Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Dow Transports Re-Enters Stocks Bear Market, Caution Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Christopher_Quigley

Arnold Toynbee “A Study of History”:
“Civilizations die by suicide not by murder”.

Very few people today know that between 1934 and 1961 the British historian Arnold Toynbee wrote “A Study of History” describing the rise and fall of the 23 civilizations he had identified in human history. In contrast to Oswald Spengler, who thought that the rise and fall of civilizations was inevitable, Toynbee maintained that the fate of civilizations is determined by their response to the challenges facing them. In fact the unifying theme throughout the book is challenge and response. One of the ground-breaking discoveries by Toynbee is the fact that there have been so many highly developed civilizations. Understandably in the West our history lessons focus on our own civilization with its roots in Greek and Roman cultures, but in addition there have been Chinese, Indian, Mayan, Islamic, Sumerian and Orthodox civilizations, to name but a few.

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Stock Market THREE is a number, Good or Bad, Well that Depends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Denali Guide writes:

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Hybrid Lindsay Christmas Gift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

My Hybrid Lindsay model calls for a low near last Friday (chart) and a high on Thursday, December 24.  This matches typical option expiration behavior seen this year when equities tend to rally into OPEX (this Friday) and change trend soon after.

In addition, the McClellan Oscillator closed on Friday well below its lower Bollinger Band (200, 1.5). History has shown that a quick dip to just below the lower band usually results in a conclusion of the previous correction.  However, a dip closer to negative 300 (as on Friday) often forecasts a lower low in equities (after a small bounce) or at least a test of that low.

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Stock Market Short-Term Bottom?....Fed On Deck.....Wild Wednesday Coming... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market was up last night thanks to actions taken by the Chinese Government to get stock prices higher. We blasted up on the futures, with the S&P 500 not too far from being up 20 points at the top. Things were looking up big time for the market until reality caught up before the market opened for trading. The futures fell and went red, only to come back a bit. Once trading began, we saw a lot of fluctuations before heading lower, with a bit of force. Suddenly, and out of the blue, in a matter of seconds, the S&P 500 futures exploded nearly fifteen points, but then fell right back down again. My guess was that the fed was unhappy about losing 2020, and, thus, tried to get the market flying back up. It didn't work.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stocks Will Fall Anywhere From 17%-50% Depending on the Fed’s Response / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

A major long-term momentum indicator is flashing, “sell.”

Based on the historical significance of this indicator we may be putting in a top and possibly THE top for the bull market that began 2009.

The indicator concerns the monthly moving average convergence divergence or MACD.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market Game Changing Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

It appears as if the worm has finally turned for the equity markets. The S&P 500 recorded its largest weekly decline since August, and the broader risk markets took a beating. The price of Crude fell under $35 a barrel and high yield bonds took an absolute drubbing. Friday's big decline in equities was on extremely high volume - the highest in 6 weeks - and the volatility index (VIX) jumped 26% in its biggest one-day percentage increase of the year.

This past week's performance notwithstanding, we have been through enough face-ripping reversals in equities to know that, in the end, one move may prove meaningless to the broader trend. Volatility and reversals have been a characteristic of the 2015 market, so we need to consider the current action in that context. But if I can be so bold, I'd like to depart from my normal reliance on evidence to suggest that I have a "sense" that this time might be different for equities.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Ten Market Investors Warning Signs for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Michael_Pento

Wall Street's proclivity to create serial equity bubbles off the back of cheap credit has once again set up the middle class for disaster. The warning signs of this next correction have now clearly manifested, but are being skillfully obfuscated and trivialized by financial institutions. Nevertheless, here are ten salient warning signs that astute investors should heed as we roll into 2016.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Investors Learn that High Yield Funds are Not Piggy Banks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is still challenging round number support at 2000.00. The Premarket shows SPX down, but not yet beneath 2000.00.

The tremors are getting bigger and more threatening as oil tumbles below $35.00 while emerging markets and junk bonds increase their turmoil.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market Forecast: What Next for the S&P 500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 fell last week towards what we think is more than likely support. As we close in on the end of the year it finds itself struggling to print a positive yearly close. We remain bullish the S&P 500 as our forecast shows, however we are cautious as we watch to see how this bull consolidation forms over the next few months.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market New Downtrend or Just Another Pullback Within Two-Month Long Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,060 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, December 14, 2015

The Coming Economic Collapse Will Crash Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

In 2008, the world experienced the worst economic collapse in 80+ years. This collapse triggered a stock market crash that erased $30 trillion in wealth.

Since that time, collectively Central Banks have cut interest rates over 600 times and have printed over $15 trillion in new money… money that has failed to generate sustained economic growth… money that has set the stage for another stock market crash.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market Low Near, Santa Rally on the Way? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The S&P 500 is doing almost identically what it did last year: an important top the Friday after Thanksgiving (Dec 4), a rejection of the 20 day moving average the Thursday after that (Dec 10) and a large down day on the following Friday (Dec 11). We had the negative Mars square Pluto Dec 6 translating the really negative Mars opposite Uranus Dec 10 last week. The culmination of the low should occur late Tuesday Dec 15 when Uranus/square Pluto loses its hard aspect on the markets and tax selling is complete.

Sunday, December 13, 2015

Are We In a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

SPX: Intermediate trend - has retraced 50% of its uptrend from 1872.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, December 13, 2015

The Great Stock Market and Economic Train Wreck of 2016... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clive_Maund

Today we are going to review irrefutable evidence that a slow motion train wreck is already well underway across global markets, that will end with the last wagons on the train, the S&P500 index and the Dow Jones Industrials, disappearing into the abyss right after their immediate predecessors.

There are still a remarkable number of investors out there, and an even more remarkable percentage of mainstream financial journalists, who seem to think that everything is alright just because the flagship indices like the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P500 haven't caved in yet, but as we will now see they are probably just about to.

Sunday, December 13, 2015

US Bull Market to Extend Well into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2092. Monday started the week with a gap down opening. The market gapped down again on Tuesday and Wednesday before hitting a low at SPX 2037. Then after a quiet Thursday opening the market rallied to SPX 2068, before resuming its decline with another gap down opening on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 3.55%, the NDX/NAZ lost 3.95%, and the DJ World lost 3.5%. Economic reports for the week started off negative, but ended mixed. On the downtick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, export/import prices, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims increased. On the uptick: the PPI, MMIS, GNP, WLEI, retail sales and consumer sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Industrial production, Housing and Options expiration.

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Stock Market Turning More Bearish.....VIX Explodes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Last night we saw the futures slowly start to erode. Nothing terrible at first, and even this morning they were down some but nothing to lose sleep over. The S&P 500 trading around 2035/2040. Suddenly, and without warning, the futures began to fall. By the time the market opened it was pure nastiness. The market gapped down and headed right for 2020 bottoming out at 2021. From there it rocked up ten points. As the day wore on it did a double test at 2021 before trying higher again, but this move back up was far weaker.

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Market Investor’s Great Divide; Stocks Crossing the 200 Day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Doug_Wakefield

“Reuters, the British news agency, moved a story on its wire at 11:39 A.M. Tuesday, May 8, saying that Continental had denied as “totally preposterous” rumors that the bank was considering bankruptcy….

Ordinarily, Continental would have refused to comment on the rumor by Reuters. Instead, it reacted with a quick denial, perhaps in the hope of placating the foreign depositors….

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Do You Have to Settle for Mediocre Returns in The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

"In the republic of mediocrity, genius is dangerous." ~ Robert Green Ingersoll

Morgan Stanley surprised everyone or, at least, tried to by stating that it was no longer going to be easy to make money in the equity markets. Let's stop, right there; was it ever really easy. If it were everyone that jumped into the markets would be wealthy, instead the opposite is true. Right of the bat, we can state that the best place for such advice is the dustbin.

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Stock Market Investors' Sentiment Worsens, New Downtrend or More Fluctuations? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Global Market Instability - Reversing the Damage of Economic Austerity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

A significant undercurrent of internal weakness is plaguing the NYSE broad market. This weakness is primarily visible in the dangerously high numbers of stocks making new 52-week lows. Lately that number has exceeded 300 on a daily basis, though it has been above 40 for the last few months in a sign that the market's health is less than optimal. The best way of showing this internal weakness is in the following exhibit which graphs the cumulative new 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE.