent of my high school class. I probably could have been number one, but I was too busy screwing around.
I intentionally failed physics my senior year because I didn’t like the teacher.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
Wall Street Stock Market Correction Looms on the Horizon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The following S&P500 Index - 90 Year Historical Chart shows the yearly gain or loss from 1929 through 2016. The following conclusions may be drawn from this very illustrative bar chart of Wall Street’s yearly stock performance during this prolonged period.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 03, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations Ahead Of Shortened Trading Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 03, 2017
Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE): Watch out below! / Stock-Markets / Middle East
The Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE) is sitting on the edge of a cliff. We may soon see a decisive reversal of the uptrend begun from the January 2016 low. Following the January 2016 low the KWSE advanced as much as 44.4 per cent as of the 7,091.46 peak reached in early-April. That high completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the long-term downtrend.
During the rally the index moved well above the pivotal 40-week exponential moving average (ema), and as of January broke out above the long-term downtrend line. This is all bullish behavior for the long-term.
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