Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, February 03, 2021

The Wolf is At the Door (Or How to Protect Yourself Against This Bubble) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Paul_Lamont

More than1 Trillion shares traded in speculative over-the-counter (pink sheets) stocks in December.   In the options market, option trading by retail investors registered 46 million contracts in one day in early January. Reporters forBloomberg described events as "another day of euphoria" in "Day-Trader Heaven." Non-profitable tech companies have gone bonkers (see below).

Wednesday, February 03, 2021

Why Next Wave of Margin Calls Will Be FAR More "Disruptive" Than in 2000 or 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: EWI

"Can investors afford to borrow anymore?"

Financial history shows that every bear market has been followed by a bull market and vice versa.

So, the current bull market will end sooner or later.

The prior two bull market tops occurred in the years 2007 and 2000. One of the characteristics of each of those tops was investors' ramped up use of margin. In other words, market participants were borrowing heavily to buy stocks.

Tuesday, February 02, 2021

Stock Market Bump in the Road? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.

SPX Intermediate trend:  May continue until SPX reaches ~ 4150.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

Tuesday, February 02, 2021

Stock Investment in 2021 — Finding the Best Stocks to Invest in / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Everyone wants to try their luck in the stock market. It gives them the chance to get some extra bucks that they can throw in their savings account. But the stock trading game is not an easy one to play. You have to be really strategic and resilient, and the stock market will be your cash cow.

As a beginner in stock trading, your biggest challenge is to find the best stocks to invest in. The stock market keeps changing every day. There is a wide range of investment opportunities to choose from. You have to pick the one that’s most profitable for you. But how exactly do you do that? Here is a quick guide to get you started.

Saturday, January 30, 2021

VIX and Defensive Sectors React To Perceived Stock Market Trend Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Since early November 2020, the VIX has continued to decline and consolidate near the 22 level.  Late in December 2020 and beyond, the VIX started setting up series-high price spikes – which indicates a flagging downside pattern is setting up.  You can see this setup across the recent VIX highs drawn in MAGENTA on the chart below.  Additionally, the VIX has “stepped” higher – moving from lows near 19.50 to higher lows near 21.00.  This upward stepping base is indicative of a shift in volatility.

VIX Sets Up Pennant/Flag Pattern

My research team and I interpret this data as a sign that trend weakness is starting to build after the strong rally that initiated in early November 2020.  Although we have not seen any clear sign that the markets are about to reverse or decline, this move in the VIX is suggesting that volatility is increasing. The high price “breakout”, yesterday, in the VIX suggests the MAGENTA flag setup is nearing an Apex/breakout point.

Friday, January 29, 2021

7 Must-Have Apps for Day Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Submissions

The past few years have seen a series of changes take place. The most impactful of them all is the increase in the importance of the Internet in our lives. As everything is moving online, the popularity of online trading has also increased significantly. Today, most people interested in making money by buying and selling shares, stocks, equities, etc. prefer to carry out their operations online. The main reason behind this change is the rise in popularity of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. 

The biggest advantage of online trading is that you can take part in the actions irrespective of your location if you have a mobile device and a healthy Internet connection. To make the process of online trading even easier for traders, developers have come up with several apps. You can use some of them to boost your market intelligence and trading profits. The section below talks about seven apps day traders must have on their phones. 

Thursday, January 28, 2021

Russell 2000 ETF Initiates New Stock Market Rally Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week my team and I alerted our readers to the current trends and shifting sectors that are getting hotter every day.  Technology, Energy, Financials, Industrials and others are experiencing bullish trends we haven’t seen in years.  The Russell 2000 ETF, URTY, is starting a new breakout uptrend just after our BAN Trader Pro system suggested the SPY may initiate a new bullish rally.  You can read relevant research posts here: RECENT TRIGGERS IN THESE SECTORS SUGGEST US STOCK MARKETS MAY ENTER A RALLY PHASE and TECHNICAL TRADERS ARE USING THE BAN HOTLIST TRIGGERS WITH HUGE SUCCESS USING REGULAR ETFS, LEVERAGE ETFS, AND OPTIONS.

As we can see in the chart below, the Russell 2000 has been one of the top performers since just after the November 2020 elections. Originating a breakout trigger on November 3, near $43.46, and confirming a “New High Breakout” on November 9, near $51.37, the Russell 200 sector has been rallying very strongly over the past 60+ days. The current “New Price High” breakout suggests this rally may continue.  Fibonacci price extensions show a peak may target levels near $125~$130 – nearly 20%+ higher than current prices.

Wednesday, January 27, 2021

Stock Market Investors’ Limitless Risk Appetite / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Troy_Bombardia

Investors are buying anything and everything in a manner that’s reminiscent of the 1990s. The best stocks to buy these days: money-losing tech companies. The more losses, the better because growth is the name of the game. In the 1990s, profits didn’t matter. All that mattered was “eyeballs” and user growth.

Tuesday, January 26, 2021

The End of the World History Stock Market Chart : Big Pattern = Big Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Rambus_Chartology

We hear so much negativity from both sides of the isle that if a Republican is elected to the presidency then everything is going to hell in a hand basket and if a Democrat is elected then you will be better off to find another country to live in because things will be so bad in the US you won’t want to live here anymore. Conspiracy theories are running so rampant right now that the average American doesn’t know what to believe.

Beside the stock markets giving me financial freedom it has also taught me how to think for myself which can be pretty tough these days. You’ve heard me say this a million times, “playing the stock market is a game of psychological warfare more than anything else.” A good example right now is how most members keep wanting to short the stock markets because everything they read says the markets can’t keep going up for a myriad reasons.

The Great Rescission that began in 2007 and lasted until early 2009, scarred many investors for a lifetime. I saw the same thing with my dad who grew up in the Great Depression. During the 1990’s bull market, which was the greatest bull market of all time at that time, he could never understand how the stock markets could keep going up because of all the fundamental reasons he thought should stop secular bull market dead in its tracks. We had some great debates on the direction of the markets but I wasn’t scarred  emotionally by what happened in the Great Depression so I had an open mind and could view the charts with an objective point of view.

Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Stock Market Recent Sector Triggers Suggest Stocks May Enter Rally Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, our Best Asset Now (BAN) Hotlist generated a new trigger on the SPY chart.  Typically, this type of trigger suggests the SPY is starting a new, potentially explosive, upside price rally.  But what really interests us is the potential that the strongest sectoral ETFs may continue to see a much stronger upside price rally as a result of this new trigger.

Recent BAN SPY Trend Trigger

The strength of the BAN Hotlist is not the general market triggers it gives, such as the SPY, Dow Jones, or NASDAQ, but instead the ability to align these major market triggers with the strongest performing sectoral ETFs. This allows those using the Hotlist and BAN strategy to take advantage of the best-performing assets in the markets in any market trend.  The new SPY trigger, seen on the chart below, suggests the US stock markets may be starting a new upside price trend, which will cause capital to rotate into different sectors.  Our simple BAN Hotlist and strategy helps us identify these sectoral opportunities.

Monday, January 25, 2021

Stock Market Intermediate Trend Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.

SPX Intermediate trend:  May continue until SPX recaches 4150 in February.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

Sunday, January 24, 2021

Stock Market: Why You Should Prepare for a Jump in Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

This volatility indicator "has made a series of higher lows" -- and it's not a good sign

Stock market volatility is like a roller-coaster ride -- extreme ups and downs.

However, unlike thrill-seeking roller-coaster riders who often rise from their seats after the ride with a smile, investors often exit with a frown.

That's because extreme volatility after a stock rally often ends with prices much lower.

Having said that, many investors -- even professionals -- do not anticipate a jump in volatility right now.

Tuesday, January 19, 2021

How To Find Market Momentum Trades for Explosive Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Every morning before the markets open I share my video chart analysis of the day’s price action in the indexes, metals, bonds, and more for members of the BAN Trader Pro service.  Today we look at the futures of the major indexes, bonds, gold, silver, and miners. I review our open trades and I go through my BAN Hotlist in detail, showing members how to take advantage of the hottest sectors. Learn how we manage risk and implement our BAN (Best Asset Now) strategy to consistently beat the market.

Monday, January 18, 2021

More Stock Market Speculative Signs, Energy Rebound, Commodities Breakout / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Troy_Bombardia

More speculative signs

Speculative signs keep piling up. Contrarian investors and traders have focused on surging penny stocks and micro-cap stocks in recent days. The smallest of small cap stocks are now more than 40% above their 200 day moving average! The last time this happened was in February – March 2000, near the peak of the dot-com bubble.

*This is the Dow Jones Micro-Cap Index, which is the smallest 50% of the Wilshire 5000 index:

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Three Financial Markets Price Drivers in a Globalized World / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Do you want to know how gold will be doing soon? Or the USDX? You have to look at the German and French economies. You may ask “What? How can they be tied together?” Well, the globalization of markets is one of the core foundations of the modern world. With everything interrelated, nothing in economics can be examined in a vacuum state. That includes the three precious metals price drivers: stocks, yields and currencies.

The EUR/USD currency pair is a perfect example of this interconnectivity. Being the most popular and most traded currency pair in the world, the EUR/USD is influenced by many factors, including the price action in the USD Index as well as the strength of the European and American economies at any given time. The same level of interconnectedness can be applied to the other price drivers.

Let’s take a fundamental look at stocks, yields and currencies.

Thursday, January 14, 2021

Here's Why Blind Contrarianism Investing Failed in 2020 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020

By: EWI

There is only one instance when the investing crowd is right

Yes, there are many times when the market's Elliott wave structure suggests that an investor should take a position "against the crowd," or put another way, be a contrarian.

Prime examples are at market bottoms and tops.

Thursday, January 14, 2021

US Yield Curve Relentlessly Steepens, Whilst Gold Price Builds a Handle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Gary_Tanashian

Another week, another yield curve steepener and continuation of the trend that began in August, 2019.

Thursday, January 14, 2021

Finetero Review – Accurate and Efficient Stock Trading Services? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Submissions

Stocks are among the most attractive trading instruments when fiat currencies lose their purchasing power. That is exactly what’s happening right now and the surge in retail interest for stocks shouldn’t be a surprise. Also, when volatility in the market is elevated, long-term uncertainty follows, which makes short-term trading more suitable. Finetero is one of the brands that cover stock instruments, and it would be worthwhile to mention their main benefits.

Wednesday, January 13, 2021

Are Covid Lockdowns Bullish or Bearish for Stocks? FTSE 100 in Focus / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: EWI

"The market has a law of its own. It is not propelled by the external causality..."

Elliott Wave International has long held -- and proven -- that events outside of the market do not determine the long-term trend of prices. In the short term, news and events can, and often do, contribute to market volatility -- although, not always, and not always "logically." But then the long-term trend resumes.

We've shown countless examples of that on these pages -- and here's one of the latest: the lockdowns related to covid. One might conclude that investors would view the business interruptions resulting from a lockdown as a sign that stock prices would decline. Hence, a selloff would occur with each lockdown announcement.

Tuesday, January 12, 2021

Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold – How Much Are They Worth? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Kelsey_Williams

Stock prices, according to the S&P 500, are up seventy percent from their lows last April. The Nasdaq Composite at its most recent high point was up even more, sporting a ninety-five percent increase from its nadir. A number of individual stocks have done even better.

For the entire year 2020, however, stocks were up a more modest sixteen percent (S&P 500) and only seven percent for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

However, the outsized performance of the Nasdaq was even more apparent on a full calendar year basis. For 2020 the Nasdaq was up forty-three percent. Relative to its peers, the average Nasdaq stock was up more than three to four times as much as non-Nasdaq stocks.