Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, November 17, 2007
NY Stock Exchange Contracting Margin Debt Levels Sending Bearish Message / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Yesterday, I looked at the NYSE Margin Debt levels. On a short term basis, they don't tell you a whole lot, but from a longer term perspective they do tell a story.
Sometimes, I think of the NYSE margin levels as being similar to monetary liquidity or credit crunch conditions. When margin debt is expanding, investors are confident and expose themselves to more risk in expectation of a rising stock market.
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Saturday, November 17, 2007
Bearish Stock Market Signal - Dow Jones Transports Non-Confirmation of Industrials / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Tim_Wood
Back in August when both the Industrials and the Transports moved down below their June lows many were calling that a Dow theory sell signal. I wrote here in early August that this was not the case. It is now time for another update on Dow theory.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 17, 2007
Is the NASDAQ Bull Market Over? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Hans_Wagner
Recently, the NASDAQ has been outperforming all the other indexes including the DJIA and the S&P. However, the recent pull back in the market raises the question are we seeing another buyable low in the NASDAQ or is this the start of a more significant move down. Let's look at a couple of charts to see what they might tell us. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 16, 2007
Stocks Bull Markets Climb a Wall of Fear / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: Regent_Markets
After the party comes the hangover, and of course the bigger the party, the bigger the hangover. Over the last few years, financial companies have been gorging themselves on 'foolproof' credit trades, based on sub prime debt. Now the party is over and companies are having to face up to their antics in the cold light of day, says BetOnMarkets.com's Michael Wright.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 16, 2007
Dow Jones Stock Market Index Gives On Balance Volume Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Brian_Bloom
November 19th 2007 - Revisited : The chart below is a close-up of the Dow Jones Industrial Index as at close of business in the USA on November 15th 2007 (courtesy bigcharts.com )
This looks suspiciously like an OBV sell signal to me. The primary argument of the protagonists of On-Balance-Volume (invented by Joseph Granville) is that ‘volume precedes price'. Therefore, an OBV sell signal should precede a decline in stock prices and we should expect a sell signal in price.
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
Will the Fed Continue to Inflate the Stock Market By Printing Money? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Greg_Silberman
The 100 Dollar Bill drop - In spite of money drops and liquidity injections we continue to see a volatile scary stock market. Will the Fed ultimately lose control and the stock market deflate or will the money presses continue to levitate the stocks at the expense of the Dollar?
The market got its ¼ point rate cut on Wednesday the 31 st of October and has been slaughtered ever since. Gee, thanks a lot Mr Bernanke!
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Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Peak Oil $100 to Deflate Global Stock Markets Speculative Bubble / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Gary_Dorsch
For the vast majority of Americans who usually don't follow trends in the crude oil futures market, the Global “Oil Shock” only caught their attention after gasoline prices suddenly jumped 15% at the pump this month. Last week, West Texas Sweet crude oil surged to an all-time high of $98.62 /barrel, and greased the skids under the Dow Jones Industrials for a 4% plunge to the 13,000 level, zapping the value of investors' 401k accounts. Guy Caruso, the head of the US Energy Information Administration, told reporters on Nov 12th, that the average price US consumers pay for gasoline should rise by another 20-cents a gallon over the next two to three weeks, at the pump. “We haven't seen the full pass-through of high oil prices yet,” he warned.
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Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Stock Market Mania and the Trade of a Life Time / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: EWI
Susan C. Walker of Elliott Wave International writes: When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging on for dear life. The same idea applies to financial markets. When a market is trending up strongly, it's hard to tell whether it's just a bull market or a more dangerous financial mania. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
NOLTE NOTES A Volatile Period As Stock Markets Nosedive in the face of Stagflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Ok, so the stock slump we have been looking for was more along the lines of a cliff dive. Worries over the dollar, oil, sub-prime write-offs and the housing markets all conspired last week to push markets down over 4% for the week. Global warming hurt the retail industry, as consumers stayed away from buying their winter garb just yet. We're still confused as to what constitutes “good” weather for shopping. The government's official stats will be released this week and should show retail sales slowed significantly from September's pace.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
Nasdaq Ripe for Potent Recovery Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Q's made yet another new reaction low this morning at 49.60, prior to reversing for a rally above 50.00. The new corrective low pierced but did not sustain below key 50% Fibonacci support at 49.80, which is a constructive sign that perhaps the vicious decline has seen its worst for now. My near-term work has turned up in a strong way, suggesting too that the Q's are ripe for a potent recovery rally period that should propel prices into the 51.50-52.00 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
Next Phase of the Financial Markets Credit Crunch Crisis: The Great Ratings Debacle / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss and Mike Larson write: Evidence of an imminent U.S. recession is now piling up so high, even Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke had to admit to a slowdown in his testimony to Congress last week …
The housing crisis is gutting the home equity of millions of households, abruptly ending their ability to use it as a personal ATM machine.
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Monday, November 12, 2007
The Trading Game - 150+ Years of Grand Super Cycle Advance is Still Alive and Well / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Joseph_Russo
Classic Elliott Wave Theory implies that there are nine degrees of trend that drive the broad based indices.
The trend that most are concerned with is the long-term or Primary Trend.
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Monday, November 12, 2007
Stock Market ABC Correction Completing - Bull Market End of Year Rally to Begin This Week ? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The S&P Closed on Friday at 1453, hitting more or less the target for the ABC correction low which coincided with the bull markets major support trend line, which now technically implies that that should be it for this sell off and for the bull market to re-exert itself.
How can I be bullish in the face of all the bearish news ?
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Monday, November 12, 2007
The Week Ahead in the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: David_Urban
This week will be interesting to say the least. The large drops were very worrisome but expected in some ways. Internal indicators have been weak in this rally which led me to believe that we would get some sort of a selloff before the year end rally. But timing these selloffs is very tricky.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Stock Market Weekly Update: Trading by Numbers / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
It was nice to see more of our membership coming in tune with the rhythm of Wall Street this week rather than always being stuck a move behind. The gems in the Nasdaq finally turned into trash this week and, with the help of the financials, had the whole market trading lower. We don't tend to buy high-flyers or sell into holes, but this week really had most Ellioticians scratching their heads.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Loss of Confidence in the US Markets As Credit Crunch Spreads from the Subprime to the Prime / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
America is finished, washed up, kaput. Foreign investors and central banks around the world have lost confidence in US markets and are headed for the exits. The dollar is sinking, the country is insolvent, and its leaders are barking mad. That's bad for business. Investors are voting with their feet. They've had enough. Capital is flowing to China and the Far East in a torrent. It's "sayonara" Manhattan and “Hello” Tiananmen Square. Want some advice? Learn Mandarin.
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Sunday, November 11, 2007
US Stock Markets Oversold But More Downside Expected / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: · The blue chip decline is accelerating which suggests we are approaching at least an intermediate term low.
Short Term
This year there have been 3 sharp declines, the first in late February – early March the second in Late July – early August and last week.
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch Grows From a $2bn to a Trillion Dollar Problem! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We seem to be entering a new phase of the credit crunch. The markets are finally catching on that the attempts at minimizing the losses at the banks are not working as the smoke clears and the real losses are becoming more apparent. Bill Gross, the chief investment officer at Pacific Investment Management, Inc. and the manager of the largest bond portfolio in the world recently stated that the sub-prime and alt-a problem exceeds $1 trillion and that he expects to see some $250 billion in defaults. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Transports Trend Close to Calling Dow Theory Bear Market, Deterioration in the China Shanghai Index / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Marty_Chenard
Today we will look at the Transportation Index, and what happened in China last night.
A potential market problem we pointed out last Friday, was the Transportation index.
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Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch to Credit Crisis - Financial Sector Crash Continues / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
- A Confidence Credit Crunch Credit Crisis
- How Much is That Dog in Your Net Capitalization?
- King Dollar Faces the Guillotine
- The Euro-Yen Cross
- The Consumer is Getting Tired
- New York, Philadelphia, Switzerland and Phoenix
Just when it felt like it was safe to get back in the water, a second and potentially much meaner version of this summer's credit crisis has reappeared. This week we look at why there are more mortgage write downs coming (in a self-fulfilling prophecy) in the financial sector, how an obscure new accounting rule is shedding light on a lot of risk in the world's banking system, how this is all tied to the consumer and is part of the reason for the fall in the dollar.
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