Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

The Dow Jones Continues To Trump UP! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Eric Balchunas, ETF Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, stated that "Financial ETFs are on fire, but the center of the heat is really banks, which will benefit from rising rates more than other areas of the financial sector,".

Is the strengthening of the dollar merely "temporary”? Is this recovery an illusion, which will precede an inevitable crash? I have maintained all along that there has been no real recovery and that the FED will not raise interest rates soon, contrary to common widespread beliefs.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Gold, Commodities, Forex and Stock Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Ken_Ticehurst

We continue to be bearish on Gold as we have been for months, our only recent change is that we are expecting a significant low earlier in 2017 than previously forecast. We have consistently maintained that this bearish phase is just a short term consolidation before we begin a new and significant rise that could well lead to new all time highs.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

The Spreading Bondfire And The Rising Price Of Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Today’s rising interest rates and trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come, i.e. rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of the global government bond bubble and the long awaited breakout of gold.

Last year, on December 15, 2015, the Fed announced the first tentative rate increase in nearly ten years, from 0.0% to 0.25%. The Fed had last raised rates in June 2006 which eventually burst the US real estate bubble in 2007 resulting in the collapse of global markets in 2008.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Stock Market Rally Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX closed under 2200.00, as suggested. Whether that is the end of the rally will be ascertained at tomorrow’s open. All of the Waves appear to be complete and on time.

Note that two new potential catalysts have hit the internet. The first is a “Big Problem” has just emerged for Trump’s Economic Plan. It is expected to add $5.3 trillion to the debt over the next decade.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

S&P 500 Makes The Move... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The S&P 500 made the move over 2194 today on a closing basis. Many onlookers were waiting patiently as the S&P 500 lagged badly behind other indexes, such as the Dow and small-cap stocks. It's important for the most followed index, with the biggest companies, to join the rest of the market on breakout to show confidence that the move higher is sustainable across the board. It doesn't guarantee anything, of course, in this game, but you need to see confirmation of some kind to make you know being long is the right place to be. Getting the breakout today is a sign of confidence.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Cheap Money to Continue Flowing & Helicopter Money to Start after 2017 Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: MoneyMetals

It is my privilege now to welcome in Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a money manager who ascribes to the Austrian School of Economics and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business News, and also the Money Metals Podcast.

Michael, it's always great to have you on. Thanks for joining us today and welcome back.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Stock and Bond Markets Outlook For 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: InvestingHaven

We have discussed at length different forecasts for 2017. All our calls, so far, seem to be spot-on. Think of our bullish call for financial stocks in 2017 and bearish gold price forecast 2017. In this article we explain our broad markets outlook for 2017.

Many investors look for leading indicators. Some look at the volatility index (VIX), others at the U.S. dollar or inflation expectations (TIPS). Some believe that reading the news will be helpful to understand where markets are going. The truth of the matter is that none of all that is helpful whatsoever. Most sources are only noise, and that is the reason why only 10% of investors are successful.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Stocks and Deby - Will Trump Bring Morning or Mourning in America? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Michael_Pento

On election night, as political analysts were coming to terms with the possibility of a Trump presidency, the Dow Jones futures plummeted over 800 points, and Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 plunged more than 6.1%. Investors across the country went to sleep with nightmares of protectionism (Smoot-Hawley Trade Tariffs 2.0) and the fiscal train wreck that a Trump presidency might bring.

But by the start of trading on November 9th, Dow futures had recouped most of their losses, and it didn't take long for the erstwhile despondent equity markets to turn sharply positive.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Why Post-Election Stock Market Rally Won’t Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Mauldin

I’d like to share an update that throws some chilly water on the post-election stock market rally.

My friends Van Hoisington and Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management usually write only quarterly letters. They send interim updates only when something of major consequence happens. The fact they wrote this one is significant… and what they say is definitely important.

Monday, November 21, 2016

Stocks Remain Close To All-Time Highs - Will The Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,240, and profit target at 2,060, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, November 21, 2016

Stock Market Swift Shift From Safety to Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

Part of the U.S. president-elect's narrative has been on invigorating the economy. Massive spending on upgrades in schools, highways, hospitals and infrastructure have all been mentioned.

The market, in response to the proposed spending, quickly shifted from safety assets to risk and growth.

Four sectors, in particular, saw solid selling pressure over the last 30 days (Chart 1).

Monday, November 21, 2016

Stock Market Short Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX may be entering the final intermediate phase of the uptrend which started at 1810.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, November 20, 2016

What Happens When the Fake Stock Market Driven By Fake Data Finally Adjusts to Economic Realities? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

While we’re on the topic of fake news… how about we assess the fake economy of the last eight years?

President Obama at one point claimed that those who questioned the strength of the recovery were “peddling fiction.”

It’s an interesting claim given the entire recovery, at least post 2010, has been built on fake economic data to perpetuate a fake narrative of growth.

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Stock Market Warning Signs, Gold Bounce Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

All year, I have been looking for an important bottom in the stock market around the end of November. The 40 week cycle low is due to give us at least an 11% shellacking and we have not seen one yet. I believe November 29th to December 5th may be the dates that will give us that drop.
Short term we are also due for a pullback, probably into November 21-22 of about 1 ½ to 2% off the top on Friday.  Friday posted an evening star reversal sign.

Gold made an irregular bottom on Friday, with huge positive divergences. GDX did not make a new bottom, also, creating an inter market bullish divergence.  We may see a huge spike up Monday and Tuesday, in the precious metals and GDX, as the stock market falls.

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Santa Trump US Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2164. After a bounce to SPX 2171 on Monday the market pulled back to 2156. On Tuesday the SPX hit 2181, but this was followed by a pullback to 2171 on Wednesday. On Thursday/Friday the SPX made a new uptrend high at 2190, then dipped to end the week at 2182. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: import prices, capacity utilization and the WLEI. On the uptick: retail sales, export prices, NY/Philly FED, business inventories, the CPI, housing starts, building permits, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, more housing reports and the Thanksgiving holiday.

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Trump Delirium Triggers Stock Market Brexit Upwards Crash Towards Dow 20,000! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

There were two consensus views heading into the US Presidential Election count night. Firstly that Hillary Clinton would win the election, after all Nate Silver had her penned at a 71% probability whilst the New York Times was touting 85% and so were the betting markets discounting a Hillary win with Trump trading on Betfair at 6.6 whilst Hillary stood at just 1.17 an hour before the polls closed. Then there were Hillary's wall street backers who had all but discounted their candidate winning.

Saturday, November 19, 2016

So Much For America Electing A Wall Street Outsider / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

During his run for the presidency, Donald Trump took the occasional break from insulting women and minorities to toss off some decent – even exciting – policy ideas. Term limits for congressmen and a ban on politicians becoming lobbyists, for instance, were straight from the Libertarian good-government Christmas list.

But best of all was the effective break-up of the big banks through the re-imposition of Glass-Steagall, a law passed during the Great Depression to separate taxpayer-protected commercial banks from free-to-fail investment banks.

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Basing Just Under The Breakout... Stock Market Bubble Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

he market is getting closer and close to that 2194 breakout the bulls have been waiting for since the double top in August. The market has been meandering around offering hope to the bears from time to time, but that hope gets squashed quickly. Every time we get a move lower that looks to head lower still the bulls find a way, no matter the news, to fire the market back up.

Friday, November 18, 2016

Stock Market SPX Trendline Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the SPX reversed at the Diagonal trendline in the first hour of the day. The initial impulse may go as low as 2171.00 to 2175.00 before a bounce. If it follows Cycles timing guidelines, we may see the top of the bounce between 2:00 and 3:00 pm.

Using that bounce to go short would be a highly aggressive play, so you may consider only a partial position.

Friday, November 18, 2016

Investment Survivor / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

My favorite reality TV show, Survivor, was created by the energetic and entirely self-made Mark Burnett.

A British expat with zero experience in show business, Burnett managed to go from selling T-shirts on a rented fence in Venice Beach, California, to heading up MGM Television.

I’m not alone in enjoying Survivor, as it ranks as the #1 summer TV show of all time.