Thursday, March 31, 2016
Stock Market Good Follow-Through Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a nice follow-through to yesterday’s rally in the morning as they gapped up, ran hard in the first thirty-forty minutes and reached their session highs. By midday they pulled back in falling wedges, resulting in an afternoon rally back. The resistance was too much for the markets, and they pulled back in the last hour, but still closed positive on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 83.55 at 17,716.66. The S&P 500 was up 8.94 to 2063.95, 9 points off the high, so it gave back about half the gains. The Nasdaq 100 was up 23.16 to 4490.88, 23 points off the high, also giving back about half.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Stock Market Worst Case Scenario = 73% Down From Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
As the stock market gyrates higher and lower in a fairly narrow range, the spokesmodels and talking heads on CNBC breathlessly regurgitate the standard bullish mantra designed to keep the muppets in the market. They are employees of a massive corporation whose bottom line and stock price depend upon advertising revenues reaped from Wall Street and K Street. They aren't journalists. They are propagandists disguised as journalists. Their job is to keep you confused, misinformed, and ignorant of the true facts.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Gold Royalty Companies Continue to Progress / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The large gold royalty companies remain among our top holdings, notwithstanding the high valuations and our comments on the overall gold market and short-term concern on the gold stocks.
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. (OR:TSX, $12.90) is all cashed up, as its two core royalties proceed well. It has about CA$650 million available for investments (of which CA$260 million is cash), after spending about CA$220 million in the last year on several royalties.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Friday The Day...Any Day The Day?...... Stock Market At Trend Line Resistance..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The fed market is on a mission. It wants to change the way we look at technical analysis for good. Or at least for a long time to come when the next bear market kicks in. That's likely a long way off since the fed will serve and protect for a long time to come as she is basically promising low rates for years to come as mentioned in her speech yesterday. She wants to create inflation. She doesn't want to do it through the market, but since the global economy stinks there basically is no other way to do it. She uses words that she knows will excite the market masses. Every word carefully planned. Every word with a meaning behind it. While she's not a very good talker, she is a very convincing. It doesn't matter how she says it that matters. It's what she says. So with the promise of low rates and more stimulus if need be, we can't seem to find a top in the market, even though it's grossly overbought and flashing some negative divergences now on the daily chart.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Stock Market Window Dressing May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX made its high a few minutes after 11:00 am. I don’t expect to see a lot of movement today, but the quarterly window-dressing appears to be over. The critical 4.3-year support is now at 2050.00. The short-term trendline support is at 2042.00.
Today’s volume was below average and it appears that short covering may be exhausted. I had expected to see stock buybacks to end much earlier than this, but some may have decided it is better to apologize if caught. The stock buybacks facilitated a lot of insider liquidations.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Price Controls May Be On the Way / Economics / Economic Theory
Paul-Martin Foss writes: If you thought negative interest rates were as bad as it could get with central banks, you might be in for a surprise. Central banks have been so spectacularly unsuccessful with their accommodative monetary policies that they are discussing pulling out all the stops to get the results they want. They fail to realize that the reason prices aren’t rising is because they really want and need to fall. Bad debts weren’t liquidated during the last financial crisis, the debtors were merely bailed out. Overpriced assets weren’t allowed to be reduced in price. Central banks pumped trillions of dollars into the economy to attempt to paper over the recession. Market forces want to drive prices down, while central banks attempt to prop them up. So what to do when central banks aren’t getting their way?
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Painting the Stock Market Tape For the End of Quarter / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Today the US stock markets decided to celebrate the lack of a sustainable recovery and the slumping global economies of the world.
Janet Yellen sparked a brushfire rally in a dull market. Yesterday was the lowest trading day of the year in terms of volume.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Inflation Has Hit the US and is Only Going to Get Worse / Economics / Inflation
The Fed is rapidly losing control.
Core inflation has already broken above 2%.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
New Legislation Permits FDIC to Seize Bank Deposits for Bail-Ins / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
The world will soon be facing a tsunami of defaults on bad debts. This will include municipal or local government defaults, governments “defaulting” on promises they’ve made to the people (Social Security, Medicaid), a default on the social contract between society and politicians such as the one in Cyprus (a default on the notions of private property and Democracy), stealth defaults on debts in the form of inflation and finally, of course, outright sovereign defaults.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Martin Armstrong: ”Collapse In Government Is Incoming, Markets Are Going To Start Responding!” / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long delineates political developments and their consequences on the global economy with Martin Armstrong, founder of Armstrong Economics.
Martin Armstrong began his studies into market behavior when first becoming fascinated by the events during the Crash of 1966. He pursued his studies of economics searching for answers behind the cycle of boom and busts that plagued society both in Princeton and in London. He began to do forecasting as a service to institutional cash market players in gold that included Swiss banks.Armstronghad the unusual background in computer science in hardware and software and was perhaps the first to begin to apply his diverse knowledge from two fields together. He began creating a global model in the mid-70s and was publishing the results from about 1972.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
The Bank of Frankenstein is to Blame for UK Buy-to-Let Housing Bubble - Video / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
Transcript Excerpt: I it's Wednesday March 30th 2016 I'll be talking today about the bank of
Frankenstein and he might wonder what's he talking about
while actually is the Bank of England's
the reason I call it Frankenstein and I assume most of you know the story
Victor Frankenstein written by Mary Shelley he was the guy who played God
and created a creature out to me and you know whatever you know science and he
created a creature which is usually called frankenstein but actually it was
Victor Frankenstein who created the monster or rich and he lost control of
that monster and you know we didn't didn't add up well that story the story
Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Cash ISA Season Sees Interest rate Cuts Dominate by 90% / Personal_Finance / ISA's
The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that savers are facing the worst ISA season on record. ISA rates have hit rock-bottom lows, fuelled by the number of heavy cuts vastly outweighing any rises, with 90% of recent rate changes being cuts.
Since January, Moneyfacts.co.uk has recorded 151 rate changes for ISAs, of which 136 were rate cuts and just 15 were rate rises. Away from rate cuts there has also been a drop in the number of deals available, despite a few challenger brands entering the playing field.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Stocks Bull Market About to Hand Bears Another Noose? Forecast 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The supposed great bear market of 2016 has relentlessly trended in the WRONG direction as each hope that the bears clung to once more resolved in another ramping higher of stock prices. The latest best hope being the Fed meeting that was meant to deliver bear market apocalypse and most recently Yellen yelling that the Fed is in no hurry to raise US interest rates that keeps catching market participants by surprise. This despite near 2 months ago we saw the BoJ panic with negative interest rates, and then earlier this month the ECB also panic with negative interest rates!
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Believe it or Not, it’s happening to Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Tonight as I was going over my charts and running my end of analysis the charts jumped out at me with a trade setup and wanted to share my cycle chart for gold with you.
The price chart of gold below is exactly what my cycle analysis told us to look for last week WELL ahead of the today’s news and its things play out I as I feel they will then we stand to make some pretty good money as gold falls in value during the month of April.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
What Currency Has the Highest Purchasing Power? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Establishment economists are the first vindicators that having a weak currency is essential to foster international trade. The utter absurdity that a nation can prosper when their coin of the realm buys less is inherently illogical. Yet, for the globalists, maintaining the myth that promoting exports in a system that is designed around transporting our domestic manufacturing capacity overseas is intellectually incongruent. So what is the essential argument for having a strong currency?
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Silver’s Bullish Cup And Handle Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Two months ago, we signaled a huge buying opportunity was setting up in gold. Basically, that observation was based on a bullish chart pattern which is known as a ‘cup and handle’. After our call, gold moved higher in an explosive way.
Today, we observe a similar chart formation on silver’s chart. The cup and handle resistance line comes in at $16 /oz.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Possible Truncated Stock Market High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX peaked (so far) today at 15:25 hours at a high of 2055.91. Should it go no higher, it may be the orthodox high, if not the numeric high, which still stands on March 22. The March 22 SPC (futures) high was 2047.75, while today’s high was 2047.50.
I had mentioned in yesterday’s email that today is a Pi date. These dates come at important highs and lows in the Cycles. An aggressive sell signal may come at the crossing of the trendline at 2040.00 or Short-term support at 2032.17.
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Tuesday, March 29, 2016
Fed Will Be Forced to Lower Interest Rates and Declare War on Cash / Interest-Rates / War on Cash
"No great genius has ever existed without some touch of madness." ~ Aristotle
The simple and easy to understand chart shown below quite clearly illustrates why the Fed has no option but to lower interest rates. Central bankers worldwide have already embraced negative rates, so it is just a matter of time before our central bankers are forced to walk down the same path. The Fed is trying to put on a brave act, but you can already see them backtracking from the strong stance they took last year. Now they are stating that all is not well, and the economic outlook is weaker than expected. Rubbish we already stated in several articles that they would take this path and that the only reason they even raised interest rates was so that they could come out with an excuse to lower them again.
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Tuesday, March 29, 2016
NASDAQ ETF QQQ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We have been expecting a top in equity indices for the last two weeks. We did see the market start down last week after the previous Friday's option expiration. A change of trend after option expiration is a common (but not guaranteed) occurrence. So far the pullback isn't enough to concern the bulls or get the bears excited but there are other signals warning of a pending correction in equities. One of those is volume in the NASDAQ ETF QQQ.
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Tuesday, March 29, 2016
The UK Auto Market Is Booming, So Is It a Sign of Economic Recovery? / Economics / UK Economy
The UK has been one of those economies that cannot exactly be classified as recovering or struggling over the last couple of years. To put it clear, the UK economy has not been as good as the US economy in terms of growth amongst the developed countries or as bad as the Euro Zone.
The UK economy has been more or less stuck in the past few years with no significant movement either side of the growth curve. Nonetheless, one of the country’s key performance indicators in the manufacturing industry has shown some significant improvement, and recent numbers suggest that things could even get better in 2016 and 2017.