Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, July 03, 2017
Is this the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending diagonal appears to be forming.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 02, 2017
Are Central Bankers Going to Intentionally Crash the System? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Since 2007, the world has packed on a truly staggering amount of debt. That year (2007) is now commonly referred to as a debt bubble. And at that time, global debt was $149 trillion.
Today, 10 years later, it stands at $217 trillion.
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Saturday, July 01, 2017
US Stock Market Correction Appears to be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started this volatile week at SPX 2438. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 2450 before reversing into a 2419 low of Tuesday. Wednesday provided another gap up opening as the SPX hit 2443. After retesting that high early Thursday the market sold off to SPX 2406 before reversing into the close. Friday had another gap up opening as the market rallied to SPX 2433, before declining to 2423 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.35%. Economic reports were slightly positive. On the downtick: durable goods, Case-Shiller, pending home sales, the Q2 GDP estimate, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: consumer confidence/sentiment, Q1 GDP, personal income/spending, the CPI and the Chicago PMI. Next week, shortened by the 4th July holiday, we’ll get reports on Payrolls, the ISMs, and the FOMC minutes. Best to your weekend!
Friday, June 30, 2017
Stock Markets Hyper Risky / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets have enjoyed an extraordinary surge this year, shattering all kinds of records. It’s been fueled by hopes for big tax cuts soon from Trump’s Republican government. But such relentless rallying has catapulted complacency, euphoria, and valuations to dangerous bull-slaying extremes. This has left today’s beloved and lofty stock markets hyper-risky, with mounting potential for serious selloffs erupting.
History extensively proves that stock markets are forever cyclical, no trend lasts forever. Great bulls and bears alike eventually run their courses and give up their ghosts. Sooner or later every secular trend yields to extreme sentiment peaking, then the markets inevitably reverse. Popular greed late in bulls, and fear late in bears, ultimately hits unsustainable climaxes. All near-term buyers or sellers are sucked in, killing the trend.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Grant Williams Warns Get Out of Stocks Before Boomers Are Forced to Sell Them / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Last year, the first baby boomers turned 70 and that spells trouble for investors.
Speaking at the Mauldin Economics Strategic Investment Conference, Grant Williams, Co-Founder of RealVision TV, warned investors about the wave of forced selling by millions of retirees and the impact it will have on their portfolios.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Half Of S&P 500 Earnings Growth Can Be Attributed To One Sector, Which Can’t Keep It Up / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : US stocks hit new all-time highs this month. Despite rich valuations, buyers think they’ll still go higher.
One reason for this exuberance is the rise of passively indexed ETFs.
Rather than go to the trouble of picking individual stocks, people dump their cash into index ETFs. The ETF sponsor then buys every stock in the index—even the ugly ones.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Stock Market VIX Spike Prediction Revisited / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Nearly 2 weeks ago, we issued a research/analysis report indicating our analysts had seen a VIX pattern that forecasted a VIX spike on June 29th of this month to coincide with a potential explosive move in the markets. Today (June 29th) the vix spiked over 45% exactly as we has predicted, so we thought we would revisit this analysis and update our valued followers.
Recently, as many of you already know by being ATP members, the US and global markets have rotated on a number of news items and concerns. First, the IMF revised US economic expectations to address slower than expected economic activity. Next, NASDAQ technology stocks have recently been very volatile in relative terms and have driven some very big moves. Additionally, just last weekend two banks in Italy have been closed as a result of failed ability to raise capital levels to support activities/risk. Lastly, the BITCOIN drama seems to be continuing with this recent ransom-ware outbreak originating from within Ukraine. All this uncertainty and risk is a bit concerning for the markets in terms of volatility.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Three Main Lies About Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Adam_ODell
Volatility gets a bad rap.The media typically portrays it as the financial world’s evil villain personified, saying things like…
“Volatility reared its ugly head on Monday.”
Or…
“Volatility is striking fear into the heart of the masses.”
You can almost picture the CGI monster Hollywood would create – the “Volatility Viper” – with its ten snake heads and blood-dripping fangs, snapping at Wall Street suits as they run for their lives.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Yellen’s Delusional Statement Guarantees Stock Market Crash Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Harry_Dent
Janet Yellen Said What!?She just had to do it!
Human behavior and its accompanying delusion is just so predictable! Earlier this week, she straight up said that “she does not believe there will be another financial crisis in her (our) lifetime…”
WHAT?!
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Thursday, June 29, 2017
The Fed Has Officially “Rung the Bell” For the Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The Fed just “rang the bell” on the market top.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s right hand man, John Williams made the following statement yesterday:
“The stock market seems to be running pretty much on fumes,” San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said in an interview carried on Sydney’s ABC News affiliate and available on the internet on Tuesday. “It’s something that clearly is a risk to the U.S. economy, some correction there — it’s something we have to be prepared for to respond to if it does happen.”
Thursday, June 29, 2017
Stocks Rebounded Off Tuesday's Low, New Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, June 29, 2017
Stock Market Correction May Complete Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are mildly positive this morning. In addition, the quarter end and the Cycles Model are positive for at least another day. That suggests Wave [c] may complete near the Cycle Top today in an expanded flat correction, dominated by a very long Wave [b].
The Summer quarter end is usually positive. As mentioned earlier, early short entries are usually subject to draw-downs. The VIX and Hi-Lo have not made sell signals, yet. Thus, only partial positions have been recommended. That will change very soon.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Stock Market Direction Update and What I Have Been Up To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: David_Petch
I had a number of people email requesting what I have been up to (did I die, am I ill) so here it is...Back in April 2016, after being a part of TreasureChests for 13 years I decided to hang up my pen and pursue other things. As many know or do not know, TreasureChests is shutting the doors at the end of this month. It was a pleasure working with Captain Hook and we still keep in contact on a regular basis to discuss what is going on with the stock markets. Since I have been busy the past year with a side project that is morphing into something bigger, I miss not writing…so here is an update.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Is the Tech Stock Market Bloodbath is Finally Here? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Graham_Summers
Tech is ready to implode.
The NASDAQ ETF (QQQ) has broken its bull market trendline. Even worse, it has failed to reclaim this line despite a strong bounce. This is a MAJOR warning that the upwards momentum is gone.
The next leg down should be a doozy (the target is the red circle on the chart below).
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Is the Stock Market About to Post a Major Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The market has been sending “topping” signals for weeks now.
They include:
1) Fewer and fewer companies participating in the rally.
2) High yield credit, which leads stocks, rolling over.
3) Weakening momentum.
4) Dwindling volume.
5) Market leaders (the big 5 Tech) beginning to correct.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Charts Show Why Emerging Markets Will Be an Essential Part of Your Portfolio Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : A major theme at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference was the shift in economic power from developed markets to emerging markets (EMs).
For example, in 1960, the combined GDP of China and India made up only 5% of global GDP; today, it’s 30%.
In 1970, the G7 bloc made up half of global trade; now it makes up just 30%. It’s no wonder emerging markets are growing at almost three times the rate as the G7.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Former Lehman Brothers Trader: I Bet My Reputation That Stocks Bubble Will Pop In A Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
In 2007, we had the housing bubble.
In 2017, we have the everything bubble.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stocks At Record Highs: Market Sentiment Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stock Market Running Out of Steam / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending-pattern appears to be forming.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, June 26, 2017
Crude Oil Trade & Nasdaq QQQ Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Plunger
I would like to put out a short update on the oil market and my view of the QQQs being a proxy for the Hi-Tech end of the market. With the hard sell off in the oil market of this week this would seem a logical place to give it a rest and for a short seller to step over to the sidelines for a while. Anytime the market has gotten itself to this level of being oversold we have seen a rip to the upside.
One of the keys to being a successful short seller is to know when its time to press ones bet. Extended moves to the downside come from oversold levels and I am going to show you why I believe we may have further to go to the downside before this current move is over.
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