Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 23, 2013
Stock Market Forecast 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Hampson
Dow is up more than 5% five consecutive years now. A sixth such year has not happened before in history. A 5-year bull trend only occurred once before, in the 1990s, and was followed by 3 down years. Russell 2k rallies of similar size and duration to 2013′s (excluding accelerations from major bear lows) are shown below. In each case all the gains were given back the following year.
Monday, December 23, 2013
Overbought Stock Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation may be in the making.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Stock Market Day of Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
Thomson Reuters (This Week in Earnings, December 6, 2013) notes another New World Record. We are breaking plenty these days. This often foretells a Grand Finale. For the fourth quarter of 2013, 103 companies in the S&P 500 have announced negative earnings revisions. Only nine have disclosed positive profit assessments. The ratio of negative-to-positive, 11.4:1, exceeds the previous high (negative-to-positive ratio) of 6.8:1.
Monday, December 23, 2013
Stock Market Top - Bear Market Forecast 2014 to 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
It's been my theory for some time now that this QE driven bull market would top either in late 2013 or early 2014, followed by a multi-month stagnation process as liquidity leaked into the commodity markets.
Sunday, December 22, 2013
Stock Market E-Mini SP 500 Looking For 1825 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
S&P 500 spiked down to 1753 on Monday from where we have seen a very strong reversal in the past few days. We see the current move up as part of a five wave rally in blue wave (v) that will be targeting new highs and possibly 1825 in days ahead. Trend is clearly in bullish mode as long as 1753 holds.
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Sunday, December 22, 2013
What Does QE Tapering Really Mean? What Will the Stock Market Do? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Now that we have begun tapering, we will soon see lots of analysis about whether QE has been effective. What will the stock market do? The US economy seems to be moving in the right direction, but the Fed has forecast Nirvana (seriously) – do we dare hope they can finally get a forecast right? Or have they jinxed us? This and a few other dark thoughts crossed my path on a beautiful day in San Diego; so in a very different Thoughts from the Frontline, I offer a number of small gifts rather than an overarching theme, and we will see if we can keep it short.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Stock Market QE3 End Date Meaning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
The market gapped up on Monday, rallied to SPX 1792 in the opening minutes, then pulled back until just after the FOMC statement at 2pm on Wednesday. After that the market soared right into late Friday afternoon reaching all time new highs. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.3%, and the DJ World gained 2.1%. Economic reports for the week were quite positive. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the CPI, NAHB housing, housing starts, leading indicators, Q3 GDP, and the current accounts deficit improved. On the downtick: building permits, existing home sales, the WLEI, the M1-multiplier and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week is highlighted by Durable goods orders, the PCE and Consumer sentiment.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Manipulations Rule The Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
The Federal Reserve’s announcement on December 18 that beginning in January its monthly purchases of mortgage-backed financial instruments and US Treasury bonds would each be cut by $5 billion is puzzling, as is the financial press’s account of the market’s response.
The Federal Reserve conveys a contradictory message. The Fed says that improvements in employment and the economy justify cutting back on bond purchases.
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Saturday, December 21, 2013
Stock Market Fed....Overbought....Froth.......Still Heading Higher.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
An interesting week to be sure. Wednesday when he tapered just enough to start the ball rolling, but not so much that folks are fearful of the entire liquidity pool being drained out too fast. He also let the world know that zero rates are with us for years to come. That was really the magic that sent the market flying higher throughout the afternoon on Wednesday after his announcement. After a pause Thursday, his magical wand got those buyers back in the game on Friday with the S&P 500 making a nice breakout over 1813.
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Saturday, December 21, 2013
Commodities and Financial Market Forecasts for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
I may not be Santa Claus, but I have an early present for you this year. It’s actually 15 presents in the form of 15 charts of financial markets with analysis by Bob Prechter, the president of Elliott Wave International.
He created these charts – which cover markets like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, gold, and mutual funds – to explain where financial markets have been and where they are headed. These are not your typical price charts. They combine history and patterns to tell the story clearly, all from his distinctly different point of view. With this information, his Elliott Wave Theorist subscribers are now prepared for 2014. And you can be, too, because you can get the full 10-page issue, FREE.
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Saturday, December 21, 2013
Financial Market Storm Signals & Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Volatile oil and gasoline prices continued to dominate the monthly and annual swings in consumer inflation. Going forward, risks generally favor higher energy inflation driving the headline consumer inflation indices higher. Energy prices generally have an inverse relationship to U.S. dollar strength. For example, a weak U.S. dollar against other currencies tends to put upside pressure on oil and gasoline prices. Post-2008 bouts of dollar weakness generally have been triggered by the ongoing quantitative-easing (also known as dollar-debasement) policies of the Federal Reserve. …
“The U.S. dollar recently has seen some minimal selling pressure. That pressure likely will intensify sharply in the near future, with “tapering” (if any) by the Fed not likely to be of substance. Underlying systemic-liquidity and economic circumstances actually favor intensified quantitative easing. Combine that with the lack of a meaningful effort by the federal government to address fiscal imbalances and the long-term sovereign solvency issues of the United States; with shifting sentiments on the deteriorating political environment in Washington; and with a still-weakening economy; and circumstances are set for a rapidly intensifying sell-off of the U.S. dollar. Again, as the U.S. dollar comes under heavy selling pressure, the weakening U.S. currency rapidly should be translated into rising oil-price-related inflation. …”
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Friday, December 20, 2013
Global Paradigm Shifting Winds 2013 Crisis Closes, the Failure in 2014 Begins / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The year 2013 will go down in history as the year of great transition, tremendous disruption, numerous financial breakdowns, widely adopted hyper monetary inflation, exposure of hidden devices, panorama of popular awakening, and indisputable evidence of a systemic failure. The following titles of significant events, organized by topical theme, are mindboggling and comprehensive so as to attest to the global failures. The breakdown touches almost every part of global life. The American Fascist Business Model has wrecked anything and everything, the fish rotting from the head (leaders) down to the toes (ethics). No effort whatsoever has been made by leading nations and major central banks to construct a bonafide remedy to the widespread insolvency and powerful economic recession. Instead, the priority has clearly been to maintain the power structure and avoid at all costs (literally in the $trillions) any liquidation of the big Western banks. No liquidation has occurred, which would serve as the foremost and initial step toward a solution.
Friday, December 20, 2013
Bubblenomics: The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and the SP 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
"How could I have done this? I was making a lot of money. I didn’t need the money. Am I a flawed character?
I realized from a very early stage that the financial market is a wholly rigged job. There’s no chance that investors have in this market....It’s unbelievable. Goldman-- no one has any criminal convictions. The whole new regulatory reform is a joke." - Bernie Madoff
Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE and the Stock Market - The "Taper" Is Here... This Is What You Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: We knew it would happen eventually... so now what?
Yesterday, I explained how the Federal Reserve's quantitative-easing programs have transferred enormous wealth into the hands of the very rich.
Today, I'm going to show you what's going to happen now that the Fed is beginning to rein in these quantitative-easing bond-buying policies. This is what people refer to as "tapering."
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Why Slow US Growth Isn’t Impacting Stocks - Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
Ronan Keenan writes: There is a reason why asset management firms don’t employ legions of economists to do their investing. Providing accurate economic forecasts is very useful, but financial markets generally don’t reflect the state of the world.
US stock markets have rallied strongly over the last two years, while economic growth has been weak. Appetite for stocks has been driven by central bank action, not forecasts of skyrocketing consumer demand. The Federal Reserve has held its interest rates close to zero for the last five years while implementing vast amounts of quantitative easing - printing money to buy government bonds.
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE Taper - Did Someone Say “Crash”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Mike_Whitney
Guess who’s investing in America’s future?
Nobody, that’s who.
Just check out this excerpt from an article by Rex Nutting at Marketwatch and you’ll see what I mean. The article is titled “No one is investing in tomorrow’s economy”:
“The U.S. economy simply isn’t investing enough to ensure that there will be enough good paying jobs for our children and our children’s children. Net investment — the amount of capital added to our stock — remains at the lowest levels since the Great Depression. …
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Stock Market Year End Rally as Fed Spreads Holiday Cheer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
"I am not alone at all, I thought. I was never alone at all. And that, of course, is the message of Christmas. We are never alone. Not when the night is darkest, the wind coldest, the world seemingly most indifferent. For this is still the time God chooses." -
Taylor Caldwell
Yesterday's action was all end of year window dressing and bonus pumping, triggered by the 'tiny taper' from the Fed, in which they pledged to reduce the rate at which they are expanding their balance sheet and handing money over the primary dealers at a slightly slower rate.
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Thursday, December 19, 2013
Are Large-Cap Stocks the Place to Be in 2014? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes:
It can only be described as a huge vote of confidence. The Boeing Company (BA) announced a whopping 50% increase in its dividends to $0.73 per share. And beginning this January, the company will begin a new $10.0-billion share repurchase program, in addition to the $800 million left from its previous share buyback plan.
The higher quarterly dividend will be paid out March 7, 2014 to shareholders of record on February 14, 2014. While Boeing is playing some “payout catch-up” with other dividend paying stocks, company management said increasing cash flow from a boost in jetliner production is the catalyst for renewed confidence in its business.
Thursday, December 19, 2013
QE Tapering - Ben Bernanke Plays It Perfectly....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The uncertainty of what big bad Ben would do was put behind us at 2:00 PM Eastern Time today. He played his cards perfectly. Think about it. It was time to taper, but would he was the real question. It wouldn't be good for his legacy to have a new Fed come in and be the one to have to do the dirty deed of unwinding the liquidity fix. It made sense for him to go out with a small tapering program in place. Not too much, but something.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Stock Market Throws QE Taper Party Not Tantrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market closed sharply higher today following the U.S. Fed central banks decision to start tapering by reducing the rate of QE money printing from $85 billion to $75 billion per month. The immediate reaction by the stock market was to ADD near 300 points to the Dow, breaking back above the 16000 level to close at 16,168.