Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, August 07, 2008
Responding to Stocks Bear Market Conditions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: David_Shvartsman
We talked about the continuing global bear market in equities on Monday, but there was an important corollary to this discussion that was not addressed (we will address it here now). The question is this: how do you, as a trader or investor, respond to bear market conditions? Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2008
Asset Price Deflation Heralds Big Problems for Baby Boomers / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: Dudley_Baker
Most of my readers and subscribers know that I have lived in Ajijic , Mexico for nine years. This is a 'village' of which several thousand foreigners call home. We are here are many reasons, hopefully #1 is the love of Mexico and the Mexican people, the climate (almost
perfect year round) and what is, at least for now, a safe and welcome place for us foreigners. We have a great lifestyle and can live in a $100,000 home or a million dollar place, most of which is paid for with cash. Hang in there as I am getting to the point of this piece. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2008
S&P 500 Stocks Index Consolidating at Top of Upleg / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
For the most part, the SPDR Trust (AMEX: SPY) have held yesterday's gains extremely well, and appear to be consolidating right at the top of the upleg from 124.77 to 128.62, presumably ahead of another thrust that will confront critical July-Aug resistance at 129.10/15. If hurdled and sustained, the SPY should accelerate to confront its key resistance plateau at 130.20, which represents the coordinate of the declining 50 DMA.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2008
Financial Markets Monthly Analysis and Stock Pick / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Christopher_Quigley
Following the second quarter earnings season the market lacks conviction and is still trying a bullish “bounce up” in an overall bear trend. I would ride any upward move until the “technicals” signal otherwise which I suspect will be the middle of September as we approach the release of third quarter earnings.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2008
The Birth Pains of a New Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
After what has seemed to many investors to be the “longest year”, stocks have been going through a volatile period which some interpret to be bearish. There are still many analysts who are quick to label the current market phase a temporary pause on the way to a bigger stock market cascade. Contrary to these expectations, the market tape is sending a different message as we'll establish in this commentary.
It has been all too easy to dismiss the recent state of affairs in the financial markets as the start of a major bear market and economic depression. The pain that has been inflicted has left deep and abiding wounds that won't soon be forgotten by most investors. Making matters worse, every time a negative news event crosses the wires it adds to the widespread belief that the U.S., and indeed the emerging foreign powers, teeters on the brink of a major financial catastrophe.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Stock Market Mega-Trends August 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
If you want to learn to invest, one of the best ways is to follow the trend. Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the trends of the market as determined by the S&P 500. It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Stock Market Liquidity Which Way Will it Break? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Today's charts show the inflows and outflows of liquidity into the stock market. When inflows are trending up and positive (in expansion), the competition for stocks becomes high and prices are bid up causing an upside rally.
The opposite happens when we see liquidity outflows and a trending down pattern. When this is happening with outflows in contraction territory , the balance shifts to a selling competition where investors try to get the best price before expectations of lower movement. This causes a condition that ends up in a market correction.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Profit from the BRICs Investing: India and China / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Global investors need to “hit the BRICs” – literally. Back in 2003, the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ( GS ), eager to push its clients towards global investing – especially in the emerging markets – invented the acronym “ BRIC ” (Brazil, Russia, India and China) to represent the four emerging markets it believed were destined to become dominant economies in the years to come. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Where Next for Gold, Stocks and Bonds? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
Hmmm? Seems like the gold price itself doesn't agree with the experts views on where it's headed. That's the problem with sticking your neck out. When you get it right you're a genius. The problem arises when you get it wrong.
Unfortunately, at the end of the day, there are no certainties. It's all about a balance of probabilities.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2008
The Light at the End of the Tunnel of the Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Adam_Perl
Covered bonds to stimulate the housing sector, GDP of 1.9%, Jobless claims of 448,000 and unemployment that reached a new level of 5.7% - those were just a few of the things that painted the screens red last week, as the major indices erased Monday and Tuesday's bullish sentiment, showing optimists that it is still to early to jump for joy. In addition to the data released in the U.S, showing a dire situation, global economies continue to lag behind the US , affected by high inflation and slow economic growth. Taking a glance at the chart below, one can see that five of the main economies are still showing real negative growth, due to high inflation, accompanied by high unemployment.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 04, 2008
The Four Tires of the Economic Apocalypse Herald the End of Capitalism / Stock-Markets / Fiat Currency
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
The engine used to run on premium, e.g. gold and silver; now it's being run on credit which over time will destroy the engine and everything else.
The euro, the yuan, the yen, and the dollar are The Four Tires Of The Apocalypse , an event that recently appears to have come out of nowhere. It didn't. Its apparently sudden appearance is new only to those who wished to see otherwise.
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Monday, August 04, 2008
Basic Materials Stocks Sector Getting Clobbered / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Wow?Basic materials names are getting clobbered, as evidenced by the vertical thrust of the ProShares UltraShort Basic Materials ETF (SMN), whose major inverse holdings include Monsanto (NYSE: MON), DuPont (NYSE: DD), FCX, and others. The ETF is now assaulting its declining 200 DMA at 37.80. Today's close will be very important for the SMN. Above 38.00, and let's expect upside continuation to 44.25/50 next.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 04, 2008
Credit Crunch Anniversary and Mega Trends Investing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The 'official' anniversary of the credit crunch is linked to when the European Central Bank stepped in to provide an unprecedented amount of liquidity by pumping in $130 billion into the European banking system following news of
the French bank Paribas freezing three of its hedge funds due to exposure to the US subprime mortgage market as panicking investors had been dumping holdings of mortgage lenders and mortgage backed derivatives and so began the self feeding credit crunch cycle of mortgage backed losses leading to asset price deflation leading to further tightening of the money markets as banks sought to hoard cash, as they lost confidence in their pricing models of the products they were trading with one another, which is more or less where we are today as the derivatives market continues to deleverage. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 03, 2008
Gold, HUI and the Banking Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: John_Needham
Traditionally Gold has been used as a hedge when times become tough, in his latest article, John Needham, explores the critical market turning points for Gold and and its relationship to the Dollar Index. He also looks at what may be in store for the FTSE index. - Yvonne Lundon-Marchant - The Daniel Code U.K. and Europe
Gold and its D2, HUI
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Sunday, August 03, 2008
French Economic Reforms Improve Appeal of Cheap French Stocks / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: French investments might have seemed like a bad idea for the first nine months of French President Nicolas Sarkozy's term. After his election in May 2007, Sarkozy looked like a huge disappointment - unless you REALLY enjoy tabloid stories. He divorced his wife, married the spectacularly beautiful ex-model Carla Bruni, and went on an enviable honeymoon in Egypt - but appeared to do nothing useful about France's economic problems. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 02, 2008
Worthless AAA CDO's Hit National Bank of Australia, 90% Debt Writedowns / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mike_Whitney
Monday's trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) was a real humdinger. It started off with the White House announcing that this year's fiscal deficit would soar to a new record of nearly $500 billion. That was followed by news of rising oil prices, weak quarterly earnings and a slowdown in consumer spending. Plunk, plunk, plunk; one domino after another. By mid-morning the markets were in full retreat. That's when investment giant Merrill Lynch announced that it would notch a $4.6 billion second-quarter loss and write-downs of $9.4 billion on collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and other mortgage-related assets. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 02, 2008
Stock Markets Consolidating Ahead of Another Leg Higher / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The market has been working off its overbought condition about as well as could be hoped for.
Short Term - In 7 trading days following the mid-July lows most of the major indices jumped 5%-6% leaving the market overbought. Since then, it has been working off the overbought condition about as well as could be hoped; new lows declined quickly and the secondaries have been outperforming the blue chips.
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Saturday, August 02, 2008
Henry Paulson Loses Control Over US Economy, Financial System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: F_William_Engdahl
When Henry Paulson agreed to leave his job as chairman of the powerful Wall Street investment bank, Goldman Sachs to go to Washington as Treasury Secretary in 2006 he demanded extraordinary powers as de facto economic czar. He got it. Paulson is also head of the President's Working Group on Financial Markets -- the secretary of the treasury and the chairmen of the Federal Reserve Board, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 02, 2008
General Motors Massive Loss Signals US Already In Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
As GM goes…so goes the rest of the country. This axiom has been repeated as far back as I can remember. More recently, the use of that phrase has been scaled back to describe Michigan's situation , as Toyota Motors took the lead dog position in the U.S. auto industry.
Today, General Motors Corp., scrambling to adjust its operations and align production toward smaller cars, reported another massive loss as the auto-buying public's shift away from its profitable truck and SUV lines gathered momentum. The losses totaled $15.5 billion, more than $27.33 per share, compared to a share price of $10.69 at this writing. The math just doesn't look very good.
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Saturday, August 02, 2008
New Investment Era, Contracting Earnings and PE Reversion Below the Mean / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: John_Mauldin
This week I am in Maine on vacation with my son, and next week is my daughter Tiffani's wedding, so for the next two weeks I am going to send an updated version of a speech I have been giving the past few months on what I think is the likely potential for the rise of a brand new asset class. It is too long to be sent as one letter, so we will start with the first part today and finish with the second part next week. This first part can be read as a standalone letter.
I think we're at a watershed moment, what Peter Bernstein defines as an "epochal event," with the very order of the investment world changing as it did in 1929, in '50, in 1981, where a number of things came together - it wasn't just one thing but a number of events happening that conspired to change the nature of what worked in the investment world for the next period of time.
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