Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Weapons of Economic Destruction / Economics / Economic Theory
“Measurement theory shows that strong assumptions are required for certain statistics to provide meaningful information about reality. Measurement theory encourages people to think about the meaning of their data. It encourages critical assessment of the assumptions behind the analysis.
Tuesday, September 01, 2015
The Beginning Of A New Financial / Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Within the United States, the US Federal Government and The US Federal Reserve Bank interventions have failed. These manipulations, by the central bank, in order to maintain the current stock bubble, and the real estate bubble, are currently reflecting the acts of failed monetary and fiscal policies, as we are presently experiencing.
The reality is that the US economy has already been in contraction for many years now.
The government intervention is failing in Europe, Japan, and now apparently also in China. Government interventions globally are currently becoming more vulnerable The US, Europe, Japan, and China have all been experiencing failures. We are currently witnessing the results of total failures, right under our noses. I believe, we are closer to that point of the Global Financial Meltdown than anyone else may realize. This collapse in China is a major shock, which has triggered a major market sell off within the US markets.
Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Silver Price Set To Start 70s Style Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In terms of gold, silver is currently better value than at the beginning of the bull market in 2001. In November of 2001, when silver bottomed, the Gold/Silver ratio was about 66 compared to 78 today. In other words, gold has actually outperformed silver since the beginning of this precious metals bull market.
It is actually the historical norm for gold to outperform silver for most part of a bull market, except for the very last part. For example, this happened in the 70s, when gold was up on silver from the beginning of the bull market (let's say about 1971) until almost the very end (about October 1979). So, during an almost ten-year bull market, silver only overtook gold about three months before the end.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Is Crude Oil Price Bouncing Into Recovery? / Commodities / Crude Oil
The global economy has $57 trillion more debt now than it did at the last bubble peak in 2008. The energy sector alone has $248 billion in junk bond debt – some of the riskiest debt there is!Entire industries have been built upon this credit-fueled bubble, driven by the easy-money policies of central banks around the world.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
What Is The Future For The U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
China, the biggest foreign creditor of the United States, owns a truckload of our government bonds. Over the past several weeks, it’s been selling some of those bonds to prop up their currency, the yuan. This is supposed to signal the end of the dollar. As the Chinese put our bonds out for the bid, interest rates are going to shoot higher, driving down the value of the greenback and making imports unaffordable. At least, that’s what dollar haters have expected for years.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Gold Price Up 3.5% In August, Stocks Fall 6% to 12% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD 1141.90, EUR 1012.23 and GBP 744.10 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: Bank Holiday in UK
Friday’s Gold Prices: USD 1,125.50, EUR 998.23 and GBP 730.99 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Three Things Every Master Trader Knows About Trading Options / InvestorEducation / Options & Warrants
I don’t want that happen to you.
While I expect this increased volatility to continue as we head into September and October, things seem to have settled down for the moment, and the markets have, for the time being, resumed their upward march.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Chinese Yuan Revolution? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Once you think of China as a teenager in her "awkward stage," it may become easier to understand the unfolding dynamics. When it comes to foreign exchange, China's latest move may be best explained by her desire to play with the grown-ups. This may have implications that go far beyond the U.S. dollar and China’s Yuan ("CNY" or also the Renminbi or "RMB").
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Take Advantage of Record-High Auto Sales… Before This Bubble Bursts / Companies / US Auto's
But there's a troubling flip side to that retail boost to the economy…
You see, relatively low borrowing costs and a sympathetic bond market have helped push total U.S. auto debt to $1.01 trillion – the highest level ever.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Pondering Hitler's Legacy / Politics / WW2
By George Friedman: Happenstance has brought me today to a house on the Austria-Germany border, just south of Salzburg. That puts me about 3 miles from the German town of Berchtesgaden, on the German side of the border. Adolf Hitler's home, the Berghof, was just outside the town, on a mountain in the Bavarian Alps. To the extent that Hitler had a home, this was it, and it was the place where Hitler met with many notables, particularly before the war began.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Mainstream Media Goes Berserk / Politics / Mainstream Media
The practice of objective journalism has been effectively banned from the body politik. The social culture is driven by the embodiment of an unceasing drumbeat of disinformation; spoon fed prevarications and carefully shaped distortions, projected by a mass media that is in the tank for protecting the ruling elite. The myth that the press is endowed with an inherent courage to confront the establishment has been laid bare for any honest observer to witness. However, the problem is that the bulk of the marginally functioning intellects that still accept the mind control of the corporate media, continue to linger on in their dream world of obeying the prevailing order.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Last Week’s Top News Had Nothing to Do With the Stock Market / Economics / US Economy
Here’s the news: The U.S. Commerce Department sharply revised upward its second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) estimate. The agency now says the value of all goods and services in the nation for the second quarter grew at a seasonally adjusted 3.7% – that’s 61% higher than its earlier forecast.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Your Decisive Stock Market Plan to Follow Whilst Most Investors Shiver With Fear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Make no mistake about it: The stock market crashed last Monday.
And it was terrifying.
It was frightening.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Are There Stock and Financial Markets Investing Opportunities For The Remainder Of 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The markets were ‘shockingly’ interesting last week. But what investing opportunities have been created by the recent ‘shock’?
The seriousness of last week’s shocking action in the market is shown by the volatility index, which posted its second highest reading since its inception in 1990. This is comparable to the great crash of 2008/9.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2015 and 2016 / Commodities / Crude Oil
The crude oil price has relentlessly trended lower all year to an unimaginably low price low of $37 of just a few days ago, falling from $100 a year ago. The severe bear market has not only caught many market commentators off guard but has had a devastating impact on several major economies that are heavily reliant on high oil prices such as Russia, the gulf states, and other emerging markets reliant on their energy sector tax revenues to finance state spending and of course Britain's very own Scotland that a year ago was toying with idea of committing social and economic suicide (independence referendum).
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Monday, August 31, 2015
US Presidential Aspirants Resemble an FBI Most Wanted List / Politics / US Presidential Election 2016
America is run by a criminal aristocracy - a one-party system with two wings, serving monied interests exclusively at the expense of beneficial social change.
Their agenda no matter who’s president or heading key congressional committees features:
•an obsession with national security at a time America’s only enemies are ones it invents;
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Monday, August 31, 2015
REPO Window Hidden $Trillion QE Monthly Volume / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The massive Quantitative Easing (QE) abuse by the USFed and steeped lies are centered on its volume, which in reality is an order of magnitude higher than admitted. The recent usage of certain REPO windows has been effective to disguise huge volume of bond purchases. The entire bond system is irreparably corrupted. The REPO window hides QE extras with naked bond shorting linked to a $1 trillion extravaganza that receives almost no publicity. While the public, and even more financial market participants, focus on the Dow Jones stock index, the Treasury Bond yield, the crude oil price, and very little else, they overlook the Reverse REPO window and the related Failures to Deliver data for USTreasury Bonds. The two work like a hand and glove.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Silver and Warnings From Exponential Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
For the past 15 – 40 years, debt and prices in most markets have moved upward, broadly speaking, in exponential trends. See the following log-scale graphs.
US T-Bonds: T-Bonds have been rallying in their bull market since the early 1980’s. Will they continue, correct, or crash? Doug Noland says it is “The Beginning of the Great Global Unwind.” See chart.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Stock Market Third Wave Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX Premarket is down .8% as I write to 1972.00. The top of the retracement was at 11:30 am on Friday, giving us approximately 4 more days of potential decline.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Stock Market Calls Fed’s Bluff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As the Fed nears its proposed first rate hike in nine years the stock market is becoming frantic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down around 10% on the year, as markets digest the troubling reality that our central bank may be raising interest rates into an emerging worldwide deflationary collapse.
The Fed normally raises rates when inflation is becoming intractable and robust growth is sending long-term rates spiking. However, this proposed rate hike cycle is occurring within the context of anemic growth and deflationary forces that are causing long-term U.S. Treasury rates to fall.
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