Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Theory 144 and Disequilibrium Explain Stock Market Price Action, EMH RIP / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Knox_Barker
The idea that markets tend toward a state of equilibrium is a fundamental principle of the efficient-markets hypothesis (EMH). This hypothesis, based on an equilibrium driven world, has ruled academia and served as a primary driver of institutional investment decision making for decades. However, it remains a hypothesis because after decades of analysis it has not delivered sufficient real-life evidence and data to attain the level of a theory. Wild market swings, such as the 2007-2009 global market crash, and the flash crash of May 2010, where unbridled greed cowered before the onslaught of fear, confirms that the EMH belongs in the dustbin of failed financial hypothesis.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Stocks and Commodities Risk Warning as Global Liquidity Dries Up! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Claus_Vogt
Last week I wrote about how mutual fund cash holdings had fallen to a 3.4 percent record low. That means mutual fund managers have never been more highly invested in the stock market than they are now!
History shows that low points in the mutual fund cash quote have been near perfect signals to get out of the stock market. But I think it’s smart to have additional confirmation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
European Stocks Weaker as Japan Intervenes to Force Yen Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Despite the upside surprise in retail sales U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, preventing the longest S&P’s 500 Index winning streak since July. Concern that Bank of America may have to buy back as much as $20 billion in home loans offset a rally by technology companies. Bank of America shed 2%, dragging banks in the S&P 500 to the biggest decline among 24 industries. BB&T., North Carolina’s second-biggest bank, slumped 4% after saying it will write down more than $1 billion in loans. But Cisco Systems , the largest maker of networking equipment, rose 1% percent after announcing its first dividend, while Hewlett- Packard rallied 2.6%. Elsewhere Newmont Mining gained 4% as gold futures rose to a record $1,276.50 an ounce on safe haven buying.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Stock Market Overhead Resistance Clotheslines Indexes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
The June 21st highs are halting an advance of the major indexes...
Recommendation: Take no action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
S&P Potential Triple Top Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Banister
The SP 500 index has run up as forecasted to our subscribers a few weeks ago to a high of 1123 from the 1040 fibonacci pivot. Here at TMTF, we immediately took notice of the clear 3 wave pattern during the drop from 1130 to 1040 and cautioned our subscribers that a rally was likely. We also advised that if the SP 500 could clear the 1094 area that the bulls would take charge and we would turn our intermediate views bullish for the markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
September Fears And Polarizing Financial Markets Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Andrew_McKillop
Financial market operators and leading investment funds in several countries are now betting on
two major trends: increasing risk aversion and fear of low asset performance, and increasing
distrust of many types or classes of assets. These themes are sometimes opposed and sometimes
linked, for example declining confidence in equity performance in theory could drive investors,
perhaps only for a short while, to buy gold thus raising the profile of some types of reputedly
secure assets.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stock Market Testy Tuesday - Kan Keeps His Job, Yen Makes New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Japan has the same Prime Minister!
That is big news after having 5 different ones the past 4 years. With the last PM lasting just 9 months, word was Kan was going to challenge the record for shortest term after being forced into this election just 3 months after being elected the first time. When we talked about this yesterday, the race was considered "too close to call" but the incumbent Mr. Kan ended up winning 60% of the vote - kind of makes you wonder how far off our own pollsters are with their early election calls…
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stocks Pare Losses On US Retail Sales / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Weekend clarity on bank capital requirements out of Basel III coupled with better than expected Chinese industrial production and an EU forecast for stronger growth buoyed US equities Monday. On a sector level, semis and financial stocks led all gainers as Gartner Research estimated that semiconductor equipment spending would double in 2010 and as large cap financial companies reacted positively to less stringent capital requirements and timing i.e. allowing a longer than expected transitional period JP Morgan . and Bank of America both rose more than 3 percent while Alcoa and General Electric gained more than 1.6 percent. Microsoft advanced 5.3 percent on news that the software maker will sell debt to fund dividends and buybacks.
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
What The Stock Market VIX Volatility Index May Be Telling Us / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: David_Grandey
Take a look at the chart of the VXX, which is the volatility index or commonly known as the FEAR index.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Basel III Boosts Bank Stocks... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
Market bulls didn't have to look far for another catalyst as Basel III didn't yield any surprises allowing European bank shares to soar...
Recommendation: Take no action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
An In-depth Look at U.S. Retail Stocks / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Nilus_Mattive
While Americans haven’t completely abandoned their spendthrift ways, there’s no doubt that the typical shopper is thinking a lot more about their purchases … and in general, our nation is revisiting the idea of saving for a rainy day.
I’ll discuss the broad implications of this shift some other time. Today, I’d like to talk about the specific companies most affected by our nation’s newfound frugality — the retailers.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Peter Schiff, Why It's Time To Dump Most US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Peter_Schiff
Stocks are widely believed to provide inflation protection since factories, equipment and inventories rise in value as prices generally increase. Historically, stocks have in fact tended to rise with inflation rates, but too much inflation has caused volatility and raised a question as to whether stocks really are a reliable inflation hedge.
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stock Market Still Deluding Itself That It Can Escape The Inevitable Dénouement / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
One of my favorite analysts is Albert Edwards of Societe Generale in London. Acerbic, witty and brilliant. Emphasis on brilliant. The fact that he is a Doppelganger for James Montier (who long time readers are well acquainted with) is a coincidence (or he would say vice versa). I only kind of have permission to forward this note to you, but better to ask forgiveness… So, this week he is our Outside the Box. And a short but good one he is.
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stock Market Nice Start to Week as Indices Hold Most of Their Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices opened with a bang today on big gaps up, ran up sharply to new rally highs, and backed off mid-day to test. When that was successful, they came on again in the afternoon and went to new highs on the Nasdaq 100, but did not do so on the S&P 500, and then backed off in the last five minutes to peel back from the highs, but still a positive gain.
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stock Market Bears Feeling The Pain... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
What else can you say if you've been taught to short the market just because of seasonality, and because you're told over and over just how things are out there. Playing seasonality is the worst thing you can do. Markets simply don't work that way all the time, or even close, really. Not only that, but even the worst month, September, is only down an average of about 1%. So many people look at the calendar and make their bets based on it. I just don't get it. If the market is on a sell signal then so be it. Doesn't matter if it's September, or February, or any other month. No different if there's a buy signal in place. Whatever message is sent out at any moment in time is all that should be thought about by traders.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Stock Market Deflationary Dreams, Reflationary Reality / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Steven_Vincent
(originally published 09/06/10-09/12/10 for BullBear Trading members) - In the last BullBear Weekend Report I called for an important bottom and a sharp rally and we did get just that. We are now long from SPX 1048. Technicals indicate that the rally has further to go both in the short and intermediate terms. There are significant indications that a long term bottom has been put in place and that at a minimum a revisit of the April highs is possible. So far there are little if any indications that a bear trend will resume any time soon.
Monday, September 13, 2010
Stocks With China Economic Growth Connections / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
China's growth prospects have brightened, as we look at in detail in our video this week, and here are charts of a number of stocks which may benefit from China's move.
One is United States Steel Corp. (X), which should benefit from China procurement of steel and heavy building materials. U.S. Steel has a pretty nice pattern, somewhat similar to the Shanghai Composite Index. U.S. Steel had an initial up move, got hung up at 50-51, pulled back, and now looks like it is ready to go again, holding its shorter-term moving averages and looking like it could be in a position to attack again the 200-day moving average, which isn’t falling, by the way, but rather rising.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 13, 2010
Taxes, Basel III, Gold & Going to College? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Interesting Gallup poll: Only 1 in 3 Americans actually favor keeping tax cuts for the top 2% (people making over $250,000 a year). As Barry Ritholtz says, that may come as a shocker to anyone who watches CNBC or reads the Journal or Fox or other conservative information sources. Maybe the Democrats aren’t so crazy pushing this as the focus of the upcoming election.
Monday, September 13, 2010
Stocks Bulls Continue to Run... / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Mark_McMillan
The bulls continue to press stocks higher with 200-DMAs representing potential break out levels...
Recommendation: Take no action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 13, 2010
A Diluted Dose of Basel III Cheers Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
US stocks pared gains Friday after former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker said the US and European economies may take years to recover from the recession. The S&P 500 Index rose 0.2 percent in New York, paring earlier gains of as much as 0.6 percent after wholesale inventories rose more than forecast and oil climbed to near a three-week high. Chevron Corp. and Halliburton both rose at least 1.9 percent as crude oil gained the most in six weeks. Moody’s Corp. jumped 5.9 percent after Piper Jaffray & Co. raised its rating on the stock. National Semiconductor Corp. slumped 6.4 percent after forecasting sales that missed analysts’ estimates. Dell Inc. and Adobe Systems Inc. sank at least 2 percent after Morgan Stanley cut its recommendations for the shares.