Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Crash Black Wednesday Rally Crushes the Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The mainstream financial press and blogosfear has been full of relentless stories all week painting a picture of doom and gloom. Even the usually buoyant CNBC air heads that usually sit smack middle on the fence, today had turned bearish with expectations at mid US trading today for the days stocks rally to soon run out of steam and reverse to a down close much as the Dow did yesterday. Instead what did the stock market do? It did CRASH, but it was to the UPSIDE! For if falls of 3.5% have been reported on in the press as a CRASH with headlines of Black Monday, then an greater upwards daily move of 619 points, 3.95% should surely be reported upon as a stock market crash to the upside!
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
VIX Shorts Being Squeezed While SPX Prepares for Another Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Today’s SPX managed to stay in the black, but it’s a Pivot day. This bounce is not a good omen for the market for that reason and the fact that it remains under the hourly Cycle Bottom resistance at 1923.36.
It gives us confirmation of the Wave structure illustrated on the chart. A Wave [iii] would continue to stay under Cycle Bottom resistance, while Wave [iv] may venture inside and Wave [v] ride above the Cycle Bottom until completion.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Why China's Economy is Deteriorating / Economics / China Economy
The plunging Shanghai Stock Exchange and the sudden reversal in the yuan’s appreciation have caused fears to spread beyond China’s borders. Is something wrong with the world’s growth locomotive? In a word, yes.
The most reliable approach for the determination of nominal gross domestic product (GDP) and the balance of payments is the monetary approach. Indeed, the path of an economy’s nominal GDP is determined by the course of its money supply (broadly determined).
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Citizenship as a Weapon: Travel Controls and What You Can Do About It / Politics / Social Issues
By Nick Giambruno
It’s an extremely potent weapon, yet most are not even aware of its existence.
That is, unless they have been unfortunate enough to be on the receiving end of it.
The weapon I’m referring to is travel controls, also known as people controls. It’s the power any government has to limit the ability of its citizens to travel. They do this by restricting the issuance of travel documents like passports.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
China Stock Market Shanghai Composite Index Update... / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The Chinese market is of interest to us not because we necessarily want to trade it, but because of its effect on other world markets. Its heavy drop on Monday morning contributed to the rout on Wall St later in the day. The Chinese economy is a massive Ponzi scheme that is threatening to implode, with grave implications for the world economy.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Gold and Silver - How To Manipulate a Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
There will be an option expiration tomorrow for precious metals on the Comex.
Gold and silver were hit in the classic contract dump early on in the New York Trade.
Surprisingly the US dollar also fell. Stocks tried to stage a rally but faded badly and fell into the close.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
How to Make a Quick 20% When the Stock Market Crashes / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Have you ever gotten into an argument or fight with someone who goes from calm and rational to nuclear in an instant? It’s scary.
In my life, the few scraps I’ve gotten into took the typical course. A heated debate leads to name-calling and threats. Finally, one guy pushes the other and it’s on.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
NYA Stocks Index Drops to Very Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
You probably recall that we we discussed the NYA's triangular pattern last week ... and then made comments about the market being in a very high risk condition and that investors should be careful.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
UK Re-mortgaging Hits a Four-year High / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Charlotte Nelson, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, comments:
“With many borrowers taking advantage of the record low rates on the market, it’s little wonder that approvals for remortgages are at a four-year high.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Financial Mistakes That Many Entrepreneurs Make / Companies / SME
In the modern world, success is mostly measured by profitability but this is a concept that is quite elusive. The main idea is to basically bring in more than is spent. It does seem simple enough but at the end of the day, entrepreneurs make mistakes and end up not being able to succeed in increasing profits to a high enough level. It is normal that start-ups fail but you can avoid a lot of the failure by simply avoiding the following really common mistakes.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Economic Nationalism: Alternative to Globalism / Politics / Social Issues
Ivory tower economists, corporate business analysts and financial experts routinely trash any discussion that America needs to institute a national economic policy that actually benefits our own country. The mantra of unchallenged doctrine that globalism is the only path for world commerce has been intensively pushed for well over the last half century. How well did the United States fare? An honest evaluation must acknowledge the diminishing middle class has paid the greatest penalty from the corporatist sedition that has destroyed internal independence and productive prosperity.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Why We Can’t Handle A Stocks Bear Market - State Budgets Will Implode / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Back when society’s balance sheet was reasonably solid, the occasional bear market was no big deal. A 20% drop in the average S&P 500 stock would scare investors and lead to slight declines in consumer spending and government capital gains tax revenue, but the overall economy would barely notice such a minor speed bump.
But that was then. Like a person with an impaired immune system, today’s developed world is so highly leveraged that a shock of any kind risks catastrophic complications. Which is why governments and central banks now meet every incipient crisis with quick infusions of newly-created cash and lower interest rates. We can’t risk letting markets be markets any more.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stocks Bear Market, Is This 1929 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Dow has been smashed over the last week which has brought out the usual doom and gloomer’s predicting Armageddon once again. There are several so called experts now predicting a 1929 style bear market.
Admittedly, it is hard not to get caught up in the emotion of days where the market sees a 1000 point intraday drop. So, is this really 1929 all over again? Well, for those that can’t be bothered to read the analysis, the short answer is no. Not as far as I’m concerned anyway.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Start of Stock Market Third Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX nearly took out SPX’s Monday morning lows by mere ticks. This doesn’t bode well for the overnight session. It appears that wave [iii] of 3 or C has begun.
Potentially bad news out of China may set the stage for a much larger sell-off both in China and in the US.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Tanks In Last 15 Minutes; Correction Not Done? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
That was sudden. After soaring at the open and holding big gains all day, US equities fell off the table in the last 15 minutes of trading, ending over 500 DOW points below the day’s high. Guess the, um, uncertainty isn’t over.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
The One Trading Strategy You Needed for Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
MoneyMorning.com Tom Gentile writes: After yesterday – the worst trading day in recent memory – I want to get serious with you about risk.
If you get this right, you could have banked serious profits yesterday.
And I want to make sure you DO get it right.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market and Gold Mining Shares Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Most people did not expect what happened on Monday morning. The futures traders took the ES down to 1830 with the cash market stabilizing at SPX 1867 in just a few minutes time. Clive Maund gets some kudos here calling for the Dow Industrials to be down a potential 1000 points Monday, but as I recall, he believed it would be a public panic, not what just happened with the futures (Good call Clive!).This was first time I’ve seen my TLC indicator be off a day as it was calling for a Friday bottom. The Gann cycle low was maxed out at 16+4 TD’s from the July 27 low and the 4 TD low part of that cycle was due no later than early Monday, which is what happened.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
The Gold and Silver “Shortage”? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By Chris Marchese : A pet peeve of mine is when an article is published talking about a shortage in silver or gold. Recently, we have seen an increase in articles claiming that there is a precious metals shortage simply because both the U.S. mint and Royal Canadian Mint ran out of blanks. Both government mints predetermine a rough amount they will mint at the start of the year. When demand surges, a “bottleneck” can occur and this has happened in the past.
Why is this such a pet peeve? Because a shortage in a specific silver product does NOT mean a shortage in the raw material. It would be like saying there is a rice shortage if Rice Krispies stopped being produced momentarily.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Here’s What Happens When Crude Oil Geo-Policy and Market Reality Collide / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Over 220 years ago, a Scottish writer by the name of Thomas Carlyle provided a personal account of what Paris was like during the French Revolution. The three-volume work (which at one point I suggested in an academic article was two volumes longer than necessary) is full of personal anecdotes. One of them is particularly relevant these days.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Hybrid Lindsay Forecast for a Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
My July 28 commentary was the last time I gave an update on my Hybrid Lindsay model (a hybrid approach to the work of the late technician, George Lindsay). In that commentary I mentioned my forecast for a low in the period July 24-31 and that I felt the expected low was "very close and may have already been seen last Friday". As it turned out, the low was that Monday, July 27.
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