Friday, July 12, 2019

State of the US Economy as Laffer Gets Laughable / Politics / US Economy

By: Peter_Schiff

While the willingness to abandon long held beliefs for political gain has always been a common trait among public figures, the spectacle has recently taken on shocking levels of casual audacity. The contempt for even minimal levels of intellectual consistency has allowed Kamala Harris to condemn Joe Biden for his past opposition to Federally mandated busing while simultaneously taking the exact same position herself. These somersaults are particularly common with former economic conservatives seeking to curry favor with President Trump's decidedly non-conservative policies.

We have seen former free-trader Larry Kudlow awkwardly embrace high tariffs and big deficits, and economist Stephen Moore disavow decades of monetary hawkishness to position himself as a potentially reliable Trump loyalist. But the most dizzying reversal came this week when supposedly conservative Reagan administration economist Arthur Laffer (in what I believe to be an audition for a job in the Trump Administration) hit the airwaves to make the case that the Federal Reserve should be run directly by the President, not by the Fed's supposedly independent governors. Come again? Direct political control of a central bank has always been the bogeyman of any conservative economist. Was he serious?

Friday, July 12, 2019

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Most market commentators remain confused, flirting between being bearish or bullish usually AFTER the fact, AFTER the market has risen or fallen. Take when I last looked at the Dow and the market was in a downtrend eyeing an assault on Dow 25,000. At the time the reasoning was 'surprise' failure to resolve the US China trade war for why stocks had fallen. All without understanding the underlying mega-trend drivers that remain constant regardless of what Trump announces or tweets or threatens, which are the trends towards war with China, Climate Change, the Inflation mega-trend (money printing), AI mega-trend and Africa's population explosion amongst others that come to mind. All of which were in motion BEFORE Trump came to office and will remain so for decades after Trump leaves office.

Friday, July 12, 2019

Stock Investors Buckle Up, the Trade War is About to EXPLODE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

And when it does, smart investors will lock in TRIPLE DIGIT… and possibly even QUADRUPLE DIGIT RETURNS.

Stocks performed a backtest of the broken rising wedge formation (red lines in the chart below) yesterday.

Friday, July 12, 2019

Silver Price Very Long-term / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Gary_Tanashian

Just for fun because I am a chart guy who all too often bores you (and me) to death with ratio and indicator charts and all too seldom makes charts just for the fun of it anymore…

So this long-term silver chart is just for the fun of it. What do we have here?

Friday, July 12, 2019

Powell Testimony Propels Gold Above $1,400 - the Countdown to July’s FOMC Is On / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Hot Wednesday is behind us. We had both the Powell’s testimony to the Congress and the released minutes from the latest FOMC meeting. The biggest yesterday’s winner is clearly gold. If you would like to know why – and what situation the yellow metal is in currently – we invite you to read our today’s article!

Powell Fails to Push Back Against Market Expectations of Rate Cut in July

What a day! Gold is back above $1,400, as one can see in the chart below. What happened exactly?

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Stock Market Major Index Top In 3 to 5 Weeks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers rely on a number of proprietary tools and cycle forecasting technology.  Additionally, we use custom index charts to help measure price cycles, trends, support & resistance and many other aspects of the markets.  Recently, we posted an article relating to the US Dollar and foreign currencies using custom index techniques.  In the past, we’ve highlighted our Custom Price Cycle index that we use to gauge market sentiment, topping and bottoming setups.  All of these tools are essential for our team of researchers while they attempt to identify trade setups and larger market events.

Currently, we are highlighting a number of our custom index chart that suggest a market top may only be 3 to 5 weeks away and the setup of this market top may surprise many traders. We posted a good forecast chart here also.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Platinum Price vs Gold Price / Commodities / Platinum

By: Submissions

Platinum has not been this cheap vs. gold since 1907 AD.

In other words, in over 110 years, we have not seen platinum values slump this far versus gold.

Here at SD Bullion, we have covered Platinum fundamental investment factors as well as information about supply-demand factors at play today.

South Africa is the major miner of platinum ore in the world, accounting for about 70% of all new line platinum annually.

But given that we often have bullion sales on Platinum coins and Platinum bars.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

What This Centi-Billionaire Fashion Magnate Can Teach You About Investing / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

There are 2,208 billionaires on earth, according to Forbes. But only three are rich enough to qualify as “centi-billionaires”—worth $100 billion or more.

Amazon (AMZN) CEO Jeff Bezos is #1.

Microsoft founder (MSFT) Bill Gates is #2.

#3 will probably surprise you.

It’s not super-investor Warren Buffett. It’s not Facebook (FB) CEO Mark Zuckerberg. It’s not a hedge fund manager, a banker, or a Russian oligarch.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Stock Market Fundamentals are Weakening: 3000 on SPX Means Nothing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

Even as markets climbed above to 3000 on SPX, we are fairly bearish on equities for the forseeable future. Algo continue to trip the stops higher. The levels to watch are mentioned below on where you could position your stops.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

This Tobacco Stock Is a Big Winner from E-Cigarette Bans / Companies / Investing 2019

By: Robert_Ross

In late June, San Francisco banned e-cigarette sales completely. That means no brick and mortar sales. And no e-cigarette deliveries for online purchases.

Many cities already restrict vaping and e-cigarette sales. But San Francisco is the first major US city to ban sales outright.

Granted, it’s a cultural and political outlier. But other cities are already considering similar laws. So this looks like the start of a bigger trend that could weigh heavily on certain tobacco companies.

Despite this thread, tobacco companies are still a great, recession-proof investment. And there’s one tobacco stock that will benefit from the crackdown on e-cigs big time.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Investing in Life Extending Pharma Stocks / Companies / Healthcare Sector

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Predictive Modeling Suggest Oil Price Headed Much Lower / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil will likely continue to find resistance near $64 as a price ceiling and trend lower over the next 3 to 5 months – eventually breaking below the $40 price level near the end of 2019 or in early 2020.

Our research team believes this move could very well be contingent on a continued decline in global economic activity as well as our research suggesting that global currencies could be setting up for a breakdown event. 

Thursday, July 11, 2019

How to Pay for It All: An Option the Presidential Candidates Missed / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Ellen_Brown

The Democratic Party has clearly swung to the progressive left, with candidates in the first round of presidential debates coming up with one program after another to help the poor, the disadvantaged and the struggling middle class. Proposals ranged from a Universal Basic Income to Medicare for All to a Green New Deal to student debt forgiveness and free college tuition. The problem, as Stuart Varney observed on FOX Business, was that no one had a viable way to pay for it all without raising taxes or taking from other programs, a hard sell to voters. If robbing Peter to pay Paul is the only alternative, the proposals will go the way of Trump’s trillion dollar infrastructure bill for lack of funding.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Mining Stocks Flash Powerful Signal for Gold and Silver Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The second half of the year is setting up favorably for the precious metals sector, which was led in the first half by gold and gold mining stocks.

Of course, the Wall Street-beholden financial media is largely ignoring metals and mining – preferring instead to give celebratory coverage to every move toward new highs in the Dow and S&P 500.

“The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 7.2% this month [June], notching its best June performance since 1938,” CNBC reported. “The S&P 500 posted its best first half of a year since 1997, soaring 17.3% and reaching an all-time high.”

Thursday, July 11, 2019

My SATS Results SHOCK! / Politics / Educating Children

By: Anika_Walayat

It's Sats results day when 600 thousand 10 and 11 year olds will be getting their Sats scores for English, Grammar and Maths tests that take place at the end of Key Stage 2 just prior to the move to secondary school. So find what the SATS results are all about and if my scores live up to expectations in my latest video.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

5 Surefire Ways to Get More Viewers for Your Video Series / Personal_Finance / Social Media

By: Submissions

Whether you're promoting a new product or planning to set up your very own masterclass series, you will need a powerful platform for building interest. No doubt, video marketing offers plenty of advantages if you're seeking to increase the number of high quality leads to generate and support your business's growth.

Indeed, YouTube and Facebook are effective avenues for building your brand. But drawing people into your video series requires sound planning and strategy. In a way, you might also need to focus on creating a video marketing formula that works well.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Gold Price Gann Angle Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: readtheticker

Charts show us the golden brick road to high prices.

GLD Gann Angle has been working since 2016. Higher prices are expected. Who would say anything different, and why and how?

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Crude Oil Prices and the 2019 Hurricane Season / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a near-normal 2019 hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

But, the season got off to an early start with the short-lived sub-tropical storm Andrea on May 20.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Can Gold Recover from Friday’s Strong Payrolls Hit? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

And here we go again. Gold slipped below $1,400 per ounce. This is where it fell after stronger-than-expected June Employment Report. How does that key piece of economic data play into the market’s rate cuts expectations? And how does it all impact gold?

June Payrolls Surpass Expectations

The U.S. created 224,000 jobs in June, following a disappointing increase of 72,000 in May (after a downward revision). The number surprised positively, as the economists polled by the MarketWatch forecasted 170,000 created jobs. The gains in hiring last month were widespread, but with a leading role of education and health services (+61,000) and professional and business services (+51,000). Only retail trade and mining cut jobs.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Netflix’s Worst Nightmare Has Come True / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

If there were a stock market “hall of fame,” Netflix (NFLX) would be a shoe-in.

Its stock has soared 8,500%+ in the last decade as “streaming” video has caught fire.

Netflix achieved those gains by stealing tens of millions of customers from cable companies. Last year, half of Americans age 22–45 didn’t watch a second of cable TV. And 35 million Americans have dropped cable in the last decade.

But it’s time to come to terms with a sad truth...

Netflix’s glory days are over. And what’s coming next won’t be pleasant if you own Netflix stock.