Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Focus on the Stock Market’s Price Action and Ignore the Failed Hindenburg Omen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Our recent quantitative market studies have shown an interesting divergence:
- The U.S. stock market’s own price action suggests that the stock market will continue to rally for another year.
- Various studies of the stock market’s breadth have been bearish. They’ve pointed to a “bear market” or “big correction” very soon. Some of these have been the Hindenburg Omen.
So which of these 2 market studies is right? Which is more important? Price action or breadth?
As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
Stock Market Macro/Macro View: Waves and Cycles Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I mainly discussed the coming economic crash and where we are in the cycles. I also talked about the short term stock market cycles, which I believe have peaked as of Friday or will peak on Monday. In this segment, I will mainly talk about my short term work.Due to the fact that the waves no longer move up in 5 wave sequences anymore, and the normal cycles are changing rapidly, I have had to augment my wave work with other data including astro-cycles and more technical data. This has forced me to buy other timing experts’ work to meld with my own so I can hone my timing skills better.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
DJIA Makes New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Breaking to a new high has only delayed the anticipated correction into mid-October; it has not eliminated its potential.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
The Stock Market Has Been Exceptionally Strong this September. What’s Next for Q4 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
From a seasonality perspective, the U.S. stock market is weakest in September.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
US and Global Stocks, Commodities, Precious Metals and the ‘Anti-USD’ Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
The most recent leg of the US stock market rally and the bounces in global equities, commodities and precious metals are coming as part of an “anti-USD trade”. Certain US stock sectors, most global stock markets, commodities and precious metals were pressured by the USD rally that began in April and now, as the buck eases, a relief valve opens.
All charts below are as of Thursday’s close.
US – S&P 500
The S&P 500 – in essence a collection of sectors that are ‘pro’, ‘anti’ and ‘neutral’ the USD’s status – appears to be on the way to our target of 3000+, based on a conservative measurement of its daily chart pattern. This was the NFTRH alternate scenario after our expected summer drive to test the January top did not prove out a then favored view that the test would fail. As you can see, SPX broke out, dropped to test the breakout and off it goes. We have since been operating to the new favored plan.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
Gerald Celente Warns Fed May Bring Down the Economy, Crash Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason
Coming up the one and only Gerald Celente joins me for another explosive interview on the state of the markets. Gerald tells us why he’s not only focused on the dollar but also oil and explains what is likely to happen if the Fed continues to hike interest rates. Don’t miss my conversation with the top trends forecaster in the world, Gerald Celente, coming up after this week’s market update.
Precious metals finally put together an across the board rally this week, led by platinum and palladium. The palladium market is surging 7.0% this week to a 7-month high at $1,054 per ounce. Platinum, meanwhile is putting together a 4.0% weekly advance – though prices still remain deeply depressed on a long-term basis at $831.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
Top 3 Side Jobs for Day Traders / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
The financial markets present a lot of opportunities for investors and traders, but they are not without their challenges. Today’s market volatility means you have more opportunities to bank profits in the financial markets of your choice, but you also have more risks to manage.
If you are day trading, a volatile market means you have to spend a lot of time in front of the computer. Most of the time, what you do is spend time looking at market movements and waiting for the right signals to appear.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
Two Scenarios for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
The Trump rally into January 2018 looked like the classic final blow-off top.It had been advancing in a clear channel, then it broke above that in a classic “overthrow” pattern, followed by a sharp correction.
Was that the beginning of the final and greatest crash?
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Friday, September 21, 2018
Elliott Wave Analysis of the SP-500 (SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: WavePatternTraders
The advance from the April lows is currently the focus for us, as I believe the orthodox low for wave [4] was made in April 2018, so we are trying to count an impulse wave (5 wave advance). With the sub-divisions from the April lows, we can now suggest there are enough gyrations in place to warrant some caution for the current bullish trend from those April lows. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also confirmed the SPX idea and made a new all-time high, so that’s now aligned all 3 markets NDX, SPX and the DJIA with the same impulse wave idea from the 2016 lows.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 21, 2018
Dow Broke Out and Made a New All-time High! What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow has lagged other indices most of the year, but is finally starting to outperform.
The Dow has now broken out to a new all-time high for the first time in 163 trading days.
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Friday, September 21, 2018
Are You Blind To What's Really Going On In The Market? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Avi_Gilburt
In this article, I am going to do something a little different from my usual articles and start with my perspective on market direction, and then move into the issues I see in the market today.
I have long believed that we can see the 3000+ region before we get that 30% correction I have been looking for in the 2019-2020 time frame. And, as usually occurs, that market top will be accompanied by excessive bullishness among the masses. While many of the pundits have believed we will crash every week for years, the public seems to ignore them (appropriately) and have become much more bullish of late.
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Thursday, September 20, 2018
Here’s Why "Strong Jobs" Don't Mean "Higher Stocks" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
The stock market leads the economy, not the other way around
It's a wonderful thing when jobs are added to the U.S. economy.
But, as far as investing goes, history shows that you should not bet your stock market portfolio on it. Conversely, even a series of weak jobs reports doesn't mean you should bet against stocks.
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Thursday, September 20, 2018
The Stealth Reason Why the Stock Market Keeps On Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Gordon_T_Long
KEY MESSAGE:
- The US stock market continues to rise because it is increasingly dominated by shrinking "availability & supply",
- All three stock "Pools" are shrinking in a stealth & unappreciated fashion,
- There is an increasing potential for a "Minsky Melt-Up" based on an even stronger US dollar (i.e. An Emerging Market Flight to Safety),
- Expect a coming M&A corporate focus using inflated stock as the takeover currency to answer slowing corporate growth .... further reducing listing and outstanding share pools.
- Expect market rotation from Growth to Value in the near term versus the final Topping of the equity markets.
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
US Dollar Head & Shoulders Triggered. What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made its final high yesterday afternoon. The top-to-top time was 12.9 days, fitting my thesis that the impulsive decline and retracement fits in Cyclical time. This morning’s futures are lower, indicating that a new impulse may be underway, although it may remain shallow for the better part of the day. There is a potential Head & Shoulders formation that, when triggered, may send the SPX beneath its smaller Broadening Wedge.
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Prepare for the Stock Market’s Volatility to Increase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As you probably know, volatility has been notably absent from the U.S. stock market over the past 3-4 months. The S&P 500 has been rising in a slow and steady pace while VIX has been falling.
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Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Proven Gauges of the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Donald_W_Dony
As the current bull market roars into its 9th year, analysts, market pundits and investors, all wonder at one point, how much longer is this run going to go?
Gauges for the duration of the bull market vary considerably.
Analysts who value fundamentals generally review the levels of Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), Debt-to-Equity, free cash flow and the PEG ratio to determine the "true value" of a company.
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Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Predictive Trading Model Suggests Falling Stock Prices During US Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Just in time for what appears to be a potentially massive market price rotation, our researchers have put together this post to highlight what we believe will become a surprise price correction in the US Equities markets. Our team of researchers believes the correlation of our predictive modeling tools, predictive cycle tools, and other indicators are set up for what may become a massive 5~8% price rotation over the next 60 days.
We were expecting this rotation to start unfolding around mid-September (now) but at this time the technical are still bullish so we are not betting against the market just yet.
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Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Lehman Brothers Financial Collapse - Ten Years Later / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andy_Sutton
This will not be a long piece. It is not a memorial to Lehman Brothers nor is it an honorarium to the system that created Lehman, then crushed it along with a wide swath of American wealth and capital as well. This is not a tribute to government leaders such as Henry Paulson and others at the USTreasury who abused the trust afforded them by the American people and conducted one of the most brazen and heinous broad-daylight robberies in the history of the human race. We want you to remember what happened because, in the ten years since Lehman, not a thing has been done to prevent another episode and all the ingredients are present. The only thing missing is the trigger.
Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Financial Crisis Markets Reality Check Now in Progress / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Michael_Pento
The long-awaited dose of reality from the massive and unprecedented financialization of the global economy has finally begun.
Of course, those of us who understood from the start how healthy economies and markets naturally function, knew that a viable recovery from the fiscal and monetary excesses--which caused the great recession and financial crisis of 2008--was never underway. This is because central banks manipulated interest rates to zero percent and below and kept them at that level for a decade. Then, those same low rates engendered a humongous amount of new debt to be incurred, leading to the rebuilding of the current stock and real estate bubbles. And, it also created a tremendous and unprecedented bubble in the global fixed income market. This entire artificial construct, which was built upon bigger asset bubbles and greater debt loads, is now being tenuously held together by that very same government-engineered bond bubble.
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Tuesday, September 18, 2018
The Stock Market’s Breadth: Another Warning Sign for 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
We are getting more and more signs that the stock market will face trouble in 2019. Some of these market studies center around breadth.
The stock market’s breadth has been deteriorating recently. Some of this is due to weakness in foreign (non-U.S.) stocks.
Long term breadth divergence is a normal part of rallies within bull markets. There’s nothing bearish about breadth divergences. HOWEVER, long term breadth divergences that have gone too far while accompanied by massive bull market rallies are a bearish sign for stocks.
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