Wednesday, April 15, 2020
The Wuhan Virus Pricked the Everything Bubble / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Michael_Pento
Inflationary and Insolvency Implosion of the Bond Market
We are all praying for the Wuhan virus to die. But there is something the virus can actually “cure” itself: deflation. I put the word cure in quotes because it's not an actual issue in reality. Low inflation and disinflation are actually great conditions to enjoy and help an economy thrive. Increasing the purchasing power of consumers is something that should be cherished and targeted goal. Increases in productivity, along with a strong currency, raises your standard of living. In sharp contrast, Central Banks think any rate of inflation that is less than 2% is a deadly economic disease that must be vanquished faster than the Wuhan virus.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2020
Gold Price Near March Highs and Ready to Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Submissions
Recent shifts in the markets suggest gold prices are about to breakout in the same manner as they did over the summer last year.
The price of gold is a small distance away from the March highs ahead of the North American open on Monday and a fresh seven-year high looks to be probable.
Many factors impact the price of gold but there are few specific things that I am looking at that lead me to believe gold prices are about to break out.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2020
The Road To Perdition Is Paved With Evil Intentions / Politics / Social Issues
By: James_Quinn
“Suckers think that you cure greed with money, addiction with substances, expert problems with experts, banking with bankers, economics with economists, and debt crises with debt spending” ― Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms
“Globalization has created this interlocking fragility. At no time in the history of the universe has the cancellation of a Christmas order in New York meant layoffs in China.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb
As we continue our national lockdown suicide cult to hell, I find myself getting angrier and angrier at the pathetic leadership displayed by politicians, government bureaucrats, so called medical “experts”, and intellectual yet idiot academics displaying their ignorance of facts, reality, history, and humanity. My nature is to be skeptical of everything I read or am told.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2020
Fibonacci AI Trading System Forecasts Future Gold, Silver & Stock prices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As we’ve attempted to illustrate the intuitive nature of the Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system we as one of the tools to help us understand the markets and price setups, we now want to more clearly illustrate other components of the current global economic environment. We want to illustrate just how deep the current price move resonates against historical price norms.
In Part I of this article, we highlighted the Fibonacci system running on the ES (S&P 500) charts. The point of this example was to show that a new price low had already been established and a recent new price high (the all-time high peak) was now acting as a critical price peak. This suggests we are in the process of establishing a much deeper price low (bottom) that may come over the next few weeks as price attempts to “revalue” current economic expectations.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2020
A single currency system for the world / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, April 14, 2020
UK Covid-19 Deaths Analysis - Danger Real or Exaggerated? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 1 of 2 that updates the current trend trajectories for the coronavirus mega-trend, where whilst the pandemic itself may not last more than a year nevertheless the magnitude of which is likely to impact many aspects of our lives for decades to come. Where the purpose of this analysis is to ensure that we are not all getting carried away by media headlines that could be over exaggerating covid-19 that has resulted in unprecedented government measures. Especially as a significant percentage of people, usually those yet to experience the first hand consequences of the Coronavirus, see it largely in terms of being a corona hoax, fake news, a grab for power, a plandemic, the elites once more playing their power games to enrich themselves just as they did during the financial crisis.
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Monday, April 13, 2020
Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 1 of 2 that updates the current trend trajectories for the coronavirus mega-trend, where whilst the pandemic itself may not last more than a year nevertheless the magnitude of which is likely to impact many aspects of our lives for decades to come. Where the purpose of this analysis is to ensure that we are not all getting carried away by media headlines that could be over exaggerating covid-19 that has resulted in unprecedented government measures. Especially as a significant percentage of people, usually those yet to experience the first hand consequences of the Coronavirus, see it largely in terms of being a corona hoax, fake news, a grab for power, a plandemic, the elites once more playing their power games to enrich themselves just as they did during the financial crisis.
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Monday, April 13, 2020
The Society will Strike Back, or are the Swedish too Dumb? / Politics / Social Issues
By: Submissions
I first wrote about a contact tracing surveillance app on mobile phones on 6th April 2020. Six days later, on the 12th April Apple and Google announce their cooperation to develop such app. Apart from the fact the authorities will never let a tech company to store such sensitive information the fundamental problem with Google and Apple plan is the fact that a government will not accept a disease carrier individual to freely and anonymously pass a disease to others in society. It is against the fundamental responsibility of each sovereign state to keep health and well being of society. It is highly naive if Apple or Google thinks that the state will not get involved and will have a closed eye on the control of such sensitive information. As I stated before we will move eventually more to a full implementation of a state contact tracing (surveillance) plan.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 13, 2020
Global Trade: The War of the Throne / Economics / Global Economy
By: Stephen_Merrill
Now scribers, hear the tale of the mightiest battle of humankind. It is the war over the throne of global trade. The ongoing duel between the Rightful King and the Irresistible Force.With the Joker in the mix now, too.
Five Millenia of Global Trade
What tamed the tribalistic human into a more civilized state long ago was the logic and obvious benefits of trade and travel. From its very beginning, the global means-of -exchange facilitating trade was ultimately gold and its monetary stepchild silver. Even when Western Europeans traded with China, India and many others, the primacy of gold and silver was easily adopted by both sides based on their separate tradition.
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Monday, April 13, 2020
AI Fibonacci Trading System Predicts Next Stock Market Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Now that you’ve learned about Fibonacci Price Theory Part I and how major and minor Fibonacci Price Pivots help to map out true price structure Part II, we’ll continue our research article illustrating why we believe a deeper price low should take place before a true bottoms sets up in the US and global markets.
Our researchers use a host of available tools and proprietary price modeling systems in an attempt to identify the most likely outcome of future price activity. Within this article, we’re focusing on the Fibonacci Price Theory and our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system. We just taught you about Fibonacci Price Pivots and how to use them. Now, we are going to go into a detailed analysis of deeper Fibonacci price theory with the NQ (NASDAQ)
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Monday, April 13, 2020
Covid-19: Who, what, when, where and Why? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Richard_Mills
If there is one thing we know about the coronavirus, it’s that getting a jump on it helps to limit the number of infections. Clearly the best time to stop this, and all outbreaks, is in its early stages.
Both China and the United States have been accused of suppressing information and delaying acting on knowledge that could have significantly limited the spread of covid-19.
Some may argue this is no time for armchair quarterbacking, as the virus continues to ravage the United States, Canada and several nations in Western Europe including the UK, France, Germany, Italy and Spain.
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Monday, April 13, 2020
Coronavirus Socialism / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Patrick_Watson
When (hopefully soon) we all get out of coronavirus lockdown and try to resume normal life, we will probably find a different “normal.”
The best-case outcome: scientists discover a “magic bullet” treatment that quickly restores the most serious cases to health. We could then ease restrictions and get on with business.
But more likely, any such treatment is months away and a vaccine probably a year away, so many precautions will have to stay in place. We won’t see large gatherings and crowded restaurants anytime soon.
But we’ll see something else: a radically different economic structure.
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Sunday, April 12, 2020
UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectory Current State - Video / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
At times it can be difficult not to be swept along with the NHS wave that has gripped Britain, the clapping and cheering, and stories of Nightingale hospitals coming on stream with thousands of beds. But the same dynamics are at work here, i.e. a high percentage of people on ventilators eventually dying and a surge in the number of patients, so one should take media stories focused on the 15,000 or so of extra beds across Britain's Nightingale hospitals with a pinch of salt, as likely they will not turn out to be anywhere near as effective as people believe them to be should they end up in a Nightingale hospital. So more a publicity stunt than building effective extra capacity.
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Sunday, April 12, 2020
Bitcoin Has Just Passed 50% Fibonacci Level And Is On Its Way To $7700 / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Submissions
The recently rising price of Bitcoin against the US dollar is slowing progressing towards the next resistance level of $7700. Currently, we are seeing some pin bars forming near $7200 with the resurgence of some selling pressure.
As seen in the BTCUSD Daily chart below, the Bitcoin price has been rising gradually since its lowest levels this year, when the price briefly dropped on the 12th of March to $3600.
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Sunday, April 12, 2020
Can the S&P 500 Bulls Sound the All Clear Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The buyers repelled the opening selling pressure, and gradually made their way higher. While it wasn’t smooth sailing throughout the whole session, they overcame every attempt of the sellers. Closing near the daily highs, and with futures little changed during the premarket session, can the buyers repeat their performance later today as well?
In the search for answers, let’s check the daily chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Sunday, April 12, 2020
Kids Easter Bunny and Chicken's Hunt in Lockdown Britain, Ecclesall Woods, Sheffield / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
It's Easter in lockdown Britain, so here's a quick trip to the woods near where we live, time for Eliza's Easter bunny and chickens hunt. Hopefully better times are just around the corner (Ecclesall Woods, Sheffield).
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Sunday, April 12, 2020
Will Fed and Trump Save the US Economy And Sink Gold? / Economics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Trump administration will seek an additional $250 billion to support small businesses hurt by the widespread economic shutdown and slowdown. Will the government and the Fed save the US economy? What would be the consequences for the gold market?US Epidemiological Update
As of April 7, more than 360,000 people were confirmed to be infected by the coronavirus in the US, and more than 10,000 out of them died because of the COVID-19, as the chart below shows. Actually, the US is entering the worst period of the epidemic, as hospitals are struggling to maintain and expand capacity to care for infected patients.
Saturday, April 11, 2020
Federal Reserve Notes Are Now “Backed” by Junk Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: MoneyMetals
Wild price action and unprecedented interventions once again characterized this holiday-shortened trading week.
Oil prices whipsawed lower Thursday on concerns about expected oil production cuts from Russia and Saudi Arabia. But the general trend for most other assets, including metals and equities, was up – way up.
Stocks finished out the week with the major averages posting their biggest weekly gains in decades in the space of just four trading days. Investors went on a buying spree based on hopes that we will soon see a definitive peak in coronavirus cases and begin the process of restarting the economy.
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Saturday, April 11, 2020
The Invisible Hand of Capitalism / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Jared_Dillian
The Fed is more or less doing modern monentary theory (MMT) as we speak.
But rather than giving printed dollars to the Treasury, it’s using the bond market as a conduit. Trillions in bond issuance, financed by trillions of dollars of printed money.
Don’t get me started on the pathetic levels of assistance we are offering American citizens in favor of financially irresponsible corporations.
What we are practicing here is not capitalism. In order for capitalism to work, we must allow corporations to fail. The bankruptcy process works just fine. Sure, shareholders and creditors would experience losses, and this would teach them to be more careful next time.
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Saturday, April 11, 2020
Global Shutdown and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Have you read Ayn Rand’s novel Atlas Shrugged? The main theme of the book is that – overwhelmed by growing statism – entrepreneurs at one point say finally “basta!” and announce a strike. The symbolic Atlas who carries the world, shrugs. As a result, the economy collapses, plunging the world into chaos. This what we are observing right now – the only difference is that Atlas has not shrugged but got infected. But the result is the same. The economy freezes. We invite you thus to read our today’s article and find out what does the global shutdown implies for the global economy and the gold market!
Have you read Ayn Rand’s novel Atlas Shrugged? The main theme of the book is that – overwhelmed by growing statism – entrepreneurs at one point say finally “basta!” and announce a strike. They disappear, leaving their businesses to their fate. The symbolic Atlas who carries the world, shrugs. As a result, the economy collapses, plunging the world into chaos.
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