Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, July 15, 2016

The Soaring Risk of Flying in Bernanke's Helicopter / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Doug_Wakefield

"Although the term 'helicopter money' is very frequently used in economics, it is doubtful whether such a policy will bring the results people really want. The following example shows why.

Let us assume that the Bank of Japan one day mailed 1 million yen in new bank notes to every Japanese citizen. The person who finds 1 million in his mailbox will probably feel very happy at that moment, because he things he is richer by that amount. Thproblem is what happens next.

Friday, July 15, 2016

The Broad Stock Market, Helicopters and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

There has been a stunning post Brexit turnaround in the markets, says technical analyst Clive Maund. Far from leading to chaos, the markets have taken it in their stride, and are now rising in anticipation of "helicopter money."

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Stock Market Exuberant New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: James_Quinn

The stock market has reached new all-time highs this week, just two weeks after plunging over the BREXIT result. The bulls are exuberant as they dance on the graves of short-sellers and the purveyors of doom. This is surely proof all is well in the country and the complaints of the lowly peasants are just background noise. Record highs for the stock market must mean the economy is strong, consumers are confident, and the future is bright.

Thursday, July 14, 2016

New Stock Market Highs Correlate to $57 Trillion in Printed Global Currency Units / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the relationship of rising money velocity, money printing and new stock market highs.

When people use the term "money," it usually refers to a unit of currency used in the transacting of business and commerce. A woman works cleaning houses for a week and gets paid in a number of currency units and then goes to the supermarket and exchanges those units for food or diapers or medicine. What is left over at the end of the pay period is called "savings," which are allowed to accumulate receiving a modest rate of interest. Around the globe this weekend, a vast number of banks are offering negative returns on savings, such that keeping one's accumulated units of currency in the bank is penalized. The objective of this monetary experiment is to combat the global problem of deflation. Despite $57 trillion of new currency units having been printed since the 2009 financial crisis, global growth has been tepid at best because the velocity of "money" has remained moribund and since all collateral underpinning this massive global debt must not be allowed to depreciate, the central banks have been allowed to engage in a massive, coordinated reflation designed to jumpstart "money" velocity.

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Crash Apocalypse Resolves to New All Time Highs! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market commentariat that had convinced themselves all year that a stocks bear market or worse a crash was always imminent, tending to reach their most vocal fever pitched cry's of doom each time stocks bottomed and where BrExit is concerned, well that was expected to be the icing on the bear cake, that if it happened would surely herald an stock market apocalypse. Though of course most never saw brexit coming because the pollsters, markets and bookies ALL got the EU Referendum outcome WRONG which meant that WHEN it happened the expectations of doom reached a new level of intensity. Worse still because FEAR SELLS the usually clueless mainstream press liberally regurgitated and magnified the doom utterance of financial sales industry which ensured few were in a position to capitalise on the subsequent stock rally.

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Italy on the Brink of a Full Blown Banking Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Joseph_T_Salerno

As several articles over the past few days have indicated (here, here, here and here), Italy is on the brink of a full-blown banking crisis. Bad debts, or "non-performing loans," held by the banking sector total  360 billion euros, which is a remarkable 17 percent of all the outstanding bank loans in Italy and equal to about one-fifth of the annual Italian GDP. It is also many times the level of bad debt held by Italian banks at the peak of the financial crisis in 2008. Since the beginning of 2016, prices of bank stocks have decreased by more than 50%. In the case of Italy's oldest and most troubled bank, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, its share price has declined more than 75%. It doesn't help that the Italian economy is struggling mightily to recover from the last financial crisis and is still 8% smaller than it was in 2008 and roughly the same size as it was at the end of the twentieth century.

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Hong Kong, Signapore, and India Emerging Stocks Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Tony_Caldaro

With the recent resurgence in the US indices, and the potential new leg up in the 2009 bull market, took a look at the foreign indices we track. The objective was to find indices that had dramatic selloffs during 2015-2016, and appear to have completed bear markets. Of the twenty indices we track three in particular look the best longer term.

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Stocks Bull Market Crash Apocalypse Resolves to New All Time Highs - Again! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market commentariat that had convinced themselves all year that a stocks bear market or worse a crash was always imminent, tending to reach their most vocal fever pitched cry's of doom each time stocks bottomed and where BrExit is concerned, well that was expected to be the icing on the bear cake, that if it happened would surely have herald an stock market apocalypse. Though of course most never saw it coming because the pollsters, markets and bookies ALL got the EU Referendum outcome WRONG which meant that WHEN it happened the expectations of doom reached a new level of intensity as their worst expectations appeared to finally becoming manifest. Worse still because FEAR SELLS the usually clueless mainstream press liberally regurgitated and magnified the utterance of financial sales industry so as to ensure few would ever be in a position to capitalise on the stock rally.

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Americans favour Coffee over Financial Freedom / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: Sol_Palha

A little and a little, collected together, becomes a great deal; the heap in the barn consists of single grains, and drop and drop make the inundation. 
Saadi

Towards the end of last year, we published an article titled  Americans favour coffee to stock market investing where we demonstrated that an overwhelming majority drink coffee as opposed to investing in the stock market’ 61% of Americans drink coffee on a daily basis as opposed to the 48% that invest in the market. On aannual basis, Americans spend about $1200 on coffee. If they put this money into the market and allowed compound interest to do its magic, it could grow into a nice tidy sum over a period of 20 years.

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Not Too Late For Real Money In A World, Distracted / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. - Henry Ford

A recent IMF study estimated that the profits of the big banks in the United States are almost entirely due to the government sponsored backstops. It’s not just bailouts, but also cheap credit, and judicial negligence.

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Jubilee Disasters Are Sinking Europe Fast as Italy Unravels and Deutsche Bank Collapses / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

There is much going on in Europe and most of it very bad. When we add what’s going on in Europe to what’s happening in Britain, the US and China, we end up with a comprehensive portrait of a world plunging off a precipice.

Of course if you’ve been visiting us regularly, you’re quite aware of the disasters of 2016. They are a continuation of 2015. We’ve been warning about it tirelessly for over a year now.

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Stock market, leading sectors, and the price of Coffee / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It was a relatively dull session yesterday (Monday July 11th) with stocks gapping higher only to trade sideways up till now. As I talked about in the morning’s video I expected stocks to grind higher, and for vix ETF to keep moving lower for another day or three.

Coffee continues to be on caffeine-high today testing near today’s high, which looks as though it will continue to run higher in the coming days.

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Stock Market Topping Internals, Buy This Rally and See What Happens! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Everyone is Bullish, perfect time to short with stops in place of course. Below is a simple chart of one way to look at market internals. Lets see what is going on under the hood.

The chart shows OEX or SPY with NYSE 3 month new highs using a line chart. The purple line going up is OEX or SPY. Basically what this is saying is the market is going higher on less participation not more.

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

A Fed Bondsy Scheme / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

Who needs the Fed's QE when the world is seemingly beating down the doors to buy US bonds? But like all Ponzi schemes, the end eventually comes. Last week's record low in bond yields arrived at the same time as an expected 6 month low in yields and may have marked at least a temporary end to the scheme. Stay tuned for a reversal in interest rates and its effect on equity markets as liquidity in global markets dries up.

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

SPX Rally Nearing Completion. USB Maybe Finished / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I have been reviewing the Cycle Model and have a few observations to pass on. There is little doubt why Ben Bernanke went to visit Abe and Kuroda last weekend. The June 27 Master Cycle low is the last of its kind until October 4, 2016. It appears that this is the last chance they have of igniting a rally in order to preserve the uptrend.

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has now completed a 60-hour rally from the 1991.68 low after a 13-hour decline from the 2113.32 high. It appears to be complete.

Monday, July 11, 2016

SPX testing the Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is challenging the 2-hour Cycle Top at 2136.81 this morning. Indications are, we may see a probe higher at the open. Although it did not go above the 2134.72 high of May 20, 2015 on Friday, it may do so this morning.

Does that hurt the bearish case? Probably not. You will note that May 19 was exactly 8.6 years (3141.6 days) from the October 11, 2007 high. The time has arrived fro a change of trend. However, I believe that the central banks have been pushing against that change of trend. Thus we have the Orthodox Broadening Top. A move above the upper trendline, called a throw-over, does not invalidate the formation.

Monday, July 11, 2016

Stocks VIX & SP500 Comparison of 2008 Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Today I like to share my thoughts about the S&P 500 index, the volatility index, and what I believe will be the trigger/event which sends stock markets around the world to new multi-year lows.

While the charts shown here are very simple there is a lot of information behind the scenes that backup the analysis/predictions on the charts below.

Monday, July 11, 2016

Stock Market VIX Strategy, Maximum Profits $ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Proshares UVXY 2x ETF
Everyone wants to find ways to maximize profits and minimize losses.  That's part of the game in trading the market.  I would consider this an extremely high risk/high reward trade. 

Monday, July 11, 2016

Stock Market Challenging the High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is near its all-time high

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 is now challenging the 2135 high.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.