Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Stock Market Longer-Term Charts Show Incredible Potential / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our weekend analysis of the markets continues to amaze our research team simply because we see so many other researchers continue to miss the signals.  We’ve been calling this market bottom since the middle of February 2018 and we have stuck to our analysis even though we’ve taken some flack from others about it.  Now, with earnings nearly upon us and the markets poised to either breakout higher or rotate lower, our longer-term analysis shows the markets are in pretty good shape for a continued upside rally.

This week, there are 214 companies reporting earnings data.  Next week, there are 781 companies reporting earnings data.  The following week, another 1003 companies release earnings data.  Combined, we are going to have 1998 companies releasing Q2 earnings data and each of these, to some extent, could drive the markets higher or lower as this data is digested.

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

A Better Yield Curve for Predicting the Stock Market is Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Treasury yield curve is flattening, which has some investors and traders turning bearish. Most people focus on the 10 year – 2 year yield curve, which is close to inverting.

*Investors and traders only need to be careful once the yield curve inverts. A flattening yield curve on its own means nothing until it becomes inverted.

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

U.S. Stock Market Cycles Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Jim_Curry

With the action seen in past months, it is time to take a look at what the various time cycles are saying in regards to U.S. stocks - as well as any particular technical indications that track the same.

Short-Term Cycles
In terms of time, as noted in our daily Market Turns report, the short-term cycles projected a trough for the SPX by the June 28th timeframe, plus or minus a day, with the index bottoming out at the 2691.99 figure - made right on that June 28th date. From there, the cycles called for strength into the mid-July timeframe - which we are obviously now into, and where another short-term peak is soon due with the 20-day cycle, though it can easily come from higher numbers than already seen:

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Trump or Putin - who is the Master in the Art of the Deal? / Politics / US Politics

By: BATR

As summits go, this Trump/Putin melodrama has been billed with the lowest expectations. Style versus substance has been the focus of the Fake News Press. Low energy and boring is the assessment. Trump missed a great opportunity to lay out Putin on the carpet of public opinion. He got trumped by the wily KGB operative. So goes the coordinated condemnation by the U.S. media and talking heads. The internationalists in the foreign policy establishment suffer another blow in their plan to fire up the tension and brinkmanship with the Russian Bear. This attitude is vividly exemplified by that deranged spook and former director of the CIA, John Brennan: Trump's press conference with Putin 'nothing short of treasonous'.

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Cayton Bay Hoseasons Caravan Park Holiday Summer 2018 Review / Personal_Finance / Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

Thinking of booking a caravan park for summer holidays UK 2018? Then look no further than in this series of videos of what it's like to holiday at a UK caravan park. This is at the Hoseasons Caravan Park at Cayton Bay, North East England, not 10 miles from Scarborough. In our fourth video in this series we walk around the caravan park for a taste of the sites, sounds, facilities and some of the stuff to do.

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

SMIGGLE SLIME Review / Personal_Finance / Shopping

By: Anika_Walayat

Smiggle has belatedly joined the slime craze so in our newest Smiggle video we take a look at Smiggle SLIME! What's it like and how much it costs.

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

What Did Crude Oil - Platinum Link Tell Us Last Week? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

The first session of this week was undoubtedly dominated by the sellers. Thanks to their sharp attack, black gold lost over 4%, making oil bears’ short positions even more profitable. Will it still be possible to earn money on crude oil in the coming week?

Let’s examine the charts below to find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Trump Treason? Get A Life! / Politics / US Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Yeah, just keep ’em coming, right, so that when the last one falls flat on its face people will have already forgotten about it and instead focus on the new one. It’s been the modus operandi of the US MSM ever since Donald Trump emerged as an actual presidential candidate, and they haven’t let go.

They realize by now that it divides the nation, it costs them a large chunk of their potential readers and viewers, and creates chaos all around, but the bottom line is it makes them money. Because those people who fall into the echo chamber trap, tumble into it fast and furious, and will gladly pay to read yet another installment of how bad the man really is.

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Savings Interest Rates Surge as Fixed Bonds Hit a Two-year High / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Savers looking to lock their cash away either over the shorter or longer term will find that average fixed bond rates have improved dramatically since the start of the year, and in fact are now the best since 2016, according to the latest research by Moneyfacts.co.uk.

Some providers have even branched into alternative areas of the fixed bond market in recent weeks, increasing the choice of deals for savers looking for a shorter-term alternative.

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Gold And The Elusive Chase For Profits / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

Between the years 1971 and 2011, the price of gold went from $42.00 per ounce to $1900.00 per ounce – a forty-five fold increase. This is depicted on the chart below…

Looking at the chart, it would appear that gold is in a long-term bull market and that continually higher prices over time can be expected. Proponents of this approach to gold cite fundamentals such as a weakening U.S. dollar, social unrest, wars (combat and trade), political instability, etc.

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Crude Oil May Not Find Support Above $60 This Time / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Crude Oil has been a major play for some traders over the past few months.  With price, rotation ranges near $5~$7 and upside pressure driving a price assent from below $45 to nearly $75 peaks.  This upside price move has been tremendous.

Over the past few weeks, many things have changed in the fundamentals of the Oil market.  Supply continues to outpace demand, trade tariffs and slowing global economies are now starting to become real concerns, foreign suppliers have continued to increase production, US Dollar continues to strengthen and social/political unrest is starting to become more evident in many foreign nations.

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Easy Money Over, Show Time Begins As Real Macro Battle Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Submissions

The market went according to expectations and projections in the second week of July after the first week's huge bull reversal week. The bulls were able to retain their bull train momentum from the prior week and managed to do a decent job on the standard continuation upside pattern demonstrated by the consecutive higher lows and higher highs on the micro charts.

For the most part it was just a typical perfect week following our 4-hour white line projection chart. Initially rejected at the major 2800 level on the S&P 500, the bulls held the expected pullback with a low of 2765.75 on Tuesday night and eventually managed to wrap up the week around the highs at 2800 for the weekly candle.

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Bitcoin Holders Are Today Learning Something Goldbugs Already Know / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals investors have learned a difficult truth in recent years. The best way to control a market is to put Wall Street in charge of it.

Gold and silver futures were created in the 1970s with the admitted purpose of “increasing volatility” in the markets and discouraging the ownership of physical bullion. It is a lesson that participants in other markets would do well to learn – specifically the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets.

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Bitcoin Price Analysis – Bullish Golden Cross on the Hourly? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

John Lee Quigley writes: $6400 was acting as a significant resistance level for Bitcoin’s price, however, over the last hour, the price has managed to break to the upside and is currently trading above the $6500 level. The move up over the last hour was on significant volume showing there is some weight behind the move which contrasts heavily with last weeks price action when many were speculating a return to sub-$6000 levels.

Monday, July 16, 2018

How Crazy It Is to Short Gold with RSI Close to 30 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Aiming to make money on gold price’s decline is always controversial. The long-term fundamentals remain favorable and gold and silver are likely to exceed their previous highs in the coming years. True, but that doesn’t mean that both metals can’t move even lower in the next several weeks or even months. Different factors govern more short-term-oriented trades as markets are emotional, not logical in the near term.

One of the popular techniques that is used to detect good entry and exit prices for gold is the RSI indicator and the most popular way to use it is to buy when RSI moves to 30 and sell when RSI reaches 70.

Monday, July 16, 2018

Markets Pay Attention Moment - China’s Bubble Economy Ripe for Bursting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Plunger

The economies of the world are at an inflection point.  Enough data points have now presented themselves to be able to see the outlines of a major shift in the markets of the world.  We are at a pay attention moment.  There comes a time when a successful investor must make some hard decisions to position himself to be able to take advantage of opportunities down the road.  The markets are telling us now is such a moment.

It’s time to sit up and pay attention to what Mr. Market is trying to tell us.

It appears we are at the top of the cycle,  anecdotal evidence is now pouring in.  But that is just a cyclical story.  The bigger story is that major market forces that have been brewing in the system for 25-40 years are now coming to a head.  They are now dovetailing with the cyclical turn and together they may cause a massive shift in the world’s economic structure which has been erected over these 25-40 years. Few can even imagine these changes let alone prepare themselves for them.

Monday, July 16, 2018

Stock Market Uptrend Continues, But... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Friday's trading session was pretty much uneventful, as investors awaited the coming quarterly earnings releases season. The S&P 500 index continued to trade along the level of 2,800 and it's closer to breaking higher towards the late January record high. There are still two possible medium-term scenarios, but bulls are happier than a week ago.

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between 0.0% and +0.4% on Friday, as investors took some short-term profits off the table following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index traded along the level of 2,800. It reached the highest since the early February. It currently trades 2.5% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4% and the technology Nasdaq Composite was unchanged on Friday.

Monday, July 16, 2018

Emerging Markets Could Be Starting A Relief Rally / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Over the past 4+ months, many emerging markets have come under pressure as the global markets were roiled by the sudden and relatively deep market retracement in early February.  For many, this downward price trend has been frightening and somewhat disastrous.  Recently, though, something new appears to be on the horizon that may be the early signs of renewed life for many Latin American, South American and Indian markets – early signs of support and a potential bottom formation in the works.

Our researchers have been following the recent moves in these emerging market ETF for Brazil, Latin America, and India with great interest because we believe in finding opportunities when many others may not be looking for them.  We believe these early warning stages of a market bottom could be an excellent time to “forward think” any possible price recovery that may occur in the near future and to prepare for any success opportunities that may arise.  Heck, we are traders and if the opportunity exists for a decent profit with little risk, we’ll investigate it.

Monday, July 16, 2018

Gold Bears Are Roaring Louder / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD), which I analyze as a proxy for the gold market. I also believe that gold can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun.

Monday, July 16, 2018

(Only) a Near-term Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – In spite of  recent market action, the intermediate trend from 2873 may have to extendits corrective phase.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.