Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Financial Markets Profit Opportunity Thresholds Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“One of the great current myths that is being propounded by those in charge is that they are going to magically withdraw, at the appropriate time, the stimulus which is currently preventing the world economy from imploding.

What a bad joke, that is! Tim Geithner, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, may have given the whole ruse away when he said recently that it was important that the authorities publically discuss the subject of withdrawing the stimulus because it was important in sustaining the confidence of financial markets. Very simply, that’s what this is all about. It is a large con job to keep financial markets elevated so the average citizen will ignore the rot which is eating away at the foundation of the economy and the financial system.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Stock Market Investors Open Mind Warning on Highest U.S. Unemployment In 26 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Investors Are Wise To Remain Flexible: The bearish spin on unemployment is obvious. The bullish spin is weak employment means low interest rates which is good for asset prices. Another possible spin by the bulls is "sell the rumor (weak employment) and buy the news (Friday's report)". Ultimately, it matters how the market (in the collective minds of participants) chooses to spin it, not how we at CCM choose to spin it. Nor does it matter how any one individual, one columnist, one market guru, one money manager, one firm, or one talking head chooses to spin it.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Finance's Euphoria: The Epilogue -- What Record High Dollar Volume of Trading Says About Confidence / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: EWI

The following article was adapted from the November 2009 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and reprinted with permission here. Until Nov. 11, you can read the rest of this brand-new report for free, during Elliott Wave International's FreeWeek of U.S. forecasts. Learn more about FreeWeek, and download the rest of this report and others for free here.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Stock Market Rydex Market Timers Are Extremely Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.

Friday, November 06, 2009

S&P Stock Market Rally To Fail, Lower Lows Ahead / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Jim_Curry

In a prior article (10/22/09), I discussed several key mid-term cycles that were turning down into the mid-November time period - which would ideally set the S&P 500 up for it's largest correction seen since coming off the March, 2009 bottom. Since that time, the SPX has seen a sharp decline from the 1101.36 swing high to the 1029.38 low, seen in Monday's trading session.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Stock Market Bulls Snap Back...Take 50's With Them..For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

Are we having fun yet? This whipsaw is classic. It's more the sign of a mature market that needs a lateral consolidation due to the great move it made over the past few months. Mature meaning, upside isn't easy but difficult to kill because the economic news and earnings reports are so good overall. Push and pull which allows a longer term lateral basing pattern to form to cool down the oscillators and emotions from a too bullish perspective. Now, even though we never got overly bullish in sentiment, it never hurts to get the average individual a little more cautious if not bearish.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Robert Prechter Current Stock Market Bear and Crash Calls / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Eight months ago, the stock market began a very large rally -- the gains exceeded 60% in the S&P 500. Everyone knows this. But here's a fact that has gone virtually unreported: The vast majority of those gains (about 90%) were from March through August. By comparison, September and October were sluggish.

Yet the past two months have been the very time when the financial press has been the loudest about "green shoots," "recovery" and "new bull market." So the question is WHY -- why so much enthusiasm, even as the evidence literally fades away?

Thursday, November 05, 2009

I Apologize to David Viniar and Goldman's Lawyers and Call for More Regulation of Goldman Sachs / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Janet_Tavakoli

I apologize to Goldman Sachs’ CFO David Viniar. He did not lie when he said that Goldman’s direct credit exposure with AIG was hedged in the event AIG collapsed. He only addressed direct AIG credit risk.1 On September 16, 2008, he may merely have been unimaginative about risk to Goldman as a result of AIG’s potential bankruptcy partly brought on by stress created by billions in collateral payments already made—and the billions in additional collateral owed—to Goldman Sachs (and other CDS counterparties). Systemic risk is a matter of public interest. Viniar apparently did not intentionally give the impression that Goldman was disinterested when it came to AIG’s bailout.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Rethinking the Growing China Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Q1_Publishing

“It’s the only place we could take a company in a developed industry and double our business each year for five years. Where else can you start out with $5 million in sales and be making $35 million in practically no time?”

That’s what one of the world’s leading Chinese financiers told me over dinner last night.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Any Way You Slice It, We’re at a Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Graham_Summers

As you’re no doubt well aware, the US stock markets have been on an absolute tear since March 2009. Indeed, October stands as the first month stocks closed at a loss this year, which means the market had seven straight winning months in a row. This HAS to be some kind of record. 

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Is Warren Buffett Implying the Stock Market Will Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: StocksBuddy

Before we begin this article we would like to clarify that neither this article nor this site is associated with Mr. Buffett. Then why did we title this article that way. Continue reading and you will figure out the relationship.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Analysis for November 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Hans_Wagner

Starting with the indexes gives an overall perspective to the markets. This is monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent for defining the longer-term trends for the market.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

China Up / U.S. Down Investment Risk Theme Checkup / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Richard_Shaw

One big investment risk is subscribing to a popular mantra with your life’s savings, without continuously checking the data — the facts — to make sure the mantra continues to make sense.

The “China up” and “U.S. down” theme is a major current mantra.  There are plenty of very bright, well informed, high profile people espousing the virtues of investing in China — people such as Marc Faber, Jim Rogers, Mohamed El-Erian, George Soros and many others.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Still Many Broken Charts Despite the Stock Index Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Trader_Mark

Something that has been apparent lately is the weakness in small and mid caps, masked by the relative strength in large caps.  We can see this in the indexes - while we've corrected some in both NASDAQ and S&P 500 it is nothing like what I am seeing on individual stocks. 

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

This S&P 500 Chart Tells the Two-Part Truth / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Have you seen or read ANYTHING like this in the past two weeks?

The following text is courtesy of Elliott Wave International. Until Nov. 11, EWI is allowing non-subscribers to download their latest market analysis and forecasts for free, including Robert Prechter's latest Elliott Wave Theorist and Steve Hochberg's and Pete Kendall's latest Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. Learn more about FreeWeek, and download your free reports here.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Robert Prechter Latest Financial Market Analysis and Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: EWI

Eight months ago, the stock market began a very large rally -- the gains exceeded 60% in the S&P 500. Everyone knows this. But here's a fact that has gone virtually unreported: The vast majority of those gains (about 90%) were from March through August. By comparison, September and October were sluggish.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Fed Preventing Financial Institutions From Deleveraging by Propping Up Asset Prices / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Mike_Whitney

Size matters. And it particularly matters when the size of the financial system grossly exceeds the productive capacity of the underlying economy. Then problems arise. Surplus capital flows into paper assets triggering a boom. Then speculators pile in driving asset prices higher. Margins grow, debts balloon, and bubbles emerge. The frenzy finally ends when the debts can no longer be serviced and the bubble begins to unwind, sometimes violently. As gas escapes; credit tightens, businesses are forced to cut back, asset prices plunge and unemployment soars. Deflation spreads to every sector. Eventually, the government steps in to rescue the financial system while the broader economy slumps into a coma.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Stock Market Going Nowhere... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

I can try to think of a catchy title but what a waste of time. Only thing to say is what I said. We are Nowhere folks! The tape isn't a thing of beauty for either the bulls or the bears. It's playing, on almost a daily basis, with the 50-day exponential moving average on the S&P 500 while trading above it on the Dow and below it on the Nasdaq. A hunger for lower beta and lower P/E's is the story these past few weeks. That happens when markets, at the very least, are in correction mode. We fell 7% off the highs but there's been no follow through at the 50-day exponential moving average on the S&P 500, and considering we have the financials living there, they will have to falter much harder than they've already done for the S&P 500 to start looking truly bearish in nature.

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

Nouriel Roubini's 2009 Stock Market Calls Track Record / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Nouriel Roubini, Dr Doom the academic economist who has repeatedly peddled the stocks bear market case to a captured audience of naive investors has again come out with another in a series of Doom stories that has the effect of scaring investors away from the market.

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

Jeremy Grantham, Stock Markets Being Silly Again / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Mauldin

My long time readers are familiar with Jeremy Grantham of GMO as I quote him a lot. He is one of the more brilliant and talented value managers (and I should mention very successful on behalf of his clients). He writes a quarterly letter which I regard as a must read. I have excerpted parts of his recent letter, where the chief investment strategist really takes the current financial system follies to task. Typical of his great writing and thinking is the quote from this week's Outside the Box selection: