Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, September 21, 2017
Short-Term Uncertainty, As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our yesterday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index gained 0.1%, as it extended its consolidation along 2,500 mark. The market may continue to fluctuate today. On the other hand, support level is relatively close, at last week's Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Last Two Times This Happened Was in 2000 and 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The stock market bubble is now so massive that even Goldman Sachs is getting worried.
Let’s be clear here: Wall Street does best and makes the most money when stocks are roaring higher. So in order for a major Wall Street firm like Goldman to start openly worrying about whether or not the markets are going to crash, there has to be truly MASSIVE trouble brewing.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stocks Hit Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
NDX is on an aggressive sell signal. It becomes confirmed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 5903.02.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
The 5 Biggest Bubbles In Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : Bubbles aren’t new—they’ve been around since Dutch tulips—but it’s only recently that they’ve worked their way into the average investor’s lexicon. That’s probably because bubbles happen much more frequently these days.
We never used to get a giant speculative bubble every 7–8 years. But that has been the case since the new millennia.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Infographic: The Everything Bubble Is Ready to Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
In 2007, we had the housing bubble.
In 2017, we have the everything bubble.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stock Market Waiting Game... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are flat this morning. At this point it appears to be a waiting game between the market and the Fed. There appears to be at least one more probe higher (Ending diagonal). A throw-over above the upper Diagonal trendline is probable. Should that be the case, a decline beneath the Brexit trendline (red) may be an aggressive sell signal while a decline beneath the lower Diagonal trendline near 2495.00 may be a confirmed sell signal.
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
US Equities Destined For Negative Returns In The Next 7 Years - 3 Assets To Invest In Instead / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : With the S&P 500 up 260% since March 2009, investors have been well rewarded for holding US stocks in the recent past.
However, the prime time of US stocks has come to an end. Here’s why.
In a white paper titled The S&P 500: Just Say No, investment research firm GMO projected that returns on US equities would be -3.9% over the next seven years.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Fortunes / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Raul_I_Meijer
A few days ago, former Reagan Budget Director and -apparently- permabear (aka perennial bear) David Stockman did an interview (see below) with Stuart Varney at Fox -a permabull?!-, who started off with ‘the stock rally goes on’ despite a London terror attack and the North Korea missile situation. His first statement to Stockman was something in the vein of “if I had listened to you at any time after the past 2-3 years, I’d have lost a fortune..” Stockman shot back with (paraphrased): “if you’d have listened to me in 2000, 2004, you’d have dodged a bullet”, and at some point later “get out of bonds, get out of stocks, it’s a dangerous casino.” Familiar territory for most of you.
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: EWI
What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself...
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Monday, September 18, 2017
Elliott Wave Analysis of COMPQ (Nasdaq Composite) / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: WavePatternTraders
The relentless trend from the Feb 2016 could be close to a pause on some tech markets. Particularly the NDX and COMPQ. Both markets can suggest the trend is close to ending either wave [3] or wave [5] from the Feb 2016 lows. Personally I think the better idea is to suggest it’s close to ending wave [3]. Although I can see the merits of the other idea when I look at a weekly chart, it can clearly be counted as a 9 swing move from the Feb 2016 lows.
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Monday, September 18, 2017
These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
For this week’s Outside the Box (subscribe here for free), we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the Fed Swamp,” Brian Wesbury and colleagues at First Trust make the case that it was the private sector, not the federal government or the Fed, that saved the economy after the panic of 2008.
The Fed has outgrown its britches, they argue, and it’s time to fill the Board of Governors chair and vice-chair positions with people who will hold the Fed to account for its mistakes. They conclude with this trenchant line:
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Monday, September 18, 2017
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Either You Learn From The Events Of The Past Week, Or You Are Hopeless / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
Back in mid-July, we called for the market to top within 3 weeks between 2487-2500. And, 3 weeks later, the market topped at 2490SPX within one day of the topping date we expected. And, since we struck that high, the market has followed through in an almost textbook fashion for the entire month of August, as we caught just about every twist and turn during the month.
Coming into the last week of August, we were expecting the market to drop down to support within the 2425-2430SPX region, and then rally back towards the 2465-2475 region, before it set up to drop back down to the 2400SPX region. As we now know, dropped hard and bottomed early that week at 2428SPX, and then rallied back to 2480SPX. When the market topped out at 2480 on September 1st, our expectation was that we would see a drop down to the 2400SPX region next.
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Monday, September 18, 2017
SPX 2500 … At Last! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.
SPX Intermediate trend: By rising past 2491 the start of the (inevitable) intermediate correction has been delayed. .
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 17, 2017
Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market - Video / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
By: EWI
Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market
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Sunday, September 17, 2017
Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: F_F_Wiley
Even as the Fed’s decision makers are beginning to worry less about recession and more about bubbly stock prices, we’re not yet moved by their attempts to curb the market’s enthusiasm. After all, the fed funds rate sits barely above 1%, which not too long ago qualified as a five-decade low. And other indicators, besides interest rates, aren’t exactly predicting the next bear, either. Inflation is subdued, credit spreads are tight, banks are mostly lending freely and the economy is growing, albeit slowly. It just doesn’t feel as though we’re close to a major market peak.
All that being said, we’re not so much about feelings as we are about delving into history (nerds that we are) and seeing if there’s anything we can learn. Let’s look at the last 90 years to see if any bear markets began under similar conditions to those today.
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Sunday, September 17, 2017
Stocks and Gold; Macro Pivot Window Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
On August 11 the potential and reasoning for anticipated pivots in the US stock market and the gold sector were noted in this article: Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and Gold
As for the stock market, several reasons were put forward in support of a 2nd half of September through Q4 danger period, for a correction (no need yet to talk bear market because that would be pure promotion of an agenda). Please note that standard technical analysis was not among those reasons. The stock market was then and is now, in an uptrend across all important time frames.
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Saturday, September 16, 2017
Deceit in the Financial Food Chain / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Rodney_Johnson
I recently watched The Big Short, the 2015 movie recounting the housing crisis. I avoided the movie, and the book of the same name, for years. But I saw the title on Netflix and thought, “Now’s the time.”I didn’t sidestep it for lack of interest. Just the opposite. As a former bond trader I have a keen interest in the debt markets.
I followed the crisis’ every twist and turn, starting in the summer of 2007 when a quiet little corner of the bond market – municipal bond floating-rate note auctions – blew up. I found the steps leading to the crisis, and the events in the aftermath, appalling.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
Extreme Weather & Energy Markets: What's Next? - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Given the recent hurricanes and intense volatility across commodity markets, anticipating fluctuations in crude and natural gas has rarely been this challenging. In this new interview, Steve Craig, the editor of our Energy Pro Service, explains how he uses the Elliott Wave Principle to make sense of it all.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
Stock Market Investors: Taking the Road "Less Traveled" Has Its Perks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Using the same market indicators everyone else uses can lead you to make the same mistakes everyone else makes. Here's a chart that proves the point -- you won't see this one elsewhere.
Thursday, September 14, 2017
S&P 500 At New Record High, Will It Break Above 2,500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our yesterday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index fluctuated within a relatively narrow trading range following Tuesday's advance. The market may retrace some of its recent rally today, as the S&P 500 index trades close to potential resistance level of 2,500. On the other hand, support level is relatively close, at Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market once again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.