Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, May 11, 2015
Why Your Investment Portfolio Probably Isn’t as “Diversified” as You Think / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Stefan Gleason writes: “Am I diversified?”
It’s a question every investor should ask. It’s a question that CNBC’s bombastic stock guru Jim Cramer encourages his followers to pose. Unfortunately, Cramer’s answers are one-dimensional – he looks at diversification only in terms of stock holdings.
Having a stock portfolio that is diversified among different sectors and styles is just one aspect of diversification. During a stock market crash, any broadly diversified stock portfolio can be expected to go down with the market.
Monday, May 11, 2015
New World Order - Greece Not Allowed Leave EU - Says Marc Faber / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Greece will not be ejected from the EU – Faber on CNBC
- Greek default will trigger massive losses for ECB and European banks
- Highlights geo-political impetus to keep Greece within EU, NATO fold
- Shows strategic geo-political importance of Greece in NATO’s Cold war with Russia
- China and Russia’s ever-closer relationship more important than declining UK
- “This Is A New World Order” – Dr Faber
Monday, May 11, 2015
How to Profit from the Fed's Anti-Cash Stance / Stock-Markets / Banksters
MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes: Savvy investors know that over short time periods, and especially during bear markets, the saying “cash is king” often holds true. It provides security and allows for bargain hunting when assets are cheap.
However, through times of financial repression and negative interest rate policies (NIRP), central planners, along with banks, are changing that precept into “cash is trash.”
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Stock Market Investors' Sentiment Improves Again Following Jobs Data Release - Will It Last? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, May 11, 2015
Stock Market Still Vulnerable to Big Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last time I wrote, I was expecting a move to about 2064/65 or about a 2% drop into the 12.5 week cycle low. We got a 2.45% drop into May 6th, TD 13 of the 12.5 wk low. Our money flow indicators suggested more upside as they were washed out nicely and we went long the end of the day Thursday and got out on Friday and took 30 points out of the market (all provable on my web site).
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Stock Market More Distribution Under Way? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, May 10, 2015
Investors Stay Away from This Irrational Indulgence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: When I see the market rally mindlessly -as it did on Friday, after the jobs report pushed the jobless rate down to 5.4%- I ask myself a set of questions like the following….
Do investors really think it's going to matter if the Fed raises interest rates by a quarter of a point in September instead of June? Do they really think it's normal that €3 trillion of European debt is yielding less than zero? The Swiss National Bank (Switzerland's Federal Reserve) owns $100 billion of stocks…Is that considered normal?
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Sunday, May 10, 2015
All Eyes on Stock Market New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
DOW
Finally it seems we may just see that new all time high to complete the ending diagonal pattern we have been following for the last few months, more importantly it also seems the DOW has also caught up with the SPX, which is a good thing as it aligns both markets.
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Saturday, May 09, 2015
Stock Market Choppiness Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Another one of those choppy weeks. The market started the week at SPX 2108. Gapped up on Monday hitting SPX 2121, dropped to 2068 by Wednesday despite a gap up opening that day, then rallied to 2118 on Friday with also a gap up opening. Three gap up openings on the week, net gain 8 points. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.65%, the NDX/NAZ were mixed, and the DJ World index was +0.30%. On the economic front reports continued to come in positive. On the uptick: factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, monthly payrolls, wholesale inventories, the WLEI, and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: the ADP index, the MMIS, and both weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit increased. Next week is highlighted by Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.
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Saturday, May 09, 2015
A Perfect Jobs Report For The Bulls...Still No Breakout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market looked very bad heading in to Thursday's action. It went up a bit Thursday off of oversold, short-term conditions as it waited on Friday's big Jobs Report, due out this morning one hour before the open. Traders were hedging their bets on which way it would go. Bears knew a bad number for the second month in a row would likely bring about a real slaughter as things have been weak on the economic front lately. The bulls were counting on bad weather being the culprit to the recent string of bad news on the economy.
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Saturday, May 09, 2015
FTSE 100 Is Reaching A Turning Point / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Recent rallies in the FTSE 100 have been nothing short of impressive ISHARES FTSE 100 UCITS ETF (LON:ISF). These are moves that have been inspired by low inflation levels, strong consumer spending, and better than expected corporate earnings in the region’s largest companies. This is the type of fundamental backdrop that supports the prospects for continued rallies. But when we look at price levels in their current form, there is some reason for caution in the near term.
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Friday, May 08, 2015
Investing and the Lollapalooza Effect / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
How to Dress for a Rainy Day
Valuations are quite high and could spur financial instability, Janet Yellen told us yesterday. The question on the lips of the attendees at my recent Strategic Investment Conference was how to hedge their portfolios in a world of increasing volatility. For the last two years, my associate Worth Wray and I have been examining ways to design core strategic portfolios that are both robust and insulated. The challenge is that designing portfolios using backward-looking tools in a world that will not look like the past is an endeavor fraught with peril.
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Friday, May 08, 2015
Stock Market Deflationary Outcome. It's Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The reality is that ever since the 2000 top, both the economy and the stock market have been trying to deflate. It has been these deflationary forces that the Money Masters have been fighting. In the process, they created the housing bubble, the 2007 stock market bubble, the 2008 commodity bubble, the banking crisis and consequently the worst financial disaster since The Great Depression. Those deflationary forces have yet to be fully expressed, but they will. Ever since the rally out of the March 2009 low began, I have said that it has been an advance within the context of a much longer-term secular bear market. As the 2009 low was being made, I also said that the longer the rally out of that low lasts, the more dangerous it would become.
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Thursday, May 07, 2015
Stocks Downtrend Continues Following Worse-Than-Expected Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 07, 2015
Stock Market Free-fall Probable / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It appears that SPX may go into free-fall for a day or two, at least. All nearby supports are now broken and it doesn’t appear that the 2-hour Cycle Bottom will hold. SPX has already declined through the hourly Cycle Bottom at 2080.63. You can see that SPX has already challenged its 2-hour Cycle Bottom in the last week of March, so this decline appears to be the charm. In addition, the trading bands have widened out, signifying that support is weakening.
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Thursday, May 07, 2015
How to Make Easy Money When Stock Markets Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: It’s easy to make money when stock prices are rising.
Just invest in one of the 5,000 stocks listed on major exchanges or one of the hundreds of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that are already available – with more being added almost every day.
But if you want to make money when the stock market goes down, it’s just as easy.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2015
Five Stock Market Indexes Compared on One Chart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Yesterday, all 5 of our indexes closed above their support lines again as seen below. The five indexes included the Institutional Index of "core holdings", the NYA (NYSE) Index, the SPY, the NDX, and the IWM.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signal on S&P Global 1200 Confirmed by Various Charts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Global Economy at Threat - The S&P Global 1200 index gave a significant sell signal today. Charting is viewed by some as tea leaf reading. However, over several decades it has been demonstrated as an objectively useful tool to strategic thinkers who attempt to monitor the health of the financial markets. The charts below are telling us that Quantitative Easing has run its course and that it has become impotent in the fight to stave off a global recession. Central Banks are now no longer part of the solution; they are part of the problem.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2015
Stock Market Lindsay Right Shoulders / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Long-time readers will remember Lindsay’s admonition that following extended basic advances (929-968 days) a right shoulder is to be expected. Normally, a right shoulder is a significant high but lower than the high of the bull market. However, Lindsay allowed for the possibility of a right shoulder appearing at a higher level than the high of the basic advance. This happened in 1966 and 1973, and is occurring again in the current bull market.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 05, 2015
SPX appears ready for its final thrust higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX appears to be making its final thrust higher.
If this analysis is correct, SPX should have a target near 2130.00. Note that the trading bands are contracting. This suggests a very large move is imminent. The move to higher ground may seem impressive, especially with the media trumpeting another new high, but it will be a fake-out.
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