Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, October 04, 2010
Gold Stocks, SP500 and U.S. Dollar Turning Points, What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Investors around the globe are concerned with the economic outlook, not only with the United States but with virtually every country. This has caused not only investors but banks and countries to start buying gold & silver in order to be protected incase of a currency melt down in the coming years.
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Sunday, October 03, 2010
Stock Market Top? The Bull & Bear of it! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I've been calling for a top into the end of September 2010, and Thursday's gap higher and failure is a classic sign of potentially just that. That being said, there is still too many conflicting technicals currently.
$SPX 60 Minute: I've put the bearish label on the 60 minute chart because it looks like a classic ABC pattern up. The MACD doesn't look terribly bearish sliding lower, so we could get another little push higher. So far, price has been held in check at the middle pitchfork line, but the RSI has room to support another test of overbought levels. Price needs to trade below 1,125 to increase the bearish view. That will also overlap with wave A.
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Sunday, October 03, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Explained / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It has now been some 19 months since the March 2009 low. Because of the duration of this rally, many are beginning to wonder how I can continue to say that it’s a bear market rally and not a new bull market. The answer to this question lies with the historical bull/bear market relationships, Dow theory phasing and values.
So, let’s first look at bull and bear market relationships. But, before I even begin I want to clarify that cycles have absolutely nothing to do with Dow theory. Cycles and Dow theory are two completely different disciplines. However, they can be used to compliment each other if we understand both disciplines.
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Sunday, October 03, 2010
Stock Prices Are Still Cheap! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Are stock prices still cheap? It all depends on how you look at it of course and what your time horizon is for the stock's price history.
Part of what makes the markets function properly is the multitude of belief systems, strategies, analysis and risk tolerance that we all use.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
Stock Market SPX Topping Pattern Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Has Another Slow Week. - The FDIC Failed Bank List announced two new bank closures this week. Lenders in Florida and Washington collapsed today, pushing the number of U.S. bank failures to 129 for the year, as financial firms suffer losses on loans tied to real estate.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
Stock Market Consolidating.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There is a large belief that the market has no chance for a break up and out from here. That the top has been put in when it failed above 1150 a day back. That may very well be true, but I don't think that's the case at all. When the market got to the 1150 area on its way to the big one at 1160, it did so at overbought. Not the best way to get there. It was natural for it to fail there after a big run up. First tests after a big run usually do fail. It usually takes multiple moves back up to take it out.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
The BubbleOmics Guide to Gaming Billions from Basel III / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Good News, the draft new “Basel” rules from the Bank of International Settlements are just out and are approved subject to detail. So is this the start of a new beginning?
Banking Regulation is not exactly a subject that excites passion, although the reaction from “God’s Workers” was that the new rules might make it harder for them to perform their essential service to mankind (and thus more expensive). And thus the overview put out by the Central Bankers Club in Basel onto the Web, is a masterpiece of political correctness and restrained “gravitas” http://www.basel-iii-accord.com/.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
Blue Chips Outperform in Mixed Stocks Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed at the end of the day with better results on the New York Stock Exchange than on Nasdaq. The day started out with a gap up on both indices. They reached resistance, then sold off very sharply on economic news, with the Nasdaq 100 dropping from 2017 down to 1987, or 30 points. The S&P 500 at that point dropped from 1151 down to 1139, about 12 points.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
Investors refuse to be suckered back into the stock market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
U.S. Postal Service Had $6 Billion Loss in 2010
(Bloomberg) The U.S. Postal Service, whose request for a rate increase was turned down this week, had a $6 billion loss in the fiscal year that ended yesterday, Postmaster General John Potter said.
The agency, which sought permission from its regulator to raise rates an average of 5.6 percent, had forecast a loss of $7 billion in the 2010 fiscal year. The loss is before a $2 billion non-cash adjustment for workers’ compensation liability, which is increasing because of lower interest rates, Potter told reporters today in Washington.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
Investors Surmounting the Wealth Destruction Dollar Debasement Juggernaut / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“The Dollar's decline is a result of the "quantitative easing" the Fed has been stepping up recently. Quantitative Easing is a fancy term for printing fiat money and exchanging it for long term good and garbage securities held by Wall Street firms, as part of the president's Working Group's activities. The money has debased the value of the Dollar, and found its way into commodities, stock and bond markets. At some point here, stocks will no longer remain in an uptrend, as the Dollar's debasement takes its toll.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
China, The Tale of the Asian Tiger Boosting Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Hang Seng rose 179 points in today’s trading and finished down 20 for the day – THAT’S how bad the open was! The Nikkei finished an up and down 100-point swing up 34 points at 9,404 but dove into the close along with the dollar (our 3am trade), which now can be bought with just 83 Yen. The Shanghai, on the other hand, was feeling hot, hot, hot and gained 1.7% just behind the BSE, which flew up 1.9% to take back the position of Global Leader.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 01, 2010
Stock Market Seasonality Revisited! / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
Since we are within a few weeks of the potential beginning of the market’s historically favorable season, it’s time to again bring up the subject of the market’s seasonality.
Friday, October 01, 2010
Stock Market In Ben We Trust / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Global indices have been powering higher, led by strong U.S. equities and a falling dollar, which has seen the largest September rise on Wall Street since 1939. This has been bullish for all ‘risk’ correlated trades with commodities and foreign currencies being strongly bid.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
David Tepper's Unrestrained Optimism on Prospects of Fed Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Billionaire David Tepper, one of the most successful hedge fund managers in the world, attracted much attention in a September 24th CNBC appearance by presenting such unrestrained optimism that even the normally buoyant network hosts were somewhat surprised. In a rare interview, Tepper argued that all asset classes would go higher no matter if the US economy recovers or not (with the possible exception of the US dollar). His faith is derived from the belief that even if the US economy deteriorates and fails to raise markets through organic growth, the Fed will certainly step in with enough liquidity to push up stock and bond prices.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Institutional Buying and Selling Levels Predict the Stock Market's Direction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Using Institutional Buying and Selling data is not a trading system, but some people do base their trades on Institutional Buying and Selling activity.
We post the Institutional buying and selling data everyday on our paid sites, and today's chart shows the "Net" of Institutional buying minus the amount of Institutional selling for any given day.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Stock Market Rally, The Biggest Disconnect of All Time / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I’m seeing one of the biggest disconnects of all time — between the underlying U.S. economy and the performance of the stock market. Just consider what we’ve learned about the economic fundamentals in the past several days …
Read full article... Read full article...• Consumer confidence plunged in September — to 48.5 from 53.2 in August. That was far below the 53 reading economists were expecting, and the worst in seven months.
Friday, October 01, 2010
China PMI Cheers Stock Markets While PIGS Fly Tighter / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
US macro data sent the markets higher initially Thursday (GDP beat 1.7% v 1.6% cons; Chicago PMI 60.4 v 55.5 cons; weekly jobless data was also better), with the S&P500 breaking through the 1150 mark to new highs. However, the break did not last long as the futures desk’s month end flow was better to sell (the chatter from the US was that asset allocators were going to have to dump equities on the close given the outperformance of equities in September). The selling pressure eroded the majority of macro-led gains, leading to a finish in negative territory on the day.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Stock Market Big Rally Gives Up All Gains and Then Some... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The major indexes gap up and rally on news that Q2 GDP growth was slightly better than expected then all those gains went away with a trip lower by a like amount and a finish in the red...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
FTSE Stock Index Rresilient Hesitation Encourages Bullish Optimism / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Impending spending cuts and VAT increases scheduled for the start of 2011 may at best depress growth for a couple of quarters and at worst risk a double dip recession. Despite this the FTSE is only around 200 points off its 2010 highs.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Nasdaq Stock Market Not Doom & Gloom; Cyclical Investment Opportunity! / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Unfortunately investors as a group are slow to adapt to change, which can be a harsh and costly lesson to learn. But where there is turmoil there is also opportunity for those who can recognize change and make that adaptation.
From 1980 to 2000 the world enjoyed expanding credit and a seemingly forever growing stock market. By the end of the twenty year run in stocks the predictable investment environment led advisors and investors to believe in an apathetic strategy of ‘buy and hold’ and ‘forget about your investments’.
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