Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Bull /Bear Stock Market Relationships and the Existing Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tim_Wood
According to the sentiment of the e-mails I’ve been receiving of late, it seems that the concept of the advance out of the March 2009 low being a bear market rally is becoming harder and harder to understand. As price moved down into the cyclical lows in late February 2009 I told my subscribers that price was moving into a higher degree low, i.e. the 4-year cycle low, and that the longer the market rallied the more dangerous it would become. I said this, meaning that the longer the market rallied the more convinced the public would become that THE bottom had been seen.&
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Sunday, January 16, 2011
Explaining the Heisenberg Omen(s) of Human Action in Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
In a recent article, I introduced the possibility that the Heisenberg uncertainty principle provides far more insight for stock market cycle analysis than the infamous Hindenburg Omen. Feedback from readers suggests many appreciated this new line of thinking, while others challenged the proposed application of hard science principles to the softer social science of the study of economic and stock market cycles. In this article, I will further explain precisely what I am proposing about human action, including yours.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
This Simple Indicator Could Spell Disaster in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jared_Levy
In the 15 years I have been trading the financial markets, I have utilized a plethora of indicators, everything from drawing simple moving averages on charts to finding the correlation between two or more assets, to find an early warning for a rally or sell-off.
The truth is that there is no one magic bullet for timing the market, but at the same time, one simple indicator can be an excellent gauge for market sentiment and short-term changes in financial market direction.
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Saturday, January 15, 2011
Two of 2011's Surest Bets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: When I talk about "The End of America," I don't mean the end of our political union (although I won't rule that out). I'm talking about the end of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency.
So how will it unfold? That's what people keep asking me.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Will 2011 Be The Dow’s Best Year Ever? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Could it be? Will it be? I haven’t been this giddy since 1999. Of course, I’m all jacked up on POMO and TOMO and QEs. But think about it. The Dow is already up about 2% for 2011 and January is only half over. If the Dow could go up 4% every month, it would be up 48% on the year. Certainly our Ruler of all things bubbly and bubblicious, Mr. Bernanke, will over shoot a few months and push the Dow up 6% or 8% on some months! What? What’s that? You haven’t heard that the stock market was captured in August of ’07 and it is now the sole contrivance of the wealthy to amass more wealth? What’s that? How are they doing it, you say? Well, first the super wealthy had to take the helm of the world’s largest economies.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Stock Market Rolls Along... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This is one nasty bull market if you're a bear. There has been no indication that things are about to fall apart from just an overbought perspective. This market definitely needs to sell, but it's just not finding any catalysts at this moment in time. Just the way it is folks. I am expecting this correction but I will not try to time it. That's why I stay long and refuse to short although that's the sexy thing many are now doing because we're due for a nice selling episode. You never front run something you believe will happen. You wait to see the reversal, or you stand aside and stay cash, but you don't run in short just because we're due for something on the down side. This game is so incredibly emotional, and I fully respect everyone wanting to be part of something special, but you have to wait for the market to show its hand and allow yourself to miss the first part of a move so that you can then play more appropriately.
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Saturday, January 15, 2011
Stocks rise as outflows resume, Gold investors are surprised by the decline. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
New Year Unemployment Claims Surge.
(ZeroHedge) Thursday's initial claims number throws cold water to all those who expected the trend in claims to be improving. At 445K, this was a huge miss to expectations of 410K, and a major deterioration from last week's (upwardly revised of course) 410K (was 409K before). Elsewhere, continuing claims came at 3,879K on expectations of 4,088K (with the previous naturally revised higher as well from 4,103K to 4,127K). And the kicker: in NSA terms initial claims were a mammoth 770,413, a 191,686 increase in just one week, and the highest NSA number in one year!
Friday, January 14, 2011
A Financial Road to Nowhere / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Barry_Elias
Last month, I discussed the huge risks undertaken by the financial community and the severe mistrust it has breed.
An unlimited ability to lend, even if you don’t have the money: sounds too good to be true.
Friday, January 14, 2011
Bullish Sentiment Could Dampen Stock Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
After the close on December 20 with the S&P 500 standing at 1,247, we performed an analysis which led to the conclusion bullish stock market sentiment was not a barrier to further stock gains. Since then, the S&P 500 has gained 3.12% and the Investors Intelligence Advisory Sentiment Bull/Bear Ratio has increased from 2.77 to 3.00. With valuations and market technicals currently stretched, it is a good time to revisit the possible role of sentiment in the weeks ahead.
Friday, January 14, 2011
What is the Decline on the NYSE's New Highs Trying to Say? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
Today's chart show's the raw daily data on the NYSE's daily New Highs. On this chart, a minimum of 100 is a very important level in a rally. 150 is what I want to see. (50 is neutral.)
After looking at the "A" shape resistance lines, two things can be observed on today's chart:
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Friday, January 14, 2011
Nasdaq-100 Elliott Wave Theory Forecast / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Introduction to Elliott Wave Technology's periodical briefs As a service to the financial, investment, and trading communities, and in holding our longer range forecasts to task, on a rotational basis, we shall provide periodical briefs for each of the seven broad markets covered within our premium publications.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Stock Market Possibilities for 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
Wall Street seems particularly giddy entering the New Year, and for good reason: the stock market has had its best two-year performance since 1932. Retail investors are also beginning to shed their bear suits and slowly embrace a bullish posture. For the month of December 2010, a total of $14.9 billion moved out of bond funds while stock funds saw a $5.5 billion net inflow.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 13, 2011
2011, Another Year of Living Dangerously / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Brady_Willett
If the crisis has a single lesson, it is that the too-big-to-fail problem must be solved” Ben Bernanke. September 2, 1010
“It is unconscionable that the fate of the world economy should be so closely tied to the fortunes of a relatively small number of giant financial firms. If we achieve nothing else in the wake of the crisis, we must ensure that we never again face such a situation.” Ben Bernanke. March 20, 2010
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Mergers & Acquisitions Set to Accelerate in 2011 Following Best Start in a Decade / Stock-Markets / Mergers & Acquisitions
By: Money_Morning
Don Miller writes:
So far, 2011 has seen the biggest flurry of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in a decade, helped by a stock market that's off to a roaring start.
Worldwide deals worth $34 billion were announced on Sunday and Monday, bringing total M&A volume this year to more than $83 billion, up from $67 billion in the same period last year, the Financial Times reported.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Stock Market Through 1278 SPX.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has been gravitating higher slowly but surely, no question. Over the past many weeks it had set up shop between the gap top low at 1262 and the 1278 as its high. A few tests down at 1262 looked like a breakdown was finally upon us, but that was not to be. There were many test back up to 1278, but failed as well, so it became a chess match between who would make the move first. The bulls pulled off the move today. It wasn't a shocking move higher as we're barely above 1278. Slightly less than half a percent above, but we are above, and that can't be denied by anyone. This opens the door to a move up to the top of the trend line at 1300 on the S&P 500. That chart is there for your viewing this evening. It seems as if this market doesn't waste a point. Although, by no means a guarantee, if the trend line is open to approximately 1300 on the SPX, it seems as if it will find a way to make it there, even if it doesn't hold once it does get there.
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Socrates on Portugals Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
"Portugal will not request financial aid for the simple reason that it’s not necessary" – Socrates
Of course, that was Jose Socrates, Portugal’s Prime Minister, not Σωκρτης the great Philospoher, who was more famous for saying "False words are not only evil in themselves, but they infect the soul with evil" as well as "True knowledge exists in knowing that you know nothing." More apropos for this morning is the more famous Scocrates’ more famous observation that "True wisdom comes to each of us when we realize how little we understand about life, ourselves, and the world around us."
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Stock Market Looming Danger Signs, and 2 Amazing Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Claus_Vogt
Rarely have I seen a greater dichotomy between the dangers looming for traditional investments and the amazing opportunities in a wide variety of alternative investments!
But first let’s talk about the three immediate danger signs:
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
The Global Economic Crisis: Financial Fraud has Become Increasingly Pervasive / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Bob_Chapman
The U6 number fell to 16-7/8% from 17% last month, thus, the real unemployment number is 22-1/4%, off 3/8 of 1 percent in two months. The average duration of unemployment heads back up to a new record 34.2-weeks and when the share of the unemployed ranks looking for a job without success rises 2% to 44.3% you have a problem. It is hardly a winner. The workweek was unchanged at 34.3-hours. The employment rate was 58.3%, the same level it was at late in 1983. In order to re-ascend to peak employment levels 11 million jobs would have to be created. That cannot happen as the transnational conglomerates execute free trade, globalization, offshoring and outsourcing. That would be 2.75 million jobs annually over the next four years. Still millions of illegal aliens are streaming across our borders to find work and push American citizens out of their jobs.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
10 Forecasts for 2011 – Gold, Dollar, Stocks, Politics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Jason_Hamlin
What’s in store for the economy and world at large in 2011? First let’s admit that short-term predictions are a crapshoot. Still, I have been able to nail about 80% of mine over the past few years and I find the process valuable in determining my overall investment strategy for the year.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
World Stock Market Indices Due for a Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: MarketTimingCycles
The world Indices are due for a short-term correction, but the larger trend is still bullish. On January 10th last year we wrote: "The S&P500 has now touched the current upper trend line as formed since early last year. On January 15th 2010 we are also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high." We now seem to be exactly at the same time for a correction to occur.Read full article... Read full article...