Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 25, 2018
Stock Market Double Bottom at Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and we are in a new intermediate uptrend which should eventually take SPX to a new all-time high.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 25, 2018
Could A Big Move In The Global Stock Markets Be Setting Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few months, our research team has authored many articles regarding the weakness in China/Asia as well as the recent rotation in the global markets as trade issues, debt issues, the G7 meeting and, more recently, concerns in the US and Europe regarding immigration and political issues create chaos in what was, just 18 months ago, a relatively calm global market. Yes, there have been some concerns over the past few year with regards to debt issues and other concerns, but the recent shakeup in the status-quo of the global markets seems to be presenting a massive opportunity for investors.
The recent news is that the European leaders are convening an Emergency Meeting to discuss immigration issues and other issues. This emergency meeting is warning us that other issues are at play here and immigration issues are the result of many failed policies and management by the EU to protect and distribute diversity to EU members.
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Sunday, June 24, 2018
Russell Has Gone up 8 Weeks in a Row. Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week we published a study which demonstrated that when the Russell 2000 (small caps index) goes up 7 weeks in a row, the stock market’s future returns are very bullish.
The Russell 2000 has now extended that rally streak to 8 weeks up in a row.
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Sunday, June 24, 2018
Small Cap Stocks, Technology and Pharma To Drive A Renewed Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We’ve been warning our followers not to become frightened by price rotation in the US majors for months. Our predictive analysis has been showing us the upside in this market is far from over and our most recent analysis of the global markets is showing us that emerging markets and many global markets may be “disconnecting” from the US majors in a dramatic price move. See our most recent research posts for more on this potential crisis in the making.
Friday, June 22, 2018
SPX/Gold, Long-term Yields & Yield Curve 3 Amigos Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
It has been a while since we’ve had a 3 Amigos update because a) Italy and global tariffs noise aside, nothing much has changed with the macro and b) I felt my ‘image-based metaphorical content to straight content’ ratio was getting a little excessive. So I gave it a rest.
Now it is time again for an update of these important macro riders in order to touch base with their signals. As always, I’ll remind you that there is much more to the macro market backdrop that NFTRH manages on an ongoing basis, but these three are important.
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Friday, June 22, 2018
Dow Has Fallen 8 days in a Row. Medium-long Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow Jones has fallen 8 days in a row. But as always, market stage matters (the same kind of price action means different things in different market stages). The Dow has fallen 8 days in a row while it’s still in an uptrend (i.e. is above its 200 daily moving average). This is uncommon – most 8 days in a row streaks occur when the Dow is in a downtrend (i.e. is below its 200 daily moving average).
Thursday, June 21, 2018
Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Greetings fellow traders and investors.
I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so, but before I explain why, I'll give you the good news which is my forthcoming schedule of analysis that includes a detailed look at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And then a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market which will include specific stock's to profit from in my machine intelligence investing series, more in my following video:
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
SPX Bouncing Above Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPB futures have been bouncing along the two trendlines near 2760.00 this morning. Should the break down, we may see a decline to the 50-day Moving Average at 2710.37. However, the Cycles Model is unclear about near-term direction. We should be open to the possibility of another probe of the Cycle Top. Depending on the strength of the potential move, we may see a challenge of the March 13 high.
ZeroHedge reports, “It started off well enough, with S&P futures in the green and the Nasdaq set for another all time high after trade war concerns eased further after Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told the Senate neither the U.S. nor China want a trade war, while President Donald Trump said he expects to announce new trade deals with unspecified countries soon.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
The NASDAQ’s Outperformance vs. the Dow is Very Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
First of all I’d like to thank Shawn. He raised a good question, one that I’ll answer in this study.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
Trump’s Trade Tariffs Undermining America’s Economic Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Dan_Steinbock
As President Trump is again suspending the opportunity for trade compromise, new US tariffs are not only alienating US allies and partners but undermining America’s own future prospects.On Monday, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose a new 10 percent tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods. That will not only re-escalate the trade war with China but contribute to new risks of collateral damage to the US economy.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
The Fed’s “Inflation Target” is Impoverishing American Workers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Antonius_Aquinas
At one time, the Federal Reserve’s sole mandate was to maintain stable prices and to “fight inflation.” To the Fed, the financial press, and most everyone else “inflation” means rising prices instead of its original and true definition as an increase in the money supply. Rising prices are a consequence – a very painful consequence – of money printing.
Naturally, the Fed and all other central bankers prefer the definition of inflation as a rise in prices which insidiously hides the fact that they, being the issuers of currency, are the real culprit for increased prices.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Warning All Investors: Global Stock Market Are Shifting Away From US Price Correlation / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Well over a month ago we warned our followers of a “capital market shift” that was taking place in the global markets. Nearly 3 months before that time, we warned that China’s economy was about to enter a sustained economic downtrend cycle that could be dangerous to the global markets. Today, we offer further evidence that the global markets are, in fact, shifting away from a price correlation to the US stock market and this move could be a warning sign that emerging markets and global markets could lead the world into an extended stagflation cycle.
Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Dow Fell 6 days in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish Medium & Long term Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow Jones has gone down 6 days in a row. This is the first time in 15 months in which the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days. But more importantly, the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days while remaining above its 200 daily moving average.
In other words, this is the first time in a long time in which the Dow has fallen consistently.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
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By: EWI
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Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Stock Market’s Short Term Downside Will be Limited / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Over the past 2 weeks I said that the stock market would face some short term downside (i.e. would swing sideways or fall a little). So far I’ve been right. The stock market has gone down a little bit (see S&P 500).
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Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Trump A Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
In light of the developing trade war between the US and China, let’s review the all-important Semiconductor sector and in particular, the Semi Equipment segment, which is a key economic early bird (and canary in a coal mine).
Various sectors took hits on Friday as Trump moved forward with Tariffs on China. But most of those sectors and industries are follow-on aspects of the economic cycle, which got its start when the early bird chirped in early 2013.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
US Majors Flush Out A Major Pivot Low and What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Closing out a big week in the markets, we see the US markets rotating a bit lower after a number of news events. Some of these were very positive and others were negative. The take away from last week can be condensed into the following:
_ The US Dollar strengthened all week and shot up above $120 near the end of the week
_ Crude Oil tanked on Friday – falling nearly 3% to just below $65.00 ppb
_ EURUSD fell nearly 2% on QE concerns in Europe as well as trade issues that are mounting
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Monday, June 18, 2018
Stock Market Consolidating in an Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and we are in a new intermediate uptrend which should take SPX to a new all-time high.
Monday, June 18, 2018
Russell Has Gone Up 7 Weeks in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week I published a study demonstrating what happens to the stock market when the Russell 2000 (small caps) index goes up 6 weeks in a row. The Russell has extended that streak to 7 weeks in a row.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
What Happens Next to Stocks when Tech Massively Outperforms Utilities and Consumer Staples / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Troy_Bombardia
The tech sector has massively outperformed the utilities and consumer staples sectors over the past year.
- The S&P 500 Information technology sector is up 33%…
- While the Utilities sector is down -8%….
- While the Consumer Staples sector is down -8%
Some people see this as a bearish sign for the stock market because “tech is in a bubble”.
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