Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 03, 2011
Stocks Market Targets Short Term SPX Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, equity markets began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Monday, January 03, 2011
Shiller Abandons P E Ratio’s and Does a Roubini / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andrew_Butter
Oh dear, I suppose all good things must come to an end one day. Today, tragically, we must mourn the sad demise of “trailing P/E ratios” as the infallible predictor of the future.
Using long term analysis, Professor Robert Shiller, macromarkets chief economist at Yale University and the co-creator of the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, told CNBC on Friday that the S&P 500 may reach 1430 by the year 2020.
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Monday, January 03, 2011
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for Week Starting 3rd Jan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US markets spend the holiday week essentially going sideways on light volume. Economic reports were mixed. Case-Shiller housing, consumer confidence and the monetary base all declined. The Chicago PMI, pending homes sales, the WLEI, and the weekly jobless improved, with unemployment claims dropping under 400K for the first time in two years. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.05%, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.55%. Bonds gained 0.7%, Crude slipped 0.1%, Gold rose 3.0%, and the USD lost 1.8%. Asian markets were mixed gaining 0.2%, European markets were down 2.2%, the Commodity equity group rose 0.6%, and the DJ World index rose 0.8%. Next week will likely be a busy one as most return from holiday. ISM, FOMC minutes and the Payrolls report highlight the week. Best to your New Year!
Friday, December 31, 2010
Keep Ahead of the Herd in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EWI
Have you ever noticed that much of the time, the forecasts for what’s going to happen next are quite often just more of what happened last? There’s no real insight, just “expect more of the same.”
That’s not how we view the world here at Elliott Wave International, where instead we study patterns of positive and negative mood to predict changes in the stock market, current events and other trends.
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Friday, December 31, 2010
Wall Street’s Push to Bring Back the Investing Public / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Clif_Droke
Investors have been liquidating bonds in the last few weeks which begs the question why. Are investors liquidating bonds in order to move cash back into stocks and other risk assets? Or is that money going under the mattress? On that score a recent news article provides a most interesting backdrop to this question.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Stock Market Outlook 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
But first, how did my forecast for 2010 work out?
A year ago there was considerable excitement about the recession having ended the previous June, and the stock market surging up in a dramatic new bull market off its March, 2009 bottom.
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Stock Market Investors Should Celebrate 2010, But Be Cautious on 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Month January is named after the Roman god Janus. He is depicted as having two faces. One looking back at the fading last hours of the old year, the other trying to discern the new year. Similarly I contemplate the final two trading days of the old 2010 year and the opening of the first five trading days of the 2011 year. This period is sometimes marked by swirls of positioning often referred to as "window dressing" in order to make portfolios appear as attractive as possible.
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Wikileaks Rest in Peace / Stock-Markets / US Politics
By: Chris_Kitze
The original Wikileaks initiative is dead, replaced by a bloated apparatus promising 260,000 cables at slower than a snail’s pace. At the rate of 20 cables a day it will take 13,000 days to finish — some 35 years.
The original merits of Wikileaks have been lost in its transformation into a publicity and fund-raising vehicle for Julian Assange as indicated in the redesign website which billboards him.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
2011 Profit and Protection Essentials; Bubbles to Pop and Bullish Sectors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
"The most alarming thing about the state issue is the level of complacency," Meredith Whitney, one of the most respected financial analysts on Wall Street and one of the most influential women in American business, told correspondent Steve Kroft…
"It has tentacles as wide as anything I've seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States, and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy," she told Kroft.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
Five Forecasts for Housing Stocks and Bonds 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: JD_Rosendahl
It's that time of year where we reflect on the year that has past and gaze upon what the next 12 months might bring. Last year at this time, I wrote My 5 Predictions for 2010, and I would like to review those before we get into 2011. Last year's predictions:
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Stock Market Steady As She Goes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market gapped up this morning and became really overbought on those daily charts, but that didn't deter this market from grinding higher throughout the day, although some late selling took prices off their highs. RSI's are really getting up there, but the retail trader is holding things up as they usually do. The market seems to want to fool the masses and try higher in the short-term now that just about everyone says things will fall from overbought once the new year begins.
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Wednesday, December 29, 2010
Gold, Dollar, Euro & China: Four To Tango in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Dian_L_Chu
For the most part of 2010, the typical image of Europe—one of cultural sophistication—has been replaced by widespread riots, burning cars, large scale strikes over labor reform and unemployment resulting from austerity measures amid a sovereign debt crisis in the region.
Wednesday, December 29, 2010
Trading The S&P 500, Oil, & Gold Without Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: J_W_Jones
The end of 2010 is rapidly approaching and the pundits and commentators continue to make their 2011 market predictions. I for one believe predicting future market moves is a futile endeavor where if you are right one year later you are viewed as a sage; if you are wrong nobody seems to remember or care.
In fact, I try not to read any predictions for fear that it might place a bias in my subconscious. I am a trader and thus have no need for emotions, bias, or opinions when trading. I try to stay away from the media and the pundits as often as possible.
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Wednesday, December 29, 2010
China Stock Indices Must Hold Today's Gains / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
After making new corrective lows in a press towards a possible 6th consecutive down day, the China Shanghai Composite reversed to close higher today.
So far today the iShares China Equity Index ETF (FXI) is up 70 cents, or 1.6%, from yesterday's close at 42.19, and even more from yesterday's intraday low (and violation of its 200 DMA) at 41.91.
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Second Global Financial Crisis Shoe 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Summary: The probability of second down leg in the Global Financial Crisis is rising. Three charts tell the story on a world-wide basis
1. Standard and Poor Industrial Index – 85 Year Chart
2. Volatility Index Chart (of Standard and Poor)
3. Shanghai Index Chart
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Using International Valuation Standards to Determine the S&P-500 Fundamental Value / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Andrew_Butter
Of late, there has been a lively debate about the “fundamental” value of all sorts of things…stock markets, real estate, gold, oil, toxic assets, and even Treasuries. Often as mot the debate is a manifestation of a newly discovered psychological disorder called “Bubble-Phobia”, which is an irrational fear that prices are disconnected from the “fundamental”.
As with the early psychological breakthroughs of Jung and Freud, for the S&P-500 there has been no shortage of theories, all the way from P/E ratios to Tobin’s “Q’s” and everything in-between.
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
One Reason to Bet on U.S. Stocks in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nilus_Mattive
There are definitely plenty of reasons to be concerned about the U.S. economy — and the broad market — in the year ahead.
But as I prepare my strategy for the coming year, there’s an area that clearly argues for being bullish on stocks in 2011 … and it’s probably not one you’d expect …
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Stock Market Drifts Along.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
Retail is allowing for the market to hang in there, but we're still facing overbought conditions along with bad sentiment issues, which is capping the upside for now. The financials are doing well. Goldman Sachs (GS), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), had significant gains today, while Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), Citigroup, Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) had fractional gains, but all did well. That's one of the few sectors holding us up here, but nothing is exactly getting crushed either. Just drifting around more than anything else, which is what happens when upside is minimal, yet the bigger picture internals are still bullish in nature. That's what is really frustrating the bears.
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Bumpy Road Ahead for Gold and Blue Chip Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: The_Gold_Report
Steady tailwinds benefited the stock market for most of 2010, but Stansberry & Associates Investment Research Founder Porter Stansberry is bracing himself and his clients for a bumpy ride for equities in the new year, as well as unprecedented instability in muni bonds and Treasuries. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Porter, who's been predicting the dire consequences of unbridled borrowing and continued quantitative easing for some time, recommends utmost caution and conservatism for investors in 2011.
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Euro and Irish Banks Nationalization, Chinese interest rate hike the Grinch for Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bari_Baig
Almost half of German companies see breakup of Euro region as a real threat and to make things worst Irish High Court has given the go ahead to the government to acquire Allied Irish bank without the consent of the shareholders! Dublin would now be injecting $4.8 billion into Allied Irish bank to raise its stake to 92% from 19% before. This is not the first bank/lender which Ireland has nationalized, it is the 4th lender now and Ireland’s Ministry of Finance had this to say “Allied Irish was Ireland’s largest company by market value in 2007 [which at its peak valued at 21 billion Euros] however, [now] the bank’s market capitalization is at 347 million Euros only and had the government not invested now then there would have been no Allied Irish bank on Jan 1st”. The stock would be delisted from the stock exchanges it is listed on and would be moved to the junior Irish bourse. So, in simple words the Allied stake holders are wiped clean out.Read full article... Read full article...