Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, September 23, 2017

Stocks, Gold, Dollar, Bitcoin Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: SurfCity

As always, I will be adding to this over the weekend and should have all my updates done by 2pm PST on Sunday so please check back then.

Stocks (SPX):

Cycle Status/Outlook: Short term bullish after another new ATH on the SPX this week on day 21. We are slightly lower on day 23 but a 21 day high shifts the odds in favor of a right translated cycle that will make a higher low.

Saturday, September 23, 2017

A Triangle Consolidation in the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I5t appears that a Triangle has formed at the Micro level in the SPX. That explains the week-long sideways consolidation that we’ve seen…and the reason why we haven’t seen the trendline get broken, as well. We may see a pop on Monday morning, so see you there!

Saturday, September 23, 2017

Stock Market's "Proper Value" Is Nonsense -- Here's Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

See why there is no reliable standard of value for the stock market

Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.

Friday, September 22, 2017

USDJPY Leads the way for a Resurgent Greenback / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

A very good evening to one and all.

Despite a shock to the system last night,
the sharp USD rally has not invalidated any of the operating wave counts.
Although it is a picture of what is to come for the USD in the near future,
The short term wave counts are pointing to one last push up before completing the larger structures.

Thursday, September 21, 2017

Follow the Money - Why the Stock Market's Up and Why it Won't Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, founders of Seabridge Gold, discuss why the stock market's been up and why it likely won't last. During the last week, the major market indices rallied again. There was no news to account for it. But there was a reason.

The U.S. Treasury has been up against its debt ceiling since March 15 when the ceiling was re-imposed. Since then, there has been no net new issuance from the Treasury. The Treasury has run down its cash balances and borrowed internally from its own resources, which are not subject to the ceiling. This period has been very helpful to the financial markets. With the federal government not selling any net new supply of securities—just rolling the maturing stuff over—the markets have been flush with cash that would otherwise have been absorbed by the government.

Thursday, September 21, 2017

Short-Term Uncertainty, As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our yesterday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index gained 0.1%, as it extended its consolidation along 2,500 mark. The market may continue to fluctuate today. On the other hand, support level is relatively close, at last week's Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Stock Market Bubble Last Two Times This Happened Was in 2000 and 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The stock market bubble is now so massive that even Goldman Sachs is getting worried.

Let’s be clear here: Wall Street does best and makes the most money when stocks are roaring higher. So in order for a major Wall Street firm like Goldman to start openly worrying about whether or not the markets are going to crash, there has to be truly MASSIVE trouble brewing.

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Stocks Hit Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

NDX is on an aggressive sell signal. It becomes confirmed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 5903.02.

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

The 5 Biggest Bubbles In Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : Bubbles aren’t new—they’ve been around since Dutch tulips—but it’s only recently that they’ve worked their way into the average investor’s lexicon. That’s probably because bubbles happen much more frequently these days.

We never used to get a giant speculative bubble every 7–8 years. But that has been the case since the new millennia.

In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Infographic: The Everything Bubble Is Ready to Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.

In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.

In 2007, we had the housing bubble.

In 2017, we have the everything bubble.

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Stock Market Waiting Game... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are flat this morning. At this point it appears to be a waiting game between the market and the Fed. There appears to be at least one more probe higher (Ending diagonal). A throw-over above the upper Diagonal trendline is probable. Should that be the case, a decline beneath the Brexit trendline (red) may be an aggressive sell signal while a decline beneath the lower Diagonal trendline near 2495.00 may be a confirmed sell signal.

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

US Equities Destined For Negative Returns In The Next 7 Years - 3 Assets To Invest In Instead / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : With the S&P 500 up 260% since March 2009, investors have been well rewarded for holding US stocks in the recent past.

However, the prime time of US stocks has come to an end. Here’s why.

In a white paper titled The S&P 500: Just Say No, investment research firm GMO projected that returns on US equities would be -3.9% over the next seven years.

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Stock Market Bubble Fortunes / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Raul_I_Meijer

A few days ago, former Reagan Budget Director and -apparently- permabear (aka perennial bear) David Stockman did an interview (see below) with Stuart Varney at Fox -a permabull?!-, who started off with ‘the stock rally goes on’ despite a London terror attack and the North Korea missile situation. His first statement to Stockman was something in the vein of “if I had listened to you at any time after the past 2-3 years, I’d have lost a fortune..” Stockman shot back with (paraphrased): “if you’d have listened to me in 2000, 2004, you’d have dodged a bullet”, and at some point later “get out of bonds, get out of stocks, it’s a dangerous casino.” Familiar territory for most of you.

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: EWI

What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself...

Monday, September 18, 2017

Elliott Wave Analysis of COMPQ (Nasdaq Composite) / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: WavePatternTraders

The relentless trend from the Feb 2016 could be close to a pause on some tech markets. Particularly the NDX and COMPQ. Both markets can suggest the trend is close to ending either wave [3] or wave [5] from the Feb 2016 lows. Personally I think the better idea is to suggest it’s close to ending wave [3]. Although I can see the merits of the other idea when I look at a weekly chart, it can clearly be counted as a 9 swing move from the Feb 2016 lows.

Monday, September 18, 2017

These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

For this week’s Outside the Box (subscribe here for free), we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the Fed Swamp,” Brian Wesbury and colleagues at First Trust make the case that it was the private sector, not the federal government or the Fed, that saved the economy after the panic of 2008.

The Fed has outgrown its britches, they argue, and it’s time to fill the Board of Governors chair and vice-chair positions with people who will hold the Fed to account for its mistakes. They conclude with this trenchant line:

Monday, September 18, 2017

Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Either You Learn From The Events Of The Past Week, Or You Are Hopeless / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Back in mid-July, we called for the market to top within 3 weeks between 2487-2500. And, 3 weeks later, the market topped at 2490SPX within one day of the topping date we expected. And, since we struck that high, the market has followed through in an almost textbook fashion for the entire month of August, as we caught just about every twist and turn during the month.

Coming into the last week of August, we were expecting the market to drop down to support within the 2425-2430SPX region, and then rally back towards the 2465-2475 region, before it set up to drop back down to the 2400SPX region. As we now know, dropped hard and bottomed early that week at 2428SPX, and then rallied back to 2480SPX. When the market topped out at 2480 on September 1st, our expectation was that we would see a drop down to the 2400SPX region next.

Monday, September 18, 2017

SPX 2500 … At Last! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.

SPX Intermediate trend:  By rising past 2491 the start of the (inevitable) intermediate correction has been delayed. .

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market - Video / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: EWI

Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: F_F_Wiley

Even as the Fed’s decision makers are beginning to worry less about recession and more about bubbly stock prices, we’re not yet moved by their attempts to curb the market’s enthusiasm. After all, the fed funds rate sits barely above 1%, which not too long ago qualified as a five-decade low. And other indicators, besides interest rates, aren’t exactly predicting the next bear, either. Inflation is subdued, credit spreads are tight, banks are mostly lending freely and the economy is growing, albeit slowly. It just doesn’t feel as though we’re close to a major market peak.

All that being said, we’re not so much about feelings as we are about delving into history (nerds that we are) and seeing if there’s anything we can learn. Let’s look at the last 90 years to see if any bear markets began under similar conditions to those today.