Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, November 19, 2012

Stock Market Flash Crash Ultimate Kiss of Death / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The picture could not be clearer.  All of the prior flash crashes have begun after the 200-day moving average has been violated and retested.  In the past, the 200-day moving average (1382.45) has been in sync with the lower trendline of the Broadening Top formations.  This time it has made the decline deeper and longer.    

Monday, November 19, 2012

Odds Are High Stock Market Bottom is In, Year End Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Toby_Connor

In my last couple of articles I mentioned that I was waiting for the S&P to form a swing low as the first confirmation that an intermediate degree bottom had formed. That swing is going to form on the open Monday morning.

Typically the stock market will rally fairly aggressively out of one of these major intermediate bottoms, often gaining 6%-8% in the first 15-20 days. At that point the market will dip down into a half cycle low that will establish the trend line for this particular daily cycle.

Monday, November 19, 2012

U.S. Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

For the bears it was a good week. With the exception of monday’s lightly traded semi-holiday session, the market made a new downtrend low every day. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.75%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.85%. Asian markets lost 1.2%, European markets lost 2.2%, and the DJ World index was -1.9%. On the economic front it was not much better. For the first time in many weeks the economic reports were predominately negative, with 8 to 3 to the downside. On the uptick: business inventories. the monetary base, and the CPI. On the downtick: retail sales, the PPI, the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, the WLEI, plus both the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, another light economic report ahead of thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday, we’ll get reports on Consumer sentiment, the Leading indicators and Housing. Best to your Holiday!

Monday, November 19, 2012

Stock Market Ready for Mid-Correction Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.  It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend –  SPX has made a triple top, which is a bearish pattern.  It has now given a strong indication that an intermediate correction is underway.  However, we may be approaching the mid-point of the correction which is usually punctuated by a rally.

Monday, November 19, 2012

U.S. Stock Market Indices Bottom Is Near! MAP Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

It looks very much that the US indices are aligned for slow sideways movement before making this MAP Wave scale lows before the end of the year! I imagine that may well have something to do with the US budget fiasco of which the result will be what Europe has achieved over recent years – to kick the can down the road which should bring some relief, and will cause MAP Wave daily pivot scale retest of the recent highs!

If that retest fails then anyone that still believes we are in a bull market really should question their models as so far all indexes have failed to make all time highs, with the Russell coming closest, but still failing.

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Oversold Stock Market Rally Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Darah_Bazargan

The ever changing nature of the stock market will often boggle analysts if the current price information displays an unclear message. There has always been, and there will always be a fascination to wrongfully challenge what the future holds, instead of interpreting what’s at hand. It’s as if what is already known is simply not enough.

Saturday, November 17, 2012

After The Stock Market Slaughter, Relief?...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

We have reached a point in this down trend when we should see some relief from the selling for a little while. No guarantee, of course, but we should see some real relief now that the bulls finally printed a daily candlestick that would suggest the bears have finally run out of steam. That's only for the very short-term but it is a signal that the near-term should see some type of rally attempt. I'll talk about where that can go later on in this newsletter, but the ingredients have come together offering up a short-term rally. The move down has been relentless. Non-stop selling seemingly day after day. Listen to the numbers here. The Dow has basically fallen 1,200 points nearly straight down. The S&P 500 was down a powerful 110 points at today's lows and get this, the Nasdaq was down ten points shy of an amazing 400 points. 3200 to 2810 at today's lows.

Saturday, November 17, 2012

Countdown To Dollar, Stock Market Total Financial Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Joseph_Russo

Aside from a clear unwillingness to admit the reality of epic failure and total defeat, the powers-that-be insist upon believing that they can still pull magic rabbits from their empty hat of totalitarian deceptions.

In addition to monitoring the VIX, which is another means by which to track the efforts of a corrupt Fed and Treasury, we present the Dow Gold ratio-charts below, which add yet another real-time measure in monitoring REALITY vs. the Ponzi charade otherwise known as the global debt-based fiat currency system of political economics.

Friday, November 16, 2012

Defensive Stocks Are Failing Again As A Safe Haven! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Sy_Harding

In times of uncertainty, and in preparation for market declines, Wall Street’s advice to investors is always the same.

The market cannot be ‘timed’, and cash does not pay enough interest to even keep up with inflation. So investors need to remain fully invested and continue to buy stocks, but can protect themselves by shifting to ‘defensive’ stocks and sectors.

Friday, November 16, 2012

Greenspan Warns Finanical Markets Will Crash if US Can't Solve Fiscal Cliff Problem / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Bloomberg

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu on "In the Loop" this morning that "markets will crater if we run into any evidence that we can't solve this [fiscal cliff] problem."

Greenspan said, "If we get out of this with a moderate recession, I would say that the price is very cheap."

Friday, November 16, 2012

What Would Happen in a Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Hang onto your hats. It's getting windy out there. Stuff is blowing all over the place.

Oh, that's not wind! That's a giant fan. Well then, that must be why this "stuff" stinks so bad.

Friday, November 16, 2012

THE Biggest Story in Finance That No One Is Talking About / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Graham_Summers

Modern financial theory dictates that sovereign bonds are the most “risk free” assets in the financial system (equity, municipal bond, corporate bonds, and the like are all below sovereign bonds in terms of risk profile). The reason for this is because it is far more likely for a company to go belly up than a country.

Friday, November 16, 2012

What Really Happened When Lehman Failed… And Why Spain Will Be Much Worse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Graham_Summers

Countless pages have been written about why Lehman caused the system to almost implode. However, the reality is that Lehman nearly took down the entire financial system for two reasons:

1)   Lehman’s $155 billion worth of bonds were used as collateral in hundreds of billions of Dollars’ worth of trades.

2)   Lehman’s 8,000 clients who were all using Lehman to make trades saw the collateral that they had placed with the firm (to backstop their portfolios) frozen.

Friday, November 16, 2012

Stock Market Crash to Start This Morning! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The fractals are getting shorter, which means that the market is gaining momentum as it declines.  Let’s examine the fractals making up the waves in the chart. 

First, a point of clarification.  I view the October 5 high as the Orthodox high, although the cycles called for the high on September 14.  In my opinion, the Elliott Waves fell in line by producing a truncated 5th wave on October 5.

Thursday, November 15, 2012

Financial Markets Second Shoe About to Drop?  / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Brian_Bloom

The first shoe dropped to the floor in September 2008. With heroic obtuseness regarding the causes, the world’s central bankers flooded the financial markets with liquidity.  Arguably, all that this achieved was a type of Indian summer.  It seems that we are about to experience the consequences of that misguided behaviour.  There is no such thing as a free lunch. One cannot create wealth out of thin air by printing money.

The four charts below seem to be pointing to an important inflexion point. The financial markets appear to be on the verge of panic.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Stock Market S&P 1375 Support Breaks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The bears had their chance yesterday morning with the S&P 500 gapping below 1375. It opened at 1371, only to see the bears give it up to an intraday rally that carried the index back to the low 1380's. The bears had to feel bad mostly because losing key support, such as S&P 500 1375, usually happens on a strong gap down and run. They accomplished the gap down but did not succeed on the run. The bulls found a way to hold the line. Then came last night and Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) fooled the masses with a very nice report and some better than expected guidance. More on that later. The futures exploded higher. The bulls felt they had held the line in the sand and now it would be reversal up time. The futures were strong all night, but they began to weaken some as the morning wore on, although we still had a decent gap up open today. It didn't take long before the upside started to erode. The S&P 500 testing back towards 1375 again.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Stock Market Holiday Rally Looks to be a Turkey / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Ed_Carlson

A rally into the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday is standard fare for the equity markets as it is for most holiday-shortened weeks. There should be plenty of meat for the bulls; unfortunately, it looks to be a bull-trap.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Stock Market Crash Begins Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX slipped loose of all supports this morning. Yesterday’s failure to test the underside of the Orthodox Broadening Top as I had indicated tells us that more weakness is to be expected.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Emerging Stock Markets Forecast 2013: Forget the BRICs Buy These Markets Instead / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: Savvy investors know there is far more to the markets than sitting on your hands worrying about the fiscal cliff.

Believe it or not the world doesn't revolve around the United States-or the Western world.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Marc Faber Warns Global Stock Markets Will Implode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Videos

In this "Squawk Box" excerpt, Marc Faber warns investors to prepare for an eventual "'reset" of the global financial system:

“The market is going down because corporate profits will begin to disappoint, the global economy will hardly grow next year or even contract, and that is the reason why stocks, from the highs of September of 1,470 on the S&P, will drop at least 20 percent, in my view.”