Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Promising Start to Stock Market Decline... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This morning’s decline appears to be a promising start, but we would need a decline beneath the Wave [iv] low at 2397.99 to have any confidence that the decline is for real. Otherwise it may be subject to whipsaw and a possible new high.

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Will there be Another New Stock Market High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

This morning’s SPX futures are higher, suggesting at least a challenge of the 2418.71 high if not a new high. The decline from Thursday’s high does not appear impulsive, so the chances are better than even for another attempted high. Right now the best estimate for a new high would be the Cycle Top at 2421.48…just in time for the quarter-end.

ZeroHedge reports, “t has been another quiet session for global equity markets, with S&P futures flat, as are European and Asian stocks, which is perhaps odd, as there was quite a bit of newsflow and, in the case of China, outright fireworks.

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

The New Stocks Bull Market of 2017! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I cannot stress strongly enough the importance of understanding where the markets are currently technically located, with regards to different time frames and which help to guide all my trading and investing decisions.

The longer that the SPX is inside a ‘consolidation pattern’ and going sideways, the bigger the ‘Break Out’. There is a very strong bullish posture on all time frames within the markets. A unique ‘Sentiment Indicator’ has now been reset from being overbought to oversold, therefore, there is huge potential to the upside. Momentum has been reset!  In my market article review, from last February 28^th, 2017, I discussed that the “Stealth ‘Bull Market’ In Stocks Is Still In Progress!”.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

A New (questionable) Stock Market Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues with a notable loss of upside momentum.

SPX Intermediate trend:  The correction from 2400 on 3/08 continues, with a B-wave still likely despite a new high.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Currencies, and Some ‘Out There’ Thoughts on Inflation, Stocks, Gold and Miners / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

Uncle Buck’s index is weak and the SMA 50 is crossing below the SMA 200. Before long we will be reading about it in the media. Now let’s consider a theme we’ve promoted for years; when the media trumpet a “DEATH CROSS!” * it is time to brace for the opposite implication to the media’s bearish promotion. Our view has after all, included a decline to the mid-90s for the index. Meanwhile, USD/JPY is decent right at the SMA 50, USD/EUR and USD/CHF are at lateral support and USD is at least neutral vs. the Commodity currencies.

Monday, May 29, 2017

Is a QQQ/NDX Stock Market Peak Looming? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: WavePatternTraders

The move from the Nov 2016 lows is one impressive move to say the least. I think its common knowledge that the majority of the recent upside on the QQQs is from a certain number of stocks. So until those tech stocks reverse or appear to suggest a reversal, then the QQQ/NDX is likely to continue higher.

Sunday, May 28, 2017

The REAL Stock Market Remains Below Its February Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Graham_Summers

For weeks I’ve been noting that stocks are being driven by a market rig.

By way of review, that rig is as follows:

1)   Someone slams the VIX lower.

2)   This forces risk-parity funds to buy stocks, usually the FANGs or large-cap Tech names (Facebook, Apple, Netflix, Google).

Saturday, May 27, 2017

Malefic Planets, Cycle-Waves Portend Big Stock Market Drop Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

May 17 saw one of the largest drops of the stock market this year.  I believe we will see an even larger drop early next week. There are three distinct reasons apart from the daily MACD failing to make a new high along with the SPX. Firstly, we have Mars in Gemini opposing Saturn in Sagittarius on May 29, Memorial Day.  This is a violent combination with each in a mutable sign. Either there is likely to be a terrorist attack (God forbid) or an attack on another nation that they will likely blame the drop on.  I hope I’m wrong about the violence, but I’m positioned short with SPY puts based on other factors as well.

Saturday, May 27, 2017

SPX/NDX/NAZ Hit New All-time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2382. After a gap up opening on Monday the market continued to rally until it hit a new high at SPX 2419 on Thursday. After that there was a small pullback to end the week at SPX 2416. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.35%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.25%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: new/existing home sales, durable goods, consumer sentiment, the Q2 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Q1 GDP and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly payrolls and the FED’s beige book.

Saturday, May 27, 2017

GBPUSD Top in Place, GOLD Price Ready to Rocket? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: short below parity.
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: N/A.

Friday, May 26, 2017

Stock Market & Crude Oil Forecast! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The SPX hit new highs and will see even higher highs! Goldman Sachs, is the latest bank to publish research, to justify the current high prices of the market and its year-end SPX price target. Goldman argues that the index can head higher to 2580 in this bull market trend.

The current rally continues to climb without a quantifiable pullback!

My proprietary technical model has now confirmed a NEW BUY SIGNAL on the SPX!  This is a new signal informing us of the continuation of this rally.  President Trump’s pro-business policies, along with soaring business and consumer optimism, is jet fuel for this bull market to continue even higher.

Friday, May 26, 2017

All-Time Closing Highs for the NDX Tek Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had gains today, only a late selloff prevented them from all-time highs, but they actually did close at all-time closing highs. The day started out with a big pop to the upside, particularly on the Nasdaq 100 when they went higher in a 5-wave advance. Only at that point, at 5793 did they start to give the Nasdaq 100 a late, 3-wave corrective pullback. It reached 5776, a loss of about 17 points in the last hour. The S&P 500, within 20 minutes of the close, was making a new high at 2418, but did pull back, However, they did close solidly in the green column at the end of the day.

Friday, May 26, 2017

SELL US Stocks - Massive Market CRASH WARNING! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: John_Mauldin

By Stephen McBride : “I’m telling you right now, the US is going to have a crash and it will be massive,” asserted Mark Yusko at Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference.

In his keynote speech, Mark Yusko, CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management, outlined where he sees the biggest opportunities and risks for investors are today.

Friday, May 26, 2017

Credit Downgrades May Prompt Stock Market Capital Shift / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recent news regarding Moody’s credit downgrades in China will likely continue to roil the global markets and present multiple unique opportunities for strategic investors.  As debt concerns grow throughout some areas of Asia and new US policy efforts shake up some common perceptions, a shift in capital is likely to occur over the next few months.

Today, I read about massive layoffs in India’s technology sector as a reaction to decreasing engagement of foreign IT services/support is a result of President Trump’s policies.  When we take this news in combination with Moody’s credit downgrades for China and the fact that almost all of South East Asia is interconnected in terms of economy and trade, we begin to see a picture that is fairly clear in terms of transitional economic shifts.

Thursday, May 25, 2017

Debt Mile Markers on the Road to Ruin / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2017

By: DeviantInvestor

We know much is currently wrong with our financial world, as discussed in the James Rickards book “The Road to Ruin” and elsewhere.

• The official U.S. government debt is nearly $20 trillion. Unfunded liabilities are 5 – 10 times larger. Debt has doubled every 8 – 9 years for decades – since the Federal Reserve was put in charge of devaluing the dollar. Debt will continue to grow, obviously out of control.
• Millions of Americans are out of work, regardless of the official statistics.
• Prices increase, some rapidly, regardless of the official statistics on consumer price inflation.
• More government spending and debt are looming on the horizon. New and escalating wars are likely. Expect more deficits, debt, and inflation.
• The U.S. stock market is selling at all-time highs, levitated by “easy money” and unsupported by fundamentals or breadth.

Thursday, May 25, 2017

Stock Market Top - Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are at new highs this morning. This appears to be Wave (v) of [v] of 5…the final push.

Potential targets are as follows:

Wave 5 equals Wave 1 at 2408.83.

Wave [v] equals Wave [i] at 2413.85.

The 2-hour Cycle Top is at 2411.05.

Thursday, May 25, 2017

Stock Market At Record High Again, Will Stocks Accelerate Their Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, May 25, 2017

DOW Set for Short Term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: short below parity.
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: Second Estimate GDP q/q, Business Investment q/q. USD: Unemployment Claims, OPEC Meetings

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Stock Market Excellent Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very excellent consolidation day, ending with gains on the day. The day started out with a pop to the upside, then a quick pullback, but the S&P 500 went to new highs, and the Nasdaq 100 failed to do so. When that happened, they pulled back midday. They tried to rally in the afternoon, unable to take out the highs. They pulled back at the end of the day, but then a quick, ten-minute snapback ensued that put them in the plus column.

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

SPX Burns Stock Market Shorts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX sits on the knife’s edge. There’s no new high, but no decline to speak of, yet. Anything may happen, including an overnight bust. However, I cannot make any recommendations without more substantiation.

By the way, SPX did “close the gap” at 2400.67, taking out the shorts who jumped in beneath the trendline.