Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 19, 2010
U.S. Infrastructure Investing 101 / Stock-Markets / Infrastructure
When you envision America’s future, do you picture collapsing bridges, cracking dams and reoccurring brownouts? That’s certainly not the picture of America many would like to paint but it is a possibility if our country’s long-term infrastructure needs aren’t addressed.
A new article from researchers at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania (America’s Aging Infrastructure: What to Fix, and Who Will Pay?) details the precarious nature of neglecting our nation’s network of pipelines, ports and power lines.
Here are some of the paper’s eye-popping statistics:
Thursday, November 18, 2010
Stocks, Gold, and Municipal Bonds Get Abused / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Tuesday's stock market action reminded overconfident bulls that bears might be hibernating, but they are not dead. The S&P 500 lost nearly 20 points during intraday trading while most commodities, specifically oil and precious metals took it on the chin. Treasuries finally caught a bid, but did anyone notice the absolute meltdown that has been going on in municipal bonds? The Ishares National Municipal Bond ETF (MUB) was down only 0.50% on the day, but the chart below speaks for itself.
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Thursday, November 18, 2010
Dow Trails in Narrowly Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed today, but it was an interesting ride. They started out firm, running up to resistance at 2110 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1184 on the S&P 500. Then they backed off and coiled for several hours, tried a midday rally, but once again reached those same levels and couldn't get through, and backed and filled. With about an hour and fifteen minutes to go the indices suddenly rolled over hard to test yesterday's low, but bounced back sharply in the last 15-20 minutes to close mixed on the day.
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Thursday, November 18, 2010
Gold, Stocks, Bonds and Economy, No One Loves a Pessimist / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Generally speaking a congenital pessimist is regarded as being anti-social. The “every silver lining has a dark cloud” attitude to life is not appreciated by people who consider themselves to be mentally healthy.
But the flip side of this is that whilst an “every cloud has a silver lining” attitude tends to raise ones profile in the popularity stakes, it is likely to be just as inaccurate in its conclusions.
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Thursday, November 18, 2010
Bonds, U.S. Dollar, SP500 and Gold Trend Change, Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
There have been some major trend changes recently and it looks as though more investments are about to follow. The real question though is… Are You Ready To Take Advantage Of It?
It has been an exciting ride to say the least with the equities and metals bull market and the plummeting dollar. But it looks as though their time is up, or at least for a few weeks. Traders and investors will slowly pull money off the table to lock in gains or cut losses and re-evaluate the overall market condition before stepping back up to the plate and taking another swing.
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Thursday, November 18, 2010
Stock Market Hanging By A Thread..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
For now that is the best way to explain how it's doing with regards to those key 50-day exponential moving averages. Barely hanging above them, but not exactly exploding away from them, so they're far away in the rear view mirror. We are testing close to them but not getting the push off that we've become accustomed to in this up trend over the past several months. The problem for continual upside is those nasty sentiment issues I will touch on later on in this report.
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Wednesday, November 17, 2010
How Far Could Stocks Fall? Probabilistic Analysis of the Stock Market’s Downside Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
With the financial markets facing uncertainty about the balance sheets of banks and governments in Ireland, Spain, and Portugal, continued weakness in stocks, commodities, and precious metals remains a possibility. From a risk management standpoint, it is important for us to understand the possible downside risks in the short-to-intermediate-term. Since risk assets (stocks, commodities, precious metals) have been primarily driven by liquidity, their correlations have been strong since the 2010 summer lows. Therefore, the S&P 500 Index can be used as a proxy for all risk assets. If the downside risks are muted in stocks, they are also somewhat muted in commodities as well.
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Wednesday, November 17, 2010
ETF's To Ride China's Economic Growth Boom / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
The political and financial leaders from the world’s 20 largest economies, or Group of 20, gathered in Seoul, Korea last week to solve all the world’s economic problems.
Well, at least they think they can but that is the foolish arrogance of all politicians who think that government policy is more effective than free markets. Not much happens at these G-20 meetings, and this one was no different. There was a lot of finger pointing and tough talking, however, and most of it was directed at China from our White House.
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Wednesday, November 17, 2010
U.S. Dollar and Bonds Trend Reversals Point to Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
In last week’s Money and Markets column, I wrote about Bernanke’s quantitative easing policy. The goal of the policy is to create higher stock and housing prices by pushing the dollar and interest rates down.
So how is the Fed’s plan going? Let’s start with the …
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Wednesday, November 17, 2010
Chile, The Emerging Market Investment for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes:
When I review each of the world's emerging markets in order to decide which ones to buy in 2011, I start with two questions:
•Is the market cheap?
•And has it under-performed over the past year?
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
Stock Market Sell Off Accelerates and Extends to Sixth Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices extended their slide into the sixth day and accelerated to the downside today, reaching new pullback lows, piercing some key support levels at 2100 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1180 on the S&P 500. They did manage to snap back in the last hour or so, but still had a very negative session.
Net on the day, the Dow managed to hold the 11,000 level, down 178.47 at 11,023.50. The S&P 500 was down 19.41 at 1178.34, and the Nasdaq 100 got hit for nearly 2%, down 37.85 at 2093.63.
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Wednesday, November 17, 2010
20 Years of Fed Stock Market Manipulation Revealed / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Jeremy Grantham: "The Fed Has Spent Most of the Last 15, 20 Years Manipulating the Stock Market"
Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham - Chief Investment Strategist of Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo- told CNBC last week:
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Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Odds Favor Further Downside For Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In the very short-term, risk assets have negative alignment of the fundamentals and technicals. Concerns about excessive debt in Ireland seem to be moving toward a band-aid resolution, but the market could turn its attention to Spain or Portugal in short order. From a technical perspective, we have short-term MACD sell signals on the daily charts of the S&P 500, gold, silver, copper, and the euro. We have short-term MACD buy signals on the daily charts of the U.S. dollar and the VIX.
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Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Strengthening U.S. Dollar To Send Gold and Stock Market Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Dr. Nu Yu writes: Technical analyses suggest that the U.S. dollar index could well see resurgence in the short term with both gold and the various U.S. stock markets undergoing +5% corrections while the Chinese stock market rebounding from last week’s set-back on its way to record levels. Let me explain in detail:
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Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Mixed Session, as S&P 500 and Nasdaq Trail Dow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed on the session after an afternoon sell off. The day started with a gap up. They pulled back, tested support, and then stair-stepped their way higher. By midday they were at the session highs on the S&P 500, but far from it on the Nasdaq 100. That negative divergence resulted in a rollover, but they also backed off of the key 5-day declining tops lines, which also added additional resistance right there. So, not a surprise they backed off, but a little disappointing.
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Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Stock Market Testing the 20's... 50's On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
When the S&P 500 made its measurement at 1220, I had warned quite awhile ago, likely several weeks, possibly a couple of months, that the market would struggle with appreciable upside action. The measurement, once made, is usually reason alone for a long rest with more down side action than up side action. However, when massively overbought daily charts are added to the equation, there's enough reason to now bring the markets lower for a while in order to rest. To unwind those massively overbought oscillators. It's healthy and quite necessary. You can only get so overbought for so long before the rubber band snaps and brings things back down.
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Monday, November 15, 2010
Debt Doomsday Means Stock and Bond Market Crash 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: There’s going to be a massive stock and bond market selloff in the first half of 2011.
Not only that, the selloff could cause a worldwide financial disaster, global market crashes and the destruction of wealth that will make the popping of the dotcom and housing bubbles feel like a mild inconvenience.
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Monday, November 15, 2010
Financial Crisis Not Over, Stocks Bear Market Next Phase / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Gold Report caught up with Deliberations on World Markets Writer Ian McAvity between sessions at the 36th New Orleans Investment Conference, held October 27–30. In fact, Ian was among the experts featured on the conference agenda, graphically updating his big-picture expectations for stocks, gold and the dollar. He continues here in that vein in this Gold Report exclusive.
The Gold Report: Over time, Ian, you have accurately predicted the bull market in the '80s, the housing bubble and the credit crisis. So the obvious question: what are your key predictions going forward?
Monday, November 15, 2010
Stock Market Trading Plan into Year End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It sure looks like the markets are in a wave 4 which leads us to a fork in the road as in Sideways Or Down. BUT does it really matter? Not really as you’ll see.
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Monday, November 15, 2010
Disciplined Pullbacks for ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 ETF / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The interesting aspect to the enclosed 15 minute chart of the ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SDS) is that off of the recent double bottom lows at 25.35/36, the SDS rallies have undergone very "disciplined" pullbacks that have preserved the prior near-term breakout levels. Those levels, which are prior resistance and now support, are at 25.70/80 and then 26.30/20.
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