Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, April 25, 2013
Bubblemania And The Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andrew_McKillop
FINANCIAL EUPHORIA
Stock markets are at all-time record highs, yet the real economy is anemic as is clearly shown by constantly "unexpected" or "disappointing" GDP growth figures in almost all countries. As we know, one major fetish cant-lose asset bubble, after another, will suddenly weaken and collapse but the equity markets confortingly roar on and up, unperturbed. Looking at the cant-lose asset bubbles since year 2000, we have had the Internet dot com bubble, real estate in a string of countries and arguably a major cause of the 2008 crash, the uranium bubble of 2005-2007, oil prices in 2004-2008, the green energy and cleantech bubble of 2007-2012, gold price growth for nearly 11 years, the ongoing Bitcoin craze, and other cant-lose assets whose prices "could only grow". Until they wilted or even collapsed.
Wednesday, April 24, 2013
Stock Market Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Ben Gersten writes: If you're contrarian, then Barron's latest "Big Money" poll and its magazine cover just gave you reasons to be on the lookout for a stock market crash.
The semiannual poll of professional investors found that 74% of money managers are bullish or very bullish about the prospects for U.S. stocks - an all-time high for Big Money, going back more than 20 years.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013
S&P 500 Showing a Top Formation At 1597 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: ForexPros
The S&P500 fell sharply last week from 1597, finding support around 1536 from where we have seen 20 point rally on Friday. Notice that market reversed from swing lows made in early April that caused a recovery towards the 1565/1575 Fibonacci resistance area. We believe that this pull-back represents a wave 2/B, as we labeled a decline from 1597 as a leading diagonal in wave 1/A.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013
There is No Such Thing as a "Safe" Big Bank / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Thank goodness we have the FDIC and the Federal Reserve and Congressmen and women.
Thank goodness they're willing to tap the captive citizenry for as much cash as they need to back the Fed and the FDIC to safeguard our big, beautiful banks from... themselves.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013
Stock Market 4-year Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
Prior to last week’s detour to discuss the gold market my April commentaries have been about Lindsay’s long cycle and how that matches what we all normally think of as secular bull and bear markets. The second commentary in this series discussed finding the high in the current long cycle and the conclusion was that a high should be found between March and September of this year. Before going any further with Lindsay I want to spend this week to see if we can confirm this forecast using another common cycle approach (non-Lindsay), the four-year cycle. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 23, 2013
The #1 Destructive Lie Responsible for Financial Distress / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Mary Rivas writes:
Summary:
Like seeds, our thoughts about money get planted deep in our minds and multiply. They grow into ideas, into beliefs that define us. What if your thoughts about money and wealth creation are poisoned seeds? What if those poisoned seeds grew into worthless weeds, beliefs that breed self-sabotage, self-criticism, fears, self-doubts and procrastination?
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Stock Market, Gold, Time to Get Very Bearish / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
If you review Friday morning’s outlook on the SPX, you will find a projection for where it might go on that day. Here is the actual result in comparison. It turned out that the SPX was forming an Expanding Diagonal in wave c. The last zigzag formed in the afternoon shows up as complete at the trendline.
This version of the Wave action shows Primary Wave [1] ending at 1541.86 and suggests more rally this morning since the retracement did not even reach a 38.2% Fibonacci level.
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Returning U.S. Dollar and the S&P 500 Relationship / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Donald_W_Dony
During the 1980s and 1990s, the U.S. dollar and the S&P 500 moved in near parallel trends. This relationship was particularly close from 1995 to 2000. This five year stretch produced some of the highest performance from both securities. Yet when the dollar started to fall in 2002 that relationship was broken until 2009.
Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, the US$ and the U.S. index steadily advanced together. However, this 20-year period represented a challenging time for commodities as a higher dollar forces natural resource prices lower.
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Dramatic Shifts in Stock Market Equity Fund Money Flows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Richard_Shaw
We’ve been tracking the differential flows between US domestic and international or global equity mutual funds since 2002 with Investment Company Institute Data. The shifts since the 2008 crash have been dramatic, as shown in this chart:
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Monday, April 22, 2013
The Danger of Gold and Stock Market Investors Ignoring Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Clif_Droke
The cyclical recovery that began in March 2009 has been impressive but is getting long in the tooth. Investors wonder when it will end, and while this can’t be known with precision there are signs that its terminus isn’t far away.One sign this bull is getting old can be seen in Wall Street’s attitude toward practitioners of technical analysis. Market technicians have never been highly respected on Wall Street and are usually accorded only second-class status in the research departments of large institutions. About the only time technical analysts are given a hearing is in bear markets when the fundamentals stop working and everyone wants to know what’s going on with the market. In desperation they turn to the despised technicians because they are the only ones properly equipped to navigate the treacherous waters of a cascading stock market. As my mentor the late Bud Kress used to say, “In a bear market everyone becomes a closet technician.”
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Waiting for the Stock Market SPX to Break Key Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 21, 2013
United States Decaying From Within! Stocks, Gold and Dollar Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Robert_M_Williams
No one seemed to notice or care that on June 28, 2012 the City of Stockton, California filed a petition for chapter 9 bankruptcy protection with the United States Bankruptcy Court, Eastern District of California, Sacramento, Case No. 2012-32118. On Monday, April 1, 2013, a federal judge ruled that Stockton was eligible for bankruptcy protection, over the objection of creditors who argued the city could come up with more money. U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Christopher Klein said Stockton can move forward with a plan to reorganize debt. He twice stated that the creditors had acted in bad faith and had refused to pay their share of the costs for negotiations.
Sunday, April 21, 2013
Stock Market Long View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyWealth
Fear has returned to the market. On Monday, stocks suffered their biggest one-day drop since November. Volatility spiked.
At a time like this, the average investor needs to take a breath, calm down, and consider the "long view" on what's happening...
Saturday, April 20, 2013
What European Stock Markets Telling Us About the State of the Eurozone Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
If you happened to simply glance over the headlines in the financial media over the last few months, you’d think the European Crisis was over.
In November, no less than France’s Prime Minister, Spain’s Prime Minister, and even Germany’s Finance Minister suggested that the worst is over for the Euro Crisis or that the Crisis as a whole was over completely.
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Saturday, April 20, 2013
Argentina is a Ph.D. in Monetary Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation
By: Bill_Bonner
Stocks down again yesterday. The Dow slipping 139 points. Gold down slightly.
Gold has fallen so hard so fast we can't help but feel sorry for the losers. But who were they? Estimates of the total loss go upward from $1 trillion. Who has that kind of money to lose?
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Saturday, April 20, 2013
Stock Market Some Unwinding...Earnings Poor....Caution The Word.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
This was a week for the bears. They were able to take all of the key index charts and bring them down with a little bit of force. The indexes were down roughly 2.5% on average, somewhere between 2% and 3.5% depending on where you look. The market had grinded for many weeks and then a few days came with some decent selling which basically took out the gains from those previous weeks. When market fall they usually fall pretty fast and can remove many weeks of prior gains in a very short time span. Today was maybe the most interesting day of the week in that the market was bifurcated in reverse from what we're used to seeing. The market has been better for the bulls the past few months when they concentrated their efforts on the Dow and S&P 500 stocks but especially the Dow stocks. Lower P/E and lower beta stocks with dividends have led the way.
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Saturday, April 20, 2013
Mammoth Market Forces Prospects / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“[O]n Friday, April 12, the Fed’s agents hit the market with 500 tons of naked shorts. Normally, a short is when an investor thinks the price of a stock or commodity is going to fall. He wants to sell the item in advance of the fall, pocket the money, and then buy the item back after it falls in price, thus making money on the short sale. …
“…with naked shorts, no physical metal is actually sold…
“Consider the 500 tons of paper gold sold on Friday. Begin with the question, how many ounces is 500 tons? There are 2,000 pounds to one ton. 500 tons equal 1,000,000 pounds. There are 16 ounces to one pound, which comes to 16 million ounces of short sales on Friday.
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Saturday, April 20, 2013
Ominous Stock Market Warning Signs - Sell in May and Go Away / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Sy_Harding
As the potential Sell in May and Go Away influence approaches, problems for the stock market are stacking up from both the fundamental and technical sides.
On the fundamental side;
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Friday, April 19, 2013
Simple Strategy for Outperforming Hedge Funds / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Moe Zulfiqar writes: There’s often a debate among Main Street investors that institutional investors—more specifically, hedge funds—can provide better returns compared to managing the money by themselves. The main reason for this is that institutional investors have resources: for example, access to data, the ability to perform in-depth analysis, and so on and so forth.
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Friday, April 19, 2013
Can Stock Market Continue to Rally Without the U.S. Economy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: We haven't stepped into the Twilight Zone, but it certainly seems that way when stocks are hitting historic highs yet the economy is still so weak that the Federal Reserve is printing money like a Third World nation.
It has the makings of a great prize fight between the largest market in the world and the largest economy in the world.
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