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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, November 15, 2019

What happens To The Global Economy If Oil Collapses Below $40 – Part II / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In the first part of this research article, we shared our ADL predictive modeling research from July 10th, 2019 where we suggested that Oil prices would begin to collapse to levels near, or below, $40 throughout November and December of 2019.  Our ADL modeling system suggests that oil prices may continue lower well into early 2020 where the price is expected to target $25 to $30 in February~April 2020.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 14, 2019

Gold and Silver Capitulation Time / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

With gold and silver prices having tumbled, sector expert Michael Ballanger outlines how he will weather the storm.

"People everywhere are being fed propaganda, lies and false stimuli of all kinds, but deep in their hearts, deep in their instincts, they know something is wrong."—G. Edward Griffin, author of The Creature from Jekyll Island

My usual weekend missive was mildly delayed for a very good reason; I spent most of Friday evening and Saturday morning formulating this wonderfully verbose theory on why the Fed's sudden shift from "quantitative tightening" to "massive stimulus" had such a negative effect on yields, with an associated and very sharp spillover into my beloved precious metals.

Having read it over several dozen times, I then began mulling over the various charts that I post from time to time and quickly decided to "bin it," because my readers no longer wish to hear about the COT report or the "cartel" or the "egregious open interest" or "fraudulent bullion banks." I can't state this forcefully enough: We have all seen this before way too many times.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 14, 2019

The Case for a Silver Price Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Yes, you read that right. Despite all the bearish developments that we described in the previous analyses, and despite myriads of bearish factors that remain in place for the following months, it seems that the white metal is about to rally. Gold, and mining stocks could move higher as well, and we’ll move to that shortly. For now, let’s talk silver.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 14, 2019

What Happens To The Global Economy If the Oil Price Collapses Below $40 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Currently, commodity prices are the cheapest they’ve been in over 40 years compared to equity prices.  US Equities have continued to rise over the past 7+ years due to a number of external processes.  QE1, 2, 3, and Fed Debt Purchases Share Buy-Backs and creative credit facilities.  Only recently have investors really started to pile into the US stock market (see charts below). Global investors were very cautious throughout the rally from 2011 to 2016.  In fact, the amount of capital invested within the US money market accounts was relatively flat throughout that entire time.

It was only after the 2016 US presidential election that investors really began to have confidence in the global economy and started piling into the US stock market and money market accounts.  This was also after the time that Oil began to collapse (2014~16) as well as the deflation of Emerging Markets rallies.  With all this new money having entered the global markets and equities being extremely overbought currently, what would happen is Oil collapsed below $40 and the global economic outlook soured headed into the 2020 US presidential election?

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 14, 2019

Is Yield Emerging Out Of A 38-Year Bear Market? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Yield has been in a bear market for 38 years. Is that about to end?

The 10-Year Treasury Yield has backed up from the Sep-Oct lows at 1.43% and 1.51% to a high at 1.97% last week. Is this a mere recovery "rally" in a still dominant 38-year bear market? Or is it a secondary low -- i.e., double-bottom -- 3+ years after the July 2016 historic low at 1.32%?

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Currencies

Thursday, November 14, 2019

7 days of Free FX + Crypto Forecasts -- Join in / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Hi Wave Trader,

The end of the year is fast approaching. Have you met your 2019 trading goals?

We can help.

In fact, our Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you're not actively trading forex.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 14, 2019

The EIA Is Grossly Overestimating U.S. Oil Shale / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The prevailing wisdom that sees explosive and long-term potential for U.S. shale may rest on some faulty and overly-optimistic assumptions, according to a new report.

Forecasts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), along with those from its Paris-based counterpart, the International Energy Agency (IEA), are often cited as the gold standard for energy outlooks. Businesses and governments often refer to these forecasts for long-term investments and policy planning.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

How to Use Price Cycles and Profit as a Swing Trader – SPX, Bonds, Gold, Nat Gas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

News does drive certain market events and we understand how certain traders rely on news or interest rates to bias their positions and trades.  As technical analysis purists, so to say, we believe the price operates within pure constructs of price rotation theory, trend theory, technical indicator theory, and price cycles.  We’ve found that technical analysis distills many news items into pure technical trading signals that we can use to profit from market swings.

Price is the ultimate indicator in our view.  Price determines current trends, support/resistance levels/channels, past price peaks and troughs and much more.  When we apply our proprietary price modeling and price cycle tools, we can gain a very clear picture of what price may attempt to do in the near future and even as far as a few months into the future.  Price, as the ultimate indicator, truly is the mathematical core element of all future price activity, trends, and reversions. Before you continue reading make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Morrisons Throwing Thousands of Bonus More Points at Big Spend Shoppers - JACKPOT! / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: HGR

Big spending customers have been on the receiving end of tens of thousands of FREE Morrisons More Bonus Points. More points are worth £5 for every 5000 of more points, and recent examples suggest that Morrisons customers could be on the receiving end of as much as 100,000 More Points this season! Literally Jackpot wins for big spending customers as the machines spit out £5 vouchers at checkouts.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

7 days of FREE FX + Crypto Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Hi Reader,

The end of the year is fast approaching. Have you met your 2019 trading goals?

Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) can help.

In fact, their upcoming Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you're not actively trading forex.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

What to Do NOW in Case of a Future Banking System Breakdown / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: MoneyMetals

The banking system may not be as sound we’ve been led to believe. It continues to get propped up through central bank interventions, which strongly suggests it wouldn’t be able to stand on its own.

Last Thursday, the Federal Reserve injected another $115 billion into financial markets via “temporary operations.” The Fed is targeting the repo market in particular, through which banks lend to each other on an overnight basis.

For some reason, banks have grown weary of committing liquidity to each other in what should be one of the safest lending markets on the planet.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Why China is likely to remain the ‘world’s factory’ for some time to come / Economics / China Economy

By: Submissions

US tariffs have hit the manufacturing giant to the tune of $35 billion, says a recent UN report. But companies have found that China’s rivals are a poor replacement.

In December 2018, about five months after US President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on China to correct the US trade deficit with Beijing that stood at $419 billion (2018), analysts at the Boston Consulting Group said that despite challenges such as rising wages and escalating trade tensions with its trading partners such as the US and Japan, “it is reasonable to assume that China will remain manufacturing’s center of gravity for the foreseeable future”.

It was easy to be sceptical of this assessment given the number of companies that announced plans to move manufacturing out of China following the imposition of Trump’s tariffs. One of them was the world’s largest bicycle manufacturer, Giant.  “We started moving before he [Trump] shut his mouth,” said its chairwoman in an interview to Bloomberg in June 2019.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Gold Price Breaks Down, Waving Good-bye to the 2019 Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Our summary of the current situation in the precious metals is not going to differ much from what we wrote yesterday, and the reason is simple. The decline in gold, silver, and miners is developing just as we’ve been expecting it to. Most importantly, gold has just confirmed its breakdown and everything that we reported on gold’s outlook and price targets just got a huge confirmation.

Let’s take a look at what gold, silver, and mining stocks did in the last couple of days.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Fed Can't See the Bubbles Through the Lather / Interest-Rates / Liquidity Bubble

By: Michael_Pento

Recently, there has been a parade of central bankers along with their lackeys on Wall Street coming on the financial news networks and desperately trying to convince investors that there are no bubbles extant in the world today. Indeed, the Fed sees no economic or market imbalances anywhere that should give perma-bulls cause for concern. You can listen to Jerome Powell’s upbeat assessment of the situation in his own words during the latest FOMC press conference here. The Fed Chair did, however, manage to acknowledge that corporate debt levels are in fact a bit on the high side. But he added that “we have been monitoring it carefully and taken appropriate steps.” By taking appropriate steps to reduce debt levels Powell must mean slashing interest rates and going back into QE. The problem with that strategy being that is exactly what caused the debt binge and overleveraged condition of corporations in the first place.
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Economics

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Double 11 Record Sales Signal Strength of Chinese Consumption / Economics / China Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

On Monday, Alibaba’s Single’s Day broke all records. Chinese consumption and ecommerce signal not just continued resilience but evident strength.

By 5 pm on Monday Alibaba Group had already broken last year’s record of $31 billion. And at midnight, the new record soared to $38.3 billion – 25 percent higher than last year.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Welcome to the Zombie-land Of Oil, Gold and Stocks Investing – Part II / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In Part I of this research post, we highlight how the ES and Gold reacted 24+ months prior to the 2007-08 market peak and subsequent collapse in 2008-09.  The point we were trying to push out to our followers was that the current US stock market indexes are acting in a very similar formation within a very mature uptrend cycle.

We ended Part I with this chart, below, comparing 2006-08 with 2018-19.  Our intent was to highlight the new price high similarities as well as the price rotation similarities between the two critical peaks in market price. We are terming the current market a “Zombie-land” because it appears global investors are somewhat brain-dead as to the total risks that are setting up in the global markets right now. But, wait before you continue reading make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Gold Price Is Likely Approaching A Local Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

The metals market is an extremely emotional one. The highs and lows you see with metals traders are evident at each of the extremes. I think we are now approaching another extreme.

Several months ago, back in early June, I notified those willing to listen that gold was preparing to “take off like a rocket-ship.” To my members of ElliottWaveTrader.net, I outlined my expectations for a strong rally to the 137 region, followed by a continued move to the 143/45 region before we see a larger consolidation. Thus far, the market has been reacting as generally expected.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Gold Retest Coming / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and silver stocks have held up decently during the correction in precious metals, which is now in its 3rd month. However, as we mentioned last week, the bugaboo has been the relatively high net speculative position in Gold, which has not changed much despite recent weakness in the sector.

Technically Gold cracked last week and the downside momentum coupled with the relatively high net spec position argues that Gold is headed for a retest of the summer breakout. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

New Evidence Futures Markets Are Built for Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: MoneyMetals

The recent price smash in precious metals is frustrating for goldbugs. It is even more infuriating for those who look at the fundamental reasons to own gold and silver and see prices falling anyway.

That’s why it’s worth explaining once again the real purpose of the futures markets, where prices are set. Some recent revelations about Bitcoin futures will help.

The CME launched a Bitcoin futures contract in December of 2017, and many cryptocurrency fans cheered. Those who cheered expected “institutional” money to pour into Bitcoin. Their mistakes were in assuming the institutions would be making long bets on Bitcoin and the futures market would be free and fair.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Next 5 Year Future Proof Gaming PC Build Spec November 2019 - Ryzen 9 3900x, RTX 2080Ti... / Personal_Finance / Gaming

By: HGR

A in-depth build guide on building a Top Spec future proof Gaming PC utilsing todays best CPU Ryzen 9 3900X and NVidia RTX 2080Ti Graphics card combo. What specs to build or buy and how much will it cost for a future proof spec for the next 5 years.

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