Wednesday, August 26, 2015
NYA Stocks Index Drops to Very Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
You probably recall that we we discussed the NYA's triangular pattern last week ... and then made comments about the market being in a very high risk condition and that investors should be careful.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
UK Re-mortgaging Hits a Four-year High / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Charlotte Nelson, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, comments:
“With many borrowers taking advantage of the record low rates on the market, it’s little wonder that approvals for remortgages are at a four-year high.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Financial Mistakes That Many Entrepreneurs Make / Companies / SME
In the modern world, success is mostly measured by profitability but this is a concept that is quite elusive. The main idea is to basically bring in more than is spent. It does seem simple enough but at the end of the day, entrepreneurs make mistakes and end up not being able to succeed in increasing profits to a high enough level. It is normal that start-ups fail but you can avoid a lot of the failure by simply avoiding the following really common mistakes.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Economic Nationalism: Alternative to Globalism / Politics / Social Issues
Ivory tower economists, corporate business analysts and financial experts routinely trash any discussion that America needs to institute a national economic policy that actually benefits our own country. The mantra of unchallenged doctrine that globalism is the only path for world commerce has been intensively pushed for well over the last half century. How well did the United States fare? An honest evaluation must acknowledge the diminishing middle class has paid the greatest penalty from the corporatist sedition that has destroyed internal independence and productive prosperity.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Why We Can’t Handle A Stocks Bear Market - State Budgets Will Implode / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Back when society’s balance sheet was reasonably solid, the occasional bear market was no big deal. A 20% drop in the average S&P 500 stock would scare investors and lead to slight declines in consumer spending and government capital gains tax revenue, but the overall economy would barely notice such a minor speed bump.
But that was then. Like a person with an impaired immune system, today’s developed world is so highly leveraged that a shock of any kind risks catastrophic complications. Which is why governments and central banks now meet every incipient crisis with quick infusions of newly-created cash and lower interest rates. We can’t risk letting markets be markets any more.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stocks Bear Market, Is This 1929 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Dow has been smashed over the last week which has brought out the usual doom and gloomer’s predicting Armageddon once again. There are several so called experts now predicting a 1929 style bear market.
Admittedly, it is hard not to get caught up in the emotion of days where the market sees a 1000 point intraday drop. So, is this really 1929 all over again? Well, for those that can’t be bothered to read the analysis, the short answer is no. Not as far as I’m concerned anyway.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Start of Stock Market Third Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX nearly took out SPX’s Monday morning lows by mere ticks. This doesn’t bode well for the overnight session. It appears that wave [iii] of 3 or C has begun.
Potentially bad news out of China may set the stage for a much larger sell-off both in China and in the US.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Tanks In Last 15 Minutes; Correction Not Done? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
That was sudden. After soaring at the open and holding big gains all day, US equities fell off the table in the last 15 minutes of trading, ending over 500 DOW points below the day’s high. Guess the, um, uncertainty isn’t over.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
The One Trading Strategy You Needed for Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
MoneyMorning.com Tom Gentile writes: After yesterday – the worst trading day in recent memory – I want to get serious with you about risk.
If you get this right, you could have banked serious profits yesterday.
And I want to make sure you DO get it right.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market and Gold Mining Shares Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Most people did not expect what happened on Monday morning. The futures traders took the ES down to 1830 with the cash market stabilizing at SPX 1867 in just a few minutes time. Clive Maund gets some kudos here calling for the Dow Industrials to be down a potential 1000 points Monday, but as I recall, he believed it would be a public panic, not what just happened with the futures (Good call Clive!).This was first time I’ve seen my TLC indicator be off a day as it was calling for a Friday bottom. The Gann cycle low was maxed out at 16+4 TD’s from the July 27 low and the 4 TD low part of that cycle was due no later than early Monday, which is what happened.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
The Gold and Silver “Shortage”? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By Chris Marchese : A pet peeve of mine is when an article is published talking about a shortage in silver or gold. Recently, we have seen an increase in articles claiming that there is a precious metals shortage simply because both the U.S. mint and Royal Canadian Mint ran out of blanks. Both government mints predetermine a rough amount they will mint at the start of the year. When demand surges, a “bottleneck” can occur and this has happened in the past.
Why is this such a pet peeve? Because a shortage in a specific silver product does NOT mean a shortage in the raw material. It would be like saying there is a rice shortage if Rice Krispies stopped being produced momentarily.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Here’s What Happens When Crude Oil Geo-Policy and Market Reality Collide / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Over 220 years ago, a Scottish writer by the name of Thomas Carlyle provided a personal account of what Paris was like during the French Revolution. The three-volume work (which at one point I suggested in an academic article was two volumes longer than necessary) is full of personal anecdotes. One of them is particularly relevant these days.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Hybrid Lindsay Forecast for a Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
My July 28 commentary was the last time I gave an update on my Hybrid Lindsay model (a hybrid approach to the work of the late technician, George Lindsay). In that commentary I mentioned my forecast for a low in the period July 24-31 and that I felt the expected low was "very close and may have already been seen last Friday". As it turned out, the low was that Monday, July 27.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Second Chance To Buy Cheap Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
I want to take a special look at gold and the dollar this morning and see if we can’t alleviate some of the fears created yesterday by the big move down in mining stocks. As I’ve noted before it’s not uncommon for big money to try to run stops to enter at the cheapest price possible. We actually saw GDXJ run the stops last winter right before a second daily cycle tacked on some very big gains in the metals sector. We may see that again in the mining sector over the next few days, possibly as oil puts in its final three-year cycle low.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Gold Facts and Gold Speculations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold was valuable 3,000 years ago and will be valuable 3,000 years from now. But can you say the same for dollars, euros, yen, or pounds?
Gold maintains its value (on average) over centuries. Can you expect similar longevity for debt based fiat currencies that are managed by politicians and created with printing presses or computers in central banks?
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
CNBC Bimbos Stock Market Rebound Ecstasy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The CNBC bubble headed bimbos and brainless stock touting twits will be in ecstasy today as the ever predictable rebound is under way. The market will soar by over 500 points at the opening as the excuse of the day is China’s desperate interest rate cut to try and stem their downward spiraling economy and markets. The Wall Street captured boob tube brigade will tell their almost non-existent viewership that all is well. The terrifying plunge is in the past. The economy is great. Housing is strong. Stocks are now a bargain. It’s the best time to buy.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
China First - Stock Market Freefall. Then -- Panic. Now What? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
How does the Chinese market meltdown fit into Asia BIG Elliott wave picture?Yes, China has crashed. But what about the big picture?
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
The Stock Market Crash Season is Here… / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It’s finally happening. The crash season is upon us.We’ve seen the early signs this week with leading stocks getting the carpet swept out right from underneath them.
China’s stocks are right where they were when its bubble burst 35% into July. UK stocks are in a correction. The DAX is in a correction. And the S&P 500 hasn’t busted quite as much – yet – but it’s dipped below that important level of 2,000 at the bottom of the S&P 500 Channel going back to late 2011.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
The Stock Market Is Crashing…There’s No Escape / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
My phone’s ringing off the hook. My inbox is flooded. Some people want to know if this market rout is the big one. Others want to cheer us on for sticking to our guns for so long. But everyone has a question: How long will this selloff last?The answer depends on why equities dropped in the first place. The problem is, there’s no single reason.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Hurricane Katrina: A 10-year review of lessons NOT learned / Politics / US Politics
This week is the 10th anniversary of the destruction of the southeastern gulf coast by Hurricane Katrina.
More than 1,800 people died. There is no estimate for the number of pets and wildlife. Damage was estimated at more than $100 billion.
About 80 percent of New Orleans was flooded. In Mississippi, the water surge flooded as much as 10 miles from the beaches.
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