Saturday, September 05, 2015

Stock Market Flag Lives On...Jobs Report Poor.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The highly watched and anticipated Jobs Report came out this morning. Folks anxious to see if the economy is as strong as most hoped. The verdict was a poor one for the economy. The believers shot down. The job creation came in approximately 50,000 short. Not what Fed Yellen wanted to see, and not what the market really wanted to see, either. It appears to me that folks are more focused on a true economic recovery than worrying about one single rate hike from the Fed. With the economy struggling for growth it's clear to all that even if the Fed raised rates one time there's no way there would be a regular cycle of hikes for some time to come. At this point, the market may actually want this hike to come so it can get it out of the way.

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Angela Merkel Defeated by a 3-Year Old Dead Boy / Politics / Immigration

By: Raul_I_Meijer

In the end, what should have been avoided all along, was. The refugees who were treated like subhumans for days in Hungary, and who in the end refused to be subjected to that treatment any longer and started walking to the Austrian border, are being taken as we speak to that border, on buses provided by the government in Budapest. 

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Oil Stocks - Interim or Major Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

In the second half of August, Chinese equities have been under heavy selling pressure as a fear over China's slowing economy and worries that Beijing may allow the Yuan to continue to depreciate have weighed on investors' sentiment. Moreover, disappointing economic data fuelled that fears, which resulted in a sharp decline on China's stock market. In less than two weeks, the Shanghai Composite declined from (almost) 4,000 below the next psychologically important barrier of 3,000, hitting fresh 2015 lows.

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Establishment Survey +173K Jobs, Private Jobs +140,000; U.S. Unemployment Rate 5.1% / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

The establishment survey came in a weaker than expected 173,000 job. The Bloomberg Consensus estimate was 223,000 jobs.

However, the preceding two months were revised up by 44,000 and wages were strong. Bloomberg provides a nice summation of the strengths and weaknesses.

Saturday, September 05, 2015

China Stocks: Investment Strategies to Declaw the Dragon - Video / Companies / China Stocks

By: ...

Bill Patalon writes:Back in the go-go 1980s, Japan was the economy every investor respected – and feared. Wall Streeters even had a saying that reflected this, telling investors, “When Tokyo sneezes, Wall Street catches a cold.

Fast-forward 30 years. Asia has once again become a global economic linchpin. But now it’s Beijing – not Tokyo – that has investors feeling alternately awed… and fearful. That mix of emotions is exactly why so many analysts refer to China as a “dragon” as part of their financial and economic analyses.

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Whipsaw the Stock Market Right Back With These Three Tech Plays / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: ...

Michael A. Robinson writes: On Tuesday, I showed you why a strong U.S economy should give you confidence about tech investing.

While others get distracted by the noise on Wall Street, we’re staying focused on our long-term objective of building wealth through tech investing.

I also said I’d bring you three stocks that can beat this whipsawed market. And in a moment I’m going to do just that…

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Could a President Trump Put People Back to Work and Help the U.S. Dollar? / Politics / US Presidential Election 2016

By: GoldCore

Despite happy economic reporting from the government, ShadowStats' John Williams warns that underlying problems from the crash of 2008 were never addressed, leaving the United States in a recession papered over by sleight of hand and a workforce redefined out of existence. Bottom line? "Holding gold is the best way to weather the storm that is coming when the fundamental weakness of the stock market and the U.S. dollar becomes apparent," Williams tells The Gold Report.

The Gold Report: In honor of Labor Day, let's discuss unemployment. You estimated that when all workers are counted, the unemployment rate in July was 23% compared to the government's reported rate of 5.4%. What is different about the job market today than before the recession?

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Sturgeon Plays Politics with Syrian Refugee's, Solution Settle Migrants in Hungary and Poland / Politics / Immigration

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish Nationalists has jumped on board the criticise David Cameron bandwagon for not doing enough towards the Syrian refugee crisis and is now demanding that many more tens if not hundreds of thousands of refugees be housed in mostly England whilst announcing Scotland is willing to take in 1000 refugees as a first step.

Friday, September 04, 2015

Gold and Silver Final Flush Beginning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

While turmoil in global capital markets may ultimately benefit the precious metals sector, it certainly is not an immediate catalyst. As global markets have weakened in recent days so too have precious metals and precious metals companies. The gold miners are nearing recent lows ahead of conventional markets while the recoveries in Gold and Silver appear to be reversing. This could be the start of a final flush that marks the end of the bear market.

Friday, September 04, 2015

Jeremy Corbyn’s “Quantitative Easing for People”: UK Labour Frontrunner’s Controversial Proposal / Politics / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

British MP Jeremy Corbyn has proposed a “People’s QE” that has critics crying hyperinflation and supporters saying it’s about time.

Dark horse candidate Jeremy Corbyn, who is currently leading in the polls for UK Labour Party leadership, has included in his platform “quantitative easing for people.” He said in a July 22nd presentation:

Friday, September 04, 2015

Bye Bye Brazil Economy / Economics / Brazil

By: John_Rubino

For about a decade there, Brazil was the Latin American country that got it right. Under a socialist but apparently reasonable government they kept their budgets under control, managed the population shift from farm to city, and developed some efficient export industries that brought in plenty of hard currency. The Brazilian real held its own on foreign exchange markets and inflation was, as a result, moderate.

Then it all fell apart. The US dollar spiked, commodity prices tanked, and it was discovered that a whole range of big local players were gaming the system in various ways, sparking a corruption scandal that reaches all the way to top.

Friday, September 04, 2015

Stock Market Third Wave - Elliott Waves Point to Market Probabilities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

The "personality" of a third wave shows itself in recent market action

A classic issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist published this exchange:

Q. Do you believe that the Wave Principle provides for an objective form of analysis? ... There are market watchers who say that applying wave theory is very subjective.

Friday, September 04, 2015

Another Hysterically False BLS US Unemployment Report / Politics / Employment

By: James_Quinn

It’s that time of the month again, where the Bureau of Lies and Scams issues their latest manipulated, massaged, and falsified unemployment data to the willfully ignorant masses. The MSM will unquestioningly regurgitate the lies with breathless enthusiasm. The Wall Street hucksters will interpret any data as positive for the stock market.

Friday, September 04, 2015

Meet QT; QE's Evil Twin / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Peter_Schiff

There is a growing sense across the financial spectrum that the world is about to turn some type of economic page. Unfortunately no one in the mainstream is too sure what the last chapter was about, and fewer still have any clue as to what the next chapter will bring. There is some agreement however, that the age of ever easing monetary policy in the U.S. will be ending at the same time that the Chinese economy (that had powered the commodity and emerging market booms) will be finally running out of gas. While I believe this theory gets both scenarios wrong (the Fed will not be tightening and China will not be falling off the economic map), there is a growing concern that the new chapter will introduce a new character into the economic drama. As introduced by researchers at Deutsche Bank, meet "Quantitative Tightening," the pesky, problematic, and much less disciplined kid brother of "Quantitative Easing." Now that QE is ready to move out...QT is prepared to take over.

Friday, September 04, 2015

Bill Gross: Jobs Report Means ‘Fifty-Fifty’ Chance of Fed Sept Interest Rate Move / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

Bill Gross of Janus Capital spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Michael McKee on Bloomberg Radio and Television about today's jobs numbers, the markets and Fed policy.

When asked whether the Fed will raise rates on September 17th, Gross said: "I still think it’s 50/50 and China and global conditions are the dominant factor. Otherwise, I would have said, yes, I think Fischer and Yellen and maybe even Dudley their fingers are itching."

Friday, September 04, 2015

Another Stock Market Roller Coaster Ride / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket is down 30 points as I write. As you can see, the next support level is at or near 1900.00, if it holds.

The much-awaited payroll number is out. ZeroHedge writes, “The "most important and anticipated payrolls number ever", or at least since the last payroll number, is out and it is a doozy at only 173K, it is a huge miss to the 217K expected (and almost in line with LaVorgna's forecast). This was the worst monthly payrolls number since March, and the second lowest number in 19 months. However, the curious twist is that the July and June NFPs were both revised higher to 245K, making the net revision up 44K.”

Friday, September 04, 2015

Will The Government Confiscate Your Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD1125.00, EUR 1009.87  and GBP 737.95  per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD1130.05, EUR 1005.88 and GBP 739.63 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)

Friday, September 04, 2015

Gold-Silver Ratio in Gear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Now that the US stock market has gotten in sync with the rest of the world in its ups and downs, it also joins the rest of the world in generally (and loosely; it’s not a minute-by-minute relationship) being inverse to the Gold-Silver ratio (GSR, AKA the “metallic credit spread” –Hoye).

Here is the daily view of the GSR, showing a gap up and spike that came with the stock market’s big disturbance and a consolidation down that has come with its relief bounce.  This is a bullish chart and so, it is a short-term bearish chart for US and global stocks.  GSR broke out and is bullish while above the MA 50’s, MACD and RSI are positive and AROON is trend up.

Friday, September 04, 2015

The Real Threat from China's Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Conventional wisdom at the moment says that China's coming unglued and that the country's stock markets pose a grave danger to global investors. It's communist, it's a Ponzi scheme, it's ruled by insiders, it's leveraged up to its eyeballs, ghost cities… all the usual tired old arguments are being rolled out as if they're somehow new again.

In reality, the real risk isn't being reported. In fact, it's not even being talked about.

Friday, September 04, 2015

The Growth of the Asian Hedge Fund Industry, with Vietnam as a Superior Location / Companies / Hedge Funds

By: Submissions

Dylan Waller writes: The Asian hedge fund industry, which grew by approximately 30% in 2014, is poised for substantial growth.  Asian hedge funds were able to hold their ground in 2014, a year that was particularly challenging for the hedge fund industry in general.  During Q2 2015, Asia Pacific based hedge funds returned 5.14%, while hedge funds in North America only returned 1.19%, and Europe based hedge funds reported a loss of 0.11%.  The historical superior performance of Asia Pacific hedge funds certainly necessitates a shift of hedge funds to this region.