Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 02, 2014
Stocks Continue Long-Term Uptrend, Will It Accelerate Or Reverse? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,885, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is bullish, following a breakout above consolidation:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, June 02, 2014
Stock Market Approaching A Short-Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 01, 2014
Stock Market Grinding Higher.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market continues its dance with higher prices while the bears sit on the sidelines wishing they could partake in the festivities. Just not meant to be even though they have reasons to expect better times, but more on that later. The market tried to sell today a bit, but the bulls refused to let things get out of hand. The Nasdaq 100 slightly under performed today but that's not bad since it has outperformed so much lately as the heavily beaten down stocks are finally getting a bid from severely oversold conditions. The reason for the under-performance today was the large reversal from Apple Inc. (AAPL) as it went from up near points to down a couple when all was said and done. I guess even AAPL has to take the occasional vacation from upside action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 01, 2014
Stock Market Sell in May? 7.5% Drop Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time, I was looking for an important low on June 3. I believe the normal cycle tops due earlier this month and again last Tuesday have extended. In the past, whenever this has occurred we have seen a more important drop ahead than 4-6%.
On the chart below, there are cycles and lines of resistance noted. Where we are right now is unusually similar to the May 22, 2013 top. The rising bottoms line connects the Mar ’09 and Oct ’11 bottoms and joins the blue descending line from the Jan ’14 top to the April ’14 bottom (marked in E-Wave as X), along with the rising green line.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 01, 2014
German Dax 10000 New All Time High? / Stock-Markets / Germany
By: Gregor_Horvat
Most of the FX markets are still slow and choppy within corrective price action, while metals and stocks are trading completely on their own. We have seen a push to a new high on the S&P 500 yesterday, very close to 1920. At the same time German DAX remained trapped in range because of low volume during the European session. Some would have thought that the S&P can be in final stages here within bigger uptrend, but if we consider that DAX is still in fourth wave then we need to be aware of even higher swings on US markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 31, 2014
How to Play This Flat Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: More than a few investors are scratching their heads over the Dow's performance so far in 2014.
It stumbled out of the gate in January and February, then rallied from March through mid-April, then gave up the ghost in early May and has been bumping up and down ever since as investors swing back and forth from anxiety to complacency.
What's going on here, and how do you play it?
Saturday, May 31, 2014
Stock Market New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
For a four day trading week the market did fairly well. It opened at new all time highs on Tuesday. Then made higher highs, with small pullbacks along the way, every day this week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.50%, and the DJ World gained 0.75%. On the economic front reports continue to come in higher. On the uptick: durable goods, FHFA housing, consumer confidence/sentiment, pending home sales, personal income, the PCE, Chicago PMI, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: personal spending, Case-Shiller and Q1 GDP. Next week we get the ISM indices, monthly Payrolls and the FED’s Beige book.
Saturday, May 31, 2014
U.S. Economy Back in the Red - Stocks vs Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Mike_Whitney
If you follow the stock market, you probably think the economy is sizzling. But if bonds are your thing, then you probably think we’re still in recession.
So which is the better gauge of what’s going on in the real economy; stocks or bonds?
The bond market is more accurate. And recently, long-term yields have been dropping like a stone which is not a good sign for the economy. Investors seem to think that slow growth and low inflation are here to stay, and they could be right. According to Bloomberg, “Falling yields on longer-term Treasuries historically reflect periods of lackluster growth. Since 1960, they have predicted seven of the last eight recessions when 10-year yields fell below 3-month bill rates.” As of today, the benchmark 10-year UST is a dismal 2.44 percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 31, 2014
No Dozing: It’s Time to Profit From the Tech Stock Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael A. Robinson writes: Back on Feb. 21, in the report “My ‘Sominex Strategy’ for Big Profits In This Rocky Market,” I explained why I was projecting an exceptionally volatile stretch for tech stocks.
And I even showed you the investment strategy to use to traverse it.
I did all this for one reason: I just knew that a strong tech rebound would follow. And the investors who stayed in the game would cash in big when that resurgence began.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 31, 2014
Stock Market New High Blasts 'Sell in May and Go Away' Bears Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Even before May began the mantra of 'Sell in May and Go Away' had built up into a crescendo by the blogosfear that always sees a trend, any trend be it bull or bear as always IMMINENTLY TERMINATING as was the case for the current stocks rally that began following the last significant correction's bottom at the end of February 2014 when the highly vocal view was that next great bear market had begun. Instead the stock market has climbed its way to a series of new all time highs the most recent of which was yesterdays close at Dow 16,717 and S&P 1923.
Friday, May 30, 2014
How To Play It The Rise of Africa / Stock-Markets / Africa
By: Casey_Research
By Adam J. Crawford, Analyst
Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).
Say the words and most people think of poverty… famine… epidemics… political strife… sectarian violence. Yet, just recently, Microsoft announced a new investment on the continent, calling Africa a “game changer in the global economy.” So what gives?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 30, 2014
Stock Market Over 85 Years - Has the Fed Produced Any Benefits? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: EWI
By Robert Prechter
Has the Fed Produced Any Benefits?
The Fed has benefited the
government
mightily. Its exchange of new accounting units for the Treasury’s bonds
has stealthily transferred value from savers’ accounts to the government. In conjunction with the FDIC, it has also
benefitted
bankers
in the short run by allowing them to make profits on reckless loans and avoid accountability. But
in doing so it has sucked value out of savers’ accounts and burdened the American economy.
Thursday, May 29, 2014
How Not to Be Scared by the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: I sat there in stunned silence.
We were having dinner with our friends, when the husband told us he doesn't invest. "I don't trust the markets," he said. He keeps all of his savings in cash.
This isn't some fool we're talking about. He's owns a successful small business that he's operated for years. We had talked about his business for about a half hour before his shocking comments. The man knows how to make money.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Stock Market At New Highs – Investors Take Some Profits, Flat Correction Or Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,885, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is still bullish, and our short-term outlook is now bullish, following a breakout above consolidation:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Stock Market Hangs Tough....Sells A Drop.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
You know how bull markets work. They get a bid and after getting very overbought the prevailing view is that it has to have a big pullback. The masses wait for it, but it doesn't come on their time. Of course, the pullback comes when the masses get involved. The market is overbought on the short-term charts to be sure, but they can stay that way when key sectors have taken out critical resistance, such as we have witnessed from the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 took out important horizontal resistance when it closed above 1897, while the Nasdaq 100 took out key resistance when it cleared the 50-day exponential moving average. It has continued to run once cleared, thus, the market has a bid again whenever it tries to sell.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
Everything You Think You Own Has Been Borrowed / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Let’s take another look at debt. We’ve probably all gotten so used to huge debt numbers that we’re losing sight of what they actually mean. In the following article, Tyler Durden made me rethink both the debt issue and the perverse consequences of 7 years of zero interest policies (ZIRP) and/or ultra low interest rates. The destruction to society is far greater than anyone seems to be willing to let on. But that doesn’t make it any less real. Here goes:
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
Why FOMO Is Every Stock Investor’s Worst Enemy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Dan Steinhart, Managing Editor, The Casey Report
FOMO.
I heard this acronym on a podcast last week. Having no clue what it meant, I consulted Google.
Turns out it stands for “Fear of Missing Out.” Kids use it to describe their anxiety about missing a social event that all of their friends are attending.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 27, 2014
Stock Market Seeking New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 26, 2014
Strategic Investment - A Bubble In Complacency / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Notes from SIC 2014
I and many others are still trying to digest the massive amount of useful and original information that was offered at last week’s Strategic Investment Conference. In this week’s letter I want to recap some of what I learned but do so in a little different manner. I find it quite instructive to listen to and read what other people have to say about their takeaways from the conference. I have come across several very good summaries and reviews that I am going to excerpt rather liberally, along with sharing some of my own thoughts.
Sunday, May 25, 2014
Stock Market Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
SPX
In my last article I wrote that we were looking for more upside, the SPY and ES are the first markets to confirm the upside move we have been expecting, although the SPX has yet to confirm a new all time high, the DAX and DOW are likely to confirm the move that we have seen on the ES and SPY. Both the DAX and DOW have similar patterns to the SPX but they need a bit more upside, which I think will be seen this coming week.