Thursday, March 31, 2016
How Pension Plans Are Coping With Financial Repression w/FRA / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
Professor and CEO of Create-Research Amin Rajan shares his knowledge with an in depth interview on Risk Mitigation and how European Pension Plans are Coping with Financial Repression with FRA Co-Founder Gordon T Long .
Amin Rajan worked as an economic forecaster in the UK treasury for over 8 years, and since then has been focusing on investment matters driven by macro investment behaviors catering to pension funds, insurance companies and wealth managers.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
FTSE 100: Positioning for Long Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Over the last year, the FTSE 100 has come under pressure as investors have taken profits and we are seeing increased speculation that the economic will be able to withstand future increases in interest rates. This has created some interesting opportunities to buy in at very cheap levels as valuations in equities are still trading near the lows for the period. Bullish positions in the FTSE 100 represent something of a contrarian view in the current environment but from a risk/reward perspective this view is clearly favorable.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Gold Firms Up On Dovish Yellen Commentary / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Precious metals prices have been on a tear higher since the outset of 2016 as concerns about the pace of US policy tightening combined with growing global uncertainty sent gold to the highest levels since February of 2015. Although commentary from more hawkish Federal Reserve members in the previous few weeks raised speculation that another US rate hike could come as soon as April, Chairwoman Janet Yellen extinguished those expectations with her more dovish tone. Citing the downside risks to the current pace of global economic expansion combined with reduced confidence in the outlook for monetary policy normalization, Yellen sent the US dollar tumbling with investors embracing gold, driving the precious metal nearly 1.65% higher over the session. A crumbling outlook combined with a drive towards data dependency in decision-making has seen hawkish sentiment shift more neutral, benefiting precious metals near-term.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Stock Market More Upside Following Tuesday's Fed Talk - Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, March 31, 2016
Crude Oil Price Meets Support / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Tuesday, crude oil lost 2.06% ahead of the American Petroleum Institute's weekly inventory report. Thanks to this drop, light crude closed another day under $39, but reached important support zone. Will it encourage oil bulls to act in the coming days?
Thursday, March 31, 2016
NYT Ignores Greatest Nuclear Threat / Politics / Nuclear Weapons
The hugely destructive power of nuclear weapons can end life on earth.
NYT editors want them kept from “terrorists,” ignoring state terrorists, especially America and Israel, an alliance posing the greatest of all threats.
An earlier article discussed the devastating effects of a thermonuclear attack on New York - likely if America launches nuclear war on Russia, an unthinkable real possibility.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Stock Market Good Follow-Through Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had a nice follow-through to yesterday’s rally in the morning as they gapped up, ran hard in the first thirty-forty minutes and reached their session highs. By midday they pulled back in falling wedges, resulting in an afternoon rally back. The resistance was too much for the markets, and they pulled back in the last hour, but still closed positive on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 83.55 at 17,716.66. The S&P 500 was up 8.94 to 2063.95, 9 points off the high, so it gave back about half the gains. The Nasdaq 100 was up 23.16 to 4490.88, 23 points off the high, also giving back about half.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Stock Market Worst Case Scenario = 73% Down From Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
As the stock market gyrates higher and lower in a fairly narrow range, the spokesmodels and talking heads on CNBC breathlessly regurgitate the standard bullish mantra designed to keep the muppets in the market. They are employees of a massive corporation whose bottom line and stock price depend upon advertising revenues reaped from Wall Street and K Street. They aren't journalists. They are propagandists disguised as journalists. Their job is to keep you confused, misinformed, and ignorant of the true facts.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Gold Royalty Companies Continue to Progress / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The large gold royalty companies remain among our top holdings, notwithstanding the high valuations and our comments on the overall gold market and short-term concern on the gold stocks.
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. (OR:TSX, $12.90) is all cashed up, as its two core royalties proceed well. It has about CA$650 million available for investments (of which CA$260 million is cash), after spending about CA$220 million in the last year on several royalties.
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Thursday, March 31, 2016
Friday The Day...Any Day The Day?...... Stock Market At Trend Line Resistance..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The fed market is on a mission. It wants to change the way we look at technical analysis for good. Or at least for a long time to come when the next bear market kicks in. That's likely a long way off since the fed will serve and protect for a long time to come as she is basically promising low rates for years to come as mentioned in her speech yesterday. She wants to create inflation. She doesn't want to do it through the market, but since the global economy stinks there basically is no other way to do it. She uses words that she knows will excite the market masses. Every word carefully planned. Every word with a meaning behind it. While she's not a very good talker, she is a very convincing. It doesn't matter how she says it that matters. It's what she says. So with the promise of low rates and more stimulus if need be, we can't seem to find a top in the market, even though it's grossly overbought and flashing some negative divergences now on the daily chart.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Stock Market Window Dressing May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX made its high a few minutes after 11:00 am. I don’t expect to see a lot of movement today, but the quarterly window-dressing appears to be over. The critical 4.3-year support is now at 2050.00. The short-term trendline support is at 2042.00.
Today’s volume was below average and it appears that short covering may be exhausted. I had expected to see stock buybacks to end much earlier than this, but some may have decided it is better to apologize if caught. The stock buybacks facilitated a lot of insider liquidations.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Price Controls May Be On the Way / Economics / Economic Theory
Paul-Martin Foss writes: If you thought negative interest rates were as bad as it could get with central banks, you might be in for a surprise. Central banks have been so spectacularly unsuccessful with their accommodative monetary policies that they are discussing pulling out all the stops to get the results they want. They fail to realize that the reason prices aren’t rising is because they really want and need to fall. Bad debts weren’t liquidated during the last financial crisis, the debtors were merely bailed out. Overpriced assets weren’t allowed to be reduced in price. Central banks pumped trillions of dollars into the economy to attempt to paper over the recession. Market forces want to drive prices down, while central banks attempt to prop them up. So what to do when central banks aren’t getting their way?
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Painting the Stock Market Tape For the End of Quarter / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Today the US stock markets decided to celebrate the lack of a sustainable recovery and the slumping global economies of the world.
Janet Yellen sparked a brushfire rally in a dull market. Yesterday was the lowest trading day of the year in terms of volume.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Inflation Has Hit the US and is Only Going to Get Worse / Economics / Inflation
The Fed is rapidly losing control.
Core inflation has already broken above 2%.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
New Legislation Permits FDIC to Seize Bank Deposits for Bail-Ins / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
The world will soon be facing a tsunami of defaults on bad debts. This will include municipal or local government defaults, governments “defaulting” on promises they’ve made to the people (Social Security, Medicaid), a default on the social contract between society and politicians such as the one in Cyprus (a default on the notions of private property and Democracy), stealth defaults on debts in the form of inflation and finally, of course, outright sovereign defaults.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Martin Armstrong: ”Collapse In Government Is Incoming, Markets Are Going To Start Responding!” / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long delineates political developments and their consequences on the global economy with Martin Armstrong, founder of Armstrong Economics.
Martin Armstrong began his studies into market behavior when first becoming fascinated by the events during the Crash of 1966. He pursued his studies of economics searching for answers behind the cycle of boom and busts that plagued society both in Princeton and in London. He began to do forecasting as a service to institutional cash market players in gold that included Swiss banks.Armstronghad the unusual background in computer science in hardware and software and was perhaps the first to begin to apply his diverse knowledge from two fields together. He began creating a global model in the mid-70s and was publishing the results from about 1972.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
The Bank of Frankenstein is to Blame for UK Buy-to-Let Housing Bubble - Video / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
Transcript Excerpt: I it's Wednesday March 30th 2016 I'll be talking today about the bank of
Frankenstein and he might wonder what's he talking about
while actually is the Bank of England's
the reason I call it Frankenstein and I assume most of you know the story
Victor Frankenstein written by Mary Shelley he was the guy who played God
and created a creature out to me and you know whatever you know science and he
created a creature which is usually called frankenstein but actually it was
Victor Frankenstein who created the monster or rich and he lost control of
that monster and you know we didn't didn't add up well that story the story
Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Cash ISA Season Sees Interest rate Cuts Dominate by 90% / Personal_Finance / ISA's
The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that savers are facing the worst ISA season on record. ISA rates have hit rock-bottom lows, fuelled by the number of heavy cuts vastly outweighing any rises, with 90% of recent rate changes being cuts.
Since January, Moneyfacts.co.uk has recorded 151 rate changes for ISAs, of which 136 were rate cuts and just 15 were rate rises. Away from rate cuts there has also been a drop in the number of deals available, despite a few challenger brands entering the playing field.
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Stocks Bull Market About to Hand Bears Another Noose? Forecast 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The supposed great bear market of 2016 has relentlessly trended in the WRONG direction as each hope that the bears clung to once more resolved in another ramping higher of stock prices. The latest best hope being the Fed meeting that was meant to deliver bear market apocalypse and most recently Yellen yelling that the Fed is in no hurry to raise US interest rates that keeps catching market participants by surprise. This despite near 2 months ago we saw the BoJ panic with negative interest rates, and then earlier this month the ECB also panic with negative interest rates!
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Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Believe it or Not, it’s happening to Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Tonight as I was going over my charts and running my end of analysis the charts jumped out at me with a trade setup and wanted to share my cycle chart for gold with you.
The price chart of gold below is exactly what my cycle analysis told us to look for last week WELL ahead of the today’s news and its things play out I as I feel they will then we stand to make some pretty good money as gold falls in value during the month of April.
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