Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, March 29, 2007
Q4 Corporate Profits Sink - Thank Goodness For Wall St / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
The important new information in the Commerce Department's third guess at last year's fourthquarter GDP was its first guess at the same quarter's corporate profits. Commerce guessed low. Before-tax profits adjusted for inventory valuation and capital consumption turned negative sequentially, submerging 0.30% (not annualized) in Q4:2006. In fact, after a Q1:2006 surge of 12.60%, corporate profit growth was downright anemic in the last three quarters of 2006, as was real GDP growth (see Chart 1 below).
With volume growth slowing and labor costs rising, it is no wonder that profits growth is now struggling. It is doubtful things will turn around soon unless Circuit City's plan to effectively cut the salaries of many of its employees becomes the norm.
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Tuesday, March 27, 2007
China to Take Down World Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Christopher_Laird
Guys,
We are looking right now at the following situation. China is about to drop the world markets in stemming their bubbles – stocks and real estate and manufacturing. I notified PS subscribers that China is going to prick the world stock bubbles – as the emerging manufacturing giant, just like the USA did in the 1929/30’s.
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Tuesday, March 27, 2007
The Shanghai Stock Market Bubble and the "Euro/Yen" Tug-of-War / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
By: Gary_Dorsch
"Free markets for Free men", was a slogan etched on the floor jackets of several traders at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in the 1980's. But today, the slogan for traders is "Rigged markets for Central bankers," who try to move currency and stock markets with their control of the money spigots and timely "jawboning" to the media outlets, when markets become unruly. Today, trading in currencies, precious metals, and stock market indexes has turned into a game of central bank watching.
Right now, two of the most important pieces of the global market jig-saw puzzle are the Shanghai Stock Index bubble and the Tug-of-war over the "Euro /yen" carry trade. What happens in Shanghai can have a big influence over China's monetary policy, and is of great interest to commodity traders and Asian stock markets. The upcoming battle over the Euro /yen exchange rate can have a big influence over Japanese monetary policy and stock markets in Europe.
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Tuesday, March 27, 2007
Great Investment Bargains in Japan - How to participate in the coming boom / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
While China is indeed growing like a weed, many of its Asian neighbors are growing almost as rapidly. What's more, the stocks in some of these other countries are trading at lower valuations.
Since I was born with the cheapskate gene, I just love bargains. So today I want to tell you about Japan, a great place to find some of Asia's greatest value stocks.
Let's start with three facts:
Fact #1: Japan boasts the second-largest economy and stock market in the world.
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Sunday, March 25, 2007
Summary of Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Summary Forecasts & Analysis
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With so many differing opinions on market direction, each supported by good solid analysis, the reader can become lost in which way appears the most probable.
Therefore the following represent the Editor of the Market Oracle, Nadeem Walayat's summary forecasts of the most probable outcomes, as derived by technical analysis and research, much of which are published as articles to this site. New forecasts & comments to exisitng forecasts are added on each new update.
| Commodity Markets |
| Gold | Gold Bull Market set to resume, targeting a rally to initially $847 and then $900 by the end of this year. 25/3/07 - Despite recent rally, gold looking weak in the immediate term, though has plenty of time to fulfill the forecast. |
|||
| 21st Jan 07 | ||||
| $636 | ||||
Saturday, March 24, 2007
Harness the Power of China’s $1 Trillion! - Gala Edition / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss - The timing of our second international teleconference this week couldn't have been better.
Every single one of the foreign stock markets we covered has since shaken off its earlier correction ... turned sharply higher ... and blasted off toward new highs.
So I hope you were able to make it and call in at the appointed hour. But if you couldn't, this double-length special issue gives you a second opportunity to get the information in a handy, readable format ...
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Saturday, March 24, 2007
Stock & Commodity Markets Elliott Wave Analysis - 25th March 07 - Testing, 1, 2 . . . 3? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
What a week… again! Once more, the boat was extremely tilted to one side and it had to sink. But not the market, this time it was the bears that really took a soaking. Members of TTC and regular readers of this update, though, continued to bank plenty of profits.
Since the markets broke from the top a few weeks ago, I've insisted on two things. The first was that I wasn't going to label the big picture yet. Even though we were fortunate to be among the few, if not the only ones to navigate last year's rally all the way to the top, I didn't like that drop last month at all – at least not as the start of a bear market. It would have been easy to take a bow, and congratulate myself on a job well done, but I'm always looking for the next trade and I said the fast selloff from 1461 opened doors for alternatives that included new highs AND new lows.
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Saturday, March 24, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 24th Mar 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: Last week new lows evaporated. On the NASDAQ new lows declined on both Thursday and Friday in spite of declines in the NASDAQ composite (OTC). The picture was similar on the NYSE with only 7 new lows recorded on Friday.
Short Term
Martin Zweig's up volume indicator got a lot of publicity in technical circles when it was triggered last week. The indicator was also triggered on March 6, but analysts' were probably too afraid to notice that time.
Friday, March 23, 2007
Amex Oil Index (XOI) getting set for a possible strong Upside Breakout / Stock-Markets / Oil Companies
By: David_Petch
The chart of the XOI is getting more and more interesting each week. The XOI has shot up the past few days and is set to break out of an apparent wedge structure; should it break to the upside then the next impulsive move is underway. The Bollinger bands are still contracting, indicating a contraction in volatility (sorry, not revealing much information in their current pattern).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 23, 2007
Stock Market Bounce due to Fed Liquidity / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
The Fed pumped in a ton of liquidity that is supporting the market's up movement. Sometime next week, the S&P 500 (and the other indexes) will meet resistance when they close their gaps as seen on the chart below.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 23, 2007
Financial Markets Manipulation - The Rise of the Bernanke Put Option? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson - Did you see that monster rally on Wednesday afternoon? The one that sent the Dow up more than 150 points in the blink of an eye? If you're wondering what caused it, I have an answer for you …
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke is trying out the “Greenspan put!”
Alan Greenspan, our last Fed Chairman, was notorious for solving market crises by lowering interest rates. In fact, the Wall Street crowd even dreamed up a nickname for this — the Greenspan put.
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Wednesday, March 21, 2007
Stock market and natural resources recovery continues / Stock-Markets / Metals & Mining
By: Clif_Droke
The market indicated its super-oversold condition to us soon after the Feb. 27 sell-off based on volume and put/call ratio indications. The bottom has since been confirmed and Wednesday witnessed the big rally day everyone has been waiting for. The market rewarded our patience on Wednesday by rallying 24 points, or 1.71%, as measured by the S&P 500 index (SPX).
As of Wednesday the number of stocks making new 52-week highs on the NYSE was 239 versus only 19 new lows. The number of new lows over the past week has held consistently below 40, a sign that internal selling pressure is almost non-existent. That's a big positive from a technical standpoint and it proves that the recent damage done by the Feb. 27 panic selling was over-done and bound to be recovered. As of Wednesday we've recovered most of those losses as measured by the SPX.
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Monday, March 19, 2007
FTSE 100 and Dow Jones Stock Market Analysis and Outlook / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The FTSE last week fell and hit its target of 6000, followed by the anticipated bounced as summarised below. (Article - 13th March 07)
FTSE 100
The FTSE 100 is targeting 6000, there is a strong probability of the FTSE holding 6000 (5990 low). Further downside appears limited in the immediate down swing.
The FTSE continued its rally on Monday to complete the target requirements for the bounce from 6000. I.e. to effectively put in a lower high, and therefore now again targets a trend back to 6000.
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Monday, March 19, 2007
Another View on the recent Stock Market Panic / Stock-Markets / US Utilities
By: Roger_Conrad
Speaking engagements are one of the more useful aspects of my job.
This weekend, I'm at the Renaissance Waverly Hotel in Cobb County, Georgia, for the WealthExpo.
I look forward to meeting many readers and hearing of their concerns and queries, and I'll be summing them up in next week's Utility & Income. Utility Forecaster subscribers please note: This issue's Roundup has a brief, between-issues roundup of every Portfolio recommendation.
As the past week's extremely turbulent market events showed yet again, the world's investment markets are increasingly connected.
Events that may seem wholly unconnected on the other side of the globe are increasingly affecting investors everywhere.
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Monday, March 19, 2007
Nolte Notes - Financial Markets attempting to make a bottom in the short-term / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
The issue du jour has been alternating between the sub-prime mortgage “contagion” and China trying to slow their economic growth and by extension the speculation in their markets. Banks, brokerage firms as well as loan companies directly involved in the mortgage business are being affected, however no one is quite sure how pervasive the problem is (or can be) and ultimately the impact upon the consumer and the economy.
Retail sales came in below expectations as weather was cited as a problem (what IS good shopping weather?) and brokerage earnings reports outlined some problems with their sub-prime mortgages – but little else was disclosed. China is a whole separate issue, as their local market has doubled in less than a year and the government has hiked both interest rates (again this weekend) and increased investment requirements for speculation.
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Monday, March 19, 2007
Three Sweeping Events in China's Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Suddenly, just in the past week, China has jumped ahead with three sweeping reforms to solidify its growth, bolster its financial markets, and more rapidly transform itself into a 21st century market economy.
Each step, when taken separately, is fuel for more growth. All three, when combined, are electrifying.
Whether or not these reforms bring more political freedom to China remains to be seen. But they're likely to set off a chain reaction of further legal changes, and ultimately, an end to nearly all vestiges of communism in China's economy.
Reform #1 Chinese National Legislature Passes New Property Law
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Sunday, March 18, 2007
Financial Markets Wrap - US Economy, Bonds, Currencies and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
Economy - The Labor Department reported a 0.4% increase in the consumer price index, which followed on the heels of a 0.2% increase in January. Core prices, excluding food and energy, were up 0.2%, and 2.7% from one year ago. Overall prices are up 2.4% from last year.
Food prices comprise about 20% of the CPI. They increased 0.8%, the most since April 2005, after a 0.7% rise in January.
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Sunday, March 18, 2007
Weekly Financial Markets Review - More weakness expected this week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The corrective stock market rally continued into Monday with targets of 50% of the decline from the highs. The Dow hitting 12,350 on Monday and the FTSE enjoying a morning rally on Tuesday to just shy of 6280. Tuesday evenings article - The Corrective Rally is over as the Stock Markets tumble on more Subprime bad news Summarised targets for the current down leg as follows -
FTSE 100
The FTSE 100 is targeting 6000, there is a strong probability of the FTSE holding 6000 (5990 low). Further downside appears limited in the immediate down swing.
Saturday, March 17, 2007
S&P Stock Market Analysis & Forecast : Knockdown, Drag Out / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
“I also think the boxing gloves might come off and we'll be in for a real street fight at the first gap off the lows.”
If you read last week's update, then you should've been expecting the total bull vs. bear streetfight that broke out like a gang riot at Wednesday's lows.
But did you have the guts to pull the trigger?
There were two things I mentioned last week that should have had readers buying Wednesday's lows with no sweat. The first was the quote above, and the second was this:
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Saturday, March 17, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 17th March 2007 / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: The weakness that began late last month should end soon, although, there is likely to be one more leg down.
Short Term
New lows dry up quickly after a bottom has been reached.
The first chart is an update of one I showed last week, it covers the past 6 months showing the S&P 500 (SPX) in red and a 10% trend of NYSE new lows (NY NL) in brown. Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the first trading day of each month and NY NL has been plotted on an inverted Y axis to make the chart easier to read (up is good).
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