Monday, August 17, 2020

Has the Stock Bulls' Strength Returned? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks have yet again approached the all-time highs, but on volume that wasn't this low in months – that's a red flag. The stimulus talks haven't really progressed, but markets there is no jittery sentiment as the put/call ratio stubbornly clinging to its lows show.

But let's look under the hood of the stock advance as that fittingly illustrates all the above.

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Gold $2,100 and Silver $30. What Next?  / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

On August 7, gold in U.S. dollars, notched its all-time nominal high of $2,089 (It's been printing new highs in many other currencies for quite awhile now.)

Silver peaked (so far) at $29.92. After a few days of attempting to scale $30, it gave up the ghost and dropped a stunning $4.90 intraday, closing down $3.20.

Not satisfied with punishing the bulls during the day session, silver proceeded to drop another $2.30 in overnight Forex trading, but next day opened virtually unchanged just below $26!

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Forex, Gold, Silver + 5 More Metals Market Forecasts / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: EWI

3 (free) ways to ride next big wave in EURUSD, USDJPY, gold, silver and more

Hi Reader,

We are well into the second half of 2020. Are you on track to meet your 2020 trading goals?

Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) can help -- free.

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Hyper-Chaotic Expectations Could Collapse US Economic Recovery Expectations / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As much as we may not want to deal with the reality of the situation, recent news from the state of California suggests it and many other states may be reaching the fiscal boundaries of the COVID-19 economic contraction.  The reality of the economic situation is that when consumers are restricted from normal activities, taxes, sales, and revenues decrease for the state exponentially.  States that depend on consumers and business activity with very large budgets are at greater risk of experiencing immediate fiscal issues the longer the COVID-19 virus event continues.  A recent Moody’s Analytics article suggested Nevada, Hawaii, New York, Washington, Florida, DC, and Connecticut would be hit the hardest by the COVID-19 virus.

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Precious Metals Are in the Danger Zone, 2020 Forecast Issue Revisited / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger runs the numbers on current and future values of gold and silver given current economic conditions.

"I'd rather be a gold bug then a paper worm." —Anonymous

In late 2019, as I was laying out the framework for the 2020 GGMA Forecast Issue, there was only one four-letter word that kept cropping up and that word was D-E-B-T (actually there were two, but one was what I mutter every time the auto spellcheck completes a word I do not intend to type).

Long before COVID-19 and government-imposed lockdowns cratered the global economy, I was formulating the future price of gold based upon the layers upon layers of sovereign, corporate and household debt sloshing around the world. I deduced that since faith in fiat currencies was rapidly evaporating, then the only remaining collateral left carrying the ability to underpin the gargantuan sovereign debt beast was gold.

Saturday, August 15, 2020

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Stock Market Peak May Be Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at least) over the next 6+ months.

Saturday, August 15, 2020

With Gold Above $2,000, Bulls Triumph! What’s Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The triumph of the gold bulls has finally come, as gold jumped above $2,000. But what’s next for the shiny metal?
Well, that escalated quickly! At the end of July, when gold was still below $1,900, I went on a short vacation, and when I’m back, the yellow metal is above $2,000. Whoa, it was a real blitzkrieg! Just please take a look at the chart below – as you can see, gold soared in early August, surpassing the psychologically important level of $2,000 per ounce.

Saturday, August 15, 2020

Stock Market, Asset Price Crash Dead Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Kelsey_Williams

An All-Asset Price Crash (AAPC) might be the next “Wow! Can you believe it?”

In the meantime, whether it be stocks, bonds, gold, or oil, investors are licking their chops and counting their profits before they are booked. And, they have reason to gloat. Let’s see what all the noise is about.

STOCKS

Since the stock market lows less than five months ago, the Nasdaq Composite Index is up sixty-six percent. At its most recent intraday high of 11,126, it is nearly twelve percent higher than it was before falling by one-third this past March.

Any fears from investors about “technical damage” created by the previous price collapse have been swallowed up by the recent huge gains in the index. Here is what it looks like on a 5-year chart…

Saturday, August 15, 2020

NASDAQ vs. DJIA: Does the Recent Divergence Matter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

"The NASDAQ nearly doubled in the last 100 days of its rally."

This quote sounds like it's from 2020, doesn't it?

After all, since its March bottom near 6600, the NASDAQ has rallied to a new record high. Low to high, it has indeed "nearly doubled."

And yet, the quote above is not new. It's from the year 2000.

It appeared in Financial Forecast, a monthly publication by our friends at Elliott Wave International covering stocks, bonds, the dollar, gold, the economy and more.

Friday, August 14, 2020

AMD Ryzen 4900x / 5900x and 4950x / 5950x Zen3 4th Gen IPC and Clock Speed and Core Specs / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Its not going to much longer before we AMD's big reveal it's Intel crushing 7nm Zen 3 processors with my focus on what to expect for the top 2 Ryzen processes i.e. currently the 3900x and the 3950x. Back in May I speculated that Zen 3 should see a IPC gain of at least 15% and possibly as high as 22%. We are still on track for at least 15% gains. I also speculated that we could see a jump in core counts i.e. 4950x jumping from 16 to as many as 24. Unfortunately that was just wishful t6hinking on my part as since there has been nothing to suggest that there will be even a 20 core Ryzen processor let alone 24 core .

Also it looks like AMD has learned it's lesson from it's recently launched APU confusion, with the G chips being 4000 series processors despite being based on Zen 2 rather than Zen 3,. So its probable that Zen 3 naming will be 5000 series processors rather than 4000. Which means for instance a 4950x becomes 5950x, which is what I have my eye out for my next system build, especially if it can be over clocked.

Friday, August 14, 2020

Stock Market Gap Fills Suggests Market Momentum May Stall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Technical Analysis teaches us that price Gaps tend to be filled by future price action.  This is not something new for many of our readers, whom may be familiar with our mantra ‘Gaps always get filled!’.  The big Gap created near February 24, 2020, the start of the COVID-19 market collapse, has recently been filled in the SPY and the TRAN (Transportation Index).  We believe this “filling of the Gap” may be a sign that the upside market trend may begin to stall and potentially reverse. 

Yesterday, we highlighted the potential for a continued upside bullish trend in the SPY pushing possibly 2% to 4% higher based on our Measured Move technique in our article entitled “President Trump Signs Additional Covid Relief – What to Expect From the Markets“.  Today, with the TRAN gapping higher to fill the February 24, 2020, price Gap, we believe the upside move may be exhausting itself and nearing a period of congestion or reversal.

Friday, August 14, 2020

Silver May Be Overextended – But It’s STILL Cheap / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Silver prices aren’t just rising; they’re erupting!

Silver has been ascending at a far steeper rate than the climactic move of 2010-2011 which briefly brought prices back up to all-time nominal highs.

Adding a 20-week rate of change (ROC) indicator to the silver futures chart below shows prices gaining 122.4% over that period – far exceeding the rate of ascent of the last big silver spike.

Friday, August 14, 2020

A Short Guide To Making Your First Stock Market Investment / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Submissions

Global financial markets have become increasingly volatile amidst the turmoil caused by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. This year the FTSE100 saw some of its biggest losses since the stock market crash of 2008. Sure, it sounds a bit like a doomsday scenario, and for some investors, this may very well be the case. On the flipside, however, is that market falls are often the best time to find yourself a good bargain. For the novice investor, the time may be perfect to make your first foray into the stock market as long as you follow a few golden rules.

Friday, August 14, 2020

Is Tech Reality Affects our Dating Possibilities? / Personal_Finance / Internet

By: Submissions

Thursday, August 13, 2020

Will You Make Money in the New Silver Bull Market ? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight lets take a look at the bad boy of the PM complex, silver. If you’ve been following silver for any length of time then you know it can be aggravating at times as we’ve seen fairly recently when gold and the PM stocks have been running pretty hot to the upside while silver just sat there doing its job of frustrating as many investors in the PM complex as it could. Finally, three weeks ago silver broke out above overhead resistance and decided to join the party.

Tonight I’m going to start with a few long term charts for silver. It’s these long term charts we need to understand first so we know where silver has been trading and where it is likely to go based on the Chartology which has been guiding us pretty well so far since what will now be called the March 2020 low in the years ahead.

This first chart is a ratio combo chart which has the GOLD:SILVER ratio on top with gold just below followed by silver with the XAU on the bottom. Everyone has their own interpretation of how they like to analyze that ratio. I have my own thoughts on how I like to view the ratio chart and how to use it in deciding if the PM complex is in a bull or bear market. We’ve discussed many times is the past that knowing if you’re in a bull or bear market is the single most important aspect of trading the intermediate to long term trends.

Thursday, August 13, 2020

Hyper-Deflation Capital Destruction And Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

When aggregate demand contracts, debts default, credit tightens, the velocity of money plunges, deflation ensues and capital, i.e. circulating credit and debt, is destroyed. In the extreme state of hyper-deflation, central bankers try to offset fatally accelerating capital destruction by creating even more money to replace that which is being destroyed.

The United States printed more money in June than in the first two centuries after its founding.

Cointelegraph, July 31,2020

Thursday, August 13, 2020

Stock Market Correction Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.

SPX Intermediate trend:  We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the near term.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Thursday, August 13, 2020

Silver Took the Stairs to $21 in 2008, Took the Escalator to $29 in 2010. Is Silver on the Elevator to the 120th floor today? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Robert_Singer

Disclaimer: The following is my opinion and is not intended as investment advice. I don’t know anything about bulls, bears, cycles, resistance, daily, weekly, monthly charting, micro or macro fundamentals and especially indicators like the EROI.

I have been waiting for Silver to take off since 2005 when I was sure the economy and the dollar were going to collapse. [1]

The economy should have gone south in 1980 when the Twins showed up. The twin deficits is a phenomenon wherein both the federal government’s balance and that country’s trade balance nosedive into negative territory.

Thursday, August 13, 2020

President Trump Signs Additional COVID Relief – What To Expect from the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Up until the end of the last week, Republicans and Democrats were locked in heated negotiations regarding the size and scope of pending COVID-19 relief efforts. Our researchers had little hope that any negotiations would be successful given the two sides were so far away from one another in terms of wants and wishes.

On Saturday, August 8, 2020, President Trump signed a new Executive Order (and memorandums) to provide additional relief from the coronavirus that continues to spread in the US and around the world. These measures provide for as much as $400 in enhanced unemployment payments, and also offer Americans with temporary payroll tax relief, student loan deferments, and assistance to homeowners and renters.

Thursday, August 13, 2020

Has Gold's Upward Drive Come to an End? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Donald_W_Dony

Following the July 08, 2020 Market Minute titled: What is driving gold up?. We highlighted the main factors pushing gold prices upward. Are those factors still there? And if so, how much further is the precious metal going to rise (Chart 1)?