Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 26, 2015
Stock Market Double Top Test Broke to the Upside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last Wednesday, we reported on the Double Top test going on with the NYA Index.
What has happened since last week?
The NYA closed 0.28 above its resistance on Friday, It pulled back on Monday, and then closed above its Double Top resistance yesterday.
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Thursday, February 26, 2015
EU Warns Ireland and Euro Zone of Debt Dangers / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- High “structural” unemployment, high levels of public and private debt and a still vulnerable banking sector are weighing on the Irish economy
- Report further casts doubt on the “recovery” narrative being touted by governments, banks and vested interests across the world
- Levels of spin and denial not seen since before the crash of 2008
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Thursday, February 26, 2015
Apple Stock Snaps A Bit... Market Froth Out Of Control But Nothing Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
In a normalized market it would be falling apart. The bull-bear spread is now at a ridiculous 45.4% with the bulls a hair shy of the magic 60% level, currently at 59.5%. Historically markets don't pull back from these levels. They crash. Nothing short of a massive, unexpected, out of the blue free-fall lower. We know why it's not happening yet. Fed Yellen, and all the global bankers, are working in concert to keep rates low and liquidity high, but rates at the low end is the real key to why we're holding up.
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Thursday, February 26, 2015
Stock Market Early Warning of a Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Minor Wave C rally appears to be over. A cross beneath SPX 2008.00-2010.00 may confirm the reversal.
The final waves settled into a Cyclical pattern that is unmistakable. Wave [i] finished in 25.8 hours. Wave [iii] completed in 34.4 hours. Wave [v] completed in 25.8 hours. The time spent on the rally itself was 116.1 hours.
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Thursday, February 26, 2015
The State of the Global Markets 2015 - 53 Page Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
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Wednesday, February 25, 2015
NASDAQ New 15 Year High - Stock Market Death By Overdose / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
"Easy is the descent down to hell;
Its gates stand open, day and night.
But to retrace one's steps, to return
To see again the pure clean air, and cheerfulness and life:
That is the real task, that is our true labour." - Vergil, Aeneid
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Wednesday, February 25, 2015
Stock Market Lindsay's Preliminary Low Sequence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
On August 23, 1972, the late technician George Lindsay made a presentation to the Society for the Investigation of Recurring Events (S.I.R.E.) in New York City. In that presentation he explained his preliminary low sequence.
Rather than the terms bull and bear markets (which can be of almost any duration) Lindsay created a concept called basic advances and basic declines. These basic movements are timed using his standard time spans which he found that, since 1798, all bull and bear markets fit into. When a basic decline terminates prior to the final low of a bear market that higher low was called a preliminary low (point 1).
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Tuesday, February 24, 2015
Another Important Stock Market Inflection Point Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The rally may be over, or nearly so. The sideways consolidation appears to be a sub-Minute Wave (iv) and Wave (v) of [v] also appears completed now.
Even the Fed has sent a warning, saying that equity valuations appear stretched and P/E ratios are somewhat elevated. They may wish to talk the market down, however, since treasury bonds are in a corrective mode and they are probably hoping that this is not the beginning of a new trend.
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Tuesday, February 24, 2015
A Math-Free Guide to Higher and Safer Investing Returns / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By Andrey Dashkov
I can make you instantly richer, and safely, by explaining a finance concept with a story about a dog.
There’s a hole in your pocket you probably don’t know about. You may feel instinctively that something is wrong, but unless you look in the right place, you won’t find the problem. The money you’re losing doesn’t appear in the minus column on your account statements, but you’re losing it nevertheless.
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Tuesday, February 24, 2015
Bird Doo; Yellen Goes to Congress / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
The best one by far is the un-photoshopped Loretta Mester in all her natural hawkish glory. Note the piercing eyes, the aerodynamic features and the focused intensity. Also I must say, at 56 she has a youthful dynamism about her. If she were Fed chief and told me to jump I’d ask ‘how high?’… or if she told me to print I’d ask ‘how much?’
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Tuesday, February 24, 2015
Stock Market Consolidation In Front Of The Fed... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Today had two good reasons to sell a bit. First, there was the overbought conditions on the Nasdaq 100, and then we had some caution ahead of the Fed Yellen, who will be talking to the big boys and girls of our Government for a couple of days. That was enough to keep the buyers away for a day, but we shall see what occurs tomorrow. We also know there are other reasons to sell, but it's not worth spending our time on that subject any more, until we get the technical move that says we should. The market made the usual attempts to blast up, but those were met with some selling back down, although, when all was said and done, the bears accomplished nothing today.
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Tuesday, February 24, 2015
We All Know a Stock Market Black Swan Is Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week I wrote to my trading service subscribers that most of the hurdles facing the stock market were out in front of us, that we could see them, and that as long as the market climbs that “wall of worry” the path of least resistance for stocks, for the moment at least, appears to be up.
However, the known worries aren’t what worry me – it’s the black swans.
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
Global Stock Market Breakout Starts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
After over six months of concern that the 6-year old world bull market was coming to an end, a collective upside breakout has developed.
Lead, first by the U.S. markets, and then one-by-one, global equity markets started to follow and advance.
Japan's Nikkei, one of the key world indexes, broke to a new high in Q4 and then advanced to a new 10-year high in February.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Global System Catastrophe Is Key Threat To Human Civilisation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
– Oxford Scientists Cite “Global System Catastrophe” Among 12 Plausible Threats To Civilisation
- “Global System Catastrophe” More Of A Possibility Than Most Western People Suspect
- Study Described As A “Scientific Assessment About The Possibility Of Oblivion”
- Other Threats Include Nuclear War, Environmental Degradation, Geological Events and Out of Control Technology
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Greece Crisis Yields Ideal Market Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Peter Krauth writes: Now that Greece has a new government, its focus on debt negotiations continue with a different front man representing the beleaguered country.
Citizens remain skeptical at best and are rushing to get their money out of Greek banks while Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras makes overtures to Russia and China for funds to alleviate the country's fiscal crisis.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market Trading at New Record High - Will Uptrend Extend Even Further? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150 and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, February 23, 2015
When the Contract Has No Clothes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Signed, Sealed, Delivered I'm Yours
Like a fool I went and stayed too long
Now I'm wondering if your love's still strong
Oo baby, here I am,
Signed, sealed delivered, I'm yours
Then that time I went and said goodbye
Now I'm back and not ashamed to cry
Oo baby, here I am,
Signed, sealed delivered, I'm yours
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market Beyond the Twilight Zone, Dow Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Upon peeling back several layers of the reality onion in the mid-to-late 1990's, we were convinced way back then of the Twilight Zone reality that the world had come to embrace. Given all that has transpired since then, we are now well beyond the Twilight Zone.
It's been a long, long time since financial markets have reflected what's actually taking place in the world around us, and as such, it's been a similarly long time since we've bothered attempting to try and correlate the two.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market - The Fed Still Has Your Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I’ve watched for several years now has one analysts after another has tried to call the top of this bull market. I would argue that the world is in a severe deflationary environment and in order to hold those deflationary forces at bay central banks simply can’t allow stock markets to top.
The Fed made the mistake of allowing stocks to crash in 2008 and it intensified the recession. They made another mistake in that they let the inflation in the stock market leak into the commodity markets in 2008 causing oil and gasoline to surge higher exacerbating the pressure on consumers.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Stock Market New Highs With Weak Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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