Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, June 08, 2009

Summer Of Stock Market Discontent as Capital Flees to Precious Metals / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Captain_Hook

The following study comparing the pattern in today’s Dow to the post crash Nikki, similar to our own findings, does a good job of talking about both near term and extended possibilities within a predominantly deflationary environment that would sponsor such an outcome. Within the context of this discussion, and again, a topic we have been focusing on in attempting to identify the eventual turn back down in the broad markets, in the above Sarel Oberholster correctly points out that although the Dow has almost achieved the same percentage gain witnessed in the Nikki’s post crash bounce (31% compared to 34%), timing wise, if the patterning is to be a closer match, stocks could remain buoyant for up to another four months. You will remember we cited an extended rally as a distinct possibility within the context of a ‘seasonal inversion’ up until last week when probabilities associated with the 1929 to 1932 sequence remaining dominant shot up with a collapse in US index open interest put / call ratios.

Monday, June 08, 2009

Stock Markets End Week Higher Despite U.S. Unemployment Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

While the U.S. unemployment rated jumper to 9.4% (a high since August 1983), the markets chose to focus on the welcome fall in the numbers actually losing their jobs (-345k versus consensus -520k). They concluded that despite the negative revisions to previous numbers that the pace of decline may be slowing and that elusive bottom may be in sight. As a result stocks finished higher for the third straight week.

Sunday, June 07, 2009

Stock Market S&P500 Index At a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Submissions

MarketTimingCycles write: For almost everything in nature you will find Fibonacci relationships. Also in the stock market which is governed by natural cycles we can find (double) Fibonacci relationships between significant highs (highest high/close) and lows(lowest low/close).

Sunday, June 07, 2009

Stock Market Extreme Bullish Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Guy_Lerner

As you would expect from the bullish price action last week, the "Dumb Money" indicator is moving to new extreme highs. Since 1991, this has been the 8th most extreme reading out of the 42 unique times the indicator went above the bullish extreme line (i.e., bear signal). Extreme readings, such as the current one, are generally associated with strong bull markets like those seen from 1995 to 1998 and from 2003 to 2004. The only real failure was in 2002, and this led to the flush into the July, 2002 lows.

Sunday, June 07, 2009

The S&P 500 Stock Market Index Trend Momentum Conundrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: INO

A conundrum wrapped in an enigma… that’s the S&P 500 index.

I was just looking at the S&P 500 index as we come to a close for the week of June 6th. While the market appears to be higher for week, it also appears that we’re losing momentum on the upside.

Sunday, June 07, 2009

Financial Markets React to Growing Signs of Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Ups and downs on financial markets were plentiful during the past week, but investor sentiment, on balance, brightened on the back of constructive financial and economic data - capped by a better-than-expected US non-farm payrolls report on Friday.

“It appears that the global economy has finally found the ripcord,” said Rebecca Wilder (News N Economics) in her weekly review of global economic reports.

Sunday, June 07, 2009

Financial Markets Schizophrenia and Madness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes: While stocks have been rising, bonds have been plunging.

Rarely in my lifetime have I seen these suffer from a more extreme case of schizophrenia!

Saturday, June 06, 2009

Investing in the Transportation System of the Future / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Sean Brodrick writes: President Obama’s chief-of-staff says …“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. What I mean by that is it’s an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before.” —Rahm Emanuel, November 19, 2008

Saturday, June 06, 2009

The Great Crash Not Over, Stocks Bear Market Rally Built on Sand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Global_Research

A recovery is supposed to be in the works in the midst of increased savings, declining debt balances on credit cards, more bankruptcies, higher unemployment and new wave of foreclosures. Consumer participation in GDP is down from 72% to 70.4%. Bank and other financial firms’ balance sheets are what they say they are and we have a stock market bear rally built on sand just as we had in 1931. And, lest we forget, bogus government statistics calculated to confuse professionals and investors alike.

Saturday, June 06, 2009

Stock Market Hesitation at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

So is the market done here? We gapped over the 200 day exponential moving average on the S&P 500 at 943. Last night I talked about how I felt we would likely gap up and over that level today based on how we closed yesterday. It didn't matter it almost seemed like what the news was going to be from the jobs report. The news was bad. 9.4% unemployment versus 9.2% expected. The market somehow didn't care and flew higher on the report. Slow erosion began just before the market opened but we still gapped up nicely.

Saturday, June 06, 2009

U.S. Employment Downtrend Continues, Recession Not Over Yet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Nonfarm payroll employment fell by 345,000 in May, about half the average monthly decline for the prior 6 months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today.  The unemployment rate continued to rise, increasing from 8.9 to 9.4 percent.  Steep job losses continued in manufacturing, while declines moderated in construction and several service-providing industries.

Friday, June 05, 2009

MSCI Japan Index Fund EWJ and the US Dollar Japanese Yen Relationship / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Guy_Lerner

I would like to explore the relationship between the i-Shares MSCI Japan Index Fund (symbol: EWJ) and the US Dollar Japanese Yen (symbol: USDJPY) cross match. What piques my interest is that the Dollar is up almost 2% today against the Yen. Furthermore, the "next big thing" indicator suggests that both assets have a high likelihood of undergoing secular trend reversal.

Friday, June 05, 2009

Period of Recovery for the Stock Market UltraShort SPY (SDS) / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The one salient feature of the enclosed hourly chart of the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) is the series of lower highs and lower lows, which represents a powerful downtrend. However, after this morning’s new low at 51.47 and upside reversal to a high of 54.17, I have to consider that “something” ended on the downside and that a period of recovery rally already has started. 

Friday, June 05, 2009

Stock and Bond Market Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Last week we compared bonds and thought that T Notes were a good sell. They have fallen further - are they still a good sell? Some doubts have  arisen…

Friday, June 05, 2009

Stocks Modest Boost Ahead of US Jobs Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Stocks got a modest boost from a upward revision to Q1 US productivity data (which was corrected to double the initial estimate) and a stabilization in continuing jobless claims. The number of people who have been claiming social security for a number of weeks which fell for the first time since early January.

Thursday, June 04, 2009

Thursday Stock Market Snap Back Rally Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had a real good snapback session after yesterday's losses, moving higher from the get-go, consolidating all morning, and then moving higher mid-day. A subsequent mid-afternoon consolidation held support, and they came back up in the last hour to close near the session highs.

Thursday, June 04, 2009

S&P 500 Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast for June 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Hans_Wagner

Analyzing monthly stock market trends uses the S&P 500 charts to indicate important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 trend line chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.

Thursday, June 04, 2009

This Stock Market is a Fool’s Paradise / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology

By: Q1_Publishing

Bernard Baruch, one of the world’s most legendary speculators, said, “The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible.”

Right now, that’s exactly what’s going on. And I assure you, a lot of folks will be made into complete fools in the next year or so.

Thursday, June 04, 2009

Bullish Formation for Financial Stocks XLF ETF / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Financial Select Sector SPDR (AMEX: XLF) has spent the last 4 weeks carving out a coil formation atop its Mar-May upleg, which translates into a bullish continuation pattern, which when complete should trigger upside acceleration towards the next optimal target zone of 13.20/40.  As long as the prior pivot low within the coil – at yesterday’s low of 11.88 – remains intact, I want to be long the XLF in anticipation of the upside breakout.

Thursday, June 04, 2009

Stock and Commodity Trends Impact of a Weak U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Comments as of Wednesday's close: Risk assets have been benefiting from a weakening U.S. dollar. On Wednesday, the dollar strengthened on concerns about the economy (acting as a safe haven). From a technical perspective the dollar index has some support near 79.05 and 78.98 (today’s low was 78.33 – we are at 79.53 now). Last time these areas came into play, a three week countertrend rally followed, which is one reason we have been taking relatively small positions in recent weeks. A multi-week dollar counter-trend move is a possibility - we just need to be aware of it.