Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, August 10, 2018

More Uncertainty as Stocks Got Closer to January Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Stocks were virtually flat on Wednesday, as investors took short-term profits off the table following the recent advance. Will the S&P 500 index continue its bull-run above the January record high of 2,872.87? Or is this some short-term topping pattern before a downward reversal?

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.2% and +0.1% on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index remains above the level of 2,850 and it currently trades just 0.5% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.2% and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1% yesterday.

Thursday, August 09, 2018

Ignore the Stock Market “midterm election year”, Which is “supposed” to be Weak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

October 2017 – September 2018 (i.e. this year) is the 2nd year of the “presidential cycle”, also known as the midterm election year.

According to conventional seasonality, the midterm election year is “supposed” to be weak (bearish).

Thursday, August 09, 2018

Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 4 of my stock market in-depth analysis that seeks to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018. The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Thursday, August 09, 2018

VIX’s Collapse is Bullish for VIX and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

VIX (volatility index) has fallen back to where it last was in January 2018, before the stock market’s recent “small correction” began. VIX is now below 11 for the first time in more than 6 months. This means that the stock market’s volatility has subsided.

Thursday, August 09, 2018

US Economic Fundamentals and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 7 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast which takes a quick look at US economic fundamentals.

• Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
• Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
• Part 3 - Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis
• Part 4 - Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis
• Part 5 - Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market
• Part 6 - Stock Market US Presidential Cycle and Seasonal Analysis

The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Wednesday, August 08, 2018

US Stock Markets Higher Until November 2018 - Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Now, we are ready to share some new research that will help all of us understand the current and future market conditions given the ratios of the capital markets to GDP as represented in our previous article Part I.  The research team at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com believe we have identified a means of structurally understanding the US capital markets in relation to risks or reversal and crisis contagion.  As the Buffet Indicator is now warning that the US capital market may be nearing a critical price top, we can now attempt to put this data into perspective in relation to capital flows and capabilities.  Yes, in terms of historical price appreciation, we are now at or near levels that have historically been associated market tops and price collapses.  Let’s look at how the Buffet Indicator has reacted at times using our new Custom Market Cap Volatility Index.

Wednesday, August 08, 2018

US Stock Markets Higher Until November 2018 - Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. have been laboring over the recent market moves attempting to identify if and when the market may be likely to turn lower or contract.  We’ve been pouring over all types of various data from numerous sources and have concluded the following is the most likely outcome for when the US stock markets may find a reason to pause of contract.  As you read this research post, please allow us a brief introduction of the facts that supported our research.

Wednesday, August 08, 2018

Stock Market US Presidential Cycle and Seasonal Analysis / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 6 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast which takes a look at the the US Presidential Cycle and Seasonal analysis expected impact on the stock market.

• Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
• Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
• Part 3 - Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis
• Part 4 - Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis
• Part 5 - Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market



The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  A correction in the intermediate trend should keep prices above the 2680 level.
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In part 5 in this stock market analysis series I take a look at what the Yield Curve Inversion implies for stocks.

• Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
• Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
• Part 3 - Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis
• Part 4 - Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis



However, the whole of this analysis, including the detailed stock market trend forecast was first made available to my Patrons who support my work. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast - Video / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This video is part 3 of my stock market in-depth analysis that seeks to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018

• Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
• Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market

The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Monday, August 06, 2018

The Exponential Inflationary Stocks Bull Market - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast. The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecasts was first made available to Patrons who support my work. To get immediate access First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Monday, August 06, 2018

Wilshire 5000 Already Made a New All-time High. Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 is the most widely referenced index for the U.S. stock market. However, the Wilshire 5000 index is most representative of the U.S. stock market because it encompasses every single stock in the U.S. stock market.

While the S&P 500 has yet to make a new all-time high, the Wilshire 5000 index has already made a new all-time high vs its January 2018 all-time high.

Monday, August 06, 2018

Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 4 of my stock market in-depth analysis that seeks to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018

• Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
• Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
• Part 3 - Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis

The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my work. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Monday, August 06, 2018

Stock Market and Economy False Narratives That are Just Wrong / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

I love debunking false narratives, mostly because these narratives do nothing but hurt the investors and traders who read them. E.g. if you’re an investor who’s constantly reading permabear narratives in this environment, you’re going to miss out on the stock market’s gains.

Here are some false bearish narratives that I’ve noticed from fintwit over the past week.

*If you haven’t already, feel free to follow me on twitter ;@BullMarketsco

Sunday, August 05, 2018

Why China Lost the Trade War Before it Even Began - SSEC Stocks Index - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In this series of videos I will seek to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for stock stock market for the whole of the remainder of 2018. This analysis is based on my articles beign posted at the market oracle site. Furthermore the whole of this analysis was first made available Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Trumponomics in a nutshell can be summed up as a mish mash of policies built on tweets that has surprisingly so far delivered relative stock market strength for the broad US markets this year that has the Dow currently trading at 25,064 marginally up from at the start of the year opening level of 24,720 whilst standing up 7.5% a from its early April low of 23,300. So as the Dow chart illustrates the stock market has refused to FALL this year despite the chaos of the unfolding trade war that has been the focus of the mainstream press for 2018.

Sunday, August 05, 2018

Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 3 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast.

• Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
• Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market

The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Saturday, August 04, 2018

The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast. Part 1 (Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President). The whole of this analysis that includes my core analysis and detailed trend forecasts was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate access First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

This is a good time to remind my readers of the difference in perception of between bull and bear markets for they are not the same. The stock market does not exist in a trading range that oscillates between roughly equal bull and bear market price gyrations. The primary over riding trend is always INFLATIONARY which means Bear markets are CORRECTIONS.

Friday, August 03, 2018

Payrolls Disappoint, But Stocks May Go Marginally Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are on edge, waiting for the monthly payrolls report from the BLS. Futures spiked between 6:00 am and 7:30 am, presumably to discourage the shorts before the payroll numbers. There still may be a small probe higher even if the payrolls underperform. The Cycle Top at 2839.76 appears to be the final resistance.

ZeroHedge reports, “World stocks traded mixed on Friday, with risk appetite dampened despite Apple crossing a $1 trillion market cap and boosting tech stocks around the globe, after Wilbur Ross warned there’s "more pain ahead" unless China changes its economic system adding to trade war tensions, pushing the Yuan as low as 6.91 after the lowest PBOC fixing since May 2017. And while there were no fireworks in Japanese bonds overnight for the first time in a week, this time it was Italian bonds that tumbled with 10Y BTP yields rising briefly above 3% ahead of a budget meeting between the country’s populist leaders and the finance minister. The MSCI All-Country World Index was down by 0.1% after the start of European trading, and set to break a four-week streak of gains.”

Friday, August 03, 2018

Russell Small Caps Stock Index is Up 5 Months in a Row. Very Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Russell 2000 (small caps index) has now extended its winning streak from 4 months in a row to 5 months in a row.