Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Big Moves Coming in the Stock Market! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
After reading today’s market action, I realized that we were due a bigger move down this week than I originally had anticipated. I have been short the market somewhat from last week from near 2120 SPX, but not heavily so. I sold my leveraged long positions I picked up around 2073/78 on April 17 at 2118 Thursday for a nice 8% profit (all verifiable). The reason I’m writing is to update what I’m seeing going forward, not to gloat over my recent market gains.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Still No Stock Market Breakout...Another Failure....AAPL Huge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I am writing this report before the Apple Inc. (APPL) earnings report this evening. The market gapped up today and broke out above 2119, yet, again, this time reaching near 2126. It looked like the day was finally upon us, only to see those bears come in yet again to take the market below 2119 on a closing basis. Another good try by the bulls, but short-term very overbought conditions put the bulls back to sleep for now. They were excited. Folks were certain that the market had finally made the move, but it failed again. The failure doesn't have to be big picture. It can rock back up tomorrow on a solid AAPL report, or even if it's not and we fall some, the market can try again after things calm down for a bit.
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Monday, April 27, 2015
Stock Market Positive Expectations Ahead Of Apple's First Quarter Earnings Release / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, April 27, 2015
Stock Market SPX Index at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 26, 2015
Stock Market Back into The Bear Suits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX
In last week's report we were focused on looking for more upside for the US markets, I was confident that the prior decline was a corrective decline and new all time highs would be seen on the SPX. We could not have asked for more, out plan worked our well, much better than I had thought.
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Sunday, April 26, 2015
Impending Stock Market Top - Trend Forecast Summer 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As I have been expecting for almost a year now the Nasdaq has finally reached its all-time highs at 5100.
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Sunday, April 26, 2015
Desperate Stock Market Bubble Thinking Takes Hold on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: If it looks like a bubble, smells like a bubble and walks like a bubble, it is a bubble.
What we have in the certain stocks today is a bubble every bit as epic as the one that took the NASDAQ Composite Index (INDEX:.IXIC) to its previous record of 5048 back in 2000.
There are few certainties in this world, but one of them is that bubbles pop.
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Sunday, April 26, 2015
One Stock Market Where You Haven't Missed the Bull Market Boom Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: U.S. stocks are up an incredible 75% over the last four years.
It's not just U.S. stocks that are up, though. Stock markets around the globe are soaring higher...
• China's stock market is up more than 100% over the last 12 months.
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Sunday, April 26, 2015
Stock Market, Silver: Week in Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
From now on, I’m including silver in my updates. There are important issues on the horizon that will involve silver to a greater degree. One of those issues is: J.P. Morgan is accumulating physical silver like there’s no tomorrow; another is: silver is important and sensitive to commodity price changes as well as a hedge against adversity (gold is a better hedge against adversity than silver, but silver is coming into the forefront for other reasons, which we will look at in the coming updates).
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Saturday, April 25, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Looks to Resume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2081, gapped up on Monday/Tuesday hitting 2110, pulled back to 2091 by Wednesday, then with a gap up on Friday hit a new high at 2121. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.6%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.8%, and the DJ World index gained 1.6%. Economic reports were sparse, and again biased to the upside. On the uptick: the FHFA, existing home sales, durable goods orders and the WLEI. On the downtick: new homes sales plus weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, the FOMC meeting, and PCE prices.
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Saturday, April 25, 2015
When the Nuclear Money Option Fails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
"To combat the economic fallout caused by the credit crisis (07-08), countries have allowed their fiscal deficits to increase dramatically. In order to pay the bills, governments had to sell enormous amounts of bonds. As more and more investors stopped buying these government bonds, central banks needed to step up to the plate. By turning on the (digital) printing presses, they have been buying up bad debts and government bonds to a total of $10 trillion worldwide, between 2008 and 2013. Economists describe this process as the monetization of debt by central banks. Economic textbooks refer to this process as 'the nuclear option' - only to be used when no other method of financing can be applied effectively. This is a process that is easy to start, but almost impossible to stop."
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Saturday, April 25, 2015
Stock Splitting Caused the Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
This article explains why the introduction of stock splitting on December 31st, 1927 eventually caused the crash of 1929. The frequent splitting of shares into very large proportions gave a massive boost to the stock market boom, making the stock market crash of 1929 equally violent.
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Friday, April 24, 2015
China Stock Market Parabolic Mania’s Global Risk / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The Chinese stock markets have been rocketing higher in a popular speculative mania. New Chinese investors are flocking to their local red-hot markets, borrowing heavily to buy hyper-speculative stocks. Like all past manias, this one is guaranteed to end badly. And when China’s parabolic stock indexes inevitably collapse, the global stock markets face serious risks of getting sucked into that fear-fueled stampede.
The Chinese people are endlessly fascinating. After being blessed to travel to China several decades ago as a kid, my interest in that country and culture has only grown since. One thing the Chinese are renowned for is their intense competitiveness. Their work ethic is legendary, as they zealously strive to improve their lots in life. So wealth, and the perception of it, is exceedingly important socially in China.
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Friday, April 24, 2015
Waiting for NDX Stocks Index Reversal to Confirm the SPX High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX’s high yesterday at 2120.49 may have fulfilled the requirement for its final high, including a minor trading channel high. The overnight futures action did not break out above that level. The Premarket is up, but at this point only at a 50% retracement of the decline into the close. USD/JPY is declining beneath 120.00, suggesting there may be no further support from the Yen Carry trade.
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Friday, April 24, 2015
UK Economy Debt Timebomb Will Explode After Election / Stock-Markets / UK Debt
- UK economy a ’timebomb’ and will explode after election – Albert Edwards
- Telegraph warns of “Lehman Moment” stemming from possible election chaos
- Currency traders view pound as being particularly vulnerable
- Latest data shows UK poised to slip into deflation for the first time since 1960
- Polls place Labour and Tories neck and neck as election looms
- Hung parliament may force either side to enter coalition with potentially disliked partners
- Outright majority for either side would also lead to further uncertainty
- Political uncertainty may impact sterling and UK assets
- UK has massive debt and vulnerable to Eurozone debt crisis
Friday, April 24, 2015
What is a Stock Market Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
For many people – entering the stock market and truly understanding the investment options available can be confusing. Today we will speak about stock market indexes and why these are important and how they work.The most simple explanation is this: an index is literally made up of several stock prices into a single number. An Index can be made up based on markets or industries – and as the Options Industry Council (OIC) says, “Some are broad-based and measure moves in broad, diverse markets. Others are narrow-based and measure more specific industry sectors of the marketplace.”
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Friday, April 24, 2015
God, the Stock Market and Pascal's Wager / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Jared Dillian writes: Do you believe in God?
Whoa, wait a minute, this is an investment newsletter, right?
Stay with me.
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Friday, April 24, 2015
SPX Meets Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX finally broke above what may either be a Triangle or its look-alike. I chose to label the second choice for a number of reasons.
First, this is already an Ending Diagonal formation made up of corrective looking zigzags with a rising bottom trendline. I view the declining top as an “accident” that may fool quite a number of analysts. The reason is that the Triangle projects a potential high in the range of 2176.00 to 2200.00. The Ending Diagonal projects an ending range of 2115.00 to 2144.00 with an average near 2125.00.
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Thursday, April 23, 2015
Stocks and Bonds Seven Year of Negative Returns; Fraudulent Promises / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
It is extremely refreshing to see a large, prominent, and historically accurate fund manager lay it on the line.
GMO does that quarter after quarter, with no-nonsense projections.
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Thursday, April 23, 2015
Stock Market No Clear Direction As Investors React To Quarterly Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish