Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Market Turning Points, Here We Go Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
Humans, for whatever reason, tend to project the past into the future. It is an emotional flaw in our genetic makeup. It is also the reason why so many otherwise intelligent people miss the big turning points in the economy and stock market.
A classic example occurred in the summer of `07. The sub-prime market was just starting to implode. With the benefit of hindsight we now know that was the beginning of the end for not only the stock market but the global economy.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Strong Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
NYAD Stock Market Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The NYAD tracks market breadth on a daily basis. It is simply a sum total of the number of advancing stocks, on the day, minus the number of declining stocks. When there are more advances than declines it’s a positive number. When not, it’s a negative number. One can chart the cumulative total of the daily A/D numbers over a period of time. This is important information for investors.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Bearish Gold Wave Patterns and Stock Market SP 500 Near The Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: David_Banister
My most recent forecasts for the SP 500 and Gold have been calling for interim peaks in both around Mid- January. Gold, I told my subscribers a few weeks ago, was definitely topping and likely to drop now to $1270-$1280 per ounce before resuming the Bull Market advance. The SP 500 I have forecasted a 1285-1315 topping area since the 1175 pivot lows on that index, and we are very close as well in that regard.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Emerging Markets Are The Future, The U.S. Dollar And Euro Are Doomed! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Larry_Edelson
Over the past several years I’ve repeatedly given you major warnings on several critical issues affecting all of us.
Chief among them have been the ongoing devaluation of the U.S. dollar … the phenomenal rise of China and emerging markets … how the seeds of inflation were being sown … and warnings of imminent rampant price rises in food, energy and consumer staples.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Investors Can't Miss What's Ahead in Tech 2011 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks rose gently but purposefully over the past week as investors collectively remembered that negative recent headlines on Portugal, China and Australia were only bound to push more money toward the United States, not force people back into the bomb shelter of government bonds.
Monday, January 17, 2011
2011 Investment Commentary, Specific Sectors, When to Sell Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: David_Urban
2011 will likely start a bit bumpy as the market works off its overbought condition setting the stage for a nice rally to begin in February leading up to the end of QE2 sometime in the second quarter. The second half of 2011 should feature a sideways move into 2012.
I think Financial stocks will continue to underperform. Looking back after the tech bubble many companies never saw their stock prices recover (Cisco, Intel, Dell, Yahoo, and Microsoft are examples). There are still a number of questions concerning foreclosures and a black swan in terms of the balance sheet pricing from the FASB/IFRS.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for Week Starting 17th Jan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
US markets rally for the seventh week in a row, while economic reports continue to be encouraging. On the economic front: the twin Deficits were about unchanged, wholesale inventories and consumer sentiment declined, and the weekly jobless claims came in higher. On the positive side: export/import prices remained positive, along with the PPI/CPI, retail sales, and business inventories. Industrial production and capacity utilization rose, along with the monetary base and the WLEI. Overall a fairly good week!
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Bull /Bear Stock Market Relationships and the Existing Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tim_Wood
According to the sentiment of the e-mails I’ve been receiving of late, it seems that the concept of the advance out of the March 2009 low being a bear market rally is becoming harder and harder to understand. As price moved down into the cyclical lows in late February 2009 I told my subscribers that price was moving into a higher degree low, i.e. the 4-year cycle low, and that the longer the market rallied the more dangerous it would become. I said this, meaning that the longer the market rallied the more convinced the public would become that THE bottom had been seen.&
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Sunday, January 16, 2011
Explaining the Heisenberg Omen(s) of Human Action in Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
In a recent article, I introduced the possibility that the Heisenberg uncertainty principle provides far more insight for stock market cycle analysis than the infamous Hindenburg Omen. Feedback from readers suggests many appreciated this new line of thinking, while others challenged the proposed application of hard science principles to the softer social science of the study of economic and stock market cycles. In this article, I will further explain precisely what I am proposing about human action, including yours.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
This Simple Indicator Could Spell Disaster in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jared_Levy
In the 15 years I have been trading the financial markets, I have utilized a plethora of indicators, everything from drawing simple moving averages on charts to finding the correlation between two or more assets, to find an early warning for a rally or sell-off.
The truth is that there is no one magic bullet for timing the market, but at the same time, one simple indicator can be an excellent gauge for market sentiment and short-term changes in financial market direction.
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Saturday, January 15, 2011
Two of 2011's Surest Bets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: When I talk about "The End of America," I don't mean the end of our political union (although I won't rule that out). I'm talking about the end of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency.
So how will it unfold? That's what people keep asking me.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Will 2011 Be The Dow’s Best Year Ever? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Could it be? Will it be? I haven’t been this giddy since 1999. Of course, I’m all jacked up on POMO and TOMO and QEs. But think about it. The Dow is already up about 2% for 2011 and January is only half over. If the Dow could go up 4% every month, it would be up 48% on the year. Certainly our Ruler of all things bubbly and bubblicious, Mr. Bernanke, will over shoot a few months and push the Dow up 6% or 8% on some months! What? What’s that? You haven’t heard that the stock market was captured in August of ’07 and it is now the sole contrivance of the wealthy to amass more wealth? What’s that? How are they doing it, you say? Well, first the super wealthy had to take the helm of the world’s largest economies.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Stock Market Rolls Along... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This is one nasty bull market if you're a bear. There has been no indication that things are about to fall apart from just an overbought perspective. This market definitely needs to sell, but it's just not finding any catalysts at this moment in time. Just the way it is folks. I am expecting this correction but I will not try to time it. That's why I stay long and refuse to short although that's the sexy thing many are now doing because we're due for a nice selling episode. You never front run something you believe will happen. You wait to see the reversal, or you stand aside and stay cash, but you don't run in short just because we're due for something on the down side. This game is so incredibly emotional, and I fully respect everyone wanting to be part of something special, but you have to wait for the market to show its hand and allow yourself to miss the first part of a move so that you can then play more appropriately.
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Saturday, January 15, 2011
Stocks rise as outflows resume, Gold investors are surprised by the decline. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
New Year Unemployment Claims Surge.
(ZeroHedge) Thursday's initial claims number throws cold water to all those who expected the trend in claims to be improving. At 445K, this was a huge miss to expectations of 410K, and a major deterioration from last week's (upwardly revised of course) 410K (was 409K before). Elsewhere, continuing claims came at 3,879K on expectations of 4,088K (with the previous naturally revised higher as well from 4,103K to 4,127K). And the kicker: in NSA terms initial claims were a mammoth 770,413, a 191,686 increase in just one week, and the highest NSA number in one year!
Friday, January 14, 2011
A Financial Road to Nowhere / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Barry_Elias
Last month, I discussed the huge risks undertaken by the financial community and the severe mistrust it has breed.
An unlimited ability to lend, even if you don’t have the money: sounds too good to be true.
Friday, January 14, 2011
Bullish Sentiment Could Dampen Stock Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
After the close on December 20 with the S&P 500 standing at 1,247, we performed an analysis which led to the conclusion bullish stock market sentiment was not a barrier to further stock gains. Since then, the S&P 500 has gained 3.12% and the Investors Intelligence Advisory Sentiment Bull/Bear Ratio has increased from 2.77 to 3.00. With valuations and market technicals currently stretched, it is a good time to revisit the possible role of sentiment in the weeks ahead.
Friday, January 14, 2011
What is the Decline on the NYSE's New Highs Trying to Say? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
Today's chart show's the raw daily data on the NYSE's daily New Highs. On this chart, a minimum of 100 is a very important level in a rally. 150 is what I want to see. (50 is neutral.)
After looking at the "A" shape resistance lines, two things can be observed on today's chart:
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Friday, January 14, 2011
Nasdaq-100 Elliott Wave Theory Forecast / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Introduction to Elliott Wave Technology's periodical briefs As a service to the financial, investment, and trading communities, and in holding our longer range forecasts to task, on a rotational basis, we shall provide periodical briefs for each of the seven broad markets covered within our premium publications.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Stock Market Possibilities for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
Wall Street seems particularly giddy entering the New Year, and for good reason: the stock market has had its best two-year performance since 1932. Retail investors are also beginning to shed their bear suits and slowly embrace a bullish posture. For the month of December 2010, a total of $14.9 billion moved out of bond funds while stock funds saw a $5.5 billion net inflow.Read full article... Read full article...