Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Market Short-term Rally More Probable than a Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Market Cross Currents / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

The trading range that has developed over the past several weeks is emblematic of the cross currents confronting this market. New highs seem to be made daily and then boom, the rug is pulled out from the market, and prices plunge for a couple of hours. Buyers appear and back to the highs we go and selling begins again. If you are looking for some support area where you might think it is "safe" to find a low risk entry, then this isn't the market for you. Sell offs are clearly unpredictable although they are occurring at the upper reaches of the trading zone that I had expected when I stated this over two months ago:

Sunday, December 06, 2009

This Stock Market is on Less Footing than in 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: J_Derek_Blain

It seems that we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era.  In fact, the words bubble, gold, bull market, and stocks seem to be popping up on finance web sites all over the virtual stratosphere.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Markets Pull Back Off The Top On The Best Possible News / Stock-Markets / Articles

By: Jack_Steiman

What an interesting day we saw today. An unusual day from many perspectives. We can start with the jobless report that came out 60 minutes before the opening bell. Expectations were calling for nearly 150,000 job losses. We saw only 11,000. You can imagine how much the market loved that report, especially when you add in that the employment rate fell from 10.2% to 10.0%, another nice surprise. Of course, that's a bad number overall but it was better than the market had expected it to be.

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Gold Fever Boils Over and the Master Forecasters of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The big news story of the week was the improving Jobs picture in the U.S. which saw the unemployment rate dip back to 10% from 10.2%, triggering a surge in the stock indices early Friday. Last weeks news of Dubai World's debt default hit Emirate stock markets hard this week with the UAE's main exchange in Abu Dhabi down more than 20%.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Probability of a Stock Market Crash Is Rising / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Brian_Bloom

A new ball game?

In the past few weeks, this analyst has been taking the unpopular stance that the US Dollar Index might be wanting to bottom out. The sharp rise on Friday (chart courtesy yahoo.com) may or may not have been the start of a new move but it was certainly not a mild move in currency terms.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Nasdaq NDX Stock Index Futures Technical Study / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Piazzi

I was lucky in the order, but I've always been lucky when it comes to killin' folks – Character of William Munny, as played by Clint Eastwood, in the Movie Unforgiven

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Stock Market Bullish Trend Remains Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Peter_Navarro

Grudgingly, I must admit that the market's upward trend remains in place. However, this remains a very difficult market to make money in while the risk/reward still looks more like a gamble on the long side rather than a solid speculation.

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Stock Market Positive Seasonal Factors Have Ended, Heading for a Down Week / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: • The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit new recovery high last Monday.

Short Term - Seasonality has not been very influential for the past 3.5 years (mid 2006).

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Stock Market Losing Traction on Lack of Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The employment situation suggests an improvement - The unemployment rate edged down to 10.0 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-11,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In the prior 3 months, payroll job losses had averaged 135,000 a month. In November, employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and information, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.

Friday, December 04, 2009

Investment Profit Vehicles for the Intensifying Financial and Economic Storm / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“A Great Collapse. The U.S. economic and systemic solvency crises of the last two years are just precursors to a Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. Such will reflect a complete collapse in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity, a collapse in the U.S. financial system as we know it, and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment. The current U.S. financial markets, financial system and economy remain highly unstable and vulnerable to unexpected shocks. The Federal Reserve is dedicated to preventing…debasing the U.S. dollar…

Friday, December 04, 2009

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Till You See This / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Robert Folsom writes: The major stock indexes are the wrong place to look.

A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline:

Friday, December 04, 2009

Stock Market Sectors and Bonds for Higher Investment Income Yields / Stock-Markets / Dividends

By: Mike_Larson

The Federal Reserve’s policy of pegging interest rates to the floor is having a slew of consequences. It’s driving down the dollar. It’s helping fuel new asset bubbles. It’s leading to the misallocation of economic resources.

And perhaps most importantly for you, it’s punishing savers. By cutting the federal funds rate to a range of zero percent to 0.25 percent, the Fed has forced rates on short-term Treasuries, short-term certificates of deposit, and money market accounts into the gutter. You can’t earn squat on these safe, cash-like investments.

Friday, December 04, 2009

The Resilient FTSE 100 Stocks Index May be in for Trouble Ahead / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

The Technical Trader’s view:

Friday, December 04, 2009

Investment Fraud after Investment Fraud, Another Ponzi Scheme Comes to Light / Stock-Markets / Scams

By: Andrew_Abraham

So many thought all the investment frauds would have ended already. However more and more have come to light. One investment fraud which shocked me was Scott Rothstein who I knew from college.

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Dow Stocks Index Expanding Triangle Bearish Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My most recent in depth analysis of the stock market (02 Nov 2009 - Stocks Bull Market Forecast Update Into Year End) concluded with a projected rally for the Dow from 9712 to the target zone of 10,350 to 10,500, which on subsequent price action was fine tuned to 10,425 (Nov 2009 - Stocks Enter Correction Zone, Gold and Silver Next to Follow? ). This was achieved last week and was followed by a swift drop following the Dubai debt crisis implying that the correction towards the target zone of 9,900 to 9,950 was underway.

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Using ETFs to Invest in the Middle East / Stock-Markets / Middle East

By: Ron_Rowland

The Middle East is big news this week with a state-owned company in the tiny emirate of Dubai asking for an extension on debt payments. Markets around the globe are watching intently.

I’m not especially surprised about this …

Thursday, December 03, 2009

What Can Tell You if Stock Market Risk Levels Are Increasing? / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Marty_Chenard

Imagine this ... John is hiking up a 5 mile mountain. After each mile hiked, he notices that he is tiring and that he needs more time to rest.

He just finished his third mile, and he is starting the next mile with less energy ... but he still has energy left. The reality is that with each additional mile hiked, his energy is lessening.

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Relentless Upmove in the Stock Market is Fiction / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mac_Slavo

Publisher of the Wellington Letter, Bert Dohmen, offers his insights about the stock market, economy and safety assets like gold and the US Dollar in his December 2009 issue.

Thursday, December 03, 2009

How Should You Invest in 2010? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010

By: Andrew_Abraham

2010 is fast approaching. I have had conversations with colleagues..and the issue that was brought up so many times was 2007-2009 just a fluke or the beginning of something more serious. As usual… I told them to their discern I do not know the future. However in all reality… if we ran our personal households how the central banks and banks ran their portfolios we would be living on the street and I feel there will be a price to pay.