Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, August 10, 2014
Stock Market Retail Investors About to Get Fleeced Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Pater Tenebrarum, The Acting Man writes: Mistiming the Market
As a small addendum to our previous post on the market situation, here is a chart recently posted by the “Short Side of Long”. It shows the cash allocation reported by AAII, which surveys retail investors. Not surprisingly, retail investors tend to be completely wrong in their positioning at major lows and major highs, while generally not doing too badly in the middle portion of trends. That latter remark has to be qualified by the fact that they tend to lose their gains from this portion of a trend by being wrongly positioned at its end.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Dow Stock Market Rally is On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The rally is on! Let’s get straight into it by looking at the daily chart.
I have added a Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) which shows a little bullish divergence. This week’s low was less weak than the previous week’s low. Also, notice how the RSI pushed deep into negative territory compared to the previous times the RSI came down during the bull trend. This is the first time it went so deep under the 30 level since the February correction low. This type of negative reading is synonymous with the end of a significant correction or the first swing low in a new bear market.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Quite a roller coaster week for such a small correction. The market started the week at SPX 1925 and rallied to 1943 on Monday. Then it made a choppy eleven small waves on its way down to SPX 1905 on Thursday. On Friday it turned the whole week’s losses green. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.30%, but the DJ World index lost 0.9%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 7 to 2. On the uptick: factory orders, ISM services, wholesale inventories, the monetary base, long term investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Stock Market Risk is On the Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Weak Secondary Stocks and Declining Junk-to-Treasury Bond Ratio Indicate the Stock Market is Ripe for Reversal
The following article is adapted from the August 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published Aug. 1. For the latest from the Financial Forecast Service, click here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
European Stock Markets Look Downright Scary / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Sy_Harding
Here’s the situation.
The economy of the 18-nation European Union is about the same size as that of the U.S., with roughly equal impacts on each other and on global growth. Germany, France, and the U.K. are the largest economies in the EU, and the fourth, fifth, and sixth largest economies in the world.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Deflation’s Final Curtain Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Gold has once again begun to assert its safe haven value after the recent drop in equity prices. Last week’s Argentina bond default scare coupled with rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine have combined to spook global equity markets. On Thursday NATO warned that Russia was preparing to send 20,000 troops into eastern Ukraine under the pretext of a humanitarian mission to save separatist rebels. Due to these concerns gold’s value has risen to a 2-week high. Gold’s rally is all the more conspicuous in light of the recent rally in the U.S. dollar index.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 08, 2014
The Dow Silent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
"Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters
Priced in real value, the Dow has collapsed 84% since 1999
Stock market investors who glance at their screens see the dollar value of the Dow Industrials.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 08, 2014
Iraq, Ukraine, Ebola… Global Concerns Rock US Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
PLENTY of things to worry about and we've ONLY corrected 10 points (7.5%) on the Russell – exactly what we predicted under our fabulous 5% Rule™! None of the other major indexes have fallen as far, so we continue to watch that line very closely for support.
Friday, August 08, 2014
Stock Market Renewed Selling on Russia Sanctions Showdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: From a market perspective, this morning’s plunge in new jobless claims was trumped by mounting tensions over sanctions against Russia and Putin’s sanction reprisal. The S&P 500 hit its 0.45% intraday high moments after the open. It then sold off in a couple of waves to its -0.81% intraday low shortly after 3 PM. Some buying in the final hour trimmed the day’s loss to -0.56%.
Thursday, August 07, 2014
Stock Market Summer Correction Options / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
With the help of some of NFTRH's standard weekly charts, we take a snapshot of the US stock market.
The Bank index is unbroken from a weekly perspective. People will talk about an H&S but it is not activated until the trend channel and the neckline (a well defined support area) are broken. BKX, along with the Semiconductors has been a notable leader to the entire surprise* phase of the bull market out of Q4, 2012.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 07, 2014
Cold War 2.0 Is a Financial War / Stock-Markets / New Cold War
By: Money_Morning
James Rickards writes: Editor's Note: James G. Rickards is the New York Times best-selling author of The Death of Money and Currency Wars. Today, he'll tell us about a new kind of global conflict – one that could wipe trillions in personal wealth off the map…
Relations between the United States and Russia are now at their lowest ebb since the end of the Soviet Union on Christmas Day 1991.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 07, 2014
Stock Market Rally Time?...Should A Bit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Markets can often get to the point where they need to stop selling after a strong move down. Oscillators take a beating. Many short- and mid-term charts get oversold, such as the Dow on the daily chart with a 30 RSI. It's time for a small rally. When I say small I mean small, since there's strong resistance at 1846 and 1854 on the S&P 500, which are the 50- and 20-day exponential moving averages. It does NOT have to rally to those levels, but it would make sense technically to get a move up to either one of those levels before heading lower again. Unwinding some oversold oscillators would be best for the bears. This is why it made sense for the market to rally once we had the strong gap down this morning. The Dow RSI was falling below 30, and some short-term oscillators were getting ridiculously oversold.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2014
The Anticipated Stock Market Correction Is Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Last month I wrote that the stock market was overvalued and that caution was warranted.
I reckon the anticipated correction started July 31st, a month or so sooner than I expected.
Recent price movement has done considerable technical damage to all indices and I do not think this is a “standard” pullback. Why, you may ask?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2014
The Most-Anticipated Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: John_Rubino
US equities have been going up for so long that most investors — especially those who were only recently enticed into the casino by the apparently easy money on offer — have trouble remembering the last time it was possible to lose big in stocks.
Along the way, a whole slew of indices and indicators have drifted into their historical danger zones, prompting many in the financial media to address the subject, either by making explicit predictions (YouTube is now full of recent videos with pundits hammering the “get out while you can” theme) or considering the issue from unusual angles. Here’s a good example of the latter from MarketWatch’s L.A. Little:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2014
The Single Most Important Strategy Most Investors Ignore / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jeff_Clark
“If I scare you this morning, and as a result you take action, then I will have accomplished my goal.” That’s what I told the audience at the Sprott Natural Resource Symposium in Vancouver two weeks ago.
But the reality is that I didn’t need to try to scare anyone. The evidence is overwhelming and has already alarmed most investors; our greatest risk is not a bad investment but our political exposure.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2014
US Stock Market At a Critical Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past two years we see the stock market steadily climb with low volatility. All investors and traders have had to do is simply buy the pullbacks within the stock market and riding the market to new highs. While this has worked out very well to date, most will in for a big surprise when the market trend reverses.
As of today, the AlgoTrades algorithmic trading system which uses momentum, cycles, volume flows and advanced filters signaled that the market is now in a down trend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 05, 2014
Stock Market Oversold Bounce... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was due for a bounce today as the sixty-minute short-term charts had gotten very oversold. In the case of the Dow, extremely oversold, with a reading at twelve late last week. That's simply unsustainable, and, thus, some buying was necessary for the market in order to calm down the excessive compressed oscillators we saw. The market struggled early on today to get some type of bounce going, The bears had simply run out of steam as they have caused quite a bit of technical damage, but used up a tremendous amount of energy to accomplish that. Markets can only get so overbought or oversold before some type of reflex bounce occurs. Not only that, but even the daily RSI hit 30 on the Dow. That didn't take long. Only about six hundred points accomplished that feat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 04, 2014
ASX200 Aussie Stocks Bulls Set To Be Culled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
With the ASX200 in the highest territory it's been since June 2008 and seemingly hopping along nicely (just getting a kangaroo reference out of the way!), I thought I'd investigate. Let's take a top down approach beginning with the yearly chart.
Monday, August 04, 2014
The Fed-Induced Stock Market EPS Fairy Tale / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Michael_Pento
The stock market has advanced sharply over the past five years no matter what geopolitical situation has blown up or how tenuous the economic foundation may be. This is because Investors have simply been forced to throw money at the market with a reckless disregard of logic due to the lack of interest provided through the holding of cash.
But if one looks objectively and the true market fundamentals, it is clear to see that the stock market has blown into yet another bubble, except its total magnitude has been masked by the central bank's engineering of corporate earnings growth.
Monday, August 04, 2014
Volatile Markets Shake U.S. Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Harry_Dent
Volatile markets are shaking the U.S. economy and geopolitical conflicts are intensifying. This is bad news.
Iraq is falling into civil war, like Syria did after the Arab Spring across North Africa; Israel is invading Gaza; a Malaysia airliner was shot down over Ukraine — by who knows whom; and two Ukrainian fighter jets were shot down by Russian rebels.
Read full article... Read full article...