Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Nasdaq 5000 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Jack_Steiman

It took fifteen years to make the round trip from 5000 plus down to 1100 back to 5000 on the Nasdaq. Most thought we'd never get back to that lofty level of 5000 after looking in to the eyes of 1100. The average trader, and especially the long-term holder, was devastated. All hope was lost for the most part by the majority of people. I don't think there's anyone reading this letter that thought the bubble that had burst would get back to a bubble again. But here we are. The glory of the froth bubble is back with us, but under different circumstances. Ms Yellen, and the rest of her global gang members, are protecting their markets through liquidity and rates, thus, it's very complicated when determining from what level this puppy will finally crash from. It will crash out some day, but to this point in time there are still no classic signs of that happening. I will discuss that in a bit.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

SPX, NDX Approaching Their Respective Stock Market Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The pattern in the NDX is the clearest. It shows an expanding Ending diagonal consisting of 5 – abc’s. The final c of (v) appears to be underway and may even be complete by the end of the day, one week shy of 6 years from the March 9, 2000 low at 1040.41. Today it is at 430% of its starting value. I don’t know whether that is a coincidence or not.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Stock Market Investors Herd Can Be Blind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

Going into 2015 the economic outlook held by the U.S. investment establishment could not have been much more positive, and more unified. Pundits saw all the variables aligning to create the best of all investment worlds, a virtual "no-brainer" of optimism. Many believed that the 5.0% annualized growth in 3rd quarter would stay strong in the 4th Quarter and then usher in a strong 2015, which many believed would be the best economic year since the crash of 2008. The only question that divided most forecasters was how good the year would be.

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

Not So Good Stock Market SPY Wedge Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

Yes, the short term Inflowing Liquidity has been positive and up trending. The affect of the Liquidity can be seen on this weekly chart of the SPY. As expected, the SPY has been moving higher, but is getting very close to its resistance area.

What doesn't look so great, is the longer term, rising wedge pattern that you can see on the SPY.

Monday, March 02, 2015

Stock Market Party Like It’s 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Michael_Pento

In 1982 the artist formally known as Prince released a popular party anthem called “1999”. The song was a premonition that 1999 would be a year we would all aspire to “party like”.  It was obvious that Prince was making reference to the excitement associated with ringing in a new century.  However, unbeknownst to him, the accommodative policies of the Federal Reserve would lead to a festal bubble in NASDAQ stocks, making his call to party in 1999 that much more appropriate.

Monday, March 02, 2015

Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150 and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, March 02, 2015

The Stock Market is in The Process of Major Top! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The 10/20 week cycle low is due within this time frame. The previous 10 wk cycle low (ideally 50 trading days) on Dec 15, 2014 ran just 43 trading days. The next ideal trading low is due on March 6, 2015.

Feb 24 marked an irregular topping pattern off the Feb 20 top, which in Elliott Wave terms means that after the expected fast sell-off, a fast rally should ensue. The larger (b) wave shown on the chart should tag near SPX 2008/09. The next top (wave 'c') should occur about 15 trading days after the Feb 24 top and that should be around Mar 18 near 2130.

Monday, March 02, 2015

Stock Market Weakening Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.

Sunday, March 01, 2015

Stock Markets Are Riding High on Thin Air / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

I am often asked by the investors in my funds, "When will markets finally start paying attention to the signs of weak economic growth?" I tell them that the consensus answer is that bull markets only end when the Fed starts aggressively raising interest rates.

I also tell them that when interest rates are at zero, as they have been for the last seven years, the normal answer may not apply. In the meantime, stocks keep hitting new record highs while bonds and commodities are telling a very different story about the state of the economy…

Sunday, March 01, 2015

Toppy Stock Market Charts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jesse

Stocks were floundering around most of the day on a weak GDP revision this morning, and a shockingly low Chicago PMI which *could* be an effect, at least in part, of the weather.

Stocks are looking a bit lofty here, and volumes are thin.

But here comes March, and another month in which the wolves can thin the saving herd, as thin as they may have become.

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Recession is On The Way; Beat The Stock Market Crowd, Panic Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Mike_Shedlock

In 2006-2007 I called for a recession. We got a big one. I called for another one in 2011, as did the ECRI. That recession never happened.

50% is not a very good recession predicting track record except in comparison to consensus economic opinions that have never once in history predicted a recession. Consensus opinion is batting a perfect 0.00%

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 2110. Then after dipping to SPX 2103 Monday morning the market rallied to new highs at 2120 by Wednesday. After that it spent the next two days within that range. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.1%, the NDX/NAZ were mixed, and the DJ World index was +0.3%. On the economic front negative reports continued to outpace positive ones. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, durable goods, the FHFA, consumer sentiment, and pending homes sales. On the downtick: existing home sales, consumer confidence, the CPI, the Chicago PMI, Q2 GDP, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports are highlighted by monthly Payrolls, the FED’s beige book and the PCE.

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Stock Market Hesitation At The Trend Lines..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Most of the major-index charts, especially the Nasdaq and S&P 500, hit the top of their trend lines and are now struggling. We've shown you these charts and how difficult it can be here for the markets to continue higher with force. It would be best if we pulled back some first, although markets know how to fool the masses. Would it shock me if we saw another move higher first, because that's least expected? Not at all. Maybe one more move towards Nasdaq 5K and then down hard. Maybe not. There really is no way to know.

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Don't Let This Stock Market Myth Cost You Your Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Amazon, Apple, Cisco, Barnes & Noble, and hundreds of other companies are at fresh 52-week highs, leading many investors to question the wisdom of putting more money to work.

Yet that’s exactly what you should be doing.

I know it seems counter-intuitive – especially if you believe in buy low and sell high like I do – but here’s the thing…

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Stock Market Investors Are Mistakenly Assured By Two Shaky Generalities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sy_Harding

Investors are complacent, even confident, regarding the prospects for 2015. That is in spite of the market being at valuation levels higher than all but one previous market peak of the last 100 years, while the economy appears to be slowing, corporate earnings growth is slowing, and the bull market has lasted an unusual length of time without a correction. In fact, the high level of investor optimism and confidence is itself a concern.

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Stock Market Indexes Creeping Towards the Edge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be working on Micro Wave v of (c). The ideal target is 2114.27, but the trendline is at 2113.20. The maximum that it may rise in this scenario is 2115.47. This morning’s suggestion of 2014.00-2015.00 may have been a bit generous.

This may be a good spot to add another layer of aggressive short positions in equities. No confirms yet, but that may change rather quickly.

Friday, February 27, 2015

France and Italy are the Next Causalities of the Credit Bubble / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: EWI

Editor's note: This article is excerpted from The State of the Global Markets Report -- 2015 Edition, a publication of Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. Data is updated to December 2014. You can download the full, 53-page report here.

Friday, February 27, 2015

Will Month Long Stocks Rally Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150 and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Investing Inertia Won’t Keep Your Cash Safe / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Dennis_Miller

A dear friend asked for help—the sort of help you might need too. She’s retired, lives alone, and has a modest nest egg. But the thought of losing any of her life savings terrifies her.

Let’s call my friend “Sally.” Sally doesn’t trust stockbrokers or any commission-based investment advisors, and she confided that all of her money is in a cash account, earning 0.01% interest.

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Another Reason To Worry About The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

The world is full of "carry trades" these days, and that's a really bad thing.

In general terms, a carry trade involves someone borrowing money cheaply in one currency or market and investing the proceeds in something else that offers a higher yield. The strategy is profitable as long as the currency being borrowed doesn't rise by more than the spread between the cost of the loan and the income from the investment.